Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Gold Tit for Tat, Stocks Are Still A Lousy Investment / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Adam_Brochert

NOTE: This is a sort of tit-for-tat rebuttal of a classic hatchet piece on Gold as an investment class that recently appeared in the Wall Street Journal (see the article here). All plagiarism is intentional to show the ridiculousness of such articles and if you haven't read the original article, this rant may not make a whole lot of sense.

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Stock Market Bulls Take Back The 20s..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

And the bulls say take that. The emotion of the game is what always makes this the toughest game on the planet. We all have to admit that things looked pretty dire for the bulls there. Negative divergences finally playing out.

Overbought at extremes finally playing out. We were plunging down pretty fast. Right through the 20-day exponential moving averages on all the major indexes on only the second try by the bears.

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

S&P 500 Stock Market Trends Analysis for October 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Hans_Wagner

Starting with the indexes gives an overall perspective to the markets. This is monthly chart for the S&P 500 showing 20 years of performance. Since this index is the one used by professional traders, it is important to understand how it is performing. This chart is also excellent for defining the longer-term trends for the market.

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Rally Will Soon Be Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Bob_Chapman

The bear market rally will soon be over. It rallied 1,300 Dow points that it should have. All the back up data as to why this is in process was included in the last issue. The rally induced many investors to stay long and they did recoup as much as 80% of their losses in some instances. Now it is time to exit and move into gold and silver shares. Probably the biggest key is that gold recently spent two weeks above $1,000 and we believe gold is prepared for a breakout that will take its price anywhere from $1,200 to $1,700 an ounce. Gold’s long-term reverse head and shoulders pattern, one of the most powerful patterns in charting is in a breakout mode.

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Stock Market Back Testing The 20's...Daily's Still Oversold... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

I had talked about the likelihood of a bounce as we got to the 50-day exponential moving averages on the daily charts. Yes, it was possible to just blow through those 50's but with the market trading above them for the past three months without a test of any kind, it was extremely unlikely that we'd just break down and through that level.

Monday, October 05, 2009

Stock Market Snapback Rally Starts the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

It was a choppy morning, particularly on Nasdaq, but the S&P 500 worked its way higher all day and never broke intraday moving averages. It pulled back in the last hour in a nice bullish flag and ended not far off the highs for the day near key overhead resistance, as did the NDX.

Net on the day the Dow was up 112.08 to 9599.75, the S&P 500 up 15.25 to 1040.46, and the Nasdaq 100 up 13.15 to 1675.54.

Monday, October 05, 2009

Why The Dow /Gold Ratio Could Be On Its Way To Unity Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Captain_Hook

As suggested in our last meeting, and supported in continuing technical analysis by Dave (which you can review at your convenience on the site), equities have yet to top out, however we are likely within just a few days / weeks of such an event. And as you know from our ongoing discussion of the seasonal inversion which we have posited as the causal factor behind ongoing strength in equities / stocks through this normally weak period that occurs yearly, this analysis jives with such a view as well, setting the stage for an important top stocks to be put in place sometime between now and the end of October. (i.e. or possibly the beginning of November, but it’s unlikely to run that long past a testing process, possibly in the form of a double top.)

Monday, October 05, 2009

The Stock Market’s Next Move May Surprise You / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Q1_Publishing

 “The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many men as possible.” – Bernard Baruch

The market is set to make a move…a very big move.

Monday, October 05, 2009

U.S. Dollar, Gold and S&P Mega Trades for Q4 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading

By: INO

Three Potential Mega Trades In Q4

It seems to me that we are at an inflection point in the economy. The government has blown pretty much all of its money and the economic recovery and the economy is still sputtering along. No surprise there.

Monday, October 05, 2009

Stock Market Toppy and Trendless / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Steven_Vincent

Overall, the evidence is mounting that some kind of a top in equities and commodities and some kind of a bottom in the US Dollar is in the process of being produced. Short term, an oversold condition and a spike in bearishness may combine with the proclivity of traders to buy every dip off the March bottom with abandon producing a bounce to resistance. What happens then will be very telling. A period of indecision and trendless, choppy trading is likely as either a top is created or markets break out again. This is a good time to be on the sidelines waiting for the markets to resolve in either direction.

Sunday, October 04, 2009

A Solution for the Financial Crisis, Is America Broke Part III / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Douglas_V._Gnazzo

"The rich ruleth over the poor,and the borrower is servant to the lender." ^[1]

Abstract

This is the third and final paper in the Is America Broke series. In the first two articles, several of the contributing factors to today’s financial crisis were discussed. Several important questions were asked:

Sunday, October 04, 2009

Stock Market Investor Sentiment: The Trend Is Your Friend / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Investor sentiment changed little as the 3rd quarter came to an end. The "smart money" continues to sit tight and has yet to tip its hand. The "dumb money" or retail investor (sorry, no offense meant to those who have been right for the last 3 months) continues to buy the dips aggressively. Company insiders continue to sell in record numbers. In the end, it is the same story as "the trend is your friend until it ends".

Sunday, October 04, 2009

Where Next For The Dow Jones Stock Market Index? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Andrew_Butter

Round numbers I'm calling the intra-day high on the Dow of 9,938 on 23rd September as a "hit", that's within 1% of where my model in May said it would reach without any mishap (http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article10604.html).

Sunday, October 04, 2009

Stocks Bull Market Correction Continues, U.S. Dollar Bears Running Out of Time? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Stock markets continued to correct following the preceding weeks sell signals as confirmed in last weeks newsletter. The market has now given a ABC pattern which allows me to generate a trend channel within which I can trade more closely to the price, i.e. rather than leaving stops far distant due to the lack of price action as the below chart illustrates (more on trading, eventually at walayatstreet.com).

Sunday, October 04, 2009

Dr Doom Marc Faber Forecasts Worse Financial and Economic Crisis Ahead / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Submissions

Marc Faber, Dr Doom in this 4 part video interview skeptical on the stock market rally and states that the the U.S. economy will not recover and a far larger economic and financial crisis lies ahead and discusses the zero yield boosting asset classes.

Saturday, October 03, 2009

Has FDIC Run out of Funds to Close More Bankrupt Banks? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

No new entries on the FDIC Failed Bank List.  What gives?

U.S. stocks fell, capping the market’s first back-to-back weekly declines since July, as a bigger-than-estimated loss of jobs and a drop in factory orders spurred concern the economy is struggling to recover.

Saturday, October 03, 2009

Financial Markets and World Economy Fingers of Instability / Stock-Markets / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

Fingers of Instability
Ubiquity, Complexity Theory, and Sandpiles
Stability Leads to Instability
A Stable Disequilibrium
3 Billion and Counting
"To trace something unknown back to something known is alleviating, soothing, gratifying and gives moreover a feeling of power. Danger, disquiet, anxiety attend the unknown - the first instinct is to eliminate these distressing states. First principle: any explanation is better than none... The cause-creating drive is thus conditioned and excited by the feeling of fear ..." Friedrich Nietzsche

Saturday, October 03, 2009

Sock Market Breaks Support on 20Day Exponential Moving Averages / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

We can remember the beginning of October as the time when the major indexes across the board lost their 20-day exponential moving averages. The market had traded above them for many months. So long, in fact, that they were able to cross over the 50-day exponential averages, which is quite bullish.

Friday, October 02, 2009

A Jobless Economic Recovery or Something Else? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

U.S. job losses accelerated last month and the unemployment rate climbed to the highest level since 1983, stark reminders of how the worst financial crisis in a generation may undermine consumer spending and economic growth in the months ahead.

Friday, October 02, 2009

Another October Stock Market Surprise? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Andy_Sutton

I have been asked countless times in the past month why it is that share markets seem to have a difficult time navigating the autumn months. Obviously, there is a healthy amount of fear regarding the next 29 days, as the memories of last year are still firmly intact. Yesterday’s 203-point drop in the Dow Jones Industrials Average has done nothing more than rekindle those sour memories. While the question ‘Why October?’ is largely rhetorical in nature, we can certainly take a look at history for some potential causes for the blowups.