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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

The Paradox of Deleveraging Will Be Broken / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe are clearly not having as much fun taking off leverage as we had putting it on, or at least the vast majority are not. This week in Outside the Box we look at some very thought-provoking insights from my good friend Paul McCulley, who helps us think about how we got here and what will be the end point. From the letter:

"But what ailed Lehman was but a manifestation of what ailed, and ails the global financial intermediary system: the presumption that grossly levered positions in illiquid assets can always be funded, because those doing the funding will always assume the borrower is a going concern."

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 24, 2008

Stock Market Excellent Follow-Through Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Harry_Boxer

We had an excellent follow-through day to the rally on Friday. The indices gapped up at the opening, did have a quick pullback but held, and then came on very strongly. By late morning we had a pretty sharp pullback for about 20 minutes, but they held intraday moving averages, bounced and then made successively higher lows and higher high all afternoon until they finally spiked up with about 15 minutes to go at the session highs. At that point the Dow was up nearly 550 points, but they pulled back sharply over a 10- minute period, and with about 5 minutes to go, jumped back again.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 24, 2008

A Stocks Bull and Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Paul_J_Nolte

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLooks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue! Up until Friday, last week was a pretty bad year, down over 13% and the specter of another US bank hitting the ropes along with most, if not all the auto companies sent investors running for the safety of government bonds. The yields are now below 0.05% on 3-6 month bills (that is NOT a misprint!). By Thursday's close, the markets had erased all of the gains from the bull market of '03-'07 and pushed the SP500 down to levels that were first breached during April of '07.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 24, 2008

Stock Markets Remain at Extreme Risk of Crash Despite Rallies  / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn his genius, E.F. Schumaker foresaw the eventual demise of present day central banking long ago, and offers a workable solution that can both co-exit and operate within transition from failing fiat currency based economies flaming out due to accelerating inflation . And make no mistake about it – the global economy is flaming out – with all strata of economies soon to begin the decentralization process. One need only look at the collapse in the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) for confirmation in this regard. The credit crisis, and lack of trust it sponsors between financial institutions both domestic and foreign alike, has crashed international trade markets the likes of which never witnessed in the history of mankind. As growing numbers begin to understand this condition is not temporary, but the future, process will take hold, and economies will increasingly regionalize.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 24, 2008

Financial Market Forecasts and Investments Strategy / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Mike_Stathis

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarket Guidance: Past, Present and Future - Despite the strong closing bounce off the new intraday low of around 7400 reached on Friday, it's likely the Dow has further downside. These lows may not occur for another 12-18 months. Alternatively, they could occur at any time. The timing is impossible to predict in advance. The important thing to focus on as it stands today is the likelihood that the stock market will head lower down the road. So you should adjust your investment strategy to reflect this scenario.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 24, 2008

U.S. Financial System Bailout Mushrooms to $7.4 Trillion / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Richard_Shaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis news leaves us simply speechless.

Nov. 24 (Bloomberg) — Fed Pledges Exceed $7.4 Trillion to Ease Frozen Company Credit — The U.S. government is prepared to lend more than $7.4 trillion on behalf of American taxpayers, or half the value of everything produced in the nation last year, to rescue the financial system since the credit markets seized up 15 months ago.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 23, 2008

Stocks Soar as Obama Assembles Recession War Council / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mick_Phoenix

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWelcome to the Weekly Report. This week we look at new appointments, timings and why Obama is willing to start work early.

An hour before the stock markets closed on Friday we started to get some "breaking news" scrolling across the screens of the financial TV channels, pointing to new appointments in the Obama administration-in-waiting.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 23, 2008

Financial Markets Wild Ride Between Fear and Optimism / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA new bout of fear gripped financial markets during the past week, causing the slide in global stocks, commodities and emerging-market assets to deepen. As investors' angst escalated, positions in risky assets were liquidated in exchange for perceived safe havens such as the US dollar, government bonds and gold bullion.

“We have seen fundamental selling, technical selling, forced selling (deleveraging), short selling, capitulation selling and selling due to ennui,” commented David Fuller ( Fullermoney ).

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 23, 2008

Gold and Financial Markets- A Nova-view / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe jump in the gold price on Friday November 21st 2008 may be the harbinger of a sea change in attitudes in the markets in general. To understand the implications of this it is probably appropriate to take a step back and take a fresh look at the Big Picture.

The chart of the ratio of the gold price to the commodities index enables us to monitor whether the markets are viewing gold as just another commodity or, perhaps, something other than a commodity. Below is a 3% X 3 box reversal Point and Figure chart of this ratio (courtesy stockcharts.com).

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 22, 2008

Stock Market Technicals Point to Strong Rally / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Burk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe good news is: In the 1930's, the last time we saw declines of this magnitude in the same time frame, the rallies that followed took the S&P 500 (SPX) up 20% - 46%.

Short Term As of Thursday's close the SPX was down over 40% in less than 3 months, a rare occurrence. From its August 87 high to its October crash low the SPX was down 33.2%. Late 1937 was the last time the SPX fell more than 40% in 3 months, 71 years ago.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 22, 2008

Stock Market Investing From Sell the Rallies to Buy the Pullbacks? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFriday's low in the S&P 500 at 741.02 tested the monthly trendline going back to October 1987, after breaking the October 2002 low at 768.60. The RSI reading of a "healthy" oversold reading currently at 15.1 had not been this far beneath the 25% oversold demarcation line since the October 1974 reading of 13.3. At 2:30 pm Eastern, with the SPX at 754.17, I noted to our subscribers that the 13-month vicious bear market has created conditions similar to the most acutely bullish readings in the past 35 years -- creating a potentially explosive technical setup for a recovery rally phase in the SPX.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 22, 2008

The Next Financial Markets and Real Earthquake / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe next shoe to drop…synthetic CDOs. In an article by Alan Kohler of the Business Spectator we find the following observation, “As the world slips into recession, it is also on the brink of a synthetic CDO cataclysm that could actually save the global banking system. It is a truly great irony that the world's banks could end up being saved not by governments, but by the synthetic CDO time bomb that they set ticking with their own questionable practices during the credit boom.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 22, 2008

Dow Jones Latest Crash and Recession Proofing Your Stocks Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Andy_Sutton

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith the most recent two day crash in the Dow Industrials average, we are once again poised at the precipice of oblivion. Two important dominos have been toppled in the past two days. On Wednesday, the Dow closed below the psychological mark of 8000. Granted, the 7997.28 level was not the most pronounced of breaches, but it is worth noting. However, yesterday, we solidified the drop below 8000 and blew right through the October 10 th low of 7773.71 going all the way down to 7552.29. In totality, the listed market has now lost approximately half of its value – in 12 months.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 22, 2008

Stock Market Sharp Rebound to End Very Negative Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Harry_Boxer

The markets astounded investors with a late very sharp rally that exploded into the close with a huge gain today. After backing and filling and making new multi-year lows on the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500, they retested in the afternoon, and when they failed to take out the lows substantially and follow through to the downside, they turned them around with abandon and rallied 600 points in the last hour to close up 494 on the Dow. The S&P 500 rallied from 741 to 801, closing at 800, up 47 1/2. The Nasdaq 100 rallied from 1019 to 1085 and closed right at the high for the day going away, up 49 points. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX) jumped from 167 to 180, closing right there, up 8.90.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 21, 2008

Upside Reversal Nearing for Nasdaq Q's / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

With two hours remaining in today's session, I can make a case that this morning's low at 25.21 in the Q's ended the decline from the Election Day high at 33.96. To trigger initial confirmations that such a low is in place, the Q's will have to climb and sustain above 26.65. However, with option expiration approaching during today's final hour, yet another spike to the downside would not surprise me -- that presses the Q's to my optimal target zone of 25.00-24.70 prior to my expectation of a wicked upside reversal.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 21, 2008

Why the Stock Market Keeps Falling Despite Value Bargains / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Marty_Chenard

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSome investors are noting that there are some significant "value bargains" appearing on the radar screen, and yet, the market is ignoring this and still moving down .

What's going on?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 21, 2008

Why China Stocks are a Screaming Buy / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: It's easy to be gloomy when it comes to the financial markets. It's even easier to write off China.

After all, the Red Dragon's markets have collapsed by 70%, businesses are shutting down, lead-laced toys and poisoned medicines have tainted the minds of Western consumers, there's a growing gap between the rich and the poor, inflationary clouds seem to be gathering, and verbuilding is a growing concern.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 21, 2008

How Low will the Dow Jones Stocks Bear Market Go? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: INO

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMake no mistake about it, the market action on Wednesday (November 19th) was extremely negative for all of the indices that we track. The close below 8,000 on the DOW can only be described as negative, indicating further weakness to the downside. I am looking for this index to trade down to around the 6600-6700 level.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 21, 2008

Economic Consequences of De-leveraging for Investors / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe explosion of credit taken on by consumers and some businesses is the major cause of the current economic problems faced by the U.S. Over the last 20 years consumer debt has risen to $2.6 trillion. In the past when the economy faltered, the consumer has been able to generate a robust recovery. Is this time different?

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 20, 2008

Nasdaq Q's Downleg Near Completion / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

My pattern and momentum work in the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) argue that the downleg from the June 2008 recovery rally peak at 50.61 is at or is very near completion ahead of a potent recovery rally period that should propel the Q's into the 33.00-34.00 target zone. Can we loop down and retest this morning's low at 26.00 -- and possibly make new lows? Definitely, but relatively marginal new lows should be short-lived prior to a vicious snapback rally period. (12:45pm EST, 27.21).

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