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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 02, 2008

Manipulation of US Employment Statistics - Revision Higher Next Month? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMinimizing the (un)employment report - The Bureau of Labor Statistics released its January Employment Situation Report. According to the BLS, the employment situation was “essentially unchanged.” Buried in the report was the offhand mention that we had “a small January movement in nonfarm payroll employment (-17,000).” Small movement? The expectations were for a 70,000 increase!

Omitted from the report was the CES Birth/Death Model , which normally puts a positive spin on the employment report. Not this time! According to this model, all sectors of the economy suffered losses, with the grand total 378,000 jobs lost in January. Maybe this is a statistical fluke, but you can imagine some bureaucrat storming into the statisticians' offices and saying, “Fix it!” There will be revisions in next month's report.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 02, 2008

Stock Market Tug o' War Between Bulls and Bears / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Dominick

If the palpable struggle between the bulls and bears was not obvious this week, from early on Monday, through the Fed announcement, and right up to Friday's close … I'm not sure you're paying attention. But even if you could feel the tension, there's nothing like a few charts to really spell out the situation.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 02, 2008

Short-term Upside in S&P 500 & Nasdaq Stock Market Indices / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

This week we're looking at some short-term patterns for trading this volatile market, starting with the hourly chart on the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (SPY), as of just before Friday's close.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 02, 2008

The Stock Market - FTSE Bull or Bear? / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Fat_Prophets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSo far, 2008 has been an extraordinary year for investors. Sharp falls in December and January, which culminated in last Tuesday morning's panic selling, saw the FTSE100 down more than 20 percent from October highs. This supposed magic 20 percent figure sparked widespread talk of an 'official bear market'. But for the remainder of the week, the market rallied, thus pulling us out of bear market territory. Does this mean we're back in a bull market?

"On the one hand we have a contracting global credit bubble and on the other we have the US authorities manning the liquidity pumps to stimulate a flagging economy. "

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 01, 2008

US Banking System Teetering on the Brink of Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSomebody goofed. When Fed chairman Ben Bernanke cut interest rates to 3% yesterday, the price of a new mortgage went up. How does that help the flagging housing industry?

About an hour after Bernanke made the announcement that the Fed Funds rate would be cut by 50 basis points the yield on the 30-year Treasury nudged up a tenth of a percent to 4.42%. The same thing happened to the 10 year Treasury which surged from a low of 3.28% to 3.73% in less than a week. That means that mortgages which are priced off long-term government bonds---will be going up, too.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 01, 2008

Stock Market Investment Buying Opportunity of a Lifetime! / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Edelson writes: No, I'm not talking about U.S. stocks! Despite yesterday's half point rate cut from the Fed, my stance on the U.S. economy and stock market has not changed. And I hope you've listened to my suggestion to shed most of your U.S. stocks, with the exception of select gold miners and natural resource plays.

But what about China? China's stock market has fallen as much as 32% since its recent peak, begging the questions ...

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 31, 2008

Banking Index and Shanghai Stock Market Index at Critical Levels / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Marty_Chenard

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe have previously pointed out that the financial and banking sectors are very important relative to the S&P 500 for a very good reason ... and the reason is that financial's make up 20% of all the S&P 500 stocks.

So, the first chart we will look at today is the Banking Index.  The Index has been in a bear market since February of 2007 when it dropped from its peak.  Like all down trends, the index has continued to make Lower/Highs and Lower/Lows.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 31, 2008

PANDEMONIUM! - US Financial Markets in Uproar After Fed Loses All Traction / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom Merriam Webster's Online Dictionary: Pandemonium. noun; Etymology: New Latin, from Greek pan- + daimo-n evil spirit — more at demon . Date: 1667. 1: the capital of Hell in Milton's "Paradise Lost." 2: the infernal regions: hell . 3: not capitalized : a wild uproar : tumult .

On Wednesday January 30, 2008, the last stops to a total collapse of the US financial structure were pulled out. The elevator cable is now cut, with the elevator carriage at the 45th floor of a 50-floor skyscraper. If you believe you can "jump" to avoid getting crushed when the carriage hits the concrete floor below - good luck!

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 31, 2008

US Interest Rate Cut Bombs! Fed Trapped Between Rock and a Hard Place! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes: Bernanke's half-point rate cut this afternoon initially gave the stock market a quick shot in the arm.

But then the Dow turned right around, gave back every penny of its gains, and ended the day DOWN 37 points!

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 31, 2008

US Fed 0.50% Rate Cut Fails to Boost a Fragile Stock Market / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates

By: Donald_W_Dony

The aggressive 50bps Fed rate cut and the finishing negative numbers points to the deep fragility of the stock market. As the rate now sits at 3%, this leaves very little room for the Fed to cut any further. This is particularly concerning as the new bear market has potentially 18-30 months of additional downward pressure on the stock market and the economy.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Greenspans Unbelievable Response to Financial Market Turmoil Due to Formation of His Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you read the media article below (Greenspan interview) in context of an understanding that “energy drives the economy”, and in context of the rising trendline of the PMO oscillator on the 30 year Bond Yield monthly chart, you have to agree with Greenspan.

The third quote highlighted is almost unbelievable in its disingenuousness. The man is either unbelievably stupid or unbelievably dishonest or unbelievably obtuse. But the emphasis is on the word “unbelievable”. How else could these bubbles have formed, Mr Greenspan? Please explain.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Nasdaq Bullish Ahead of Fed Interest Rate Decision - Long the QQQQ's / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

So far the first hour of trading has expanded the "inside triangle" in the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) towards a test of yesterday's high at 44.72, which so far has contained the early strength. In the aftermath of the minor rally from 44.00 to 44.61, micro support on any pullback now becomes 44.40, then 44.20/00, which must hold to avert a decline that expands the trading range to the downside (a nasty whipsaw that could in fact be in the cards ahead of, and possibly immediately after, the FOMC decision). For the time being, I will remain long, looking for additional strength that pops the Q's above 44.72 on the way to 45.00 before Fed time.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Asian Emerging Market Stocks Rocket on Strong Growth Outlook / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTony Sagami writes: What an amazing bounce!

You may think I'm talking about last Wednesday's big 298-point rally for the Dow Jones, but I'm not. I'm referring to a much bigger bounce that happened across the Pacific Ocean on the same day:

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

FSA - UK Regulator Warns of Breakdown of Business Models of Some Financial Institutions / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation

By: Submissions

The Financial Services Authority (FSA) today published its Financial Risk Outlook (FRO) warning firms and consumers of the risks inherent in a significantly less benign economic environment. Its central scenario identifies the following five priority risks:

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Rogue Trader Criminal Mastermind or Example of Incompetent Regulation and Risk Management / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"We need to stay cool and send positive signals...I repeat: We shouldn't create alarm." Joaquin Almunia, European commissioner for monetary affairs, interviewed by Der Spiegel , Jan 27th

JEROME KERVIEL, fast-overtaking John Law as France's worst-ever financial mishap, claimed on his most recent resumé to enjoy judo and sailing, as well as running up $7.1 billion in losses for his employers in his spare time.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

S&P Stock Market Index Heading Higher / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The vast majority of my technical work points still higher in the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) before the recovery upleg runs its initial course on the upside. At this juncture, my pattern work indicates that prices are carving out a high level, near-term bullish consolidation area that should resolve itself to the upside either into, or in reaction to, tomorrow's FOMC decision.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Stock Market Top Identified by Business Cycle - Rotate Sectors for Growth / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe rhythmic rise and fall of equity sectors throughout the business cycle has told economist, analysts and investors for decades the positions of the economic and stock market cycles. Certain equity sectors typically advance at different phases of the cycles which provide important clues and can dramatically assist in portfolio performance. For example, financial's normally lead the stock market and are one of the first to decline before the market top and one of the first to advance in the late bear phase. The transportation sector is also one of the strongest performing groups in the early bull market but usually rolls over at the top signaling the end of the bull market is near.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 28, 2008

US Stock Market Not Pricing in Recession! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat a difference a week makes! Recession talk is everywhere. This begs the question, are markets priced for such a possibility? We would suggest the answer is a resounding no. Valuation and cyclical risk are enormous. Yet, investors pile on the pressure by believing they can tell 'true' growth stocks from young pretenders. Simultaneously, investors seem to have transformed into speculators. This creates opportunities for those with the discipline to stick to their long-term process. Such investors are likely to find comfort in cash, if they are allowed. Failing that, large cap dividend paying stocks are probably the best place to hide.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 28, 2008

Stocks in a Bear Market! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: David_Shvartsman

Last week we talked about how the US stock market's recent bearish action had spread worldwide .

Today we're going to take a look at where the US markets currently stand, and give you a quick overview of why we think US stocks have entered a bear market.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 28, 2008

US Government Rescue Plan is Too Little Too Late as the Liquidity Bubbles Burst / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor politicians, the government's $150 billion stimulus package is a no-brainer. But for investors, it's a bomb that could greatly intensify the flood of disasters now unfolding. In my open letter below, I explain why. And in the days ahead, we will give you step-by-step instructions for an ark of protection that would make Noah proud. — Martin

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