Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, September 28, 2008
Gold Marks Time, Gold Stocks Trend Still Extremely Bearish / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Merv_Burak
After a sharp move on Monday it seemed that gold bugs just threw in the towel and stepped to the sidelines. The rest of the week was basically a lateral move with a downside bias. Everyone is now waiting for this week to see what the politicians will do.
GOLD : LONG TERM Two weeks ago I showed the long term P&F chart dating back to the start of this long bull trend (interspersed with some short downer periods). I thought it was appropriate to update it as the chart is in a very interesting position. Although the bull break had been a very weak one with a projection only to the $930 level, which it almost reached, the subsequent consolidation on the chart suggests that a more major move may be ahead.
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Saturday, September 27, 2008
Gold Asset Class of Choice For Weathering the Financial Storm / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: The_Gold_Report
What's happening now is panic, says Joseph McAlinden, who thinks that the financial system will survive it and that a year from now the Dow will be dramatically higher. Chairman and CEO of Catalpa Capital LLC, and former managing director and global chief investment officer for Morgan Stanley Investment Management, McAlinden believes gold continues to be an asset class of choice, despite the decline during the late summer sell-off. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 26, 2008
Commodities Super Cycle Corrections / Commodities / CRB Index
By: Zeal_LLC
Overshadowed by the pathetic drama gushing forth from the ailing financial stocks these days, other markets have slipped out of the limelight. In particular commodities, a market-darling sector not too many months ago, have been all but forgotten. This lack of attention is masking great opportunities.
In commodities' case, it is not only the newfound center-of-the-universe status of financial stocks that has shifted investors' focus away. Starting in early July, commodities entered a steep correction. Wall Street, perpetually hating commodities because they compete with the stock markets for capital, gleefully pounced on this event and brazenly declared that commodities were dead. Commodities sentiment turned negative.
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Friday, September 26, 2008
Crunch Time for Gold Bulls / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Brian_Bloom
It's a lonely feeling being the only guy in the room on the other side of the table. But then, it's not about winning friends and influencing people. And it's not about being contrary for the sake of it. It's about ignoring all the emotional static in the room and focussing on the facts.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 26, 2008
WaMu Collapses, US Bailout Plan Stalls Favouring Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL GOLD reversed an early 1.1% dip on Friday, touching $890 per ounce as world stock markets fell almost one-tenth from the start of Sept. and investment funds fled back into government bonds after the US banking bail-out plan hit the buffers in Washington.The US Dollar ticked lower on the currency markets. Crude oil slipped 2% to $105 per barrel.
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Friday, September 26, 2008
Bailout or No Bailout, Gold is Going a Lot Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold and silver fell yesterday ( gold closed at $ 874.40 down $13.30 cents while silver closed at $13.19 down 18 cents ) despite the wider markets becoming increasingly nervous regarding the possible US bailout .Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 25, 2008
How to Buy Silver by Taking Delivery of a Futures Contract / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: David_Morgan
Precious Metals in the Physical Realm - This week I thought I would take a question and add some comments.
Dear David,
I wanted to get your thoughts on this response by Richard Russell. He makes an interesting point! We are already seeing trading physical precious metals in a market disrupted by shortages. (Name withheld upon request)
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Thursday, September 25, 2008
Paulson's Bailout Package Impact on Gold and US Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
Global background on the gold and silver markets
- The U.S. $ rose from $1.60 to $1.39 to the € in the recent rally against the €, and is currently standing at $1.47. Most of the fall of the $ was seen as an effect of the Wall Street investment banks implosion that occurred at the end of last week. The Treasury Secretary of the U.S.A., Hank Paulson, has put together a package that is likely to be passed by the U.S. Congress by the end of this week. Paulson hopes that by buying $ 700+ billion in ‘toxic debt' from the Balance Sheets of the U.S. banking system and placing it on the shoulders of the U.S. Federal Reserve, they will remove the threat posed to the entire U.S. financial system. In the process, the Fed is exponentially increasing its own balance sheet to accommodate the move. Will this convince foreigners responsible for the exchange rate of the U.S. $?
Thursday, September 25, 2008
The Return of the Gold Standard After 36 Years / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Professor_Emeritus
“Two legs bad, four legs good!” There were two main direct assaults on the gold standard by the American government: the first on the watch of a Democratic president, Franklin D. Roosevelt, when the U.S. defaulted on its domestic gold obligations in 1933; the second on the watch of a Republican president, Richard Nixon, when the U.S. defaulted on its international gold obligations in 1971. In each case, the gold standard struck back.
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Thursday, September 25, 2008
Run on Hong Kong Bank, Gold Safe haven Status Reinforced / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL GOLD BULLION bounced from its third drop to $880 in three days early Thursday, recording a London Fix of $889 per ounce as Asian stock markets closed lower for the 11th time in 17 sessions.Crude oil slid 2% to $103 per barrel, while US Treasury bonds rose, pushing the annualized yield offered by 3-month notes down to 0.45%.
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Thursday, September 25, 2008
Gold Physical Demand Surges on Inflation and Systemic Risk / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold was flat while silver rose yesterday ( gold closed at $ 887.70 up 90 cents while silver closed at $13.37 up 25 cents ) as gold continued to consolidate near eight week highs . The COMEX October gold contract expires later today and there are significant levels of open interest between $890 and $910 which may see bullion constrained until the contract expires whereupon we may see further moves to the upside. $950/oz remains a realistic target by the end of the month.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Building Bullish Coil-Type Pattern for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Since last Thursday's high, the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) has carved out a series of higher lows on pullbacks, juxtaposed against lower highs on rallies, which has carved out a coil-type of near-term pattern. To the extent that pullback low at 86.72 continues to contain any forthcoming weakness, the current coil parameters will remain intact and call for an approaching thrust to the upside that has the potential to propel the GLD to 92.50-93.00. However, a downside violation of 86.72 will morph the current coil pattern into some other form -- perhaps a coil with different (wider) coordinates? In any case, for the time being the "original" coil pattern remains intact and continues to govern my very near-term analysis.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Mega Bailout Extremely Bullish for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Brodrick writes: Treasury Secretary Paulson and Congress are hammering out details of the government's rescue plan for financial institutions, and we don't know what final impact it will have on the debt crisis. But I can tell you one thing — it's going to drive gold prices higher.
In this plan, the government is squirting out hundreds of billions of dollars through a fire hose. That is inherently inflationary and should pump up the price of gold.
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Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Bailout Money Printing Signals Gold $1000+ / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
GLOBAL GOLD PRICES slipped early Wednesday, bouncing from an overnight low of $878 to record an AM Gold Fix in London some 0.4% below Tuesday morning.Asian and European stock markets held flat, meantime, as did the US Dollar against its major competitors on the currency markets.
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Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Gold's Strongly Bullish Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold and silver fell yesterday ( both by about 2% ) on profit taking before rallying again in after hours trading and then falling in Asia . Volatility remains at a fever pitch in all markets. Gold remains in a range between $850/oz and $910/oz and may need further consolidation at these levels prior to further gains.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Gold Bull Market Trend Forecast / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Leaving aside the historic credit crisis events of last week to approach the Gold market on a purely technical basis following the breakout above $850 last week. This article therefore is an update to my existing series of analysis of the last 6 months which has been consistently bearish of Gold (articles archive) during which time Gold has witnessed a decline from $1033 in March to $740 earlier this month. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Nadeem: Personal Thoughts on Gold and a Gold Standard / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Brian_Bloom
Hi Nadeem,
I commend you for your courage and integrity in publishing that with which you disagree. There are some editors of some web sites who haven't been behaving like you have.
Of course, you may be right that the gold price is positioning to explode upwards and I may be excessively conservative – but here is a chart of the US Dollar reproduced from an article by Clive Maund, for whom I have enormous respect as a technical analyst.
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Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Archer Daniels Midland to Lead Agricultural Commodities Higher? / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE: ADM) continues to act well -- as a proxy for an extremely oversold and battered agricultural commodity complex. Although the DBA (PowerShares DB Agricultural Commodity ETF) is pulling back today, ADM is doing the opposite. It has hurdled near-term resistance at 24.00/05, and followed through to 24.64 so far this morning. My next upside target is 25.30/50, on the way to 26.00. Only a decline that breaks and sustains beneath 23.90 will begin to compromise today's upside breakout, while a decline that breaks 23.40 will invalidate the breakout altogether. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Peak Oil is Here Now / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Submissions
The late A. M. Samsam Bakhtiari was quoted in MoneyWeek in 2006: “The fact of being in 'Post-Peak' will bring about explosive disruptions that we know little about and which are extremely difficult to foresee. And the shock waves from these explosions rippling throughout the financial and industrial infrastructure could have myriad unintended consequences for which we have no precedent and little experience. Thus, in the face of Peak Oil and its multiple consequences, which are bound to impact upon almost all aspects of our human standards of life, it seems imperative to get prepared to face all the inevitable shock waves resulting from that. Preparation should be carried out on individual, familial, societal, and national levels as soon as possible.”Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Gold Price Forecast to March 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: INO
We are the government, we're here to help.
I believe the only help the government gave us last week was pushing gold prices higher. During last week's massive bailout and intervention in the credit markets one of the few markets to close higher for the week was gold. This tells you a tremendous amount about how traders are thinking about the future. Read full article... Read full article...