Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, August 29, 2010
Stock Market S&P 950, Not so Fast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Toby_Connor
The better than expected GDP numbers threw a slight monkey wrench in the trading plan (for you traders out there). I was expecting a gap down open that would break through the 1040 pivot. The plan was to buy into that gap with a stop under the morning intraday low. The market did break slightly below 1040 (1039.70) so in theory if one was quick they could have jumped in right there. I doubt anyone was that quick though so I suspect almost no one caught the exact low. Perfect timing isn’t critical though if this is a daily cycle bottom, as we should have at least 2 to 3 weeks of upside ahead of us. I’m assuming the market doesn’t drop back down to test the lows on next Friday’s jobs report.
Saturday, August 28, 2010
Stocks Secular Bull and Bear Markets and the Dark Side of Budget Deficits / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: John_Mauldin
Secular Bull and Bear Markets
It's Not the (Stupid) Economy
The Consequences of a Credit Crisis
The Dark Side of Deficits
In the pre-crisis days, I used to write about things like P/E ratios, secular bull and bear markets, valuations, and all of the things we used to think about in the Old Normal. But what about those topics as we begin our trip through the New Normal? It's time to reconvene class and think through what might change and what will remain the same. I think this will be a fun read - and let me tip my hand. I come out on the side of a new secular bull that gets us back to trend - but not just yet. The New Normal has to have its turn first. (Note: this will print out longer than usual, as there are a lot of charts.)
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Saturday, August 28, 2010
Two Ways to Prepare for Shock Events in the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Bryan_Rich
With bond yields and stock markets in the world’s major developed economies petering away, more people are asking: Where can we find investment returns?
Wall Street’s answer: Emerging markets.
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Saturday, August 28, 2010
Private Investors Boycott Stocks, Bernanke Promises Fed Action to Ensure Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
U.S. Economy Grew a Revised 1.6% in Second Quarter - (Bloomberg) The U.S. economy grew at a 1.6 percent annual rate in the second quarter, less than previously calculated, as companies reined in inventories and the trade deficit widened.
The revised gain in gross domestic product was bigger than the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News and compares with a 2.4 percent estimate issued last month, figures from the Commerce Department showed today in Washington. Corporate profits grew last quarter at the slowest rate in a year and employee wages in the prior three months were revised lower.
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Saturday, August 28, 2010
Stock Market Indices Close Out Week with Strong Snapback Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a very strong snapback session to close out the week on apparent short-covering and bargain hunting.
In the morning they opened firm, but then rolled over hard on negative economic news, taking the Nasdaq 100 under 1750 and the S&P 500 under 1045, down near the key 1040 area that was reached last Wednesday. When the NDX made new lows and the SPX failed to confirm and held the earlier support low, that created a positive divergence.
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Saturday, August 28, 2010
Stock Market Reverses After Intel Warns....Classic.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
Intel Corporation (INTC) has been the source of many big reversals in the stock market over its career on Wall Street. Sometimes it has set the top of the market and at other times it has set the bottom, at least for the short-term. Today we saw it put in the short-term bottom.
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Friday, August 27, 2010
Stock Market Ostrich Investors With Trillions of Dollars of Capital Sat on the Sidelines / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Zeal_LLC
Ostrich investors are a major driving force in today’s financial markets. As the name implies, they are hiding their heads in the sand like the popular literary perception of the king of birds. Burned in 2008’s epic stock-market panic, they have shunned active investing ever since. Trillions of dollars of their capital languishes idle on the sidelines, earning zero in money markets or near-record-low yields in Treasuries.
Friday, August 27, 2010
Why the Stock Market Weekly Charts Work / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: INO
Many traders get so involved with the market on a daily or even an intraday basis, that they somehow lose out on the bigger picture. Weekly charts are enormously helpful in giving clues to the future direction of the market.
Friday, August 27, 2010
Stock Markets Rise On Higher Than Expected U.S. GDP Q2 Growth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Stocks Rise On Higher Than Expected US GDPUS stocks were up Friday, sending the Dow Jones back above the 10000 level after numbers for US GDP Q2 economic growth were slightly above analysts expectations. The Dow climbed 44 points, or 0.4 percent, to 10030 on the news. The Dow closed below the psychologically important 10000 mark on Thursday for the first time since early July, due in part to jitters ahead of Friday morning’s report on gross domestic product.
Friday, August 27, 2010
Why Mergers and Acquisitions Activity Is Heating Up / Stock-Markets / Mergers & Acquisitions
By: Money_and_Markets
Jeff Manera writes: The markets have been taking a beating over the past few weeks. Plunging existing home sales, disappointing jobless claims and weak manufacturing activity numbers are to blame.
Friday, August 27, 2010
Stock Market Bulls Rally and Bears Pounce... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mark_McMillan
The major indexes rally attempt is shut down by pessimistic bears...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Thursday, August 26, 2010
The Upcoming Stock Market 4-year Cycle Bottom / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Clif_Droke
Many observers have been wondering if the upcoming 4-year cycle bottom in a few weeks will exert a negative impact on stock prices when the previous 4-year cycle bottom in 2006 barely registered. You may recall that the period from August through December of 2006 saw a stellar performance from the market that left many market technicians perplexed as to why the 4-year cycle bottom left no discernible impact on stock prices at that time. Many of them tried to excuse the lack of downward bias in the broad market in the fall of ’06 by saying that the 4-year cycle would bottom later that year, despite the fact that the 4-year cycle is fixed and always bottoms around the end of the third quarter in late September/early October. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 26, 2010
Hindenburg Omen - A More Balanced View / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Chris_Ciovacco
In the last few weeks, Wall Street has been spooked by a technical occurrence know as the Hindenburg Omen. The basis for the concern is we have recently seen both relatively high numbers of new 52-week highs and new 52-week lows. Wikipedia has a good summary of the Hindenburg Omen calculations.
Thursday, August 26, 2010
Stock Market Bulls Weigh In... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mark_McMillan
European markets and Asian markets slide but bulls buy after gap down open...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Thursday, August 26, 2010
Time to Invest in Russia? / Stock-Markets / Russia
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
Of all the unpleasant societies in which to live, Vladimir Putin's Russia is among the nastiest. Journalists and businessmen disappear, a knock on the door at 3:00am can prove fatal, and nothing gets done without endless side-payments to obscure fixers.
Thursday, August 26, 2010
Stock Market S&P 1050 Holds For Now.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
Not great, but if the bulls want to exhale now is the time to do so. If this level is lost on a closing basis it's not good, especially if it's lost with some force behind it. We certainly did lose it intra-day, but the market started to get oversold, and thus the usual rally ensued. Not a great rally. Nothing earth shattering and nothing to hang your longer-term bullishness on, but at least the bulls can say they held the line in the sand on the S&P 500 for one more day.
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Wednesday, August 25, 2010
Stock and Commodity Markets Discounting Deflationary Depression Second Wave / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Steve_Betts
Yesterday we saw that existing home sales fell 27.2% in July, more than twice the expected drop, and today we see that existing home sales fell 12% in July when the expectation was for no change. Today’s drop was the worst on record. This is the type of behavior you would expect to see during a depression and that is precisely where the economy is headed. The talking heads on TV are in denial but you can hear the doubt creeping into their conversations.
Wednesday, August 25, 2010
Recession Double Dippers In The Ascendancy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
US stocks declined Tuesday, sending the S&P 500 Index to a seven-week low, as a record plunge in home sales cast further doubt on the viability of the economic recovery as the battle between “moderators” and “double dippers” is currently being won hands down by the latter. Existing US home sales where a real horror show – resales dropped a record 27.2 percent–nearly twice as much as analysts had expected–to an annual rate of $3.83 m in July, the National Association of Realtors said Tuesday. Meanwhile, inventories rose to 12.5 months from 8.9 months in June, pressuring already depressed home prices. Inventories are at their highest level in more than a decade.
Wednesday, August 25, 2010
Tuesdays Ugly Stock Market Trading, S&P Lowers Irelands Credit Rating / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mark_McMillan
European markets slide significantly as worries over debt continue to be a concern...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Wednesday, August 25, 2010
The Stock Market Has Become Fatally Expensive, Devaluation Wave Could Push Stocks To March 2009 Lows / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Claus_Vogt
As I said in last week’s column, liquidity indicators and leading economic indicators have deteriorated quickly since March. At the same time sentiment indicators reached levels usually seen at stock market highs. All three are the main components of my forecasting model.