Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, January 18, 2014
Stocks and Bonds Tops, Gold and Silver Bottom Climacterics Now / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“We view prospective near-term and multi-year returns as strongly unfavorable, and prospective market risk as unusually elevated.”John Hussman, January 2014
Choppy, decidedly Unbullish Equities Market Action thus far in 2014 is one Major Clue the Climacterics we earlier forecast have arrived in Key Markets. They may take a few days to a few weeks to fully develop, but they have arrived.
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Friday, January 17, 2014
Pandoras Box 2014 - The Largest Financial Collapse in History / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Ty_Andros
Looking for an accident/black swan
As we begin 2014, it is important to recognize the levels of INSANITY currently existent in the world enabling us to understand the apocryphal nature of the times we live in and prepare ourselves to meet the challenges it represents. The world is leveraged to an extent that has never before seen in history! Debt now masquerades as NOMINAL growth and REAL growth has ceased. Headline economic reports are now nothing more than POLITICALLY CORRECT HOAXES to FOOL the public at large and mask the betrayal of the public by the leaders who hold the reins of power. ECONOMIC Stagnation emerged after the 2008 Global financial crisis and in real terms has NEVER ENDED!
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Friday, January 17, 2014
Timing Major Stock Market Peaks, Bear Market Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Hampson
Starting on the smallest timescale, and working up to the largest.
1. Timing within the month
Lunar phasing influences human sentiment. It produces fortnightly oscillation in the stock market: positivity/optimism around the new moon and negativity/pessimism around the full moon. The cumulative influence of this can be seen in stock market returns over the last 20 years:
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Friday, January 17, 2014
Happy 100th U.S. Fed Birthday / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: EWI
On December 23, the U.S. Federal Reserve celebrated its 100th birthday. When legislation creating its existence was signed on December 23, 1913 (in a sneaky move during a holiday week), Congress granted the Fed a monopoly on creating dollars backed by debt.
The ongoing QE program is an unprecedented use of that power. This chart of the Fed's stated capital of $55 billion compared to its total assets of $4 trillion shows the extent to which the Fed is the focal point of dollar creation and therefore credit creation.
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Friday, January 17, 2014
Can the Fed Beat the Stock Market Expanding Wedge Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Marty_Chenard
If it wasn't for the Fed, this DJI chart would already in big trouble. While the yearly DJI chart does show its first 2014 tick as being inside the expanding wedge pattern, a lot of money is being pumped in to try and get the DJI back up higher.
The question will be: Will this turn out to be money well spent? I ask the question because expanding wedge patterns typically identify exhaustion levels where a pull back occurs like at labels 1 and 2.
Thursday, January 16, 2014
Bitcoins Goes Mainstream - How Washington is Ruining the Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Columnists and newsletter writers are tripping over themselves to describe what they collectively believe will be a bullish year for stocks and the economy in 2014. They point to the Fed’s artificially low interest rates and continued commitment toward a lower unemployment rate as key reasons why the party will continue in the coming year. They also believe that government intervention both at home and abroad will produce a sixth year of recovery.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 16, 2014
Stock Market Liquidity Boom - Enjoy it While it Lasts / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Fred_Sheehan
"Enjoy it while it lasts"
-Sir Alan Greenspan, June 13, 2007,after suggesting "the global liquidity boom, which he dates back to the end of the Cold War, is nearing its end."
"The fragile five" appears with rising frequency in the financial columns. This warning to stand aside, much as the "Asian contagion," in 1997, is bound to boomerang on Wall Street since Wall Street will keep selling as long as demand exists. At that time, U.S. investment banks were distributing sub-prime, Thai auto-loan securitizations to Greenwich. The hedge funds leveraged such securities into a Fed-led, Wall Street bailout in October 1998. The question of whether the Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) rescue party should be considered a bailout was answered conclusively in Alan Greenspan's Age of Turbulence scrapbook: "[A]n orderly liquidation of [LTCM] was by no stretch of the imagination a bailout." Greenspan's assertions of blamelessness when he is guilty-as-charged are the foundation for his fortune.
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Thursday, January 16, 2014
How American Investors Can Profit from the Canadian Economy’s Demise / Stock-Markets / Canada
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Our neighbor to the north is facing some headwinds. In Canada, there are troubles developing that may drive the country toward an economic slowdown. In 2008, the ripple effects from the U.S. economy into the global economy caused an economic slowdown in many countries. The Canadian economy was one of the few nations that didn’t suffer a major hit; it was able to stand strong.
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Thursday, January 16, 2014
The Stocks Bull is Back! S&P 500 New All-Time Closing High by 0.001% / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 rose today on a relatively unremarkable Producer Price Index and a surprisingly strong Empire State Manufacturing report. The index opened at its intraday low with a 0.09% gain. It then rallied to its all-time intraday high, up 0.65%, shortly after 11 AM. It then traded in a narrow range for the rest of the day, closing with a trimmed gain of 0.52%. That was enough to set a new all-time closing high by the 0.02 points — up 0.001% from its previous closing high on December 31st.
Thursday, January 16, 2014
What Stock Sectors Outperform When the U.S. Dollar is Rising? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Donald_W_Dony
Starting in 2013, markets appear to be moving into a new stage. The U.S. dollar bottomed in 2008 and the S&P 500 emerged from over a decade of consolidation and deep declines. Though the future action of the U.S. index is too early to forecast, there are strong similarities to happened in 1980.
Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Best Elliott Wave 2013 Trade Setups to Repeat in 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: EWI
We have hand-picked for you seven of the best trade set-ups of 2013 that are bound to be repeated in 2014. Here is one of seven
The best thing about Elliott wave patterns? Easy: They repeat.
They repeat on all timeframes, across dozens of markets, all over the world. Once you know what to look for, you see the familiar 5s and 3s repeat in every chart.
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Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Stock Market Close to a Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: David_Banister
The SP 500 has been in Major wave Elliott Wave 3 up of Primary wave 3 from 1267 by our best projected counts. Our technical analysis of stock trends predicted back in early September a large rally up in the SP 500 to 1822-1829, which we managed to see hit just 3 months later from the mid 1600’s.Recently, the market had a bit of an extension higher than our original 1822-29 pivot projections, but we see possible trouble ahead. Our Elliott Wave Theory interpretation is based on Fibonacci sequencing, Investment Advisor sentiment surveys, traditional technical analysis patterns and more.
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Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Stock Market Emotions Vs Reasonable Bearish Argument / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I am certain that you have already read some blog (or two) calling for the market to go higher. So be it. Here is the bearish argument.
Not very many analysts look for a Triangle Wave (b). There was some recognition last week as a possible Sub-Minute Wave (iv), but it was discarded on Monday with the oversized decline. Today it seems to be forgotten. On the other hand, it makes perfect sense, considering its position within an Orthodox Broadening Top.
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Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Four Totally Bad Stocks Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Note from dshort: At the request of Greg Patterson at The Advisory Group in San Francisco, here’s updated comparison of four major cyclical bear markets. The numbers are through today’s close.
This chart series features an overlay of the Four Bad Bears in U.S. history since the market peak in 1929. They are:
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Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Marc Faber Warns of Massive Financial Assets Bubble / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Bloomberg
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, appeared on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart" today to discuss the impact of Fed policy on the global economy and his predictions for 2014.
Faber told Trish Regan and Adam Johnson that "we are in a gigantic financial asset bubble." He also spoke about Bitcoin, saying, "I prefer physical gold and silver, platinum to bitcoin. Bitcoin can have a lot of competition. Gold, silver, platinum -- they have no competition. How do you value a bitcoin?... How do you value Netflix? Is it overpriced or underpriced? Is Tesla overpriced, underpriced?"
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Stock Market SELL! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
That's Japanese for the incredible feeling of heart pounding excitement-- as you push that pedal to the metal on a really hot new Toyota.
For a bearish sort it might be the feel of the air rushing over your body as you fall off a cliff, perhaps.
So the bears got a brief thrill today as stocks 'finally' peeled off a second layer of the year end paintjob from just a few weeks ago, and slipped a bit off their Fed blown asset bubble.
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
A Free Market Approach to Insider Trading / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
By: MISES
So-called insider trading may take place in publicly traded firms. It occurs when an individual privy to private information (the insider) attempts to profit on the buying and selling of stocks using non-public information to anticipate the stock’s future price.
For example: Mr. Povedilla, senior director of Joint Public Works Ltd., knows that JPW is going to sign an important contract that may increase the value of the firm and thus raise the stock price. By using this knowledge before it is public, he may buy stock of JPW and profit from the possible price hiking once the announcement is made.
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Stocks Bull Market End / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Ed_Carlson
Over the last several months two cycles have caught my eye. The first, and better known, is the seven year cycle (Figure 1). Since 1939 it has expanded or contracted beyond what could be called seven years only twice. As the last major high was in 2007, the next seven year cycle high is due this year, 2014.
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Wall Street Welcomes Back Goldilocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Michael_Pento
Goldilocks is the term used by Wall Street to describe a nearly perfect environment for stock values to rise. The term is being used again today, just as it was mistakenly uttered in the middle of the housing bubble, to express the belief held by most investors that we have once again reached equity-market nirvana--a point in time where virtually every economic condition is just right.
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Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Investors Selling the Start of the Q4 Corporate Earnings Season / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: With Q4 earnings season ready to shift into high gear, the US indexes shifted into retreat. The S&P 500 opened fractionally lower, rose to its 0.06% intraday high an hour later. It then began a selloff that gradually accelerated to a -1.46% intraday low late in the day. Some buying the dip (or short covering) trimmed the closing loss to 1.26%, the worst daily close since the -1.32% decline on November 7th.