Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, February 07, 2013
The Global Dominance Of Capital Rent / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
IT STARTED IN EUROPE
With no possible surprise, the credit collapse since 2008 has its most sombre effects in Europe. Reasons for this include the very origins of the capital rent economy. The sterile debate between opponents and proponents of the state controlled economy, versus the free market economy, ignores the reality in all "mature economies" and firstly in Europe of the financiarized or capital rent dominated economy.
Thursday, February 07, 2013
Stock Market Sentiment Getting Up There...Not Yet At A Total Sell Signal...Caution For Now.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
When sentiment gets up to these levels you have to take notice and ask yourself about how much more upside there is before things come down hard. Historically it takes 40%, or slightly above, before a bear market starts for the short-term in order to unwind. In 2007 we saw it reach 42.5% before the crash in the stock market, and the same crash happened in 2011, with a 41.6% reading. We're at 33.6% with bears still above 20%, although real close at 21.1%.
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Thursday, February 07, 2013
Stock Market Gaps and Other Nasty Formations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Here is a closer examination of the NDX. Starting from left to right, you can see the huge island gap left on January 2. The NDX closed on December 31 at 2660.93. The Head is also an island reversal pattern, with the gap left open. You may say that the rally in the right shoulder to 2768.63 filled the gap. That may be so. That still leaves the massive gap underneath the current island formation. The Head & shoulders pattern will either fill the gap or, as I have suggested, leave another gap on the way down. The fascinating part is the closing price in the NDX on December 31 was 2660.93, only 78 ticks from the Head & Shoulders Minimum Target.
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Wednesday, February 06, 2013
Stock Market Euphoria as Fed Drives Up Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The following is a sample from Elliott Wave International's new 40-page report, The State of the Global Markets -- 2013 Edition: The Most Important Investment Report You'll Read This Year. This article was originally published in the October 2012 issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast.
Read full article... Read full article...When government gets into the act of speculation, the top is usually way past having occurred. Government is the ultimate crowd, every decision being made by committee. It is always acting on the last trend, the one that is already over. (For example, the Federal government passed securities laws to prevent the 1929 crash...in 1934.) -- The Elliott Wave Theorist
Wednesday, February 06, 2013
Stock Market Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Doug Short writes: The action in today’s S&P 500 was more or less a reversal of what we saw yesterday. The index surged at the open, rallied to mid-morning, leveled out for a couple of hours and then rose to its intraday high, up 1.29%, just before the final hour of trading. Some profit taking trimmed the gain for the day to 1.04%. This is the second best percent gain of 2013 — exceeded only by the 2.54% liftoff on first trading day of the year in celebration of the Fiscal Cliff resolution.
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Tuesday, February 05, 2013
Stock Market Bulls Should Be Careful Despite an Impressive January / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
George Leong writes: It’s amazing how resilient the equities market has been in spite of the concerns toward the budgetary cuts and debt ceiling, the eurozone’s stalling and debt, and the earnings risk.
The current equities market has some bull legs; it could advance higher, driven by more encouraging earnings and economic news, which has been positive.
Tuesday, February 05, 2013
Dow Stock Market Index To 14,000 ... and Beyond? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
If you've been a hibernating bear lately, you've missed a ton of positive news, as U.S. construction spending rose, ISM manufacturing data beat expectations and the country added 157,000 jobs. In addition, the JP Morgan Global Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 51.5, staying above the expansion level for a second month in a row. The strengthening data, as well as improving investor sentiment, helped the Dow hit 14,000 for the first time since 2007.
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Tuesday, February 05, 2013
Bernanke Blows Bond Bubble into Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Ben Bernanke was instrumental in creating a bubble in U.S. Treasuries. His actions have served to inflate it to the point that it has now become the greatest bubble in the history of global investment. Not only has the Chairman of the Federal Reserve guaranteed that current bond holders will get destroyed once the sovereign debt bubble bursts, but he has also begun to inflate yet another massive bubble in U.S. equity prices.
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Tuesday, February 05, 2013
How to Invest in 2013 Without Losing Your Shirt / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
Steve Christ writes: What a long, strange trip it has been. Roughly four years after falling to 6,600, the Dow pushed back above 14,000 last week.
Of course, you would think that such a climb would be cause for some euphoria. But reading the mail that comes into Money Morning each day leaves me with another impression entirely.
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Tuesday, February 05, 2013
Overbought Stock Market Pullback...Finally.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market was begging for it. Day after day we stayed pretty much at overbought levels on all the major oscillators. The RSI's are sometimes staying well above normal overbought levels of 70. Readings in the lower 80's are not abnormal. You sit and wonder how long it can last. You know it's going to finally sell hard, but figuring out that moment is not an easy chore by any means. We have stayed overbought longer than most would have thought possible, and those who shorted at the first signs of overbought paid a big price as the market kept climbing higher. You had to stay with the trend as long as need be all the while waiting for the morning you wake up with the futures down hard. When these snap downs occur, it usually is with a strong gap lower that holds and trends lower throughout the day. Not necessarily always having to close on the lows, but clearly closing below the gap down readings. The bulls finally unable to make up the losses that took place early on. In the past that was an easy task, but finally today we saw the bulls unable to make it back.
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Tuesday, February 05, 2013
Stock Market SPX Sell Signals Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The sell signal in SPX is now confirmed. This Broadening Wedge has an average target of 1200.00. I expect to see a minimum 30 point drop from here. Very likely the decline will take SPX to its Intermediate-term support at 1460.14 or to the hourly Cycle Bottom at 1458.34. Both of these supports are rising quickly, so we’ll have to keep that in mind as the SPX probes for its next bottom.
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Tuesday, February 05, 2013
Peter Schiff Video on Gold, Inflation, and U.S. Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Two highly successful libertarian iconoclasts – Peter Schiff and Doug Casey – in a wide-ranging, thought-provoking conversation covering precious metals, the status of Peter's father, Irwin Schiff, the near future of the US dollar, and much more.
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Tuesday, February 05, 2013
The Stock Market in a “Technical Bull”, Fascinating Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Prime Minister David Cameron stalls the “European Project”:
Late last month one of the most important speeches on Europe ever made by a British Prime
was presented by David Cameron to a central London audience at an event hosted by Bloomberg. The speech sent shock-waves throughout the European establishment.
Salient excerpts are quoted below courtesy of “The Independent.co.uk”.
Monday, February 04, 2013
What the Real Stocks Bear Market Looks Like / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It seems pertinent that only the indexes that one can leverage in quantity with futures - the S&P and Nasdaq - have risen over the past half year. Maybe this selectivity is for technical reasons, but there might be another explanation. Institutions, not the public, have driven the rally, and they can borrow billions of dollars from banks to leverage their bets.
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Monday, February 04, 2013
All Markets Alerts - Stocks, Bonds, Dollar, Gold, Silver and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Never before have we seen major indicators in such a conflicting state. Taken in isolation many important indicators are giving clear signals, but they are in conflict with one another to the extent that the outlook is a clouded mess. When such situations arise it usually leads to choppy, treacherous market conditions until such time as the indicators align in a more unified manner.
There are lies, damned lies and statistics, which is why we generally use charts in preference to the latter, but as you will see as you read through this report, using charts is not always a piece of cake either, especially at a time like this. While you will soon understand what I mean when I say that the indicators are conflicting, that certainly does not mean that we can't come to some useful conclusions about probabilities and how to handle these markets going forward.
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Monday, February 04, 2013
Adding Perspective To The U.S. Dollar, Bonds and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
I go back almost six decades and that allows me to compare what I experience now with things I experienced fifty years ago. In the countries I travel in it takes close to US $100 to fill up a gas tank. By comparison I seem to recall that in 1970 I spent US $5.00 to do the deed. I also seem to recall that governments talked about “millions” when they discussed things, and that increased to the hundreds of millions when Viet Nam was in full bloom and Nixon took the helm. Things pretty much stayed that way until Reagan took over and then the term “billion” began to receive attention. Slowly we moved from tens of billions to hundreds of billions as the US moved from the first Iraq war to the second Iraq war in a search for those elusive weapons of mass destruction.
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Monday, February 04, 2013
A Tidal Wave of Capital Dry Powder for an Explosive Move Higher / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Shah Gilani writes Not only is the market rally on, but trigger-happy bankers and private equity wheeler-dealers are about to send it even higher.
The reason is simple: There are trillions of dollars of cash just sitting on the sidelines looking for a deal.
That means deal action-of all kinds-is about to get white hot.
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Monday, February 04, 2013
Stock Market – Bears Shmares. Where Is It? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
We cannot count how many times, over the past 4 years, the number of people who
have been salivating for a bear market, and not a few going short in “anticipation.”
This is not a bull market. This is a central planner’s market, and with Pinocchio Ben’s
backing, there is no one with pockets deep enough to counter the fiat-fueled up move.
Monday, February 04, 2013
How to Invest Within Kress Cycle 2014 Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Recently I asked a question that I suspect many followers of the Kress cycles have asked at some point. Here it is:
"I have been following your discussion on the Kress cycles for years. When I combine the market analysis from other [financial analysis] sources I am somewhat perplexed, however. I would desperately desire to make a keen strategic maneuver in the next 24 months with my retirement funds to, first, avoid the next crash predicted by the "hard down" phase of the Kress cycle. But then secondly, I'd like to be in the market to take full advantage of the ensuing bull market.
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Monday, February 04, 2013
Stock Markets Mixed Week with a Big Shanghai Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Doug Short writes: As of Friday’s close, the eight world indexes in my weekend update presented a mixed bag. The China’s Shanghai Composite was the stellar standout, up 5.57%, a total reversal from its last-place finish the previous week. Japan’s Nikkei 225 finished in distant second with a gain of 2.42% and the UK’s FTSE 100 finished third, up one percent. The US’s S&P 500 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng finished in the middle of the pack with similar modest gains, up 0.68% and 0.60% respectively. The bottom three indexes posted losses for the week, with India’s SENSEX as the worst performer, down 1.60%. France’s CAC 40 and Germany’s DAXK posted fractional declines.
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