Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, December 23, 2011
ECB Liquidity Loans Still Not Enough to Stop Stock Market Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Giuseppe L. Borrelli writes: Yesterday we learned that the European Central Bank offered to loan 523 banks a total of 489 billion euros ($641 billion) in funding. The idea is part of a drive to increase liquidity and curtail the threat of sovereign default by some euro-zone members. Unfortunately the short-term liquidity needs for European banks exceed one trillion euros. What's more the ECB is loaning out money to EU banks for three years thereby increasing the overall debt of these troubled banks while allowing them to postpone the problem of how to pay down that debt. In return the ECB is receiving bad sovereign debt as security at face value and it is leaving itself with little cash on hand.
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Friday, December 23, 2011
Stock Market Failure at Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The trendline under wave [c] of ii appears to have been broken. The chances are that any indication of selling may beget even more selling, as the tacticians are all watching the 200-day moving average.
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Thursday, December 22, 2011
Essential Investor Knowledge For Maximizing Real Gains Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Equities & The U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“Since its inception in 1913, The Federal Reserve Board has been responsible for almost 95% devaluation of the U.S. Dollar. All this has been achieved through its ability to continually inflate the money supply.
And, between 1985 and 2005, the Federal Reserve Board has increased the money supply by five times. This extraordinary money creation is merely the catalyst for debt creation. In a fiat money system, money is debt…there is absolutely no way this money can ever be repaid except by continued inflation. But, now that the credit bubble is blown up, inflation is no longer an option; bankruptcy looms.”
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Thursday, December 22, 2011
Plan to Keep Your Assets Safe From an Out-of-control Government / Stock-Markets / Investing 2012
Terry Coxon, Casey Research writes: By keeping all your assets in the country where you live, you commit, ahead of time, to ratify whatever policy your home government might adopt, no matter how objectionable, unreasonable or pernicious that policy happens to be. If the next new mandate is "Register today to get a nail pounded into your head," you're already signed up.
Americans, by and large, run all their affairs within the confines of the US. The US economy is so large and so varied that it's easy to assume that everything you want to do with your wealth can be done without crossing any borders. And people in the US, like people anywhere, live with the habits and attitudes developed over generations. They're only human. In the case of Americans, those habits grew out of long experience with a government that was small and that generally practiced the rare virtue of following its own laws. In a happy exception to mankind's experience with rulers, there was little to fear from it.
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Thursday, December 22, 2011
Chinese and Indian Tails Wagging the Global Equity Dog? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There is no significant decoupling in our current global economy. As I am typing this, the Chinese stock market (Shanghai Index or $SSEC) is making new lows (intraday basis) for the current decline it has been undergoing. Is the Chinese market signaling what comes next for developed stock markets like the US and Germany? Is the tail predicting what the dog will do? I think it is.
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Thursday, December 22, 2011
Gerald Celente's Top 12 Forecast Trends 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Hold onto your hat, your wallet, and your wits.
After a tumultuous 2011 in which many of the trends we had forecast became headline news around the world, we are now forewarning of an even more tumultuous year to come.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2011
Stock Market SPX SELL / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Trying to sell/sell short on the initial plunge is a dubious endeavor. However, the snap-back often gives you a better entry.
Those that went flat yesterday now have an opportunity to re-enter.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2011
Learning from MF Global Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
In this article we look at how the failure of MF Global might affect the financial markets and trade in general. We learn from one of the gold market’s most famous investors, Jim Sinclair, and hear how this incident might affect the gold price. Mr Sinclair’s comments are worth reading for all investors but especially those inclined toward gold and silver.
During our spare moments reading apparently ‘anoraky’ financial books, we come across the odd gem that we excitedly recommend to our friends for a week or two in a flush of enthusiasm.
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Tuesday, December 20, 2011
Mark Mobius Betting Millions on Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: You may be surprised to learn that some of the world's best investors are buying heavily right now - not because they think we've hit a bottom, or even the bottom, but because they're setting themselves up for the next big run.
Take Mark Mobius, for example.
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Tuesday, December 20, 2011
Stock Market Year End Chaos / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The SPX has one more support level to break through, and that is the weekly mid-cycle support at 1194.37. Once that is accomplished, the next levels for is the cycle bottom support at 1014.11. The support also corresponds with the bottom trendline of a massive Orthodox Broadening Top formation.
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Monday, December 19, 2011
Stock Market Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The SPX has broken below its prior weekly low at 1209.47 on December 14. This week we should see a drop below the 1150.67 low and possibly to the minimum target of 1025 .00 before any kind bounce. The cycles suggest that we may not see a bottom until December 29.
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Monday, December 19, 2011
Good Night Dear Leader, South Korea's Kospi Falls 3.4% / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Asia was in turmoil last night as news of the death of Kim Jong Il hit the wires. South Korea’s Kospi Index fell 3.4%, both the Shanghai and Hang Seng fell more than 2% at their opens but, along with the Nikkei, they all finished strong and down about 1.25%.
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Monday, December 19, 2011
Why We May See a Rally in U.S. Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
David Zeiler writes: With so much negative news dominating the headlines, investors can't be blamed for being worried or shying away from stocks. But if you take closer look at the market - specifically the Standard & Poor's 500 index - you might be surprised by what you see.
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Monday, December 19, 2011
Stock Market Ready to Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The current action suggests that a wave "C" from 1075 is underway and, after a short consolidation, is about to resume its uptrend.
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Sunday, December 18, 2011
Euro Collapse Crisis Sledgehammer Pounds Into Stock Market Santa Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Santa's Late! The stock market as measured by the DJIA closed the week down at 11,866, showing significant deviation from the santa rally script with barely a week remaining, the lack of progress to the upside has been as a consequences of the increasing mass of unserviceable debt out of the euro-zone where politicians repeatedly show themselves to be ignorant of the facts and what to do to get out of the hole that the euro-zone is sinking deeper into an economic depression each day.
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Sunday, December 18, 2011
December Dual Trading in Progress: Views From Inter Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
December is tracing our views till now. First a rally to 1260 on SP500 and then a muted correction to the confluence zone at 1210 and culminating a rally back to 1250/60 zone area to finish a rather eventful and volatile year which once again brought to the fore the broken structure of the world economy.
We present key major currency charts and macro economic analysis to validate our views.
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Sunday, December 18, 2011
Gold and Stocks Signal Start of a Bear Market for 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Last week saw a severe breakdown in the Precious Metals sector that is now viewed as marking the start of a bearmarket, and that means the onset of a deflationary episode that is likely to prove more serious than that we witnessed in 2008, because it will involve countries going bust rather than "just" banks and large corporations as was the case in 2008.
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Sunday, December 18, 2011
Stocks Bull Bear Market Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
A somewhat disappointing week as investor sentiment, in many areas, flipped from positive to negative. Losses from 2%+ to 4%+ were observed thoughout all of the world’s regions. Commodities confirmed downtrends losing 4.6% on the week. Crude oil and Gold lost 6%+. Ten year Bond rates confirmed another downtrend, (rising Bond prices). And, the USD resumed its uptrend gaining 2.1%. Risk off was definitely in vogue. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.7%, and the NDX/NAZ were -3.5%. On the economic front indicators continued to improve as positive reports outnumbered negatives at a 2:1 ratio for the third week in a row. On the downtick: retail sales and industrial production turned lower, while export/import prices remained negative. On the uptick: business inventories, the NY and Philly FED, the CPI/PPI, the budget deficit, weekly jobless claims, excess reserves, and the WLEI all displayed improvement. Next week we’ll receive the final estimate for Q3 GDP, projected around +2.0%, and several reports on Housing. Best to your week!
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Sunday, December 18, 2011
Stock Market Price is all that Matters, Everything else is Noise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
turned CNBC on one morning this past week just to see what the "squawk on the street" was. The primary concern as I listened was over the Fed meeting and whether or not we get a QE 3 in early 2012. A few months ago, as the August/October lows were being made the worry was all about Europe. Tomorrow it will be some other worry and next week it will be yet another. In reality, none of this matters and to sit and listen to the airheads on TV and try to figure out how this or that will impact the market is a fruitless exercise. Given that every piece of news known to man is discounted into price, then from a technical perspective, all we have to be concerned with is the price action itself. The key, of course, is understanding what price is telling you.
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Sunday, December 18, 2011
The Stock Market Bleed Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
In my last report a few days back, I spoke of the 1208ES area, it held for now, but the lack of upside is slightly troubling and with no real help from other risk markets, the markets appear to be still stuck in bleed mode, and stair stepping lower.
A couple of times we have bought into the lows on the end of the trading day and in globex looking for a surprise upside move, although we are getting 20 handle rallies, the bounces are still not seeing enough upside movement to suggest a low in place.
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