Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, April 22, 2010
Is the Stock Market Correction Over or Just Beginning? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Equities markets are trading near the highs but a short term lateral correction seems to be in progress.
I like to monitor how the market responds to the stimulus of news items. We have not seen an emergence of the earnings season "sell the news" phenomenon as a general rule so far and that is bullish. Select issues have been hit hard if results have disappointed but others have rallied sharply on positive results and the gains have held.
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Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Short the S&P500, The Pain Trade / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
A trading buddy and I frequently talk about the markets, and as always, the conversation turns to the "hardest trade". The "hardest trade" is that trade that has the potential to inflict a lot of pain, but ultimately in the end, it is the right trade. The pain trade is the hardest trade and the trade that yields the best results.
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Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Stock Market Whipsaw Wednesday - Is Los Angeles Burning? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Is Los Angeles Burning?
Well, if not, it may be soon as 3,500 city jobs go on the chopping block including 61 firefighters in an area that routinely bursts into flames. Los Angeles County seeks to eliminate an additional 1,400 positions with both the County and the City looking to trim their budgets down from last year. “The mayor’s budget plan will make it harder to do business here, harder to raise a family and harder to keep neighborhoods safe,” the Coalition of Los Angeles City Unions said on April 16. The group represents 22,000 workers. The mayor’s proposed budget includes $63 million in savings from forcing some employees to take as many as 26 days off without pay.
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Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Rally Looking Toppy / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
From a big-picture perspective, the stock market’s advance off the March 2009 low is nothing more than a huge, bear market rally.
To understand how I come to that conclusion, just look at two classical valuation measures, price-to-earnings ratios and dividend yields, in the chart below. You can easily see how this stock market bear, which started in 2000 at record overvaluations, still has a lot of work to do …
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Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Stock Market Five Year Forecast, You'll Lose Money / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: What are you getting for your money in stocks today?
Sure, the market is way up... and investors are excited... But what's the outlook over, say, five years?
Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Nasdaq Leads Stock Market Higher... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Which is exactly what you want to see when things are all right in the world. If the S&P 500 or Dow is leading, it tells me the market wants less risky plays, which is never a great thing. Good to see after a slow start this morning, the Nasdaq rise to the top of the hill and lead the way higher in front of Apple Inc. (AAPL) report this evening. It was interesting to watch how no one was afraid of being in this report. It was only down slightly during the day,
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Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Stock Markets Boosted by Corporate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
After a fairly see-saw session Monday, US equities shrugged off earlier weakness in Asian markets (especially in China) to close higher, with a 1% rebound in the financials leading the S&P 500 to a 0.5% gain. Shares in Goldman Sachs rose 1.6% after declining 12.8% on Friday (after newswires report SEC vote to sue was by 3-2 split). The standout performer was Citigroup, whose shares rose 7% (albeit merely erasing losses over the previous two trading sessions). The bank reported adjusted per-share earnings of 14 cents compared to expectations of a flat result. And encouragingly, Citigroup set aside less money to cover bad loans and marked up the value of its Special Asset Pool (its problematic legacy loans and trading positions).
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Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Profiting From Shorting America, Inside The Doomsday Machine / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Ask the average guy on the street — Main or Wall — about what caused the meltdown on Wall Street in 2008, and you might get "greed," or "arrogance," or "too much leverage," or "too little regulation," or a blank stare. After all, the arcane world of mortgage securities was new. After the dot-com bust, Wall Street needed products to make money on. And with middle Americans figuring they could collectively get rich just by taking title to a home with no money down and watching the value climb to the heavens (extracting money to maintain their lifestyles along the way), well, that's what Wall Street's all about: something for nothing.
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Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Indonesia Is Still a Profit Haven for Stock Market Investors / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies
Jon D. Markman writes: Several readers who know of my affinity for Indonesian stocks have sent me articles reporting that one of the country's bank officials had expressed discomfort over the Jakarta's rising stock market and raised the specter of new capital controls.
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Tuesday, April 20, 2010
How to Profit From Australia, The Worlds Luckiest Country / Stock-Markets / Austrailia
Martin Hutchinson writes: When the late Donald Horne called Australia the " Lucky Country" in 1964, the professor and well-known social critic meant it as an insult: He believed that while other countries were getting rich by developing special skills and embracing new technology, Australia prospered just because it happened to sit on a pile of valuable natural resources.
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Baltic Dry Index Peaking Impact on Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The 1-month lag between the Baltic Dry Index and selected commodities strikes again. The BDI, a daily index of shipping costs of dry bulk, is often seen as a leading indicator for raw material demand, hence a precursor for global production dynamics.
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Monday, April 19, 2010
U.S. China Currency Clash, This Could Turn Out to be Very Scary... / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
The U.S. vs. China currency clash is coming to an end. The investor consensus is that the yuan could appreciate by 5% by the end of this year.
What's at stake?
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Was Friday The Stock Market Top Or The Start Of A Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Was that it? Was that the top? While many are asking this question the answer is yet to truly reveal itself. If it is then it's of the trendline break variety.
But more often than not usually you get some sort of rally attempt after it pulls back and then we need to be on our toes. What we really need to see is if this is just a bump in the road or the start of something more.
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Breaking Down the Major China ETFs, FXI, PGI and HAO / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
China is a big story, with many moving parts. But these three ETFs can help you keep tabs on the dragon.
So let’s say, as a trader or an investor, you want to get involved in the China story. How do you do it?
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Monday Stock Market Mayhem, Is Goldman’s Goose Cooked? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Goldman, Goldman, Goldman…
Did anything happen this weekend? You sure wouldn’t know it from listening to the MSM, who have no other topic to discuss. I was contacted by over a dozen media people asking me to comment on GS’s guilt or innocence (and, big hint for those of you who like to be quoted - don’t say "how the hell should I know") but, by far, the best analysis I read this week was Sam Antar’s analysis, where Sam says:<
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Goldman Brings Down the Party / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The headline news of the week did not fail to deliver. Like Tiger’s recent life between the bed posts, the markets quickly fell flat after months of posting impressive results.
‘SEC takes off the gloves on Goldman’ reads a headline from the Financial Times…
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Stock Markets Retreat On Various Worries / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Equity investors have not had much to cheer about since our last note on Friday, resulting in widespread losses across the globe. A big dip in US consumer confidence reported Friday afternoon allied with more opinion polls pointing to a “hung” parliament in the UK (due to a surge in support for the Lib Dems). Even Mother Nature is acting against investors. Iceland’s unpronounceable erupting volcano has continued to spew ash into the skies of Europe, grounding aircraft at an estimated cost of about $200m a day according to the International Air Transport Association. In the US, financials lost close to 4% on Friday led by a 13% decline at Goldman Sachs after the SEC charged the bank with fraud in relation to a CDO.
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Stock Market "Dumb Money" Indicator Remains Extremely Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Yes, it is the same story as the "Dumb Money" indicator remains extremely bullish. And yes, it is the same story as the market has once again enticed increasing number of investors that the "all clear" has been sounded. And yes, it will likely end in the same story as the market will once again serve up the maximum amount of pain for the majority of investors.
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Sunday, April 18, 2010
Goldman Sachs Black Swan Triggers Stock Market Sell Signal? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The out of the blue news that the S.E.C. will actually do its job and attempt to hold Goldman Sachs' to account for mortgage fraud on an epic scale that played a large part in bringing about the whole financial crisis as Goldman's sold toxic mortgage backed securities (MBS) to gullible greedy investors (other banks) that it was betting AGAINST, i.e. was priming the U.S. housing market to collapse so that it could profit from the collapse as the value of MBS were wiped out.
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Sunday, April 18, 2010
Financial Reform Bill Will Devastate U.S. Economy, and Goldman Sachs CDO's Squared / Stock-Markets / US Economy
First, Let's Kill the Angels
Equal Choice, Equal Access, Equal Opportunity
Some Quick Thoughts on Goldman
La Jolla and Dallas
When you draft a 1,300-page "financial reform" bill, various special interests get language tucked into the bill to help their agendas. However, the unintended consequences can be devastating. And the financial reform bill has more than a few such items. Today, we look briefly at a few innocent paragraphs that could simply kill the job-creation engine of the US. I know that a few Congressmen and even more staffers read my letter, so I hope that someone can fix this. The Wall Street Journal today noted that the bill, while flawed, keeps getting better with each revision. Let's hope that's the case here.
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