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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Retail Silver Market Has Seized Up - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: David_Morgan

Silver expert David Morgan says prices of the white metal may be low, but demand is huge. Morgan explains, “I did a survey of many of the top wholesalers and retailers in the country and came to the conclusion that the retail side of the market has basically seized up. One of the biggest mints in the U.S. is backlogged about 4 million ounces. You have two other main government mints that are basically on halt and not producing, or trying to catch up. You have huge premiums in the silver bar market and extremely high premiums in the silver bag market, or what is referred to in the industry as junk silver. Dealers are paying $5 above spot to source silver bags. What that equates to for the cost of silver is about $19.25 an ounce, and we are in the mid-$14 range for an ounce of silver. So, obviously, there is a huge demand that cannot be met with the current supply in the retail market.”

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Commodities

Thursday, September 10, 2015

How Politics Make for Strange “Oil Fellows” / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: I have decided to write a long prelude today to a discussion that will conclude in the next edition of Oil & Energy Investor. There is something quite significant afoot. But in the process of describing what is happening now, I need to travel back, first personally some several decades, and then over a century earlier in literature.

When you read this I happen to be in Europe on one of those new high-speed trains. The conveyance may be a recent change, but the terrain whisking by my window is only too well remembered from an earlier life. This had at one time been a quite personal stage for some very high-risk objectives.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

Crude Oil, Silver, Gold and Real Money / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

I’m not convinced!

  • Supposedly crude oil prices will stay low for a long time and perhaps drop into the $20’s. The Internet is filled with reasons explaining why crude oil prices will drop.  A few are:
  • Saudi Arabia is a swing producer and will provide what the world needs, regardless of price, because Saudi Arabia needs the revenue and employment for its people.
  • Iranian oil will soon hit the market and provide even more supply.
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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

China Buys 16 Tons Gold In August – Dumps $94 Billion / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

Given the strong demand fundamentals, particularly out of China, gold should go higher but as ever there is a risk of selling in the futures market leading to weakness in the short term as traders follow momentum and ignore fundamentals.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

Silver and Deflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Hubert_Moolman

How does silver perform during deflation? Which is better during a deflation – silver or gold?  The answers will depend on quite a few things as well as what definition of deflation one uses.

If you look at monetary history, then you will find that we have moved from periods where mostly real or tangible assets like gold and silver acted as monetary claims on goods and services in the economy, to today where mostly credit or debt claims (fiat currencies like the US dollar) act as monetary claims on goods and services. Therefore, we have moved from a real asset-based monetary system to a debt-based monetary system.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

The Default Next Move For Crude Oil Price Is Downwards, And Here's Why / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

As traders, investors and pundits, we all like to think that what we do is akin to a science. We believe that by working harder and being smarter we can give ourselves an edge, that enough research will reveal to us the next move, either a long term trend or an intraday blip on a chart, and that we can profit from that knowledge. Usually, especially over longer time spans, we are correct in that assumption. Sometimes, however, no amount of fundamental or technical analysis will help.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

Can Big Cap Gold and Silver Stocks Go Any Lower ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this I’m going to take an indepth look at some the individual precious metals stocks so we can see where they’re at from a short to long term perspective. We’ll start by looking at some of the more important big cap PM stocks as the precious metals stock indexes can’t have a significant rally until this group is ready to run. Anything can happen in the very short term but the further you go out in time the less likely the big trend is going to change on a dime.

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Commodities

Monday, September 07, 2015

$GOLD (Gold - Spot Price) and Gold Sentiment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

Just like always traders are ultra bearish when they should be getting bullish, Gold is 30 days into its daily cucle and due to bottom any day. Possible on a final dip after the employment report.

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Commodities

Saturday, September 05, 2015

Oil Stocks - Interim or Major Reversal? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

In the second half of August, Chinese equities have been under heavy selling pressure as a fear over China's slowing economy and worries that Beijing may allow the Yuan to continue to depreciate have weighed on investors' sentiment. Moreover, disappointing economic data fuelled that fears, which resulted in a sharp decline on China's stock market. In less than two weeks, the Shanghai Composite declined from (almost) 4,000 below the next psychologically important barrier of 3,000, hitting fresh 2015 lows.

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Commodities

Friday, September 04, 2015

Gold and Silver Final Flush Beginning / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

While turmoil in global capital markets may ultimately benefit the precious metals sector, it certainly is not an immediate catalyst. As global markets have weakened in recent days so too have precious metals and precious metals companies. The gold miners are nearing recent lows ahead of conventional markets while the recoveries in Gold and Silver appear to be reversing. This could be the start of a final flush that marks the end of the bear market.

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Commodities

Friday, September 04, 2015

Will The Government Confiscate Your Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

DAILY PRICES
Today’s Gold Prices: USD1125.00, EUR 1009.87  and GBP 737.95  per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold Prices: USD1130.05, EUR 1005.88 and GBP 739.63 per ounce.
(LBMA AM)

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Commodities

Friday, September 04, 2015

Gold-Silver Ratio in Gear / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

Now that the US stock market has gotten in sync with the rest of the world in its ups and downs, it also joins the rest of the world in generally (and loosely; it’s not a minute-by-minute relationship) being inverse to the Gold-Silver ratio (GSR, AKA the “metallic credit spread” –Hoye).

Here is the daily view of the GSR, showing a gap up and spike that came with the stock market’s big disturbance and a consolidation down that has come with its relief bounce.  This is a bullish chart and so, it is a short-term bearish chart for US and global stocks.  GSR broke out and is bullish while above the MA 50’s, MACD and RSI are positive and AROON is trend up.

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Commodities

Friday, September 04, 2015

What IF Gold is Just in a Great Big Bull Consolidation Pattern ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

The gold charts which are showing gold is at a critical level right here. Below is the daily chart for gold that shows its comb triangle / H&S consolidation pattern. I have shown you on the precious metals indexes the same combo consolidation pattern. The only real difference is the PM stock indexes reached their respective price objectives while gold has yet to reach its. So there is a big divergence between the Pm stocks and the metal. This counter trend rally that started at the August low finally ran into some serious resistance as shown by the red circle.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 03, 2015

Marc Faber Warns “No Safe Assets Anymore” So “Focus On Precious Metals” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

DAILY PRICES

Today’s Gold Prices: USD1130.05, EUR 1005.88 and GBP 739.63 per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold Prices: USD 1140.00, EUR 1010.73 and GBP 746.46 per ounce.
(LBMA AM)

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Commodities

Thursday, September 03, 2015

Crude Oil Price Sinking or Rebounding? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No speculative positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Tuesday, crude oil reversed and declined sharply as weak Chinese data weighed on investors' sentiment. As a result, the commodity approached support levels, but will they encourage oil bulls to act in the coming days?

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Commodities

Thursday, September 03, 2015

How OPEC’s Attempt to Save Face Affects the Crude Oil Market / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ...

Dr. Kent Moors writes: Just as I was finishing up Monday’s Oil & Energy Investor, information emerged that something was happening with OPEC. I made mention of it in a note appended at the end of that installment, finishing with the observation that it “Looks like somebody just blinked.”

Well, that somebody is OPEC, and there is much more behind this development, leading to today’s discussion.

In its monthly report released on Monday, OPEC indicated it is now willing to discuss production levels with other non-OPEC countries. This is the first indication that the low crude oil price environment has been creating serious problems inside the cartel.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 03, 2015

Crude Oil Price Forecast 2015 and 2016 - Video / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The crude oil price has relentlessly trended lower all year to an unimaginably low price low of $37 of just a few days ago, falling from $100 a year ago. The severe bear market has not only caught many market commentators off guard but has had a devastating impact on several major economies that are heavily reliant on high oil prices such as Russia, the gulf states, and other emerging markets reliant on their energy sector tax revenues to finance state spending and of course Britain's very own Scotland that a year ago was toying with idea of committing social and economic suicide (independence referendum).

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 02, 2015

Gold Coin Sales Surge 306% YoY In August, Silver Sales More Than Double / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

strong>DAILY PRICES
Today’s Gold Prices: USD 1140.00, EUR 1010.73 and GBP 746.46 per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold Prices: USD 1141.90, EUR 1012.23 and GBP 744.10 per ounce.
(LBMA AM)
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Commodities

Tuesday, September 01, 2015

OPEC Divorce And Self-Destruction Thanks To Saudi Crude Oil Strategy? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

"If you are the world's leading energy economy, you produce energy, that's what you do."

"A government can stay irrational longer than it can stay solvent."

"Even in the short term, you're dead, if you commit suicide."

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 01, 2015

Silver Price Set To Start 70s Style Rally? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Hubert_Moolman

In terms of gold, silver is currently better value than at the beginning of the bull market in 2001. In November of 2001, when silver bottomed, the Gold/Silver ratio was about 66 compared to 78 today. In other words, gold has actually outperformed silver since the beginning of this precious metals bull market.

It is actually the historical norm for gold to outperform silver for most part of a bull market, except for the very last part. For example, this happened in the 70s, when gold was up on silver from the beginning of the bull market (let's say about 1971) until almost the very end (about October 1979). So, during an almost ten-year bull market, silver only overtook gold about three months before the end.

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