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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, May 04, 2007

HUI/Gold Ratio Trends / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Zeal_LLC

Adam Hamilton writes : As we continue our fascinating journeys of discovery as students of the markets, we do a lot of charting work at Zeal. Recently a chart that I hadn't given much thought to for the better part of 8 months caught my attention again. It was a HUI/Gold Ratio chart, also known as HGR in this essay.

The HUI/Gold Ratio is as simple as it sounds, it is calculated by merely dividing the daily close of the HUI unhedged gold-stock index by the daily close in the price of gold. When this resulting ratio is graphed over time, it vividly illustrates the ever-shifting relative strength of the gold stocks versus gold. As their bulls mature, one is stronger and then the other, back and forth. They are engaging in a great secular tug-o-war.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 02, 2007

The Long-term Recovery Process Well Underway in South African Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Clif_Droke

You wouldn't know it by looking at the latest headlines and earnings announcements, but our old friend of DDRDGOLD (formerly Durban Roodepoort Deep) has been looking good from a relative strength standpoint. Not only that, but DROOY made it past its latest 13-week quarterly cycle bottom without taking so much as a minor hit. Will miracles never cease!

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 02, 2007

Invest in Gold and Silver like a Pirate / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Money_and_Markets

Sean Brodrick writes: My wife and kids are so excited about the new Pirates of the Caribbean movie coming out at the end of this month. My kids like pirates, while I think my wife just likes Johnny Depp!

Of course, I'm most interested in the economics of the real pirates of the Caribbean. I'm talking about more than "pirate gold" — namely, the four S's — silver, smuggling, sugar and slaves.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 01, 2007

Gold Market Outlook – how far is down? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Peter_Degraaf

While it is next to impossible to pick the exact tops and bottoms, there are some signs we can look for to help us position ourselves to buy into weakness, and do some selling into strength.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 01, 2007

Gold Price Manipulation – Gold Forecaster Speaks - Part 1 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

This article is in two parts. The first looks at the decades' long manipulation of the gold price and the second looks at why this will end with gold returning to its monetary role at much higher prices.

When coming off the Gold Standard it was found that Britain could not cover its gold obligations, despite its own major source of new gold in South Africa. The paper it issued was far in excess of its gold's ability to cover its promises. This was made so clear, simply by the amount of gold it held. Britain's behavior in those days set the trend for subsequent monetary duplicity until now.

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Commodities

Sunday, April 29, 2007

Survey Results: More Interest, Volatility in Uranium and Price / Commodities / Uranium

By: James_Finch

More than 66 percent believed the uranium price would go higher, but less than 7 percent said they would trade uranium futures contracts over the next twelve months. More than 40 percent of our readers voted that those most likely to benefit from uranium futures trading would be current and near-term uranium mining companies.

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Commodities

Sunday, April 29, 2007

Ethanol, Fertilizer & Higher Natural Gas Prices / Commodities / Ethanol

By: James_Finch

What does growing corn and other crops have anything to do with natural gas? It takes about 33,000 cubic feet of natural gas to produce one ton of nitrogen fertilizer. About 96 percent of the corn planted in the United States depends on fertilizers, such as Anhydrous Ammonia (NH3), 28pct-Liquid Nitrogen, Urea and Ammonium Sulfate.

Fertilizers consume more than three percent of total U.S. natural gas use. “Farming looks mighty easy when your plow is a pencil and you're a thousand miles from the cornfield.” – former U.S. President Dwight Eisenhower.

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Commodities

Sunday, April 29, 2007

Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - 29h April 2007 - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Time to start wondering if this is the start of a new bear or just a normal correction after a several week advance. There are analysts on both sides.

GOLD : LONG TERM
That Merv's Composite Index of Precious Metals Indices shown last week must be on to something. The initial reaction from a previous high last week, making a potential double top, accelerated this week. It's still in a “no panic yet” zone but another week or two of this kind of action and who knows?

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Commodities

Saturday, April 28, 2007

Gold and Silver Analysis - Precious Points: Why Not Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Dominick

"Despite a minor struggle last week, the trend continues to be up until it's not. Weaker consumer confidence and existing home data could be the start of that reversal." ~ Precious Points: Sailing the Seas of Liquidity , April 21, 2007

The dollar is sharply lower for April, and stocks are up largely on that fact, but precious metals, which would traditionally be the beneficiaries of a sinking dollar, are looking to come out roughly flat. Once again, recovery in the metals from softness earlier in the week was foiled by a Friday rally in the dollar. But the real damage started on Tuesday's economic data.

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Commodities

Friday, April 27, 2007

Churning Stock Market and Gold, Silver Bullion Positions / Commodities / Financial Markets

By: Roland_Watson

The quick drop in silver this week seemed to have caught a few off guard to the extent that talk of manipulation pervaded the air. However, The Silver Analyst had already suggested a sell off in silver last weekend to subscribers and was not taken by surprise by current events.

However, in the light of that weekend comment about a silver price correction, I was asked a question about whether to sell silver stocks. That is a natural enough question which I answered but which I want to expand on here. If like me you believe we are still in a primary bull market for silver, then you may want to consider one or two matters before churning a stock or bullion position.

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Commodities

Friday, April 27, 2007

A Tale of Two Crudes, WTI Divergence from Brent Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Elliot_H_Gue

I've received considerable e-mail from The Energy Letter subscribers asking about a rather unusual phenomenon in the crude oil markets today: a massive, unusual divergence between the prices of two of the world's most-popular crude oil benchmarks, Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI).

As it turns out, this was a major topic covered in the most-recent issue of my subscription-based newsletter, The Energy Strategist ( www.energystrategist.com ). The explanation of this divergence also reveals signs of underlying strength in global oil demand. I've reproduced that analysis below:

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Commodities

Friday, April 27, 2007

Gold, the Markets and India: A return to Tradition? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Bob_Kirtley

Indian Bridal JewelsAs the United States stock market goes through the 13000 level and India 's Bombay Stock Exchange heads towards 14500 and possibly new highs we ponder the ramifications for demand for gold in India .

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Commodities

Friday, April 27, 2007

Base Metals Stockpiles and Prices 2 / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Zeal_LLC

Just a few years ago, the majority of stock traders were oblivious to the excitement that base metals had to offer commodities stocks. Futures traders hustled and bustled to make a buck in their familiar base metals marketplace, yet not even they were aware of the eruption of capital that would eventually take these markets by storm.

Today the London Metal Exchange (LME), the world's largest non-ferrous metals exchange, manages over $10 billion of traded contracts each day with well over $2 trillion worth turned over annually. These are numbers that the LME says have increased by tenfold in the last 15 or so years. And it expects another double in the next three to five years.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 26, 2007

Plantinum The Forgotten Metal! / Commodities / Platinum

By: Money_and_Markets

Larry Edelson writes :Gold is within a mere 7% of a new 26-year high, exploding higher by $38 in just the last seven weeks.

The culprit is the growing recognition that the U.S. dollar is weak at the knees and heading down the tubes. That in turn is causing inflation to rev higher … and other natural resources to climb virtually non-stop.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 25, 2007

Gold Shares – The Leverage Factor / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Dudley_Baker

Investors the world over are constantly evaluating the leverage, risk and potential rewards of their investment decisions. Whether you are an individual investor or an analyst for a large mutual fund, leverage, risk and the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow are always factors to be considered.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 25, 2007

Gold Thoughts - Is Gold Vulnerable to the Carry Trade Unwinding? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

How much has Gold benefited from the carry trade loans? How much of the run from US$640 to US$690 has been fueled by the same borrowed money that has pushed paper equities higher? Is Gold vulnerable when the carry trade loans are forced to unwind?

How much price vulnerability might occur? These are the questions being mulled by serious investors in Gold. Unfortunately, these same questions as they apply to paper equities are being largely ignored. Too many speculators in paper equities believe the rise in the prices of their stocks is because they are talented, rather than being due to cheap money from foreign sources.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 24, 2007

Gold, Palladium, and Sugar Commodity Markets Outlook / Commodities / Technical Analysis

By: Emanuel_Balarie

Several weeks ago I wrote about how the US dollar was on the verge of a breakdown and that gold was on a verge of a break out. Sure enough, the dollar has hit multi-year lows against a wide array of currencies and gold, while overbought in the short-term, seems to be well on its way to multi-year highs.

One of the interesting aspects of this recent move up in the gold market is that gold prices have had a relatively orderly move up to new highs. After the knee-jerk sell-off in gold (where gold mindlessly tracked the equities market) gold has moved higher by trading in ranges…and breaking those ranges…and moving swiftly higher due to buy stops being triggered. Another way of looking at this is that gold prices have moved higher in a “stairway” type approach. Take a look, for example, at the gold chart.

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Commodities

Monday, April 23, 2007

Commodities Market Wrap - Gold, Silver, Crude Oil and Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Douglas_V_Gnazzo

Oil
June crude lost $2.22 to $64.11. May gasoline was down 1.9% and Natural Gas fell 5.4%. As the chart below shows, crude is at a critical stage - it either rallies up from here to hold support, or it breaks through support and starts a new leg down.

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Commodities

Monday, April 23, 2007

Gold Forecast & Analysis - Ounces Aren't Just Ounces / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Neil_Charnock

Gold broke out last week and now looks set to run up at US$730 but a few resistance levels above here first. Back at the start of the year I made an educated guess at a May $730 top for the first half of 2007, time will tell. This is not a technical article, if is a fundamental one for my PDF clients and resource investors. Tread warily here is my current take – the ASX is toppy and needs a pull back but there are still some opportunities in the resource arena short term. Full technical and fundamental coverage of this is in the latest GoldOz Newsletter.

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Commodities

Monday, April 23, 2007

COT Warning of possible near-term top in Gold and Breakdown in Resource Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

Resource Stock investors have become increasingly excited as gold, silver and oil have advanced over the past 7 weeks or so, with the usual cheerleaders advancing plausible reasons why gold and silver will soon break out to new highs. However, as we will shortly see, big money is positioning itself to fleece the little guy yet again, with the same old music playing over, as it has done countless times in the past.

On shorter-term charts all seems to be OK - gold and silver were wildly overbought after their strong run in late 2005 and early last year, and were entitled to take a lengthy breather to let the extremely overbought condition unwind, and as they now approach the highs of last year they are nowhere near as overbought, and thus on the face of it, they appear to be ready to break to new highs at last.

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