Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Gold Bugs Army - Dollar Indices Pricing Research Rubbish? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Investors rely on indices to help understand how a market is moving, and perhaps even how it might move in the future. Technical analysis of a market, for example, is only possible due to market indices. How else would we assess what might be happening in a market? If an index is not properly constructed, that whole effort may prove fruitless.

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Gold Bullion Rallies Despite "Losing US Fed Prop" as Stock Markets Sink / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

BOTH gold and silver rose in Asian and London trade Thursday morning, defying a sharp slide in global stock markets to gain 3.0% rally from yesterday's sharp sell-off.

Commodity prices fell as major government bonds rose but weaker Eurozone debt slipped, pushing interest rates higher.

Tokyo's Nikkei index – up by 85% from November – dumped more than 7% after new data showed a surprise contraction in China's manufacturing sector.

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Gold Rallies as Stock Markets Crash, Nikkei Falls 7.3% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,386.00, EUR 1,074.92 and GBP 919.16 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,385.25, EUR 1,071.43 and GBP 917.75 per ounce.

Gold fell $10.20 or 0.74% yesterday to $1,367.60/oz and silver finished up 0.07%.

Gold is up today while stock indices globally are sharply down after the Nikkei crashed 7.3%. The stock crash in Japan is leading to weakness in European equities and will lead to losses when U.S. markets open.

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Are Gold Prices Near a Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

Diane Alter writes: It's been a tumultuous couple of months for the yellow metal, which has investors asking: Are gold prices near a bottom?

There's hope this price plunge is ending.

Year-to-date, gold is lower by 17%. But after seven trading sessions where gold prices slumped, on Monday June gold futures gained 1.4%, or $19.40, to $1,384.10. Contract prices bounced as much as 2.4% after sliding 2.1%.

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Unveiling the Gold Market’s Working Parts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jan_Skoyles

Why this happened is something which is open to much analysis and theorising. For the mainstream media it was down to an improving global economy and the need to hold gold no longer existed, for those in the world of gold investment this was perhaps down to more of the politics behind the gold-market than the economics.

On April 12^th 3.4 million ounces (100 tonnes) of gold was sold in the US futures markets. This was just for starters, the main, side and dessert appeared over the following hours and the next session on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (COMEX).

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Silver Price Plunge Looks Set to Continue to $18.00 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Bob_Kirtley

As far as we can ascertain the demand for physical silver is alive and well with reports of people queuing to buy it while a number of suppliers, including the mints have been selling all that they could produce of the popular coins and bars. And yet the price of silver falls in the paper market which highlights the disparity between the physical and paper markets.

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Bullish on Silver, Gold and Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: The_Gold_Report

Sprott Silver Equities Class Co-Manager Maria Smirnova understands the power of leverage. She has seen the big impact even a slight increase in the silver price can have on silver producers. Every cent is multiplied and goes right to the investor's bottom line, giving the equities more upside than possible in a coin. That is why Eric Sprott increased holdings of silver equities in certain Sprott funds. Smirnova discusses five of these companies in this interview with The Gold Report.

The Gold Report: Maria, in April Eric Sprott sold more than $45 million ($45M) worth of units in the Sprott Silver Physical Trust. A spokesperson told Canada'sGlobe and Mail that the sale was needed to cover charitable obligations and to buy shares in silver mining companies because Mr. Sprott believes silver equities will outperform the metal in the next rally. Can you fill in the details on that thesis?

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Asian Gold Premiums Hit New Highs as Europe Urged to Start "Agressive QE" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

BULLION prices rose throughout Asian and early London trade on Wednesday morning, touching $1398 per ounce for the third time this week and recovering 4.4% from Monday's one-month low.

Silver rose more steadily, and was capped below $22.80 as energy prices slipped and agricultural commodities held flat.

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

The Macro Economic Story as Told by Gold, Copper and Oil / Commodities / Global Economy

By: EconMatters

Gold’s been on a wild ride. After reaching a peak of $1,920 an ounce in September 2011, gold has tumbled 28% to the current ~$1,380 level forcing John Paulson to take a 47% loss in his gold fund during the first four months of this year, according to Bloomberg.

Unlike Paulson who maintained his positions in gold, other big players like George Soros and BlackRock cut their gold ETF holdings, while Goldman Sachs issued a sell recommendation on gold right before the yellow metal plunged 13% through April 15, the biggest drop in three decades. And by looking at the futures curve (chart below), market does not seem to expect gold to come back roaring any time soon.

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Crude Oil Price Manipulation Awakens Libor, Enron Ghosts / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Ben Gersten writes: Last July, we warned you that oil prices could potentially be manipulated in similar fashion to the London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor), and now a recent raid of major oil companies highlights this growing danger to the $3.4 trillion-a-year crude market.

The European Commission last week stormed the offices of Royal Dutch Shell PLC (NYSE ADR: RDS.A, RDS.B), BP PLC ( NYSE ADR: BP), and Statoil ASA (NYSE ADR: STO) as part of the ongoing investigation to find out whether companies are manipulating oil prices and, if so, how long it has been going on and the possible ramifications.

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Why Crude Oil Is the New "Gold Standard" / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: Something very interesting just happened at the 2013 MoneyShow in Las Vegas.

The purveyors of doom and gloom were all still hawking their services there. But the primary solution they offer - a cure-all elixir for everything that ails markets - was beginning to wear thin.

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

First-Quarter Demand for Gold Jumps 19% in China, 27% in India / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: This doesn’t make it easy to understand for investors who bought gold stocks and have now seen them go down in price…

But while the prices of gold stocks have pulled back significantly this year, demand for physical gold bullion has gone through the proverbial roof.

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Gold, Silver Prices and Mining Stocks Powerful Reversal Off Multiyear Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jeb_Handwerger

I wrote nearly a month ago that "The Worse Things Were For The Mining Sector, The Better They Will Get". This was after the first downward plunge in gold (GLD) and silver (SLV) in April due to the Goldman short.

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Mining Deep for Gold: Part II / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ed_Carlson

In my February 15, 2013, Mining Deep for Gold, I concluded by writing “I suspect far greater losses are in store for gold before a bottom is seen.” Since that commentary gold has lost another $250/oz. The question in the minds of many today must be ‘when will this decline end?’

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Gold Stocks Investors Its Time To Be BRAVE! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: David_Banister

I used to half joke with some of my investing friends that the best time to buy stocks is during or right after a crash.  Think 1987, 2000-2002, 2008-09, and now perhaps Gold Miners?? Well, before we get too far ahead of ourselves, lets examine evidence of a “Crash”: I like to use crowd behavioral, empirical, and technical evidence in combination.

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Silver Price Recoups Sharp Loss, Rising on Record Volume / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,378.75, EUR 1,070.21 and GBP 908.39 per ounce.  
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,353.75, EUR 1,051.95 and GBP 890.86 per ounce. 

Gold climbed $19.40 or 1.43% yesterday to $1,384.30/oz and silver finished 2% higher. 

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Gold Stocks Big Rally Forecast / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

1. Huge rallies begin from these conditions

Below is the NYSE Gold Miners Index which is tracked by the GDX ETF. Look at the RSI. Not only did it reach a multi-decade low but it has remained oversold far longer than during the comparable periods. In the four previous periods, the market rebounded suddenly and strongly in percentage terms. Meanwhile, the bullish percent index, a breath indicator is more oversold than in 2008. We plot the indicator with a 10-week moving average that shows it as far more oversold than in 2008. While this indicator does not go back that far, odds are it is likely at a 13-year low.

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Gold Prices Dead Cat Bounce / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Bob_Kirtley

On Monday, May 13, 2013 we wrote that Gold Prices would Re-Test $1350/oz level and so they did, trading sub $1340/0z at one stage. Gold had fallen for 7 straight days from $1470/oz before the slide was arrested earlier today with a bounce that pushed gold up to $1391/oz.

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Resurgence of the Nuclear Reactor, The Coming Uranium Bull Market / Commodities / Uranium

By: Casey_Research

In August 1956, the Calder Hall Power Plant in Seascale, England began generating electricity and earned the distinction of being the world's first commercial nuclear power plant. It was a humble beginning for nuclear power; the plant only had a 50-megawatt (MW) output capacity, whereas the smallest US plant today has a 478 MW capacity. Nonetheless, Calder Hall represented the launch of a new era in energy that promised to bring electricity too cheap to meter.

But early on, the promising power source had its detractors. They objected to the high initial cost of constructing nuclear plants, the problems of radioactive waste disposal, and the risks of nuclear accidents and nuclear proliferation.

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Gold Market Motive, Means, and Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

MOTIVE: The various governments of the world and their central banks produce and distribute a product – paper currencies. Those currencies are backed by confidence, faith, and credit, but not by gold, oil, or anything real. Those currencies are digitally printed to excess, since almost all governments spend more than their revenues. The UK, Japan, and the USA are prime examples.