Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, March 07, 2015
Stock Market Pullback Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market started the week at SPX 2105. After a rally to SPX 2118 on Monday the market had gap down openings three of the next four trading days. By late Friday the SPX had traded down to 2067, then ended the week at 2071. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.55%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.80%, and the DJ World index lost 1.70%. Economic reports for the week were slightly biased to the negative again. On the uptick: personal income, the PCE, auto sales, ISM services, payrolls, plus the unemployment rate and trade deficit improved. On the downtick: personal spending, ISM manufacturing, construction spending, the ADP, factory orders, consumer credit, the WLEI, the monetary base, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get reports on Retail sales, the PPI and Consumer sentiment.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 07, 2015
Hot Jobs...Fear Of Rate Hikes... Hits Stock Market Hard..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
It was a very interesting day for the stock, market because it received the type of great news no one wanted to hear. Sometimes good news is not good for your bottom line. It's nice to see a lot of jobs added, well above what was expected. While it is true that many of the jobs added were of the lower paying type, it was still good to see anything on the positive side of job creation. Now the problem. Too many new jobs equates to a few raising rates. The market doesn't want any part of that. It doesn't want folks to have alternative places to go with their dollars. Then real question ultimately will be whether this is the beginning of a rate hike cycle. A full cycle or will it be a onetime situation with the Fed needing a lot more information before making hikes more of a regularity. She is a dove and won't shock the market, but in the end it's not about her.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 07, 2015
SPX Stocks Index Closes at the Lows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
This is beyond my expectation.
SPX did not bounce into the close. At the end of the day it challenged Intermediate-term support at 2069.17. This may be the end of sub-Minute Wave (i) of Minute Wave [iii]. There were a lot of squiggles at the end, so it is difficult to say whether it completed the Wave (ii) retracement or not. If so, it was severely truncated.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 07, 2015
NYA Stocks Index Important Triple Top Test is Going On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Update on: The Old Double Top is being tested now ...
Today, we will look at the NYA Index because of its importance to Institutional Investors.
When you look at today's chart (below), you can see that an important triple top test is going on.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 07, 2015
Stocks, Bonds, Gold and Currencies State of the Global Markets 2015 Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Exclusive invitation: Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just released their new 53-page independent investor report, The State of the Global Markets -- 2015 Edition: The Most Important Investment Report You'll Read This Year. On an exclusive, limited-time basis, they've allowed us to share it with you, for FREE Learn more and download your 53-page report now »
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 07, 2015
Stock Market Remain Bullish - But Watchful / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Remain bullish because the bull market remains in place, with most indexes making new highs as recently as last week. Support levels continue to hold on short-term pullbacks, technical indicators remain on buy signals, and the market’s favorable season usually lasts into April/May.
However, be watchful - because the rally is increasingly abnormal, is unlikely to be sustainable much longer, and could change quickly.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2015
Stock Market Major Selloff Looms / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The latest record highs in the US stock markets have unleashed astounding complacency. Traders are utterly convinced that the past couple years’ massive Fed-fueled rally will continue indefinitely. But with today’s lofty stock markets extremely overvalued, wildly overextended, and rampantly euphoric, a serious selloff is looming. The prudent contrarians preparing for this inevitable major reversal are going to earn fortunes.
Though you wouldn’t know it from recent history, stock markets rise and fall. They are forever cyclical, an endless parade of alternating bulls and bears. Market history simply couldn’t be clearer on this. Yet ironically after long bull or bear markets, the great majority of traders forget this. They get caught up in their own emotions, and wrongly assume the long-in-the-tooth trend is the new norm that will endure perpetually.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2015
U.S. Employment Numbers Raise USD and TNX, Sink SPX / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Good Morning!
SPX Premarket appears to have fallen beneath the hourly mid-Cycle support at 2094.26, but we really need to see the neckline at 2087.62 broken to confirm the reversal.
The big news is that February Payrolls surged to 295,000 and the (official) unemployment rate dropped to 5.5%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 06, 2015
Stock Market Dow Theory Divergence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
European Basic Income Initiative.
Based upon the teachings of Major Clifford Douglas and his Social Credit ideals a major citizens initiative is gaining traction in Europe called UBIC: Unconditional Basic Income Europe.
This movement aims to try to solve the issue of structural unemployment in Europe. Unemployment caused not by recession and austerity but labour displacement resulting from the technological fact that increasingly more and more can be produced by less and less labour. Thus the powers that be are beginning to realise that if folk do not have wage income to purchase what is produced a permanent recession will ensue.
Thursday, March 05, 2015
Stock Market FTSE 100: New Record Highs In Store? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Stock markets continue to impress and the bull run in the FTSE 100 has its sights set on the 7,000 level. With price activity trading this close to a clearly defined psychological level, it would not be at all surprising to see an upward break. But the real question is whether or not a move like this would actually show sustainability in the coming months. This is a critical question for those that are considering long exposure while valuations are trading at such elevated levels. Clearly market momentum is still positive but traders entering late still run the risk of being caught long at the wrong market price. For these reasons, newer investors must assess the underlying strength of the blue chip stocks that actually make up the FTSE 100.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 05, 2015
Fading Recovery, Skittish Stock Market Asset Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I wonder how far they are willing to take this stock bubble?
It can keep drifting while there is no adverse geopolitical or economic news.
But the economic recovery is faltering. Or perhaps it would be more correct to say that the illusion is fading.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 05, 2015
Here's What Stock Market Bulls Might Be Overlooking / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
A growing economy is not necessarily bullish -- see for yourself
Editor's note: You'll find a text version of this story below the video.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 04, 2015
Stock Market Sell Signals! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
This is a good sell signal. The cross beneath the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge has a 94% probability of success. Further confirmation of that signal would be a decline beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 2059.94. However, those who “loaded up” yesterday are being rewarded.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 04, 2015
Stock Market Investor Psychology Crazy Ratio Record Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Editor's note: This article is excerpted from "The State of the Global Markets 2015 Edition," a comprehensive report by Elliott Wave International, the world's largest independent market-forecasting firm (data through December 2014). You can download the full, 53-page report here -- 100% free.
With so many once-bright investment ideas flaming out— houses, condos, commodities, gold & silver, oil, junk bonds and hedge funds, to name a few—one would think that the buy-and-hold ethos of the Mania Era would at least be under review. But it isn’t. All it has done is become more focused while remaining as cherished as ever.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 04, 2015
FTSE100 Stocks Index Breaks Key Support / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
The Footsie has just broken some key support I have been monitoring. We already know from previous analysis of the longer term charts that this bull market is on its knees. So let's look in close at the daily chart to see what this potential kill shot looks like.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 03, 2015
Stock Market Three Peaks and a Domed House? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
A possible 3PDh formation can be seen on the Dow Industrials index chart. The peaks in Dec’13, July’14, and Sept’14 are the three peaks. At 9mo, the distance between peaks one and three meets Lindsay’s requirement that they be no more than 10mo apart.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 03, 2015
Financial Slaughter - The Silence of the Lambs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
One interpretation is that we are living in the best of all possible worlds. Another is that we are being led to financial slaughter.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 03, 2015
Stock Market Reversal May Be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
There is a rising probability that my original Wave structure was correct. I have put it back to that count with the anticipation of a break beneath the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge at 2103.75, with Short-term support beneath it at 2102.39. Thus far, today’s low was 2104.92.
Should they both be broken, SPX would have an aggressive sell signal. There may be an aggressive sell signal from the Hi-Lo Index, since it has fallen beneath its mid-Cycle support at 67.08. It is currently at 54 and It still must decline beneath 14 to have a confirmed sell signal. We must monitor it for any upward movement.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 03, 2015
Bondholders “Bailed In” In Austria – New Banking Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
- Auditors find €7.6 billion hole in Austria’s “bad bank”, Heta Asset Resolution AG
- Austria’s government says it will not give Heta “a single euro”
- Emergency legislation passed last month means bondholders to be bailed in
- Risk of contagion high as other banks may hold Heta bonds
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 03, 2015
Nasdaq 5000 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
It took fifteen years to make the round trip from 5000 plus down to 1100 back to 5000 on the Nasdaq. Most thought we'd never get back to that lofty level of 5000 after looking in to the eyes of 1100. The average trader, and especially the long-term holder, was devastated. All hope was lost for the most part by the majority of people. I don't think there's anyone reading this letter that thought the bubble that had burst would get back to a bubble again. But here we are. The glory of the froth bubble is back with us, but under different circumstances. Ms Yellen, and the rest of her global gang members, are protecting their markets through liquidity and rates, thus, it's very complicated when determining from what level this puppy will finally crash from. It will crash out some day, but to this point in time there are still no classic signs of that happening. I will discuss that in a bit.
Read full article... Read full article...