Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Stock Market Top Likely Reached / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Peter_Navarro

Last week, I called a market top; and the Dow Jones industrial average proceeded to reel off a 3.2% gain. There are a couple of important observations to make about this market action.

First, the tape never lies so it's important to be flexible when the market moves in the direction that you do not expect. While I entered last week slightly net short, I had a trailing stop loss on my major short position TWM and as the market rallied, I was able to close that short position and still preserve some my profits from the preceding week.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Bucking Bronco Stock Market Rising With Few Bulls / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

We now have the highest jobless rate since 1983 - The unemployment rate in the U.S. soared to a 26-year high of 10.2 percent in October and employers cut more jobs than forecast, underscoring why Federal Reserve policy makers say interest rates will remain near zero.

Payrolls fell by 190,000 workers last month, compared with a 175,000 drop anticipated by the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, figures from the Labor Department showed today in Washington. The jobless rate gained from 9.8 percent in September and exceeded 10 percent for the first time since 1983.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Broad Stock Market Percentages Supports Bullish Outlook / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Donald_W_Dony

One of the most important charts that all investors should be watching is the level of bullish participation of stocks on the NYSE Composite. This graph illustrates the number of equities that are trading above their long-term 200-day moving average on the broad-based index. Currently that level is a very bullish 87.67%. This moving average is used by numerous money managers worldwide to determine the trading direction of securities.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Financial Transaction Taxes Would Cause Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Mike_Shedlock

Congress is discussing a horrible idea, putting a "transaction tax" on every stock or option purchase or sale. Please consider AFL-CIO, Dems push new Wall Street tax.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Global Leveraged Speculation Upsurge, Financial Crisis Not Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Bob_Chapman

Almost all the excessive hedge fund de-leveraging is over. Banks have continued to hold 40 to 1 leveraged positions, because they cannot exit them without a major economic recovery without going bankrupt. Our government remains trapped in the same old bubble mentality in its activist control banking and policymaking having issued $1.9 trillion in additional debt over the past year. Banks and government still do not see the warning signals. Any sane businessman who views the continued leverage being used by Fannie, Freddie, Ginnie and the FHA has to cringe in horror, as leverage increases daily without end.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Stocks Secular Bear Market Dow Theory Update / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory

By: Tim_Wood

For some reason I have received numerous questions from readers about the big advance seen on November 3rd by the Transports.  The basic question that I’m being asked is whether or not that single 5% advance, as compared to the Industrials, had any predictive value from a Dow theory perspective.  The short answer is no.   From an orthodox Dow theory perspective, the magnitude of a move by one average verses the other average is immaterial as long as both averages are in gear with each other.  When I say in gear, I mean as long as both averages are operating above or below their previous secondary high or low point.   

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Stock Market Settles In To A Trading Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

We have a market setting up in what is clearly becoming more of a longer term lateral consolidation off the huge move up from the march 9th lows. Longer term lateral consolidations are usually what takes place after a strong move has been made one way or the other for a prolonged period of time. we had a huge move higher and instead of just quitting and rocking lower as many are calling for, this market is confusing the masses by setting up a whipsaw lateral consolidation that is playing heavily on the emotions of those who over trade.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

U.S. Economy, Investors Say No Worries Mate / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Brian_Bloom

The only way that this analyst can reconcile the (apparently optimistic) behavior of US investors with the (neutral to negative) underlying facts is that investors are emotionally “comfortable” with what the Bernanke/Geithner team is doing.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

What Happened to the Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

The big news of the week was the U.S. unemployment rate breaking above 10% to the highest rate in 26 years with all the expectations of the jobless recovery continuing well into 2010. Other news out of the U.S. came from the Fed confirming the view that U.S. Interest rates would be kept low for sometime.

Friday, November 06, 2009

Free Access to Robert Prechter's Current Elliot Wave Theorist and Financial Forecast Reports / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: EWI

It has been an exciting week in the markets. And FreeWeek attendees have been enjoying the ride.

FreeWeek Update: Elliott Wave International's publications have alerted subscribers -- and FreeWeek attendees -- that volume and breadth readings have been contracting throughout the multi-month rally, which signals a critical juncture ahead.

Friday, November 06, 2009

The Twist on the SPY's "Squeeze" / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Marty_Chenard

Remember last week when we discussed: "The SPY squeeze"?

In that update, we mentioned that: "the SPY's bottom support is rising toward the gap's resistance line." We mentioned it was a "squeeze" because the distance between the resistance and support was becoming a smaller and smaller as every day went by. In other words, resistance and support are converging on each other.

Friday, November 06, 2009

Financial Markets Profit Opportunity Thresholds Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“One of the great current myths that is being propounded by those in charge is that they are going to magically withdraw, at the appropriate time, the stimulus which is currently preventing the world economy from imploding.

What a bad joke, that is! Tim Geithner, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, may have given the whole ruse away when he said recently that it was important that the authorities publically discuss the subject of withdrawing the stimulus because it was important in sustaining the confidence of financial markets. Very simply, that’s what this is all about. It is a large con job to keep financial markets elevated so the average citizen will ignore the rot which is eating away at the foundation of the economy and the financial system.

Friday, November 06, 2009

Stock Market Investors Open Mind Warning on Highest U.S. Unemployment In 26 Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Investors Are Wise To Remain Flexible: The bearish spin on unemployment is obvious. The bullish spin is weak employment means low interest rates which is good for asset prices. Another possible spin by the bulls is "sell the rumor (weak employment) and buy the news (Friday's report)". Ultimately, it matters how the market (in the collective minds of participants) chooses to spin it, not how we at CCM choose to spin it. Nor does it matter how any one individual, one columnist, one market guru, one money manager, one firm, or one talking head chooses to spin it.

Friday, November 06, 2009

Finance's Euphoria: The Epilogue -- What Record High Dollar Volume of Trading Says About Confidence / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: EWI

The following article was adapted from the November 2009 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and reprinted with permission here. Until Nov. 11, you can read the rest of this brand-new report for free, during Elliott Wave International's FreeWeek of U.S. forecasts. Learn more about FreeWeek, and download the rest of this report and others for free here.

Friday, November 06, 2009

Stock Market Rydex Market Timers Are Extremely Mixed / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500 with the amount of assets in the Rydex Money Market Fund in the lower panel.

Friday, November 06, 2009

S&P Stock Market Rally To Fail, Lower Lows Ahead / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Jim_Curry

In a prior article (10/22/09), I discussed several key mid-term cycles that were turning down into the mid-November time period - which would ideally set the S&P 500 up for it's largest correction seen since coming off the March, 2009 bottom. Since that time, the SPX has seen a sharp decline from the 1101.36 swing high to the 1029.38 low, seen in Monday's trading session.

Thursday, November 05, 2009

Stock Market Bulls Snap Back...Take 50's With Them..For Now... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

Are we having fun yet? This whipsaw is classic. It's more the sign of a mature market that needs a lateral consolidation due to the great move it made over the past few months. Mature meaning, upside isn't easy but difficult to kill because the economic news and earnings reports are so good overall. Push and pull which allows a longer term lateral basing pattern to form to cool down the oscillators and emotions from a too bullish perspective. Now, even though we never got overly bullish in sentiment, it never hurts to get the average individual a little more cautious if not bearish.

Thursday, November 05, 2009

Robert Prechter Current Stock Market Bear and Crash Calls / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

Eight months ago, the stock market began a very large rally -- the gains exceeded 60% in the S&P 500. Everyone knows this. But here's a fact that has gone virtually unreported: The vast majority of those gains (about 90%) were from March through August. By comparison, September and October were sluggish.

Yet the past two months have been the very time when the financial press has been the loudest about "green shoots," "recovery" and "new bull market." So the question is WHY -- why so much enthusiasm, even as the evidence literally fades away?

Thursday, November 05, 2009

I Apologize to David Viniar and Goldman's Lawyers and Call for More Regulation of Goldman Sachs / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Janet_Tavakoli

I apologize to Goldman Sachs’ CFO David Viniar. He did not lie when he said that Goldman’s direct credit exposure with AIG was hedged in the event AIG collapsed. He only addressed direct AIG credit risk.1 On September 16, 2008, he may merely have been unimaginative about risk to Goldman as a result of AIG’s potential bankruptcy partly brought on by stress created by billions in collateral payments already made—and the billions in additional collateral owed—to Goldman Sachs (and other CDS counterparties). Systemic risk is a matter of public interest. Viniar apparently did not intentionally give the impression that Goldman was disinterested when it came to AIG’s bailout.

Thursday, November 05, 2009

Rethinking the Growing China Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Q1_Publishing

“It’s the only place we could take a company in a developed industry and double our business each year for five years. Where else can you start out with $5 million in sales and be making $35 million in practically no time?”

That’s what one of the world’s leading Chinese financiers told me over dinner last night.