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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 09, 2017

Stock Market May 8-11… High or Low? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Ed_Carlson

In the 4/17/17 Market Update I wrote of a low-low-high interval pointing to a high on 5/11/17.

The lows of July 8, 1932 and December 9, 1974 were arguably the two most important lows of the 20th century. They lie 15,494 days apart. Adding an additional 15,494 days to the 1974 low points to a high on May 11, 2017.

In the 4/24/17 Market Update I wrote of a Hybrid Lindsay forecast pointing to a high in the period May 8-11.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 08, 2017

Stocks Are Back At Record High, But Will They Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 08, 2017

Stock Market B Wave Still Favored / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  Uptrend continues.

SPX Intermediate trend:  The correction from 2400 on 3/08 continues, possibly as the top of the B-wave.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 06, 2017

US Stock Market Resumes Uptrends / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2384. After a rally to SPX 2394 on Monday the market pulled back to 2380 on Wednesday, and retested it on Thursday. Then the market rallied to end the week SPX 2399, its highest level since March 1st. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.45%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.0%. Economic reports for the week were generally positive. On the downtick: the Q2 GDP estimate, the WLEI, the PCE, construction spending, ISM manufacturing and the ADP. On the uptick: personal income, auto sales, ISM services, factory orders, monthly payrolls, consumer credit; plus weekly jobless claims, the trade deficit and the unemployment rate all improved. Next week’s highlights: the CPI/PPI, retail sales and wholesale/business inventories.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 05, 2017

Shifting World Economies Present Massive Opportunities for Investors / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recent news from the World Economic Forum (weforum.org) has outlined recent core global economic functions and relationships (https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2017/03/worlds-biggest-economies-in-2017).  We found this interesting in both factual data and interpreted data and we wanted to present our analysis to you, our valued members.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 05, 2017

Stock Market Volatile Consolidation Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a very topsy-turvy volatile session. The day started out with a hard gap down, they bounced hard, came down again with another bounce up, came down one more time around the noon hour even harder, and then rallied for the rest of the day. They consolidated late in the day and firmed up to close mixed on the day.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 6.43 at 20,951.47. The S&P 500 was up 1.39 at 2389.52. The Nasdaq 100 was up 1.16 at 5626.32.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 04, 2017

Stock Market Largest Bubble Since 1983 - Why to Think Like a Surfer / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Harry_Dent

I took up surfing in my early 30s.

It didn’t last long. But I learned a tremendous amount from the experience (least of which is that I suck at surfing).

Well, it’s time to think like a surfer.

Your sole focus is to catch the wave.
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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 04, 2017

Gold, Stocks, Bonds, Currencies Best Investment Practices / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017

By: Axel_Merk

How does one construct a portfolio in an era of seemingly ever rising and highly correlated asset prices? Years of asset prices moving higher has changed both retail and institutional investors; it has changed the industry; and, in my humble opinion, those changes spell trouble. The prudent investor might want to take note to be prepared.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 04, 2017

Stock Market Positive Expectations, But Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 04, 2017

Stock Market Pull Back Shallow, More to Go / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The market is gradually becoming oversold with much resistance. The cycles suggest a low no later than around Friday this week. May 17th is the next three week cycle top and is also a Saturn turn. Waves tend to equal each other in time and price, especially an "a-b-c" type advance. We are in wave 'b' of that advance. This would suggest a low late in the week probably somewhere near to SPX 2361/62 and a final top (wave 'c') on May 17th near to 2431 (see chart below).

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 03, 2017

Stock Market 'Sell in May and Go Away' in 9 out of 11 Countries Makes Sense to Do So / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Dimitri_Speck

Most people are probably aware of the saying "sell in May and go away". This popular seasonal Wall Street truism implies that the market's performance is far worse in the six summer months than in the six winter months.

Numerous studies have been undertaken particularly with respect to US stock markets, which confirm the relative weakness of the stock market in the summer.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 03, 2017

Brace Yourself, This Ponzi Scheme Will Result in the Greatest Stock Market Crash in History / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Submissions

By Peter Ginelli : Every day the markets seem to be going up regardless of the news headlines about the current ominous state of world affairs or even poor economic data. Investors seem to be oblivious to the fundamentals that every market requires in order to find a direction.

We all remember the times when the markets would carefully consider the daily geopolitical risks, news headline and economic data before they would react to the upside or the downside. But nowadays, multiple terror attacks in Paris and other parts of the world, terrible economic data released prior to the market opening, or even ridiculous P/E ratios, does nothing in shaking confidence in the markets. It almost appears as if common sense is absent in investors' decision-making. The dangerous prevailing wisdom seems to be "buy, buy, buy”, no matter if the world is going to hell in a hand basket or the economy is getting flushed down the toilet.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 02, 2017

Stock Market VIX Gets Jammed to a New 10-year Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

VIX was jammed down to 9.90 toward the close today. This makes a new low not seen since December 15, 2006. That also means that Super Cycle Wave (b) may just be finishing in VIX.

I have to caution that the decline may not be complete, even though I have labeled it so. Today is just 4 days shy of a probable 540-week Super Cycle in the VIX, divisible by 4.3 and 3.1416. The normal Super Cycle in VIX is 516 weeks.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 02, 2017

Stock Market Due for Minor Pull Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Over 2 weeks ago, I was looking for a top on April 26th and another on May 1. Today's top appears to be a secondary top, which is pointing down in the coming days. My best guess is a move to 2356/57 SPX by Tuesday this week, and by Thursday or Friday, a move down to as low as the 2344/47 area covering or filling the recent gaps. Another move back up to new highs by around May 16th or 17th should be it for the intermediate term with a major 18 month low beckoning in early to mid August of this year.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 02, 2017

Stock Market Euro-phoria / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Ed_Carlson

A critical factor in risk-asset pricing is inflation expectations and inflation expectations are directly affected by the price of commodities. Looking at the futures markets, equity bulls should be concerned. The damage to commodities is already showing in the Chinese equities complex.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 02, 2017

Trump Tax Cut Can Create the Last Stock Market Rally Since 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

As part of President’s Trump campaign pledge, he wants to sharply reduce the tax rate for all businesses from multinational corporations to mom-and-pop shops to 15%. Treasury Secretary Steven T. Mnuchin said this is the biggest tax cut and the largest tax reform in the U.S history. Currently the U.S. corporate tax rate is 35% and it is the highest among developed economies. President Trump also plans to simplify and reduce individual tax rate with the highest individual tax rate dropping to 25%.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 01, 2017

Stock Market Getting to "B" / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  Uptrend continues.

SPX Intermediate trend:  The correction from 2400 continues,

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 29, 2017

Bifurcated US Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started to week at SPX 2349. After a gap up opening on Monday, and another gap up opening on Tuesday, the market hit SPX 2398 by Wednesday. After that it pulled back to end the week at SPX 2384. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.70%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 2.45%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the downtick: consumer confidence/sentiment, durable goods, pending home sales, Q1 GDP, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, new home sales and the Chicago PMI. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FED’s FOMC, the ISMs, and monthly payrolls. Best to your week!

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 28, 2017

Stock Market Sentiment, Re-Fueled Along the Way / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

It’s a big picture view with a story to tell. People are micro-managing the VIX, talking about how it either doesn’t work anymore, if it ever did, or is forecasting extreme doom imminently (through investor complacency). But what is “imminently”? Is it next month or is it the 2-3 years that this indicator often wallows along the bottom of its support zone before overseeing a coming Armageddon? Sure, it started wallowing in the zone back in 2013, but then the ‘fuel stops’ that were ultimately bullish (the 2010, 2011 and 2015 corrections) cleared the overhead inventory of investors out of the markets.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 28, 2017

What Happened to the Stock Market Crash Experts Were Predicting / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Sol_Palha

"Any jackass can kick a barn down, but it takes a carpenter to build it." ~ Sam Rayburn

One jackass (oops we mean expert) after another, has been predicting that this market is ready to crash. The problem is that these brain surgeons have been making this argument for so long it almost sounds like the definition of insanity. Insanity boils down to doing the same thing over and over again and hoping for a new outcome. These predictions are so off the mark that they make a broken clock look fantastic which happens to be right once or twice a day depending on whether you follow military time or not. This market is unlike any other market; it has moved from being the most hated bull market to the most insane bull market of all time. In such an environment technical analysis is technically trash and fundamentals are fundamentally flawed. In fact, for the most part, market technicians have no idea of what they are talking about; they figure that by studying someone else theory or drawing squiggly lines on some chart they can decipher the market.

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