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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, April 17, 2015

Gold and Silver Price Confined to Tight Trading Range / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldMoney

Precious metal prices were broadly unchanged this week, confined to a tight trading range of $1210 to $1185 for gold and $16.60 to $16.00 for silver. There were several attempts by sellers to force prices to break down, but from the price action there appeared to be buyers waiting for the opportunity. The result was that yesterday gold rallied to as high as $1209 and silver to $16.50, though they closed well under these best levels when a senior Federal Open Market Committee member warned that interest rates would not remain at zero for ever. Comex volumes in gold were light though they were better in silver.

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Commodities

Friday, April 17, 2015

Production Declines Hide Bigger Crude Oil Storage Issues / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EconMatters

Storage Builds

Everyone this week focused on the slight production declines that this was a sign to go long oil, but what seemed to go under the radar was another build in both Cushing and the Gulf Coast storage hubs.

Cushing added another 1.3 million barrels to weekly storage and stands at 61.5 million barrels. The Gulf Coast added another 600 thousand barrels to storage and stands at 237 million barrels. By comparison Cushing had 26.8 million barrels in storage this time last year, and the Gulf Coast had 207.2 million barrels in storage a year ago.
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Commodities

Friday, April 17, 2015

Top Three Takeaways From Today’s OPEC Crude Oil Report… and How You Can Profit / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: Today I’ve got a “below the surface” read on what is really happening inside OPEC.

Frankly, I had not planned to devote so many essays to the cartel and its policies. After all, the organization is no longer the center of the energy universe.

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Commodities

Friday, April 17, 2015

What Is Really Driving Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: SecularInvestor

If anything, gold bulls are continuously looking to confirm their bullish outlook. Most precious metals websites are filled with stories, news and developments from the gold market, accompanied by the implication that they will drive the gold price up. Examples of this include gold coin sales, Shanghai gold withdrawals, central bank buying volumes, evidence of market manipulation, money printing volumes, velocity of money, etc.

The ongoing narrative is that there is a positive correlation between monetary stimulus and the price of gold. However, as you probably know by now, precious metals collapsed during the Fed’s QE to infinity program. The long-term gold chart (first chart below) shows that gold stabilized when the Fed started tapering and around the end of QE, which is very counterintuitive to say the least. That is not to say there is no correlation, but there is definitely not a direct correlation.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 16, 2015

Gold Price: Year 2000 All Over Again – How Will You Play It This Time? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recently business and financial guru Mark Cuban wrote an article about why this tech bubble is going to be worse than the tech bubble of 2000. This made me take another look at the long term charts again, but instead of looking up the NASDAQ or the tech sector I decided to check out gold mining stocks, gold price and the Dollar index.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 16, 2015

More Thoughts on the Current Crude Oil Market / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EconMatters

WTI surged to close at $56.01 a barrel on Wednesday, while Brent closed at $62.86 after the US crude oil inventories showed a 'less-than-expected increase'. The latest weekly inventory (week ending April 10) from EIA showed an increase of 1.3 million barrels, much less than the 10.9 million barrels of build from the previous week. The report also showed that total motor gasoline inventories decreased by 2.1 million barrels, while distillate stockpiles rose by 2.0 million barrels.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

OPEC Going Broke, Dumping U.S. Dollars. Is That Good Or Bad? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: John_Rubino

When oil prices fell out of bed last winter there was much hand-wringing over the fate of the former beneficiaries of high-priced crude. Trillions of dollars of junk bonds issued by frackers, for instance, might default, oil field services companies could fail, and layoffs in the oil patch might swamp the nascent employment recovery.

Some of this has happened, though not on the apocalyptic scale the worst-case scenarios suggested. More might be coming, but right now it’s not headline news in North America.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

OPEC Just Confirmed It’s Losing the Oil War / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: The solid façade of OPEC is crumbling.

The latest indication that all is not well within the ranks of the oil cartel came yesterday, when the organization released its monthly Bulletin.

Inside the magazine, the commentary slammed non-member nations for failing to follow the organization’s lead in “stabilizing” oil prices and having “go it alone” attitudes.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Four Uranium Companies Poised to Profit from the Growth of Nuclear Power / Commodities / Uranium

By: Metals_Report

Nuclear power is enjoying a renaissance, and the world will soon need more uranium. Up to 50% more within a decade, says Joe Reagor of ROTH Capital. In this interview with The Mining Report, he explains that the share prices of uranium juniors remain low because the uranium spot price has not yet risen to reflect the increased demand just around the corner. This provides a great opportunity for canny, long-term investors, and Reagor identifies four companies that have the means to profit from the inevitable need for their product.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Crude Oil Price Technical Outlook / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Donald_W_Dony

Following part 1 of the Technical outlook for oil on April 7, this report examines the effect of the secular Commodity cycle on stocks (S&P 500), the U.S dollar on the CRB and WTIC's price since 1980.

Chart 1 is the S&P 500 since 1960. It traces the different trading patterns of the U.S. index during a secular Commodity cycle (1965-1980), a Stock cycle (1980-2000) and through another Commodity cycle (2000-2013) and the beginning of a new Stock cycle (2013 to present).

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Important Bitcoin Price Action / Commodities / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: speculative short positions, stop-loss at $239, take-profit at $153.

Infosys, an Indian IT services and IT consulting company, is now looking into blockchain as a possible addition to the company products and services, we read on the Business Standard website:

According to a report in HT Mint, the Bengaluru-headquartered information technology services provider is assessing the merits of Blockchain, an open-source financial database that records all transactions of virtual currency Bitcoin, to see if the technology could be integrated into Finacle.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Separating Gold and Silver Stocks Saints from the Sinners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

Christos Doulis, mining analyst with PI Financial, hopes for the best but plans for reality. The bear market in precious metals is well into its fourth year and could persist into 2016. In this interview with The Gold Report, Doulis says he remains hopeful that this is the year things take a positive turn, but in case we see more of the same, he recommends a few low-cost producers with saintly management teams that keep delivering on promises.

The Gold Report: In September 2014, you told us that investors needed to own bulletproof, low-cost producers that can survive lower gold prices. What is your investment thesis for this point in the bear market?

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Commodities

Monday, April 13, 2015

Stacking Silver = Simple Solution / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

Look at our financial world over 30 years from 30 miles high – the BIG PERSPECTIVE. 

  • Global debt exceeds $200 Trillion and is increasing rapidly.  It will not be repaid at current value, and in the unlikely chance it is repaid, those future dollars, euros, yen, whatever will have been deeply devalued.  Debt created to fund current consumption, instead of productive investment, is dangerous.  Excessive debt is deadly.
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Commodities

Monday, April 13, 2015

Gold Trading Week Ahead - 13 April 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Harley_Salt

Gold had a roller coaster week last week however it managed to finish the week above the key US$1,200 level.

After a slow week on the data front last week, this week is full economic reports that will drive the price of gold.

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Commodities

Monday, April 13, 2015

Western Interest in Gold Continues to Decline / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

Gold has managed to avoid a complete chart breakdown thus far but that is due more to buying in the physical market out of the far East rather than any wholesale interest among the high-powered, deep-pocketed, Western-investment crowd. As noted many times here at this site, it is my firm opinion that while buying out of China and India can hold the price and form a floor in the gold market, it CANNOT drive the price sharply higher as so many rabid gold bugs have their hearts set on happening. That requires the momentum-based crowd which chases prices higher due to chart signals and could care less about what any perceived "value" area might be for gold, or for that matter, any other market that they ply their computers in.

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Commodities

Monday, April 13, 2015

Silver Price set up to get Whacked Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

There are a lot of fine words being written about how attractive silver is at current prices and how it is about to enter a new bullmarket etc, but the plain truth is that it remains in a major downtrend and is a bearmarket until it breaks out of it.

We can see the long persistent downtrend in silver on the 8-year chart below, and how, as yet, there is no sign of an end to it. If the dollar broke down from its parabolic uptrend, shown on a chart in the parallel Gold Market update, that might change things of course, but last week the dollar looked to be getting ready for a breakout to new highs, so that appears to be off the table for now.

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Commodities

Monday, April 13, 2015

Gold Price Dome Cap, Fall Below $1000 Likely / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

Although gold has rallied as expected in the last update, the advance has been modest and now it appears to be weakening again, and with its latest COTs showing a marked deterioration and the dollar maintaining its parabolic acceleration, it looks set to drop back along with silver. The long-term uptrend remains down.

On the 6-month chart we can see how gold's advance following its breakout from a rather steep downtrend has already run into trouble at a resistance level, and it appears to be rounding over within a Dome pattern that looks set to force it into decline. If the dollar accelerates to the upside, looking likely at this point, then gold can be expected to drop back initially to the support shown in the $1130 - $1140 area, and then break lower. Moving averages are in bearish alignment.

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Commodities

Sunday, April 12, 2015

Gold and Silver Policy Will Continue until Pitchforks and Torches Appear / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jesse

Gold led the way as it popped back over 1200 on news that India showed record gold imports in March of 125 tonnes.

Gold is flowing from West to East. The data shows this without much room for error, unless you are an economist or analyst whose paycheck has willfully obscured their vision. How this ends I do not know and no one can really say. But it will end. I would like to think that at some point the central planners will go so far off into the weeds of their own obfuscation that the people will generally rise up and tell them to take them models and use them to pound sand.

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Commodities

Sunday, April 12, 2015

What is Next for Gold and Silver Markets? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Richard_Cox

Over the last year, precious metals markets have have been one of the most closely watched asset classes in the financial environment as price volatility has reached heightened levels on several occasions.  For those looking for evidence that the declines have finished (and that the long-term uptrend has resumed), it will be critical to turn the attention back to the underlying economic data that will determine where sentiment moves in the broader market.  It is always a good idea to keep in mind that gold and silver tend to perform well when the rest of the market looks negative, as investors have historically used precious metals as a way of gaining safe haven exposure and to safeguard against potential rises in inflation.

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Commodities

Sunday, April 12, 2015

What Gold's Bull Market (That's Right, Bull Market) Means For Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: John_Rubino

One of the oddities of floating exchange rates is that they cause people to view the world in terms of their own national currency. For Americans that means looking out through a window that is distorted by the dollar's recent surge. A C$100-a-night Vancouver BC hotel room, for instance, cost about US$100 in 2013 and now costs about $80. Most other Canadian products are commensurately cheaper, making a week north of the border suddenly a lot easier to fit into the family budget. Though fundamentally not much has changed.

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