Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, July 01, 2014
U.S. Dollar, Gold and Stocks Most Important Market Analysis Update Ever! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
A few notes first off...the US Dollar Index has broken below 80.0, but for this to mean anything, the US Dollar must close below 79.40 on a weekly basis. The critical levels of upper support and resistance are so tight right now, that the volatility we have seen has caused many players to go long when its wrong and go short when they should abort. The trend finally does "appear" as if the 79.40 level will break, but nothing is better than waiting for confirmation than speculation.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 01, 2014
The Stock Market is Overvalued, Caution is Warranted / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Back in 2001 Buffett said in an interview with Fortune Magazine that “the single best measure” of stock market valuation is by taking the total market cap (TMC) and dividing it by the total gross domestic product (GDP). Today TMC is equal to 114.5% of total GDP.At the market top in 2007, just prior to a -54% crash in stocks, TMC was equal to 104.9%. According to Buffett’s “favorite” market timing indicator stocks are more overvalued today than in 2007.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 01, 2014
Stock Market Grinder... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market wants to correct. You can feel it. It has a pulse. It has an energy. The problem thus far has been the constant burn the bears have felt every time they've tried to front run. You can see the market struggle for every point as the daily chart oscillators are starting to weaken as we grind higher. As the market moves up, the MACD is not. The RSI and stochastics aren't forceful, but the MACD is the real problem child in the world of momentum oscillators. They are screaming for a pullback of some kind, but it'll take something to kick start the event. Maybe it'll be tomorrow's ISM Manufacturing Report.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 30, 2014
Dirt Cheap Global Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: You probably haven't noticed, but boring government bonds are up double digits this year...
U.S. stocks continue to push to all-time highs as well... even Europe is soaring to multiyear highs.
Today, we've got uptrends around the globe. The big question is... after so many investments have run up so high, where is the value in the world today? Is there any left out there?
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 30, 2014
Why You Shouldn’t Sell This Dull Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Alexander Green writes: The Dow hasn't done much this year, meandering up and down and delivering a low single-digit return year-to-date.
Stocks look boring to investors. So many are selling them for alternative investments.
This is almost certainly making a mistake.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 30, 2014
Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Investors Await Quarter's End, Economic Data Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral, following last Tuesday's intraday reversal:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, June 30, 2014
Stock Market Bearish Indexes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - The DOW may be tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 30, 2014
US Stock Markets Can’t Get No Respect ..BUT… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
In this Weekend Report I’d like to show you some charts on the different US stock markets and some of the stronger sectors within the US markets. It seems like no one believes this rally taking place in the US stock markets and many stock markets abroad. The mantra is we have to have a correction because markets can’t keep going up like this , which is true , but the stock markets will let us know when it’s time for a correction. Right now most of the charts are looking positive with no sign of a top in place yet. This could all change next week but right now things are looking much more bullish than bearish.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 29, 2014
Stocks - What to Do When Interest Rates Will Rise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Most experts don't want to admit it... but there's actually plenty of room for stocks to go much higher from here – even through the end of 2016.
We certainly have some signs of a market top out there... But before you sell everything, I urge you to seriously consider today's essay.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 29, 2014
Central Bank Stocks Buying Binge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Central banks have shifted into stocks and are buying up everything that isn’t bolted to the floor.
That’s the gist of the story that breathlessly appeared in the Financial Times about a week ago and swept across the blogosphere like a Santa Anna brushfire. And there’s some truth to it too, if taken with a large grain of salt. Here’s a clip from the Omfif’s report the FT’s cites in the article:
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 28, 2014
Stock Market Bouncing Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
We don't need no stinkin' recovery.
Stocks just need the easy money Fed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 28, 2014
Stock Market Getting Frothy ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The general market made a new bull market high on Tuesday at SPX 1968, dropped to 1945 by Thursday, and then rallied to 1961 to end the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.35%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.90%, and the DJ World index was -0.25%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the uptick: existing/new home sales, personal income/spending, consumer confidence/sentiment and PCE prices. On the downtick: Q1 GDP, Case-Shiller, durable goods orders, the LEI and the monetary base. Next week we get reports on Nonfarm payrolls, ISM and the Chicago PMI.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 28, 2014
Stock Market Bullish Until Proven Otherwise..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
We were gapping down once again this Friday morning. It wasn't a massive gap down, but it had potential. A five handle on the S&P 500 isn't major, but it is something the bears can work with. Within minutes their dream was gone. Once again the bears refused to get in front of the selling out of the gate, thus, the bulls were able to keep things going albeit slowly as the day moved along. A nice rush very late in the day gave the market a push to the green. Once again, the bears have to be shaking their heads wondering what it'll take to sell a market that has everything going against it.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 27, 2014
Nothing Threatens This Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Michael A. Robinson Writes: With U.S. stocks at all-time highs, folks are wondering where prices can go from here. After all, U.S. growth is still anemic, the Federal Reserve is rolling back its market assistance and corporate profits aren’t all they could be.
Granted, there will be periodic corrections and unpleasant events that will “shock” the markets into temporary downturns.
But I believe the conditions now in place could foster a bull market that could last 18 to 20 years.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 27, 2014
GDP Collapse, Stocks Explosive Divergence Between Volume and Price, Peak Leverage? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
This week has not been sleepy when it comes to the news. It feels like a firecracker out there just waiting for a match in my opinion. There have been too many issues to cover them all but here are a few TedBits for you:
- Surrender
- GDP collapse
- Explosive divergence between volume and price
- MORAL HAZARD written large
- Leverage peak in stocks?
- SOME People aren't DUMB
- EU elites pull another FAST ONE
Thursday, June 26, 2014
Unprecedented Stocks Bear Market Formation Since 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Think the current conditions in the stock market are normal? Think again. Here are 3 characteristics you should expect to see in wave b.
Editor's Note: Below you will find a sneak peek from the just-published issue of Robert Prechter's Theorist. It provides you an opportunity to see some of the research, analysis and forecasts that Elliott Wave International's subscribers are enjoying inside their latest issue.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 26, 2014
Smart Money, Dumb Money & Your Money - Bond Market End Game / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Crime is far more common than logic. This is the refuge of bankers.
In capitalism’s end game, leveraged debt fatally destabilizes the supply and demand dynamic necessary for stable economic activity. Understanding this is critical to understanding why capitalism today is failing.
In the banker’s ponzi-scheme of credit and debt, debt-based money is created through central bank credit. Usually, the central banks’ constant expansion of the money supply results in rising prices, i.e. inflation. In the end game, however, this is no longer true.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 26, 2014
Bad GDP Data? Stock Market Doesn’t Care / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Today’s 3rd Estimate of Q1 GDP shocked to the downside, but the GDP is backward looking, and the market couldn’t care less. The S&P 500 hit its -0.13% intraday low two minutes into the session and then began its fairly steady recovery to its 0.56% intraday high about 15 minutes before the close. A bit of selling in the final minutes trimmed the gain to 0.49%. The index is now a mere 0.17% off its record close on Friday.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 26, 2014
Stock Market Right Back Up... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
A reversal to the reversal. Why not. When all seemed ripe for big selling we didn't see any today, although we tried early on for sure. A small gap down that had a chance to at least run somewhat lower. No large gap down suggested today wouldn't be terrible, which I spoke about early on in the morning update, but there was hope that we could move lower throughout the day. It just didn't happen. Why? Hard to say other than the usual. Folks are still looking to buy when there's some decent weakness, and in this market, weakness is about 1% lower.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 25, 2014
Stock Market Down Day with Increased Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short. Yesterday I pointed out that the last two S&P 500 sessions had the second and third smallest intraday ranges in two decades. Well today that changed. The intraday range (0.28% to -0.73%) increased to 1.02%, which is the 72nd percentile of the year so far. The index closed off its late-day low for a decline of 0.64%.
With tomorrow’s Durable Goods Orders and the 3rd Estimate of Q1 GDP (which is expected to be revised downward), we may see some additional volatility.
Read full article... Read full article...