Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, January 15, 2010
Where Have Investors Gone? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
As Pete Seeger might have written it and the Kingston Trio might have sung it in the sixties, ‘Where have stock investors gone, long time passing? Gone to bond funds every one, long time ago.’
Will the last lines to that great folk song also become part of the picture? “When will they ever learn? When will they ever learn?”
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 15, 2010
Vexing Stock Market Grinding Higher Defying Gravity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Over the last few months, the behavior of the US stock markets has been rather vexing. Usually when they grow overbought, when greed and complacency wax extreme after a powerful rally, a healthy pullback soon rebalances sentiment. But instead they’ve ground higher lately, defying precedent and confounding students of the markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 15, 2010
U.S. Stock Market Indexes Cyclical Trend Forecasts 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
As we forge ahead into the year 2010, it is a good idea to step back and get an overall perspective on the US stock indexes, both from a cyclical point of view - as well as to get a look at the accompanying technical action.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 15, 2010
Alternative Explanation For S&P500 Rally Trim-Tabs Conspiracy Theory / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
A recent post on Zero Hedge suggested that the “Non-Stop Rally Since March”, could have had a covert helping hand:
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Key Price Levels for SPY, DIA, QQQQ, and IWM Stock Indices / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It has been many months since I have looked at the key price levels on the ETF's that represent the major market indices. This used to be a regular feature back in the early days of this rally. I have recently renewed my interest in this methodology of determining significant turning points as these key price levels tend to represent important areas of support and resistance.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Doug Casey Says Stock Market Set to Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
L: So, what's on your mind this week, Doug? I understand you've had a "guru moment"…
Doug: Well, it's nothing but a gut feeling, but I think the stock market is riding for a big fall this year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 14, 2010
The Power to Trigger a New Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
An interesting question. Is there a group of investors that we can say may be responsible for triggering new upside rallies?
Take a look at today's chart and decide for yourself.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Decline in Credit Card Debt in the United States, Market Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Americans borrowed less for a 10th consecutive month in November with total credit and borrowing on credit cards falling by the largest amounts on records going back nearly seven decades.
The Federal Reserve said yesterday that total borrowing dropped by $17.5 billion in November, a much bigger decline than the $5 billion decrease economists had expected.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Stock Market Indices Rally in Afternoon to Close Positive / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The stock market indices started out with a little bit of a pop and then immediately sold off sharply. When yesterday's late lows held, the indices turned around and rallied for the rest of the day. Only a mid-afternoon pause prevented them from going straight up, but they never violated their intraday moving averages on the 5-minute charts, with the Nasdaq 100 going from 1855 to 1890 and S&P 500 jumping from 1133 to 1148.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Stock Market Bulls Fight Back... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Yesterday we get a strong gap down that runs lower all day. A trend down day that puts the bulls on notice for more down side action. The move lower coming from overbought oscillators on those daily charts. Surely the market could use some time off to get things unwound. Give the bulls a breather. The market could use it so let’s just continue the selling today. Not to be. The market rallied early on and failed right where it was supposed to. Right at the back test of the gap down that would put the brakes on any rally.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Avoid Emerging Markets Like the Plague, Global Stock Market Margin Call / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
As we reported last month, individual investors are “pouring money into mutual funds that buy foreign stocks, especially in emerging markets such as China and India.” It appears that UK investors are joining the party. Not surprisingly, stories of the Chinese bubble are starting to come in. As typical of the top, investors feel that nothing can “change the upward trend.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Marc Faber Global Stock Markets Heading for an Imminent Strong Correction / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Marc Faber discusses the stock market and the economic outlook for 2010 and concerned about the U.S. Debt bubble.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
NASDAQ-100 Bubble Bust Compared To S&P 500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Interesting remark in a recent article by Karl Denninger:
But in 2003 credit was rapidly expanding, as it was in 2004. This is why the S&P expanded back to (and slightly beyond) its previous high - that was all financial leverage. The Nasdaq, made up of companies that made "things" (and services) for the most part, did not recover because it was not able to play financial engineering.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Stocks, Bonds, Gold, Silver and Forex Market Forecasts 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A year ago we said we believed a full court press by G10 central bankers, finance ministers and governments would succeed in at least halting the slide. It did, and markets responded more strongly than even we had hoped for, and we were among the more optimistic observers 12 months ago.
We also said a year ago that you were unlikely to see a repeat of 2008. It’s safe to say the same comment applies again. 2010 will not look like 2009.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Stock Market Outlook 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
At the start of every year we put together our best research and analysis and then formulate a forecast based on the most likely outcomes. Unlike others who simply say what they think will happen, we sit down and analyze the fundamental, technical and sentiment evidence and opine on what is most likely to happen, what might happen and what won’t happen. We take a lot of pride in this, as we believe we are one of the few that puts forth actionable research and makes it available to the public.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Would You Buy This Business? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Hi there,
I would like to sell you my business. Of course, you’re going to want to know a little bit about it before buying, so let’s look at the numbers.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
In Defense of Stock Market Bears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It’s difficult, darn difficult to be a bear right now.
The whole world has begun acting as though the period from late 2007 to early 2009 never happened. For one thing, financial newsletter writers are currently MORE bullish than they’ve been since October 2007 (the absolute peak in stocks). Similarly, the American Association of Individual Investors survey shows only 23% of individual investors are bears, while 49% are bulls: an HIGHLY slanted view.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
The Stock Market Selling Begin... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I have recently warned that some selling was close at hand as we had very overbought conditions on both the daily and weekly charts that simply need to be worked off over time. The rubber band can stretch only so far and then it has to break, especially when it occurs on multiple time frame charts such as those daily's and weekly's.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 12, 2010
The Coming BioTech Stock Market Investment Bubble / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
In last Friday's letter, I said that I had not bought any single stocks in the last decade, preferring funds and managers, and in general I still do. However, I am now going to start buying a specific asset class this month and currently plan to add to those holdings at least every quarter for several years. This is the high risk portion of my portfolio, so it will not be all that large a percentage. (Do not write and ask me what the right percentage is. It will be different for everybody. For some of you the answer will be none, as you need to be taking very little risk. Consult your investment professionals.).
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 12, 2010
Rydex Stock Market Timers Long Term View / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Rarely in this forum have we used the Rydex market timers to guide us in making that intermediate term trading decision. Typically, money flows in and out of their funds relatively easily, and this data set appears better suited for positioning oneself on a daily basis. However, a longer term (i.e., weekly view) has proved fruitful in the past, and this is what is presented in this article.
Read full article... Read full article...