Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, December 26, 2007
Contracting Credit Cycle and Monetary Debasement During 2008 Equals Commodities Super Cycle / Commodities / Money Supply
By: Captain_Hook
The Need For Speed – Part Deux : The credit crunch continues to worsen , where very soon attempting to paper over all problems with more derivatives and bailouts will no longer work, and authorities will be compelled to increase currency (just another derivative) debasement rates to higher thresholds around the world. Correspondingly then, and as was the case in the early to mid-80's to stimulate the US economy, expect Money At Zero Maturity (MZM) growth rates to top 40-percent in coming days as authorities are forced to monetize increasing bank failures and facilitate ‘price stability'. The technical underpinnings associated with this condition can be viewed here in Figure 6 , where if history is a good guide, year-over-year growth should continue to accelerate higher in coming days. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 25, 2007
Agricultural Foods and Commodities 2008 Investment Opportunities / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
With the demise of 2007, investors are looking to a new year and new opportunities. Some investors continue to hope collapse of housing and financial sectors will suddenly be reversed. Market strategists have called how many bottoms in housing sector? Which U.S. financial giant will be next to sell out to a foreign investor? Bubbles, or market sectors, do not reinflate, or reemerge. As shrewd investors move on to next stock market leadership, Agri-Food sector will be an obvious play. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 24, 2007
Uranium Stocks - This is Still a Gamblers Market / Commodities / Uranium
By: Merv_Burak
It's been a great week for some uranium stocks and still a bummer for others. The Merv's Weekly Uranium Index closed the week at 9398.03, up 582.27 points or 6.60%. Of the 50 component stocks, 29 were winners while 20 were losers. There was one stock unchanged on the week. As for the five largest stocks, they were mixed. Cameco gained 7.4%, Denison gained 0.5%, Paladin lost 5.2%, UEX lost 7.7% and Uranium One gained 4.3%. The best weekly performer was Alberta Star with a gain of 84.0% while the worst performer was Triex Minerals with a loss of 14.3%.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 23, 2007
Agriculture Prices Continue Upward Trajectory, Present Investment Opportunities / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Joseph_Dancy
Prices remain elevated and the long term global price and demand trends remain upward for agricultural products. We continue to find the global trends in supply and demand compelling for firms in this sector.
Recent developments include:
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Sunday, December 23, 2007
US Congress Passes Energy Bill That Boosts Ethanol Commitment / Commodities / Ethanol
By: Roger_Conrad
Is it a giant leap forward toward America's energy independence or a grab bag for corporations and campaign contributions? Did Congress and the president cave in to big business, or did it stick big government's nose in yet again where it can only do harm? In the final analysis, the energy bill passed this week in Washington probably comes down somewhere in between. Like every other government bill, it was more the result of compromise and negotiation than hard science. The solution reflects the balance of power more than a debate on the merits to society.
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Saturday, December 22, 2007
Gold and Silver Analysis - Bull Trap in Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Joe_Nicholson
“If the triangle is going to prove correct, the question becomes whether the e wave low is in place or is another small low to come. Either scenario would be bullish for gold as it would make imminent the start of a 5th wave move to new highs, which a move back above the 5-week sma at $800 would tend to confirm. An alternate that keeps the recent selling corrective … looks for a lower low in the $750-775 range. The question from a fundamental standpoint will be whether the forces causing this consolidation in metals will persist enough to take gold to it's lower target, or strengthen enough to take the bullish shine off silver and metals altogether.” ~Precious Points: More Tough Love from Bernanke and Co. December 15, 2007 Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 22, 2007
Gold Gaps UP, Targeting Trend to $850 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The streetTracks GOLD ETF (NYSE: GLD) gapped up this morning and has pushed up through its Nov-Dec resistance line at 80.00, which if sustained should trigger upside acceleration from the bullish triangle pattern that has developed during the past 7 weeks, and which projects an optimal target zone of 85.00-86.00.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 21, 2007
Gold Stock Sentiment Paradox - HUI/Gold Ratio Trends / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: Zeal_LLC
If you are a gold-stock investor, the dark cold days surrounding the winter solstice seem exceptionally fitting this year. As the warm sunlight has largely fled the northern hemisphere, so has bullish sentiment largely fled the gold stocks. Thankfully as inevitably as sun returning to the north, gold-stock sentiment too will thaw.
Today's terrible gold-stock sentiment is really something of a paradox. The gold price is the primary long-term driver of gold miners' profits and hence their stock prices. And gold is really looking good these days. After powering over $800 nominal for the first time in a quarter century in early November, gold has since casually meandered near $800 like it was born to trade here.
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Friday, December 21, 2007
Gold Whats Driving it Higher? and Forecast for 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
As we approach the end of 2007 and a time when gold looks poised to move through its record high, and a time when global financial volatility and uncertainty have never been higher, it is time to look at what's driving the gold market now and what lies ahead in 2008.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 21, 2007
Gold Remains in Tight Trading Range over Christmas Holidays / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Gold_Investments
Gold was down $2.60 to $798.50 per ounce in New York yesterday but silver was up 14 cents to $14.21 per ounce. Gold traded sideways in Asia and ticked up in Europe and the London AM Fix was at $803 (up from $799.50). At the London AM Fix gold was trading at a new all time record in British pounds at £404.68 GBP (up from yesterday's London AM Fix at £401.62). Gold went up to €558.88 EUR (up from yesterday's London AM Fix at €557.30 ). Gold has again increased in sterling and in euros. Gold thus surpassed it's all time record high in british pounds with news of the horrendous current account deficit and deteriorating UK economy (see below). Gold will likely reach it's non inflation adjusted highs in euros and dollars early in the New Year.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 21, 2007
Uranium Stocks Short-term Trend Improves / Commodities / Uranium
By: Merv_Burak
Well, that's two days in a row. Maybe we have the start of a rally. The Merv's Daily Uranium Index closed up for another day, up 0.106 points or 2.69%. There were a few more winners and a few less losers as requested yesterday. 34 stocks ended the day on the up side while 13 stocks ended the day on the down side. 3 stocks didn't go either way. Unfortunately, we had a mixed day for the five largest stocks. Cameco closed higher by 4.6%, Denison closed higher by 1.2%, Paladin closed lower by 0.4%, UEX closed lower by 0.6% and Uranium One closed higher by 1.2%.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 20, 2007
How to Make an Income from Gold Investments / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
"Christmas is coming, the champagne's getting flat; "Please put a penny in the old broker's hat..." – David Phillips, The Chart Prophet
ONE OF THE BIG stumbling blocks for investors thinking about gold is that it doesn't offer to pay any income.
That's why bone-headed gold schemes turn up like Simon Cowell at a botox clinic.
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Thursday, December 20, 2007
Gold in Tight Trading Range / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Gold_Investments
Gold was down $1.80 to $801.10 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was up 4 cents to $14.07 per ounce. Gold traded sideways in Asia and Europe and the London AM Fix was at $799.50 (down from $801.50).
At the London AM Fix gold was trading at a new all time record in British pounds at £401.62 GBP (up from yesterday's London AM Fix at £399.35). Gold went up to €557.30 EUR (up from yesterday's London AM Fix at €556.83 ). Gold has again increased in sterling and in euros. Gold thus surpassed it's all time record high in british pounds at £400.47 and will likely do so in euros and dollars early in the New Year.
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Thursday, December 20, 2007
Uranium Stocks Rally in Attempt to Break Bearish Trend / Commodities / Uranium
By: Merv_Burak
Well, it's a start, now if we can only have a few more days like this, or better, we just might get a rally going. The Merv's Daily Uranium Index was up 0.085 points or 2.21% on the day. There were 29 winners and 16 losers with 5 unchanged. It would be nice to see a few more winners and a few less losers, but we will take what we get. Of the five major stocks, Cameco gained 3.5%, Denison gained 0.5%, Paladin, the only loser of the bunch, lost 0.9%, UEX gained 5.4% and Uranium One gained 1.0%. The best daily performer of the 50 component stocks was Triex Minerals with a gain of 23.4% while the worst performer was Pele Mountain with only a 4.8% loss.
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Wednesday, December 19, 2007
2008 Gold and Gold stocks Fundamentals, Forecast and Technical Review / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: John_Lee
The fundamentals for gold relates to the confidence level in paper currencies. When demand outstrips supply of dollars, the value of dollars goes up. The supply of dollars has been rising steadily at an average of 10% annually from less than $1 trillion in 1980 to over $12 trillion today. The fundamentals for gold thus have much to do with the lessening demand for dollars. When dollar denominated assets lose value, people ditch dollars. As we have meticulously documented since August (see here ), the subprime mess has been the dollar's worst disaster in the last three decades. The subprime meltdown is now causing supposedly high-quality government sponsored debts to be selling at 70 cents on the dollar (Mad Cow contagion as we call it).
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Wednesday, December 19, 2007
Wholesale Credit Creation Benefits Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Gold_Investments
Gold was up $8.40 to $802.90 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was up 22 cents to $14.03 per ounce. Gold traded sideways in Asia and Europe and the London AM Fix was at $801.50 (up from $796.25).
At the London AM Fix gold was trading at £399.352 GBP (marginally up from yesterday's London AM Fix at £395.67) and €556.83 EUR (up from yesterday's London AM Fix at €553.53 ). Gold has increased in sterling and in euros. The recent record highs for gold at the London AM Fix on the 7th of November were $841.75, £400.47 and €573.55. Gold is thus very close to surpassing it's all time record high in british pounds at £400.47.
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Wednesday, December 19, 2007
GOLD AND SILVER – Buy Signal Green Flags! / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Peter_Degraaf
“When people see gold and silver shining brightly amidst the battered economic ruins, they will finally realize that the gold bugs were right all along.”
Buy signals are popping up in many places as a result of today's positive action in the metal pits.
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Wednesday, December 19, 2007
Only Gold Bullion Can Beat the Credit Crunch / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Alex_Wallenwein
Of course - to any Wall Street power broker, economist, or US policy maker, this headline means the equivalent of “Only Space Aliens Can Halt Teenage Pregnancies”. In other words, it's a total non-sequitur to them.
So what? Who cares about Wall Street, economists, or politicians? Individual investors, business owners, workers, fathers, mothers, and college students, they are the ones who must survive if the United States is to survive the mounting credit collapse more or less intact. Why worry about those who caused the mess?
Tuesday, December 18, 2007
Gold Triangle Pattern Formation to Result in Explosive Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Dan_Stinson
The price action for Gold appears as a triangle pattern, indicating that an explosive breakout is imminent. This breakout could be to the upside or downside, but we are expecting it to break to the upside. We can let the price action within the triangle tell us which way its going to break.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 18, 2007
Metals Strong on Supply Demand Fundementals / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: Gold_Investments
Gold was up $1.50 to $794.50 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was unchanged at $13.81 per ounce. Gold was flat in Asia but has since rallied in Europe and the London AM Fix was at $796.25.Read full article... Read full article...