Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, May 22, 2013
Stock Market Nosebleed Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I just wanted to comment on the extremes to which this market has gone. The normal standard deviation used to mark the top of a cycle is 2.0 above the six-month moving average price. Normal market tops will either touch the upper Cycle Top line and almost immediately will be repelled. Thus, I call it Cycle Top resistance. In a very few rare instances the price of the SPX will briefly move above it, but drop back beneath the resistance area quickly.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 22, 2013
Dow, FTSE, Stock Market Panic, Euphoria, Irrational Rally Continues, What I am Doing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market continues to soar with the Dow closing at 15,387, and the FTSE at 6803, my conclusion as of late March is that the current stage of the stocks rally underway was as a direct consequence of the Cyprus debacle that literally poured gasoline onto the stock market rally fire as for the first time Bank Depositors LOST money (stolen) and not just by a few percentage points, but in real life examples of as much as 85% of their bank balance being stolen. The rally was then further boosted to by the Japanese pouring rocket fuel onto the fire through the policy of Hyper QE Inflation.
Tuesday, May 21, 2013
Lookout For A Stock Market Spike High Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Submissions
HighRev writes: When attempting to put shorter term price action into a longer term perspective, I couldn't help but notice the tendency over recent years for markets to put in spike high tops on the intermediate term time frame. I also couldn't help but remember what Alexander Elder said when briefly recounting the origins and historical background of TA in his book Trading For A Living; specifically, on page 70, when commenting on changes in overall market behavior occurring on the generational time frame he said:
Tuesday, May 21, 2013
Crash Proof Your Stocks Portfolio - Parallels to 1987 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Axel_Merk
With the stock market seemingly reaching new highs every day, should we worry about a crash that puts an end to the party? If so, how should investors prepare? Let us explain.
Tuesday, May 21, 2013
Stock Market A Drop Of Selling... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
For now that's all it is, but the question is will it become more or will it be just another drop of selling that gets bought up by the bulls. The answer to that will be answered to some degree early tomorrow. We will watch those futures overnight and they should give us some insight as to whether we're getting follow-through or not. The bears need to get rocking with some momentum now. The longer they wait to hit the market the faster the bulls react to buying any weakness.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 21, 2013
Inflation Is The Lifeblood Of A Healthy Economy / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: I_M_Vronsky
Inflation Is To An Economy What Blood Pressure Is To The Human Body
It is a well-known medical fact that more people die from LOW BLOOD PRESSURE then from high blood pressure.
Therefore, if one accepts the premise that Inflation is to an Economy what Blood Pressure is to the Human Body, it then logically follows that low inflation rate over a protracted period will eventually and inevitably destroy a heretofore healthy economy.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 20, 2013
Stock Market Structure + Cycles + Divergence = Corrrection? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX continues to progress according to its structure. If the count is correct, an intermediate reversal could still be a little ways off.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 18, 2013
The Fading 2008 Stock Market Doomsday Scenarios / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Sy_Harding
The gloom and doom theorists swarmed out of the woodwork during the 2008 financial meltdown in reaction to government actions taken to prevent the ‘great recession’ from morphing into the next great depression.The blame fell on both political parties. The Bush administration began the bailout efforts in March, 2008 and by the time its term ended it had provided $29 billion in loan guarantees to allow JP Morgan Chase to take over collapsing Bear Stearns, the $178 billion ‘Average American Bailout’ stimulus plan, the $300 billion Homeowners Bailout, the $200 billion bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the $25 billion Automakers Bailout, the $150 billion bailout of AIG, and the $700 billion Banks Bailout (TARP).
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 18, 2013
Poor Economic Data... But Nothing Stopping The Stock Market Bull / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
Poor data, again, late in the week couldn't get the market to stumble very much. Some, yes, but in a big way, no. We saw the number from the Philadelphia Fed come in below the zero level again after going green the prior month. Minus five, and change, showing their economy is in recession for the very short-term at least. On top of that, we then saw a huge increase in the jobless claims number. Thirty thousand bump up and well above expectations. The type of one-two punch that should knock the market down, but once again it did not, while the majority scratch their heads wondering why we all know the reasons by now. There's nowhere else to go. Interest rates are too low and the liquidity machine on every day all day long. A lethal one-two punch the bears are not able to overcome at this point in time.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 18, 2013
Stock Market Warning - 79% of S&P 500 Companies Issue Negative 2Q Earnings Guidance / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes:
The disconnect between the stock market and the U.S.economy continues to grow, as the key stock indices run way ahead of reality.
The fundamental reasons behind the rise in today’s key stock indices are missing. For a real rally to happen, there has to be rising demand in the U.S. economy, consumers must be confident to spend, and businesses should see their sales rising. None of this is taking place.
Friday, May 17, 2013
Stock Market Extreme Euphoria Tops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Zeal_LLC
The levitating stock markets continue to seductively entrance traders, powering to new nominal record highs day after day after day. No one believes a meaningful selloff is even possible anymore, thanks to the vast deluge of central-bank monetary inflation. Sheer euphoria has set in as all perception of risk has vanished. This makes these stock markets extraordinarily dangerous, they are truly at topping extremes.
As of Wednesday, the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) had rallied to new nominal record highs in 11 of the past 13 trading days. It blasted 4.8% higher over this short span. If sustained for an entire year, this blistering rate of ascent would nearly double the stock markets! This latest euphoric surge extended the cyclical stock bull that was born way back in March 2009 to a massive 145.2% gain over 50.2 months.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 17, 2013
Why the Stock Market Boom Will Continue Until 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: The stock market boom so far has been incredible... And it isn't ending anytime soon...
The Dow Jones stock index is up 22% since November. It's hitting new all-time highs. And most people are worried that a bust is just around the corner. But those people don't get why the market is going up...
Thursday, May 16, 2013
Why Knowing the Currency Risk Can Pay Off In Investing / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
By: DailyGainsLetter
Moe Zulfiqar writes: Portfolio management is the key to growing savings over time. The implication behind this is that if an investor manages their portfolio regularly, adjusting asset classes based on market and economic conditions, they can reduce their risk and earn a decent rate of return, as well as peace of mind.
That said, investors need to look out for many different types of risks. To name a few, investors need to protect their portfolio from market fluctuations, reduce industry-specific risks, and keep in mind the rate of inflation.
Thursday, May 16, 2013
Warning: Why My Flash Crash Alert Flag Is Flying High / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Bill_Bonner
Whoa! Investors are acting as if it were 2007 all over again.
USA Today has the story: Emboldened by soaring stock prices and record-low borrowing costs, stock investors are taking out loans against their portfolios at the fastest pace since before the Great Recession hit.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 16, 2013
Stock Market Stable..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
Stable is the best word I can find to use for today's action. The bulls tried a few times to run away with things while the bears made a few attempts of their own. Back and forth they went. In the end, the bulls held their own when you consider how overbought we are. We seem to be staying overbought, and thus, the bears have yet to take advantage. You have to wonder when they will, but for now, they have been unable to get any sustainable down side action going. It seems almost as if they're fearful to even try, getting tired of shorting. It hasn't worked as shortly thereafter they're forced to cover. If you get pounded on your head over and over you would think you'd give it up after a while.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 15, 2013
Stocks Disconnect From Reality… and Every Other Asset Class / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Graham_Summers
The stock market is completely and totally out of control.
Eight of the last ten closes have been new record highs. It’s now been six months since we had a 5% correction. Traders got us to 1,650 on the S&P 500.
At this point, no long term investor in their right mind should be buying. This is especially true given that the S&P 500 is now not only totally disconnected from economic reality, but is disconnected from every other asset class.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 14, 2013
It’s Official the Stock Market is In a Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Graham_Summers
The markets are rallying because today is Tuesday. Stocks have rallied every Tuesday for the last 17 weeks and traders are now conditioned to play for this move. It’s also a POMO day (meaning the Fed is pumping the markets), which adds fuel to the fire for a stock rally.
The market is beyond overstretched. We have not had a 5% correction in six months. Stocks have gone almost straight up for 89 days (we haven’t had a 3+day correction in that long). This is an all time record. The last time stocks rallied without a 3+ day correction was in the buildup to the Crash of 1987.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 14, 2013
Stock Market Record Rally Leaving Half of Americans Behind / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: DailyGainsLetter
John Whitefoot writes: The stock market continues to chug along, hitting new highs virtually every day. Back in early March, the Dow Jones Industrial Average crossed 14,200 for the first time ever. It has continued to climb over the last two months and is currently sitting near 15,100. So far this year, the Dow Jones is up more than 15%. The S&P 500 is running in step and is up 14.5% in 2013.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 14, 2013
Stock Market Top Warning - Major Divergences Taking Place / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Since the middle of April everyone and including their grandmother seems to have been building a short position in the equities market and we know picking tops or bottoms fighting the major underlying trend is risky business but most individuals cannot resist.
The rush one gets trying to pick a major top or bottom is flat out exciting and that is what makes it so darn addicting and irresistible. If you have ever nailed a market top or bottom then you know just how much money can be made. That one big win naturally draws you back to keep doing it much like how a casino works. The chemicals released in the brain during these extremely exciting times are strong enough that even the most focused traders fall victim to breaking rules and trying these type of bets/trades.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 14, 2013
France's Youth Wants To Quit / Stock-Markets / France
By: Andrew_McKillop
MAY 1968 WAS 45 YEARS AGO
Widely published in the French press but barely reported on government-friendly audiovisual media, the "generation of '68" which includes President Francois Hollande and ex-president Sarkozy, and their policymakers and spin doctors, got a whiff of what the next generation thinks of the "libertarian and socialist society" that came out of the so-called revolution of 1968.