Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, December 17, 2011
The Truth About the Stock Market and Presidential Election Years! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Next year is a Presidential election year, and the stock market is almost always positive in election years. Right? At least that assurance has been a supposed truism for many decades, and repeated as fact each year in numerous interviews and financial columns.
And it makes sense.
Saturday, December 17, 2011
Is The Stock Market Following A Script? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Is the market following a script? If it is you had better be prepared. Here is what we mean.
Here is a chart of the nasdaq Composite from 2000.
Saturday, December 17, 2011
Gaining from the Inflation/Deflation Conundrum / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Amid the Chaos of the Financial Markets and The Economy, One Essential Key to Successful Investing in 2012 is Clear as a Pure Toned Bell.
That One Key Reveals itself to us upon considering just a very few facts.
Via its promise to keep interest rates low until 2013, The U.S. Fed is already engaging in (and prepared to engage in more) QE 3. For example, Operation Twist does provide more liquidity by lengthening Treasuries’ Terms.
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Friday, December 16, 2011
Stock Market Crash Phase Starts Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
You may recall yesterday when I identified the triangle in the 10 min. SPX chart. I also mentioned that its target was 1231.00 and that it would either meet its target by the end of the day on Thursday or in the first hour on Friday. My calculation was off slightly… the pattern was over at 10:22 AM Eastern time.
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Friday, December 16, 2011
Rehypothecation Is An Old Story: MF Global's Is a Different Story of Filched Funds / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Yesterday Congress held another hearing on MF Global. One representative seemed to suggest that MF Global's movement of money to the UK may have somehow been allowable under Rule 1.25. It was as if a Member of Congress had become Corzine's PR flack, an apologist for Corzine, and was trying to create a false excuse for Corzine. Jon Corzine has been a big Congressional fundraiser and bundler, and it is interesting to see how cheaply some Members of Congress can be bought.
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Friday, December 16, 2011
Europe Bank Run Underway, Why You Should be Worried / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: On Wednesday, Fitch Ratings Inc. downgraded its credit ratings on five of Europe's biggest banks, and while that decision made headlines, it's not the most important story to come out of Europe this week.
The real story, which the mainstream media is neglecting, is that there are signs of an underground run on Europe's banks.
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Friday, December 16, 2011
Investors Should Prepare For A Chilly Winter / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
BIG PICTURE – The verdict is in and investors should prepare for a chilly winter.
You will recall that in last month’s Money Matters, we explained that many key markets were at ‘make or break’ points. Since then, the market has spoken and it appears as though the ‘risk trade’ is in a primary downtrend. If our assessment is correct, investors who are ‘long’ risky assets will feel the cold breeze over the winter months.
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Thursday, December 15, 2011
Pathogenesis Of Central Bank Ruin, Next Ground Zero Is Italy / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012
Central banks are the current sovereign debt market. It is a vacated market. They are the majority bidders via debt monetization. The monetary inflation has become the New Normal and a travesty. In perverse fashion, the financial markets celebrate the monetized purchases, even calling for higher volume. In the process, bond and stock market integrity has been destroyed. Foreign creditors depart the USTreasury Bond market. Large European banks depart the Southern Europe sovereign debt market. Central banks step in to avert panic as the underlying structure to the global monetary system crumbles. When government bond yields rose quickly in Europe, it was not from abandonment by their central bank. The big Euro banks sell boatloads of bonds while the EuroCB buys only truckloads. The bond market integrity has been deteriorating very quickly. The dependence upon the debt monetization process is vividly clear. It is hyper monetary inflation to fill the void, thus providing the dominant bid. Ironically, the dullard stock market mavens celebrate the arrival of the central bank purchases without truly comprehending the destroyed integrity of the bond market. IQ levels are falling along with stock index levels.
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Thursday, December 15, 2011
Multiple Stock Market Crash Hindenburg Crash Omens / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The NYSE gave us a second Hindenburg Omen yesterday. As I said earlier, I just noticed the first one on Tuesday. There may even have been one on Monday, as well. The point is, Hindenburg Omens come in clusters. A single omen has no meaning, but multiple omens are the harbingers of crashes.
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Thursday, December 15, 2011
Do Five 'C's Equal A Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
1. The first 'C' is for Christmas time and the trading volumes are already getting thin, as they often do, at this time of the year;
2. The second 'C' is for Capital flows which are increasingly leaving illiquid and riskier asset classes like peripheral sovereign debt and currencies like the euro and heading towards perceived safer cash havens like the US dollar, Japanese yen, Swiss franc and UK sterling;
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Thursday, December 15, 2011
Re-Hypothecation ABC in Gold and Securities Markets: What You Need to Know / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Kevin Brekke, Casey Research writes: A new polysyllabic term has entered the Wall Street lexicon and is sweeping through the investing world like a brush fire through a dry canyon: "hypothecation." With its connection to the MF Global bankruptcy and aftermath, it engenders the kind of fear a homeowner might feel while monitoring the approaching flames.
The rise of hypothecation as the lead suspect in the MF Global tragedy has caused a fair bit of confusion about what, exactly, it is – and is not. Proving the idiom that nature abhors a vacuum, the blogosphere has weighed in with all manner of explanations, many of which have been less than accurate.
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Thursday, December 15, 2011
Credit Crisis part 2 or another reprieve? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Recent investor disappointment is being blamed on the Federal Reserve and the fact that it didn’t announce another round of stimulus at its latest meeting. Recent market action can also be chalked up to a continuation of the lingering disappointment from last week’s EU summit meeting. Participants are upset that the European Central Bank (ECB) refuses to engage in a major bond buying program to provide liquidity and bolster investor confidence.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 15, 2011
Gold, Silver, Dollar, Stocks and Crude Oil Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
It’s that time of year again and I’m not talking about the holiday season… What I am talking about is another major market correction which has been starting to unfold over the past couple weeks.
I have a much different outlook on the markets than everyone else and likely you as well. However, before you stop reading what I have to say hear me out. My outlook and opinion is based strictly on price, volume, inter-market analysis, and crowd behavior and you should put some thought as to what I am saying into your current positions.
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Thursday, December 15, 2011
Gerald Celente on his Missing MF Global Money, Where Is My Money? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Today MF Global's former executives, the CFO and the COO, along with Jon Corzine, the former CEO, testified before the senate agriculture committee. They told the committee that they don't know how an estimated 1.2 billion dollars in customer funds went missing.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2011
Stock Market SPX Index A Possible 50 Point Drop? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The SPX has broken through its supports and is ready to reach escape velocity. The next target is cycle bottom support at 1163.34, but that is a soft target and may only produce a small bounce, if at all. The real targets are either the new Head And Shoulders minimum target of 1025.00 or the original Broadening Top average target of 980.00.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2011
Stock and Financial Markets Stay Range Bound / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The markets have spent the best part of 6 months doing nothing but causing pain to both bulls and bears, you only have to look at the triangle formation on the daily chart to note the wild swings we have been seeing over the past few months, those are not helping either side, this market has now become a traders play ground, it's not for the investor or swing trader imo.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2011
Can the Markets Survive Without QE3? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
WTF?
Do Ben Bernanke and I live on different planets? "For a lot of people," he said during a speech at Fort Bliss, "I know it doesn’t feel like the recession ever ended." For what people exactly, Dr. Bernanke, does it seem like it did end? Study after study after study show that, if you are not lucky enough to be in the top 10% of our society (and certainly not a shade of Johnson’s "Great Society" anymore) then you are pretty much f*cked – and, no, there’s not a nicer way to put it.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Stock Market SELL / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Traders should sell the SPX here. The risk of a flash crash below 1221-1224 is very high. We should see weakness here, leading to acceleration to the downside.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Important Stock Market Support Levels at 1230.59 to 1227 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Today's graph shows the S&P 500's action for 2011. Our C-RSI indicator in red measures the strength of the underlying index.
I should say that it is measuring the strength of the market on this chart because the S&P 500 is regarded as the best index for depicting the condition of the economy. The reason Institutional Investors give for this, is that they say "the S&P 500 represents the best picture of what is happening to important Sectors in our economy".
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Tuesday, December 13, 2011
It's Time to Brace for a Repeat of Financial Crisis 2008, Recession 2012 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
Martin Hutchinson writes: If you think the global economy is out of the woods now that the European Union (EU) has expanded its effort to solve the sovereign debt crisis, then I'm afraid you're sorely mistaken.
No doubt, the European crisis is far from being solved - but that's hardly the only potential economic catastrophe looming on the horizon.
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