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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 08, 2017

US Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the holiday shortened week at SPX 2423. After a gap up opening on Monday the market rallied to SPX 2439. The market pulled back to SPX 2422 by Wednesday morning, then rallied to 2435 in the afternoon. A gap down opening on Thursday took the SPX to 2408 near the close. Then a gap up opening on Friday rallied the market to SPX 2427. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.2%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.2%. Economic reports for the week were slightly negatively biased. On the downtick: auto sales, factory orders, the ADP, the WLEI, plus jobless claims and the unemployment rate rose. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing/services, monthly payrolls, plus the trade deficit improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by FED chair Yellen’s testimony to Congress, the Beige book, and industrial production. Best to your week!

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Commodities

Saturday, July 08, 2017

Gold Awaits Fundamental Shift / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Last week we wrote that Gold’s poor performance in real terms could reflect its worsening fundamentals. Real interest rates are rising because the rate of inflation has peaked and bond yields are rebounding. It is a double whammy for precious metals. This is not permanent but something that could last a few quarters. Gold needs inflation to accelerate or bond yields to drop significantly. One historical analog argues that with respect to the Federal Reserve, a change in policy could be part of the fundamental shift needed to drive Gold into a bull market.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 08, 2017

Stock Market Indexes Are Winding Up for a Fast Ball / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I finally have internet service and can communicate to you. We had a violent storm pass through early this morning. I did not know the extent of the damage until I discovered my broadband service was out and the roads were blocked by downed trees. Fortunately, we are on a high priority electricity grid, so power was back on by sunrise.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 08, 2017

Major Market Opportunity of a Lifetime is Coming! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

"That time still lies ahead, but it is coming." - Robert Prechter says on the first page of his Elliott Wave Theorist.

The major market Bob refers to could be the opportunity of a lifetime. And the quote above could be considered the theme of this issue.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 07, 2017

If The Fed’s Members Spent Some Time As Uber Drivers, Our Monetary Policy Would Be Saner / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : John Mauldin wrote a letter last year called “Life on the Edge” that I think was one of his most important ever. It drew more reader feedback than anything else of John’s I’ve seen.

Drawing on Peggy Noonan’s Protected vs. Unprotected theme, John described how our economy has left so many people behind. Their anger, much of it well-justified, is one reason Donald Trump is now president.

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Housing-Market

Friday, July 07, 2017

Find Out How to Amazon-Proof Your Real Estate Portfolio / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Charles_Sizemore

I recently heard Amazon, the world’s largest online retailer, described as a “bull in a china shop” for the way it’s disrupted industry after industry.

But that’s really the wrong analogy. An angry bull lashes out erratically, goring or trampling whatever happens to be in front of it at the moment. Amazon is far too mechanical for that.

The better comparison for Amazon would be a steamroller. Like a steamroller, Amazon slowly and methodically flattens everything in its path.
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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 07, 2017

Trump Trade Will Break in 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Adam_ODell

The first half of 2017 is over… and, boy, was it one for the history books!

American politics dominated the global discussion, as speculation ran rampant over who would emerge as the winners and losers of a Trump presidency.

Surprisingly (or not!)… the media’s storylines have likely led naïve investors into some of the worst-performing investments so far this year.

Essentially, everything that was up “huuuuge” from Election Day through year end… is now lagging behind. And everything that struggled to digest the reality of Trump’s win… is now leading the pack.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 07, 2017

Don’t Listen To the Daily News When It Comes To Investments / Stock-Markets / Mainstream Media

By: Harry_Dent

The hot topic in politics of late is “fake news”… like the media is the villain.

Sometimes they are. MSNBC obviously has a clear leaning towards the left, and Fox towards the right. That’s why I prefer to watch some CNN.

But I think the media generally does a good job of trying to find the truth, even if from a biased side. They ask hard questions and uncover scandals. A free press has always been a cornerstone of democracy, and should be allowed to do its job.
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ElectionOracle

Friday, July 07, 2017

UK Election Forecasting - YouGov Snatches Defeat from the Jaws of Victory! / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The most notable outlier forecast of the 2017 UK general election was YouGov's seats forecast announced about 2 weeks prior to the general election that was contrary to every other pollster and analysts at the time. Initially YouGov forecast that the Tories would only achieve 310 seats.

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Commodities

Friday, July 07, 2017

Silver Prices Bounce Higher After Futures Manipulated 7% Lower In Minute / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Silver prices ‘flash crash’ before rebound
– Silver hammered 7% lower in less than minute in Asian trading
– Silver fell from $16 to $14.82, before recovering to $15.89
– Silver plunge blamed on another ‘trading error’
– Gold similar ‘flash crash’ last week and similar recovery
– Hallmarks of market manipulation as $450 million worth of silver futures sold in minute
– Trading ‘errors’ always push gold and silver lower. Why never higher?
– ‘Flash crashes’ increasingly frequent in precious metals, yet rarely happen in stocks and bonds
– Rapid recovery from frequent raids bodes well for precious metals
– Silver coins and bars accumulated on dips by ‘stackers’

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Commodities

Friday, July 07, 2017

Gold Seasonal - The Golden Age Has Just Begun / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Dimitri_Speck

In recent issues of Seasonal Insights I have discussed two asset classes that tend to suffer performance problems in most years until the autumn, namely stocks and bitcoin.

I thought you might for a change want to hear of an asset that will be in a seasonal uptrend over coming months.

Such assets do of course exist, and one that has particularly good prospects at the moment is gold.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, July 07, 2017

UK House Prices the Most Accurate General Election Forecast Predictor / ElectionOracle / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

UK house prices wealth effect once more proved to be the MOST accurate forecaster for the outcome of UK general elections i.e. April house prices data implied 342 Tory seats, which far more reliable when compared to the a range of forecast expectations primarily by pollster based analysts that extended 375 seats just prior to polling day.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 07, 2017

The Fed Just Admitted, On RECORD, Stocks Are In a Bubble / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Graham_Summers

Yesterday, the Fed made the single largest announcement of the last 10 years.

The media didn’t catch it. Nor did the markets.

The reason?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 07, 2017

A Crash is Coming.... Last Time This Happened Was Spring 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Perhaps the single most accurate predictor of the economy has rolled over into recession territory.

I’m talking about tax revenues.

GDP growth, unemployment data, ISM surveys… all of these can and are massaged by statisticians to create a rosier picture of the economy than reality. By way of example, we recently noted that 95% of all net job growth since 2008 was in fact created via an accounting gimmick. In reality, the jobs were never created at all.

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Commodities

Friday, July 07, 2017

GOLD Flashing Bullish Signals Again, USDJPY Contracting Triangle in Play / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: N/A. USD: Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Fed Monetary Policy Report.

USDJPY has spent the week going sideways in a contracting range.
This price action is beginning to look like a contracting triangle,
Possibly within wave '4' pink.

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Politics

Thursday, July 06, 2017

Here’s Why This G20 Meeting Doesn’t Really Matter / Politics / Global Economy

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : Anyone who has ever been to a meeting knows that meetings are often confounding, frustrating affairs. Most of them are designed simply to be held. The people who attend them are unlikely to agree on anything except maybe the date of the next one.

The G-20 summit is no exception.

But that’s only because the people who attend it, the leaders of the countries with the world’s 20 largest economies, think of themselves as decision-makers when really they are hostages to history.

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Politics

Thursday, July 06, 2017

This Graphic Shows the Reach of North Korea’s Most Successful Missile Test / Politics / North Korea

By: John_Mauldin

RiskEdge: Kim Jong-un is variously seen as a fantasy-sodden rattler of sabers or a mad and dangerous threat to global peace.

Whichever more closely approximates the truth, the world is watching North Korea’s nuclear and ballistic missile quest ever more uneasily.

And on May 14, the pariah state embarked on its most successful missile test yet:

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Politics

Thursday, July 06, 2017

North vs. South Korea: The Human Divide / Politics / North Korea

By: John_Mauldin

RiskEdge : The wildly differing trajectories of North and South Korea since they were divided at the end of World War II are well known.

Slightly murkier are the very human statistics illustrating the differences between the two. The paranoically secretive nature of North Korea means that a wealth of data is difficult to come by, but the most reliable data available is striking.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 06, 2017

6 Things Precious Metals Naysayers Get Dead Wrong / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Stefan Gleason : Answering the Most Common and Current Objections

Gold attracts its fair share of detractors. But the most common objections to gold as money, and as a safe-haven asset within an investment portfolio, are misplaced. Anti-gold myths are ubiquitous.

Mega billionaire Warren Buffett remarked derisively of gold that it “gets dug out of the ground in Africa, or someplace. Then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again, and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility.”

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Commodities

Thursday, July 06, 2017

Don’t Hold Your Breath For Deeper OPEC Oil Cuts / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

The rally in oil prices over the past two weeks came to a halt on Wednesday on news that OPEC is actually exporting more oil than previously thought.

A month ago, oil prices appeared to be higher than they should have been, with weak demand, elevated inventories, and a recognition that the nine-month OPEC extension would be inadequate to balance the market. Oil sold off and dropped to the mid-$40s and below. Oil traders then bought on the dip, and bid prices back up over the past two weeks. Now, prices again look like they could be reaching an upper limit.

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