Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, February 12, 2018
Platinum Looks Poised for Surprising Gains This Year / Commodities / Platinum
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Greg Weldon, CEO and president of Weldon Financial. Greg has over three decades of market research and trading experience, specializing in the metals and commodity markets, and even authored a book in 2006 titled Gold Trading Boot Camp, where he accurately predicted the implosion of the U.S. credit market, and urged people to buy gold when it was only $550 an ounce. He is a highly sought after presenter at financial conferences throughout the country, and is a regular guest on financial shows around the world, and it's great to have him back here on the Money Metals Podcast.
Greg, it's nice to talk to you again, and thanks for coming on.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 12, 2018
Gold Mining Stocks Have Been The Most Frustrating Trade For The Last Year / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
For those that follow me regularly, you will know that I have been tracking a set up for the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX), which I analyze as a proxy for the metals mining market. I believe that the GDX can outperform the general equity market once we confirm a long term break out has begun, and I still think we can see it in occur in 2018. But, after last week’s break down below the December 2017 low, the set up will have to be resurrected first in the coming months.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 12, 2018
What Does the Stock Market Decline Mean for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
It was a rough week for investors in stocks and stocks of all kinds. The S&P 500 lost 5%. Emerging Markets also lost 5%. Gold Stocks, which had weakened before the broader equity market have been hit hard. They (GDX, GDXJ) also lost 5% last week. The HUI Gold Bugs Index (which excludes royalty companies unlike GDX) lost 7%. After a strong start to the year, gold stocks have essentially given back all their gains. Nevertheless, we remain extremely optimistic on gold stocks over the next 12-18 months as trends in the economy and stock market should begin to support Gold after the second quarter.
Friday, February 09, 2018
Mars and Mercury Decide the Fate of the U.S. Dollar and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The U.S. dollar has been bleeding recently, despite all the Fed’s tightening efforts and the passage of Trump’s tax cuts. An accelerating economy, rising interest rates and pro-growth reforms should logically drive the value of the American currency. But they didn’t.
Given the strong negative correlation between the greenback and gold, finding the cause behind the dollar’s wounds is highly critical. The most common explanation among analysts is Trump the Destroyer. It shouldn’t be surprising, as the U.S. President is known for his passion for trade protectionism. He also explicitly favors the weak currency to help the exporters. So maybe Trump just got what he wanted?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 09, 2018
Crude Oil $100 Price in 2019? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: EconMatters
The stock market is a dangerous place to be right now. Watching VIX spiked from 17 to 50+ then crashing back to 30 within two days can certainly cause a cardiac arrest or two. What’s even worse is that investors took this little dip as a buying opportunity throwing more good money at this deformed market. On Tuesday U.S. stocks rebounded to post the biggest rally in 15 months. We have discussed many times that stocks have a long way to go before any normalcy may be restored. On that note, let’s move to the oil/gasoline market instead.
Thursday, February 08, 2018
Peak Gold: 2017 Supply Flat As China Output Falls By 9% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: GoldCore
– China gold production falls by 9% to 420.5t in 2017
– Chinese gold demand rose 4% to 953.3t in same period
– China is largest producer and accounts for 15% of global gold production
– China does not export gold. Increasing foreign gold acquisitions to meet demand
– Global gold production flat – 3,269t in ’17 from 3,263t in ’16, smallest increase since ’08
– Peak Gold is here: supply set to fall gradually while global demand remains robust
Thursday, February 08, 2018
U.S. Dollar Appears to be Bottoming. Is this the End of the Commodities Rally? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Donald_W_Dony
The U.S. dollar appears to be finding a floor at $0.885 after six weeks of sharp declines. What does that mean to commodity prices?
The "Big dollar" slid almost six percent since mid-December aiding many commodity prices to stage a strong rally.
Gold bounced up 8.4 percent, silver soared 10 percent and WTI roar upward by 15 percent.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 07, 2018
Oil Prices Ravaged By Financial Turmoil / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Oil prices fell back suddenly over the last few trading sessions, dragged down by some forces beyond the oil market.
The steady decline of the U.S. dollar has helped drive up crude prices for weeks, but that came to an abrupt halt last week. A rebound for the greenback led to a steep decline in oil prices on Friday.
At the same time, sudden turmoil in the broader financial system also bled over into the oil market. Volatility in the stock market flared up on Friday, sparking the sharpest single-day upheaval in years.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 07, 2018
Gold Nearing Cycle Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jim_Curry
In terms of time, a short-term secondary low is due for Gold here in the current timeframe, originally projected for the February 7th date, but with the normal plus or minus variance of a day or two in either direction. The current decline comes as a result of the 10, 20 and 34-day cycles, each of which have been pointing south off the 1370 swing top - and with the combination of the same at or into normal bottoming territory.
The chart below shows the smallest of the above waves - the nominal 10-day cycle - which is currently 13 days along from its last labeled trough, and thus is looking for a short-term bottom:
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 06, 2018
Will Hawkish Fed and Strong Payrolls Blow Out Gold Rally? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
At the end of last week, gold encountered a couple of headwinds. Will they topple the yellow metal?
First Gust of Wind: Fed
As we predicted, the last FOMC meeting turned out to be more hawkish than expected. On January 30, we wrote:
(…) the Fed has its own meeting this week. We could see a hawkish strike, especially that it will be the last Yellen’s meeting and she has nothing to lose. The changing composition of the policy committee could also point to a more aggressive pace of rate hikes in 2018. If that happens, the U.S. dollar may catch its breath, which would exert downward pressure on gold prices.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 06, 2018
Gold Rises As Global Stocks Plunge and Bitcoin Crashes 70% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: GoldCore
– Gold gains 0.6% in USD and surges 1.7% in euros and pounds
– European stocks fall more than 3% at the open after sharp falls in Asia
– DJIA falls 1,175 points, S&P 500 down 4.1% and Nikkei plummets 4.7%
– Gold rises from $1,330 to $1,342, £942 to £960 and €1,067 to €1,085 /oz
– Bitcoin crashes another 10% and has now plummeted by 70% to below $6,000
– Increased risk aversion will drive safe haven demand for gold as its hedging properties are appreciated again
Tuesday, February 06, 2018
Gold, U.S. Dollar, And Inflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Kelsey_Williams
Gold is all the rage right now. And some apparently think that if you aren’t outright ‘bullish’ you are unaware or unintelligent.
Those who ply the trade for a living (i.e. advisors, investors, traders, writers) all seem to be on the same page. Even fundamentalists and technical analysts are teammates. Sort of.
The U.S. dollar is in the headlines, so naturally, most of the explanations and expectations for gold’s ‘big move’ center on U.S. dollar weakness. And they should. But some additional explanation is necessary. Some say that a weaker U.S. dollar ’causes’ a higher gold price. That is like saying that lower interest rates cause higher bond prices. That’s not the way it works.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 06, 2018
Gold Takes Center-stage in Dollar Scare / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Trump-Mnuchin qualifiers in dollar statements tell all
“While it’s [a strong dollar] described as a desirable and intended thing, it might not be a choice. The size of dollar holdings of reserves (in dollar-denominated debt) and the dollar’s role as the dominant world currency are anachronisms and large relative to what one would want to hold to be balanced, so rebalancings should be expected over time, especially when U.S. dollar bonds look unattractive and trade tensions with dollar creditors intensify.” – Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Securities
Much is made of the direct inverse correlation between gold and the dollar, but acknowledging that relationship does not really get us anywhere. The bigger question is whether or not the dollar will continue to track lower as it has over the past 18 months or will it suddenly reverse course and head higher.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 06, 2018
Silver and Mining Stocks Fresh New 2018 Lows / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Silver was just breaking to new highs, gold stocks (HUI) were above the 205 level and gold was at levels not seen since August 2016. Gold and silver bulls were cheering. They are not cheering anymore. Even though the above was the case just several days ago, it was all invalidated, just like we expected it to be. Based on what happened on Friday, silver and mining stocks are at their new 2018 lows and their entire 2018 performance is a one huge bearish reversal. Where will precious metals in the following weeks?
Lower. Likely much lower.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 05, 2018
Best Commodity Trading Opportunities to See Now / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: EWI
Special 5-day event (free): "Best Commodity Opportunities to See Now"
Dear reader,
Volatility is picking up steam -- and it's more than just Bitcoin and U.S. stocks that deserve your attention.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 05, 2018
Will the Great Unwind Sink Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
In the August 2017 edition of the Market Overview, we analyzed the hawkish turn among major central banks. We pointed out that “Europe has recently been among the most surprising positive economic regions in the world”, which should induce the ECB to taper its quantitative easing program in the fall, supporting both the EUR/USD exchange rate and the price of gold. This is exactly what happened. The dollar lost more than 3 percent in 2018 against the euro, while gold jumped above $1,350 (as of January 25). As we noted in the previous edition of the Market Overview, “the beginning of the year is usually a good period for the gold prices.”
Saturday, February 03, 2018
What’s Behind the Rising Gold and Treasury Bond Yields / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Harry_Dent
Three trends I’ve been forecasting have been happening in the last year:
- The strong Trump rally.
- Rising 10-year Treasury bond yields.
- And rising gold prices.
They’re all related to late stage inflation and the expected tax cuts, which have materialized.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 02, 2018
Radical Gold Under Investment / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
Global investors are radically underinvested in gold today. Years of relentless stock-market rallying to endless new record highs have left this classic alternative investment deeply out of favor. But this gold-demand ebb is ending. The same central banks that fueled these extreme stock markets through epic easing are reversing to massive and unprecedented tightening. As stocks roll over, gold investment will return.
Gold is a unique asset class established over millennia that should play a critical role in every investment portfolio. Unlike virtually everything else, gold generally rallies when stock markets inevitably suffer their periodic major selloffs. That effectively makes gold the anti-stock trade. A substantial gold allocation is essential and necessary to diversify and protect stock-heavy portfolios, moderating their overall volatility.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 02, 2018
Gold Price February Correction to Below $1300 - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The gold price had a good start for 2018, rising from 1310 at the start of January to a high of $1367 with the most recent trading price of $1351. Which is set against my forecast for 2018 for the gold price to first target resistance $1375, an eventual break of which would propel the Gold price towards a 2018 target of $1500, and then further for the Gold price to ultimately target a trend towards $1800.
Friday, February 02, 2018
Can The Shale Oil Boom Avoid These Bottlenecks? / Commodities / Shale Oil and Gas
By: OilPrice_Com
Shale companies continue to drill at a frenzied pace, adding rigs and breaking U.S. oil production levels with each passing week. Yet, the oil production is becoming increasingly geographically concentrated. Not only is the Permian basin accounting for much of the new oil production in the U.S., but a relatively small number of counties within the Permian are home to most of that action.
Read full article... Read full article...