Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, December 22, 2010
Ten Economic and Investment Themes for 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Mike_Shedlock
1. US Municipal Bankruptcies Head to Center Stage
Look for Detroit and at least one other city in Michigan to go bankrupt. Also look for increasing discussions regarding bankruptcy from Los Angeles, Miami, Oakland, Houston, and San Diego. Those cities are definitely bankrupt, they just have not admitted it yet. The first major city to go bankrupt will cause a huge stir in the municipal bond market. Best to avoid Munis completely.
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Wednesday, December 22, 2010
Stock Market Sentiment Not A Barrier To Further Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
There are currently several reasons to be concerned about the stock market, from debt problems in Europe to slowing technical momentum. However, if investor sentiment is currently at the top of your list of concerns, you may want to bump it down a few notches.
Stock market sentiment relative to a bullish or bearish outlook can be used as a contrary indicator for stock prices when it reaches extremes. If you follow the markets closely, you have run into an article or two making the case that a correction or bear market is imminent based on the current state of extended bullish sentiment.
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Wednesday, December 22, 2010
U.S. Stock Market Forecast 2011, Outperform for Tech, Energy and Commodity, Gold Sectors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes:
The outlook for the U.S. stock market in the New Year figures to be an exasperating mixture of promise and peril. Positive momentum is building going into 2011, but so are dangerous bubbles.
The high-tech, energy, materials and commodities sectors will be hot in the New Year. And the U.S. stock market will get an added boost from the fact that U.S. Treasuries, municipal bonds (munis) and euro-based investments will not.
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Wednesday, December 22, 2010
Profiting from Fed Policy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: David_Galland
David Galland, Managing Director, Casey Research writes:
These days, it’s hard to draw any conclusion other than that the train is gaining speed on wobbly tracks perched over a rickety bridge.
Most notably, unemployment has again risen – to 9.8% from 9.6% – very much not the direction things should be headed given the amount of money the government has pumped into the economy. The latest data shows that this nation of 310 million souls managed to add just 39,000 jobs in November. That, unfortunately, falls short of even keeping up with a population growth of about 1% – doing just that requires generating a net of about 250,000 jobs a month. As for eating away at the millions of unemployed and the many millions more who are underemployed… oh, well.
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Wednesday, December 22, 2010
I Figured Out How to Get Bullish on Stocks! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: PhilStockWorld
Just read the Wall Street Journal. On the front page we have "Nuclear Pact Adds Backers" above the fold along with a fluff piece on the weather in Europe. There are 3 other featured articles on the front page of the World’s most widely-read financial paper and one is a fluff piece on the Jimmy Stewart museum, one is on the obscure concept of betting people are going to die (very fun and interesting but "The World’s biggest financial paper"?) and the last is on the SEC looking into Mark Hurd’s exit from HP. On the left is "What’s News" with about 30 summaries of articles in the paper so one would think you could look this over and have a really good idea of what’s going on in the World.
Wednesday, December 22, 2010
Japan and Euro Problems, But Crude Oil Has No Problem / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Bari_Baig
The Difficult Japanese Politics: We normally discuss about the popularity graph of the Japanese prime minister here at “marketprojection” that as time passes the slope of the curve almost always points lower but today however we discuss something different. Today it is the probable scandal issue which is turning the things for the worse in the ruling party.
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Stock Market Volatility Set to Pick Up in the New Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Captain_Hook
The markets are so manipulated these days that it’s becoming increasingly difficult to gauge just what effect increasing interference is having, knowing in general all unnatural stimuli have decreasing impact the longer and more they are applied. Perhaps the best example of this at present comes from the bond market, where in spite of QE2 and a generous POMO schedule (every day now) that looks set to run in perpetuity, bond prices are falling. In this regard you should know US long bonds (and 10-Year Treasuries) are in jeopardy of signaling a secular trend change with a bearish five-wave pattern lower, which is why so many are now looking for another crash in real estate. We will let you know when such a signal in the bond market is triggered.
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Stock Market Elliott Wave Trend Forecast 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Joseph_Russo
In this critical year-end forecast we shall pinpoint the following:
- The precise degree of trend in which the Dow currently trades
- The size and scope of the current wave at Supercycle degree
- Where the Dow stands within its current primary bull market advance
- Where the Dow and general share prices may be heading in 2011 and beyond
- The precise path broad market indices may take during the course of IV down
- Exactly how traders and investors should engage the markets going forward
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Stock Market Nails On The Chalkboard.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
No one likes that sound. Makes you cringe. Makes you scream and cover your ears. It's just not pleasant. That's where we are now. An unpleasant grinding market that refuses to change its stripes. It refuses to pull back and reset those oscillators, but at the same time it's constricted to the upside. Markets do not blast higher, even in retail market days such as these are at holiday time, when you're this overbought. There's just not enough fuel in the tank to allow things to launch upward and out in to a new leg of this bull phase we're in right now.
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Monday, December 20, 2010
Bernanke’s Next Fed Created Treasury Bond Market Disaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Michael_Swanson
Last week the major market averages traded in a narrow range, with the S&P 500 trading between 1246 and 1234, as they appear to be taking a small pause in the rally. I think there is a good change that they will breakthrough this range before the end of this week and start another move higher and if they don't do it this week they almost certainly will next week.
Everyone knows that the market moves up at the end of the year and everyone is bullish right now.
Monday, December 20, 2010
The 'Big' Stock Market Test ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Marty_Chenard
The big, Institutional Index test that is now going on ...
Last Tuesday, we posted the Institutional Investor "core holdings' chart. The core holdings are the collection of stocks that represent most of the investment money Institutional investors have in play.
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Monday, December 20, 2010
…Risk On…Risk Off… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: HRA_Advisory
It doesn’t matter if you’re naughty or nice; Santa has been coming early to resource investors everywhere this year. A somewhat ironic combination of fear buying in precious metals and fearless buying in most everything else has generated gains across the sector this month.
In fact, the gains were good enough to have us checking the numbers on many development stories to make sure we were not wearing rose coloured glasses. We were mildly surprised to find that many stories looked, if not cheap, then at least like they still had headroom. That is a testament to just how good metal price moves were this month.
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Monday, December 20, 2010
Stock Market High Volume Options Expiration Leads to Flat Close... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mark_McMillan
Expected quadruple witching volume left the major indexes little changed...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Monday, December 20, 2010
U.S. Stocks Retake Leadership Role as Emerging Markets Stumble / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Stocks tiptoed through a typically introspective, no drama December week in the past five days, with the Dow Jones Industrials rising 0.7%, and the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 all rising about a third of a percent.
While an 0.3% gain doesn't sound like much for a week, it is actually a great result. If the market were up 0.3% every week for 52 weeks, it would be up 17% for the year without dividends, which is about double the long-term average. And just to round out that idea, if the market were up 17% every year for 10 years, it would end the decade up 380%. Small amounts add up due to the magic of compounding.
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Monday, December 20, 2010
Stock Market Holiday Grind Is Here For 10 Days Only - Are You Ready? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Chris_Vermeulen
It's that time again when volume dries up and prices rise into the new year. A lot of individuals are scrambling to prepare for the holidays, even though we had a year to prepare. The big money has already done most of their year end shuffling and will be taking it easy until January.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 19, 2010
Stock Market Heading for a Early Week Short-term Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the secular bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, equity markets began an upward corrective move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend into 2011.
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Sunday, December 19, 2010
It's Tough Being Bearish on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Guy_Lerner
It is tough to be bearish for the following reasons: 1) the overwhelming consensus opinion of investors, bloggers, and newsletter writers is bullish now and into 2011; 2) the perception amongst investors is that the Federal Reserve has back stopped the market; 3) there is a persistence to the tape as it marches higher on both good and bad news; and 4) it is the holiday season where thinly traded markets can be easily manipulated higher. Yes, it is tough being bearish when everyone and everything you read is bullish, and the equity market can only go one way -- up. Yet, here I write that I am bearish. Why?
Sunday, December 19, 2010
Gold Short-term Bearish but Medium and Long-term Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Merv_Burak
Weakness in the recent market action has not been eliminated but as yet has not become serious. What’s to come?
GOLD LONG TERM - On the long term once a trend is set in motion it continues for a long time. So it is this week, the bullish trend continues even though the shorter term action may be on the verge of changing. Gold remains comfortably above its positive sloping long term moving average line. The long term momentum indicator remains in the positive zone although it is moving lower and has moved below its negative sloping trigger line. The long term volume indicator is mow in a lateral trend but remains above its long term trigger line. All in all the long term rating remains BULLISH.
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Sunday, December 19, 2010
Greed Is Not Good, Financial Interests Dictate Sovereign Policy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Jesse
With regards to the global financial crisis, imposing austerity is not the answer. That is like starving the slaves to improve their condition by making the plantation more profitable. Looting the 'great house' and the barns to feed the slaves, at least temporarily, is not the answer either. The problem is obviously in the system itself.
Sunday, December 19, 2010
Soul Sacrifice, The Theme Song for Central Bank Subterfuge, Forecasts 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
It might be a generational thing but for sixty’s generation, none of us will ever forget Carlos Santana at Woodstock in 1969. His band performed a song titled, ‘Soul Sacrifice’ in front of a half million people or so. Being the sixties, and being an outdoor festival, Carlos ingested some hallucinogens several hours before he was supposed to take the stage (at least this is the version I have read). At least, he thought he had some time for a trip. However, there was a schedule mixup and he was immediately ushered onstage. With his perception chemically altered, the neck of his guitar appeared to transform into a series of waves. Fearful of losing contact completely, he grabbed the guitar neck with his left hand and never let go. The result was one of the greatest performances in recorded musical history. If I have any of this wrong, my apologies to one of the greatest guitar players to ever play the instrument.