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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, June 27, 2016

Gold Surges 20% In GBP In 2 Days On Brexit Fallout / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold has surged over 20% in sterling terms in the last two trading days due to the fallout of the UK’s monumental decision to leave the European Union. Gold has extended the biggest price gains since 2008 as market turmoil  and sharp falls in stocks globally and especially bank stocks led to safe haven demand for bullion coins and bars, especially in the UK and Ireland.

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Commodities

Monday, June 27, 2016

Gold-to-Platinum Ratio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The gold-to-silver ratio is the most popular ratio among the precious metals. However, we can also link gold prices to platinum prices. Mathematically, the gold-to-platinum ratio is the price of gold divided by the price of platinum. It describes how many ounces of platinum are needed to purchase one ounce of gold, indicating the relative strength of gold prices compared to platinum prices. The indicator works just as the gold-to-silver ratio, so we will not explain its mechanics, but move straight to analysis of the long-term trends in the ratio. Let’s examine thoroughly the chart below, which presents the number of platinum ounces it took to buy a single ounce of gold since 1975 (we use futures prices, as data series of London fix for platinum is available only from 1990).

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Commodities

Monday, June 27, 2016

Major Debt and Dow Collapse Will Set Ideal Conditions For Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

The current silver bull market is similar to the bull market of the 70s in many ways. Despite the similarities, silver will ultimately perform much better than during the 70s.

One of the big reasons for this is the fact that debt levels are so much higher today, than during the 70s. Not only are debt levels higher on an absolute basis, but also on a relative basis. For example, Total Us Debt as a Percentage of GDP is about 360%  today, whereas, in the 70s it was around 150%.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 26, 2016

Gold Price Weekly COT Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

We received a batch of astounding numbers in this weeks’ COT report for not only silver, but also for gold.

Guess what? Hedge funds are at a new all-time high on the long side exposure of gold.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 25, 2016

Gold And Silver: Security, And BREXIT / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

We wrote the following article last Tuesday as a consequence of expanding on the key word "security" and what is its impact for most of us. Then BREXIT happened on Friday. Actually, BREXIT is all about security, concern about personal security for those who voted to get out of the elite spider trap called the EU. A few thoughts on that will be added following what was already prepared.

What is one of the most important feelings one can have for him of her self, for one's family? In a word, security. Security that one is safe in their daily existence, from the time they leave home in the morning until the time they return at the end of the day, and all the time in between. Security that their loved ones are always safe. Security that their efforts for making a life for themselves, for the betterment of their family will not be taken away. Security that what one accumulates in the process of life will always be there.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 25, 2016

Resistance Holding Gold Stocks after Brexit / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

What a last 24 hours for markets! At one point Gold was up $100/oz, S&P futures were limit down and the British Pound was down over 8%! The volatility has subsided, perhaps temporarily and Gold settled around $1320/oz with Silver settling below key resistance at $18. The miners predictably gapped up but the strength was sold. As miners remain below 2014 resistance we expect Gold to retest $1300/oz before moving higher.

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Commodities

Friday, June 24, 2016

Gold, Silver And PM Stocks Summer Doldrums Risk / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold’s recent weakness has dampened bullish sentiment, but the entire precious-metals complex has actually enjoyed record early-summer strength.  The summer doldrums have always been a vexing time for gold, silver, and the stocks of their miners.  Without any recurring seasonal demand surges in June and July, sideways-to-lower drifts are common in this seasonally-weakest time before big autumn rallies.

Traders’ sentiment, their collective greed and fear, drives nearly all short-term price action.  Most of the time, sentiment is heavily influenced by expectations.  If gold rallies 5% in a month where traders expected 10% gains, disappointment and bearishness will flare.  But if gold rallies that same 5% when the outlook was for no gains, traders will grow excited and bullish.  Performance versus expectations colors reality.

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Commodities

Friday, June 24, 2016

Gold Price Breaking the 200 Week Moving Average / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Gold is breaking through the 200 week moving average this morning. Don’t forget the intermediate cycle is only on week 3. We should still have 12-15 weeks before the intermediate cycle tops.

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Commodities

Friday, June 24, 2016

Brexit - Gold Note - Brexit Facts - Ramifications for UK, Ireland, EU - Conclusion / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

We have seen record online sales for this time of day and the phones are ringing off the hook. It is nearly all buying with a preference for gold over silver. We may have to restrict trading to existing clients if we continue to see this level of demand.

We are seeing more selling then expected and seeing some clients choosing to take profits after the very sizeable short term capital gains.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 23, 2016

A New Balance Of Power In The Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: John_Rubino

Gold analyst Michael Ballanger just posted an article noting how much things have changed — perhaps for the better — in the gold market. Here’s an excerpt:

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Commodities

Thursday, June 23, 2016

BREXIT Day – Markets Becalmed – Gold Panic Prelude / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

BREXIT Day and the UK EU referendum is upon us today and investors are expecting more choppy trading in financial markets in the coming hours. The City of London is bracing itself for potentially the most volatile night since the sterling devaluation on Black Wednesday.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 23, 2016

What Billionaire Investors Are Doing with Gold While Your Not Watching / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

With each passing day, systemic risks in the financial system become greater. Smart money insiders and billionaire investors are taking note – and taking defensive actions.

Mega-billionaire Carl Icahn, whose long-term track record is unrivaled, recently warned that “there will be a day of reckoning unless we get fiscal stimulus.” Icahn’s hedge fund is betting on a day of reckoning scenario. He has gone 150% net short the stock market while holding commodity-related positions to the long side.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 23, 2016

Why the Average Person Should Own Some Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"Ability is of little account without opportunity." ~ Napoleon Bonaparte

We live in a world where the main driving force behind this illusory economic recovery is hot money and data manipulation. According to Government stats, inflation is nonexistent, but anyone with a grain of grey matter understands that this is not the real case. Rents, education and medical costs are soaring, and salaries are dropping when inflation is factored in. In simple words, you are working more and more for less and less. This is not the American dream; in fact, it sounds more like the American nightmare. The purchasing power of the dollar has been eroded dramatically over the years. According to the website usinflationcalculator.com, an item that set you back $20.00 in 1913 would cost you over $485 in 2016, for a cumulative rate of inflation of 2320%.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

These Conditions Ensure That Gold Stocks Will Continue To Rise Over The Coming Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

Gold stocks need very specific conditions in order to perform well. The last time most of these conditions were present was during the Great Depression. However, conditions are currently shaping up to be even more ideal.

The performance of the Dow is one example of conditions that heavily influences how gold stocks fair.
Historically, gold stocks had some of the best rallies after significant Dow peaks. This was true for the 1929 and 1973  major Dow peaks.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Proof that the Gold Bears are Wrong / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Swanson

I am bullish on gold and I own gold and mining stocks, because gold is in a bull market.

I have been trying to do my best to tell people this, but many people simply do not believe it.

Gold and the mining stocks went through a very brutal bear market for five years and that makes it hard for people to believe that any of the rallies are real. What is more there are several “experts” that keep calling for gold to fall to $1,000 or even $250 an ounce that are scaring people out of gold.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Gold Falls Despite “Panic” Due To “Supply Issues” In Inter Bank Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold fell again today to its lowest in a week despite continuing uncertainty about the outcome of the Brexit referendum. This is contributing to very significant high net worth and institutional demand in recent days, particularly in the UK, which is leading to “panic” and “supply issues” in the interbank gold market.

Supply issues which respected gold analysts and ourselves have warned in recent years were taking place, would deepen and would ultimately lead to a reset of gold prices to much higher levels.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Gold and its 200 Week Moving Average / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

I think we can safely assume the Brexit vote is going to fail. This should be bullish for stocks and bearish for the dollar. A falling dollar should be good for gold. However, with stocks and oil moving higher it’s likely to take some focus off gold.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Increase In U.S. Rig Count Will Not Cap Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

The impact of rising oil prices on North American light tight oil (LTO) production is said to be a “Catch 22”, the title of Joseph Heller’s popular 1961 novel set in WWII. The premise was you could get out of the army if you were crazy but you weren’t crazy to try to get out of the army. So this avenue to escape the war didn’t work for the book’s main character John Yossarian.

Too many analysts continue to believe drilling and service has the same problem with rising oil prices. With WTI back above $50 a barrel – at least briefly last week – North American LTO developers are putting rigs, service equipment and personnel back to work. The so-called “fraclog” or “DUC” inventory (wells drilled but uncompleted) is being reduced. While this is good it is also thought by some to be temporary.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Are Copper and China Stocks Set to Rally? / Commodities / Copper

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst and newsletter writer Clive Maund explores the link between an anticipated copper rally and an upswing in Chinese markets.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 21, 2016

Gold Falls As UK Gold Demand “Rockets” – Investors “Seek Stability” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold fell again today despite very robust physical demand in western markets and especially the UK. Gold fell to a ten-day low as the recent global share rally showed signs of exhaustion.

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