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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, May 07, 2016

Misreading Gold and Silver CoTs, Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Nearly two months ago I published a video in which I discussed conventional CoT analysis and the mistake many investors might make assuming Gold and gold stocks would undergo a big correction. The fact is a bull market that follows a nasty bear usually stays very overbought throughout its first year and therefore sentiment indicators remain in bullish territory. As a result of the primary trend change, conventional CoT analysis fails and requires an adjustment. Today we look at the Gold and Silver CoT's while harping on a few of the mistakes people are making.

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Commodities

Friday, May 06, 2016

Gold Stocks Rise Too Far Too Fast? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold-mining stocks have skyrocketed this year, radically outperforming every other sector.  Smart contrarians who bought them low late last year and in January have seen their capital doubled, tripled, and even quadrupled!  But such blistering gains raise the ominous specter of crippling overboughtness, conditions preceding major toppings.  Have gold stocks come too far too fast to continue their epic run?

The magnitude of recent months’ gold-stock surge is simply stunning.  Between mid-January and the end of April, this sector’s flagship HUI NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index blasted 131.8% higher in merely 3.3 months!  This was largely mirrored by the leading gold-stock ETF, the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF.  GDX saw stupendous gains of 107.1% over this same span.  Gold stocks have been on fire!

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Commodities

Friday, May 06, 2016

Gold Leasing Explained / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

According to popular opinion, gold does not bear interest. Although that is true for retail investors, gold lending is an integral part of the gold wholesale market. What is gold leasing and how does it affect gold prices?

A lease is a contract where an asset is rent to someone else. As odd as it sounds, gold is also leased. Why? Well, on the one hand, some entities own gold they need to put to work, e.g. the bullion banks that hold a metal as a debt to their customers, so they can lease it out to earn money. On the other hand, there are companies in the gold industry who, for some reasons, prefer to borrow the metal instead of buying it outright. For example, there might be a gold mining company which expects to have one thousand ounces of gold from its production. However, the metal will be ready to sell in the market not earlier than before one month, since it must be refined etc.

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Commodities

Friday, May 06, 2016

Buy Gold, ‘Get Out Of The Stock Market’ Warns Druckenmiller / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Buy gold and ‘get out of the stock market,’ legendary billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller, advised investors this week at an investment conference in New York.

Druckenmiller, who has one of the best long-term track records in money management, said the stock market bull market has “exhausted itself” and that gold “remains our largest currency allocation.”

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Commodities

Friday, May 06, 2016

Gold and Silver Companies with the Potential to Move the Needle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

The two times mining companies add the most value are upon first discovery and when they are nearing development and production. Joe Reagor of ROTH Capital Partners focuses on the latter group, and in this interview with The Gold Report, he discusses a handful of gold and silver companies poised to move up the value curve even if gold and silver don't go up.

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Commodities

Friday, May 06, 2016

When Gold Confiscation Is a Personal Choice / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

The specter of government forcefully confiscating gold is still roaming around out there.

That nagging prospect dampens many buying decisions, unfortunate at a time when gold, and especially silver, are near historically bargain basement prices when measured in fiat currency.

Buy low, sell high only works for those who buy low.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 05, 2016

Monetary Liquifaction, Gold And The Time Of The Vulture / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Liquifaction: … 3: conversion of soil into a fluidlike mass during an earthquake or other seismic event, 4: inability of flooded capital markets to absorb additional capital without destabilizing paper assets, e.g.  stocks, bonds, currencies, etc., 5. a monetary phenomena associated with the collapse of capital markets.

 

Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomena caused by an increase in the money supply, the greater the increase, the greater the inflation. If the money supply expands with sufficient rapidity, inflation becomes hyperinflation and paper money loses all value.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 05, 2016

Investing After the Global Commodities Super-Cycle / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Dan_Steinbock

While cyclical challenges remain tough in global commodities, structural realities look more tolerable.

According to conventional wisdom, the challenges of global commodities can be attributed to China’s slowdown and poor growth prospects. Advanced economies are not immune. In the US, just two commodity-related sectors – oil and gas, as well as metals and steel – accounted for more than half of the defaults in 2015.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 05, 2016

A Few Facts About Gold That Nay-Sayers Conveniently Ignore / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Graham_Summers

We continue to see articles by so called “experts” trashing Gold and Silver as investments. Gold is everything from a “Pet Rock” to a “Dumb Investment” or “Barbarous Relic.”

Do these people even bother doing research? Or are they just stock shills?

First and foremost, you cannot compare Gold’s performance relative to stocks anywhere before 1967.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 04, 2016

Fear Not Gold Bugs, Gold Ratios Well Intact / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

What has been going on since mid-February is a burst of the ‘inflation trade’ as evidenced by silver’s leadership in the precious metals sector.  This opened the barn door for all kinds of inflated animals to flee into the light of day, and for commodity and inflation boosters to do their thing.  As often happens with silver, things were pushed to and even through their limits.  Silver went up, oil went up, base metals went up and stocks went up.

But what we should do is retire back to some of the things that actually indicated bullish for the gold sector well before the mini hysteria (and market relief) cropped up.  A pullback/correction in gold stocks would be an opportunity.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 04, 2016

Silver Bullion Has Key New Player – China Replaces JP Morgan / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

The silver bullion market has a key new player – Enter the Dragon. The Shanghai Futures Exchange in China is replacing JP Morgan bank and its clients as the most significant new source of demand according to a very interesting blog with some great charts and tables published by SRSrocco Report yesterday.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 04, 2016

Why China Is Really Dictating the Oil Supply Glut / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Ship tracking data from Bloomberg shows that 83 supertankers carrying around 166 million barrels of oil are headed to China, which has stockpiled an impressive 787,000 barrels a day in the first quarter of 2016—the highest stockpiling rate since 2014.

While the world was speculating about oil prices plunging to $20 and $10 per barrel, China was busy stockpiling its reserves.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 04, 2016

Gold Stock Picks Up Over 400%, What's Next ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

A battle royale is brewing between gold bulls and commercial traders who are short gold, says Brien Lundin, publisher of Gold Newsletter. That tug of war, which should play out in the coming weeks, could result in either a severe correction or a spectacular rise in the price of gold and silver. No matter which way it goes, in this interview with The Gold Report, Lundin recommends that investors continue to look at companies with world-class resources that are still being priced at a fraction of what their values should be. Lundin should know; some of his recommendations are up more than 400% from December and January.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 03, 2016

What is the Real Value of Gold Today? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Rodney_Johnson

Gold is on a tear this year. The precious metal is up 19%. That’s great! Those holding gold should be happy with their gains. If they take their coins to the grocery store they can buy, well, absolutely nothing. But they can sell their gold to someone else for some printed pieces of cotton (our noble currency) before making their way to the local Whole Foods.

To be fair, some gold coins were actual money many years ago, like the $20 gold piece. In some states it is legal to use these coins today as money, but only for face value, which would be stupid. For all intents and purposes, gold is not money today.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 03, 2016

Gold Stocks in the Danger Zone / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Bob_Kirtley

The bears have been in charge for the last 4 years or so taking both gold and silver into the depths of despair. The associated mining companies also felt the cold with many having to postpone projects, slash dividends and implement a series of cost cutting measures.

As with most bear markets there were a number of rallies which turned out to be head fakes or bear traps as gold lost its momentum. We can all recall just how well 2015 started as gold bolted in January to higher ground bringing much joy to the perma gold bulls. Alas gold couldn’t maintain it strength and spent the remainder of the year drifting to its lowest level for some time. Fast forward to this year and we can see once again gold has started like an Olympic sprinter taking the price of gold to within touching distance of $1300.00/oz. Silver was a tad slow to start but has now joined the fun by breaching previous resistance levels and confirming golds strength.

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