Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, July 20, 2015

Stock Market in Danger of Bear Slide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week I was looking for a short term low Monday and a rally into Wednesday, then down into week's end. The short term low occurred on Sunday in the futures market then sky rocketed all the way into Friday, July 17. In the past, whenever I've seen the 8 TD top go 10 TD's on a 16 TD top area, the market got over extended and lead to hard selling the following week.

Clearly, my forecast was a miss, but I don't think the next one will be too far off. We have the 16 TD low due July 22-24 (July 24 if we go 18 TD's like the last top). The next top is the 8 TD top due right on the FED meeting date July 29. The following week sees the 5/40 wk low due around the 5th of August.

Monday, July 20, 2015

Stock Market Relief Rally and More / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - SPX may have started an intermediate correction

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

Sunday, July 19, 2015

The Historical DOW Stock Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

Some are concerned that the stock market is overvalued, and the bull market may end soon with a resounding crash. They have some valid points. US GDP, to date, has underperformed most modern recoveries. Corporate revenues have been soft lately due to the USD’s bull market. Interest rates are at historical lows and can only go higher, eventually. Record corporate stock buy backs have been helping to drive the stock market higher. Nearly everywhere you look Central Bankers are increasing their balance sheets by buying debt, and stocks in some cases. And, there are bubbles forming in the Bond market, Biotech, and Social media sectors.

Sunday, July 19, 2015

Five Ways for Stock Investors to Profit from the Greek Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Michael A. Robinson writes: Today I'm setting you up with five ways to profit from the Greek Debt Crisis and any other sell-offs that come along.

The market swoons and soars we've seen over the past couple of weeks are part of a long-term trend.

Just in the last week, we saw enormous battles between the bulls and the bears as a bevy of market "pundits" tried to factor in what the dramas in Greece and China will mean for the markets.

Saturday, July 18, 2015

Stock Market Technical Weakness Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Christopher_Quigley

The expected “oversold technical bounce” due to recent market weakness materialized this week. With the good news from Greece spurring sentiment on, the NASDAQ has just jumped to new highs with the Dow 30 and S & P 500 not too far behind. Nothing unusual here. However, just like a clay mound in the Australian desert that is being burrowed out by termites the American stock market’s apparent strength is actually being hollowed out by technical failure.

Saturday, July 18, 2015

Stock Market Room For Further Upside....Transports Bottoming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The short-term charts were overbought on the Nasdaq, Dow, S&P 500, etc. It would be good if we could unwind them. That's exactly what we saw on everything other than the Nasdaq, but that was because Google Inc. (GOOG) was up so much on their earnings. Also, Apple Inc. (AAPL) did well, and it's heavily weighted, but, for the most part, things did unwind. A little more wouldn't be a bad thing, but that doesn't have to happen since the trend overall is still higher and weakness is being bought up. I say higher overall since the long-term trend is up and since 2040 S&P 500 has held on a closing basis. The bears came close, but no cigar. 2044 two times the best they could muster up. Today saw a small gap down on the S&P 500 and Dow, while the Nasdaq gapped up on Google Inc. (GOOG). The rest of the day was spent in a very narrow range as the bulls were trying very hard not to allow too much in terms of price erosion. They're doing their best to keep the S&P 500 close to 2134.

Saturday, July 18, 2015

Why Pensions Are A (Big) Black Swan / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement

By: John_Rubino

When talk turns to what might derail today’s debt-driven “recovery,” the big names and easy stories get most of the attention: China with its soaring debt, volatile equities and heavy-handed intervention; Japan with its stratospheric debt and science fictiony demographics; Greece, which needs no explanation; the developing countries with their weak currencies and mountain of dollar-denominated debt. And of course America’s triple bubble of stocks, bonds and derivatives.

Saturday, July 18, 2015

Are Institutional Stock Market Investors Starting to Worry? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

There is an old adage about when the VIX is too low. During the past 5 days, it dropped almost 40% and it is now at a historically low level.

Since the VIX (Volatility Index) moves opposite to the stock market, it is saying: don't worry, everything is wonderful.

Friday, July 17, 2015

Compelling Reasons Why the Next Move Down in Global Markets is Just Around the Corner / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Rajveer_Rawlin

There are some compelling reasons to believe that the next move down in risk assets across the globe is about to begin:

First and foremost the Euro a good proxy for global risk appetite has completely broken down despite the perceived resolution to the crisis in Greece. The strong dollar could eventually cause the liquidation of carry trades (Source marketwatch.com):

Friday, July 17, 2015

Stock Market Investors Take the Low Risk Road / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

The S&P 500 Index has hit numerous new highs in the past three years.  Note the log-scale graph below and the broken support lines from 2000 and 2007.  The current support line, depending on where it is drawn, is on the verge of breaking.

Friday, July 17, 2015

Beware of Stocks vs Crude Oil Price / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ashraf_Laidi

How high can stocks go following the dissipation of Grexit, reiterated ECB calls to stick with its asset purchases and the stabilisation in Chinese stocks? Can equity bulls ignore the relationship between oil and stocks?

The 22% decline in oil from the May high raises the old question from early Q1: Will cutbacks from oil companies weigh on overall spending? Remember how in January, economists raised the red flag over oil prices' tumble below $50s, owing to the implications of severe cuts in capital expenditure by big oil/gas companies could, falling by as 20%, as low revenues no longer justify project finance.

Friday, July 17, 2015

GOLD and SP500 Intraday - Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Gregor_Horvat

S&P futures did not go far in the last 24 hours, so our view did not change; looking for a reversal down into a three wave retracement for wave B) soon. Notice that we can count five waves up from 2037 while current price is already outside of upward channel so momentum is decreasing, signaling for a turn.

Friday, July 17, 2015

8 Unprecedented Extremes Indicate a Stock Market Bubble in Trouble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: EWI

This article was adapted from Robert Prechter's June 2015 Elliott Wave Theorist. For more charts and detailed commentary, analysis and forecasts from Prechter's latest issues, click here for the extended subscriber version of this report -- it's free.

It is amazing to read assertions from the Fed and others that the stock market is nowhere near being in a bubble. Several aspects of the financial environment are actually so extreme as to be unprecedented. Some indicate a bubble, and others a bubble in trouble.

Thursday, July 16, 2015

Stock Market Fed Follies and Assorted Shenanigans / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jesse

Stocks managed to hold their own today in honor of Janet Yellen's testimony before the House. And it was painful to watch.

The Greek situation continues to remain highly unstable, but the rinse cycle is not quite due yet. but the markets are ignoring these things because of 'technical conditions.'

Thursday, July 16, 2015

The Biggest Trade Ever! (No Exaggeration) / Stock-Markets / Demographics

By: Casey_Research

I won’t keep you in suspense. The biggest trade ever is in demographics. In particular, our rapidly increasing life expectancy.

Quick story. My Coast Guard friends are retiring now. You get to retire after 20 years of service, but some of them have been taking advantage of early retirement and are leaving the service as young as age 40.

Thursday, July 16, 2015

Stock Market Volatility Likely to Slow / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Richard_Cox

When we look at the historical trends of the market, some interesting trends start to emerge.  It can be said that historical averages are not always applicable to what is likely to happen in any given market situation but the fundamentals and technicals are currently aligning in ways that suggests the historical trends in stocks are likely to continue for the next few months.  For stocks, this ultimately means a period of prolonged sideways trading that is likely to persist either until the summer months have finished or until the Federal Reserve actually makes it clear that interest rates will be rising according to a specific timetable.

Thursday, July 16, 2015

Stock Market Positive Expectations Following Greece Debt Deal - New All-time Highs Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Thursday, July 16, 2015

US Dollar, Commodities and the Great Deflation Round 2 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this report I would like to show you some charts that could be telling us that the second shoe maybe getting close to dropping in the on going deflation scenario that really started to take hold last year at this time. If you recall the US dollar broke out of a massive base and with most commodities following lower. Commodities have been consolidating for most of 2015 chopping out some decent sideways trading ranges. In order to really get this second leg going to the downside, for commodities, the US dollar is the key component that needs to breakout topside.

The first chart tonight will be of the US dollar which topped out in March of this year creating a double top reversal pattern. After nearly reaching the price objective in May the dollar had a good bounce only to come back down to the previous low around the 93 area in the middle of June which I could make a case for a double bottom. The low on the right side of the potential double botttom has been carving out an inverse H&S bottom with today’s price action touching the possible neckline. Needless to say this is a critically important point right here and now for the US dollar.

Thursday, July 16, 2015

Stock Market Holding Ahead Of Parliament Vote In Greece... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The market started the day overbought on the short-term sixty-minute charts. It seemed likely we would sell early in order to unwind those overbought conditions, but that wasn't the case at all. The market didn't blast up as 70 RSI stopped things a bit, but it did move up some. As the day wore on we finally started to see the oscillators unwind some as the market fell a bit. Nothing dramatic, but it fell a little bit off the highs. The reason for the fall was really more than just being overbought. There was some anxiety ahead of the Parliament vote tonight out of Greece. The wrong vote would send Greece out of the Euro zone, out of the Euro, and send the global market reeling lower.

Thursday, July 16, 2015

Bubble in Trouble: Record Debt. Unprecedented Optimism. You can be ready Before it bursts... / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: EWI

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