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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 14, 2017

This Is Why You Don’t Own A Lot Of Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Rubino

You’d think that by now every relevant measure of stock market overvaluation would have been converted into a chart and circulated throughout the blogosphere. But Zero Hedge has come up with a new one depicting how long the typical wage slave has to work to buy the typical stock. And – surprise – it shows historic, egregious overvaluation which, if history is any guide, implies a crash is close at hand.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Stock Market is Playing Pied Piper / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is approaching its next Cyclical hourly interval at 64.5 hours. I went back to see what I may have missed and the obvious item is the Wave relationship where Wave 5 seeks equality with the length of Wave 1. That occurs at 2332.13. The match does not have to be exact. A near miss or a slight overshoot can happen.

The Cycle Top support is now at 2313.50. That may be used as an advance warning of a probable trend change.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 13, 2017

Stock Market VIX Cycles set to Explode in March/April 2017 – Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Previously, I authored a “Part 1” of this article regarding my analysis of the VIX cycles.  I sincerely hope my readers enjoyed the analysis and I hope it opened up a few questions regarding the potential moves in the US and global markets.  Today, we will delve deeper into the concept of the VIX cycle patterns that I’ve identified and use common technical analysis concepts to attempt to identify price target levels as well as support and resistance that may become important in the immediate future.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 13, 2017

Stocks At Record Highs - Will Uptrend Accelerate? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 13, 2017

Lindsay Stock Market 12-year Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Ed_Carlson

As often noted, the first step in a Lindsay forecast is determining the long-term intervals; 15yr (15yr-15yr, 11mo) for highs and 12yr (12yr, 2mo-12yr, 8mo) for lows. Counting a 12yr interval from point B of Lindsay's Long Cycle on 3/7/05 forecasts a significant low in the period May-November 2017. However, the 1/3/17 Market Update laid out a forecast for a significant high (using both a 15yr interval and Basic Movements) in the period April-August 2017. And to further confuse things, a Three Peaks/Domed House pattern - combined with a Hybrid Lindsay forecast - seem to be pointing to a high within hours of now. How do we reconcile all of this?

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 13, 2017

Stock Market at High Tide / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.

SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to the 2300 level has been reached. A reversal should now occur.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 11, 2017

​The New Retirement – Big Pill To Swallow! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

President Donald J. Trump was elected the 45th President of the United States to preside over the largest debt collapse ever in U.S. history.  During this four-year term, he and his administration will be most feared and hated president there ever was. The odds are stacked high against his ideology of “Making America Great Again” during his term in office.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 11, 2017

SPX Stock Market 1-year Anniversary New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2297. After a pullback to SPX 2289 on Monday, the market rallied to SPX 2299 on Tuesday. Wednesday’s pullback took the SPX to 2285. Then the market rallied to all-time new highs on Thursday/Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.90%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.25%. Economic reports for the week were split. On the downtick: consumer credit/sentiment, import prices and the Q1 GDP estimate. On the uptick: wholesale inventories, export prices, treasury budget, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by FED chair Yellen’s semiannual monetary policy report to Congress, industrial production and retail sales. Best to your week!

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 11, 2017

Moving Stock Market Targets: Investors Need to Discriminate! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

In the current political climate herds are running every which way. There is the anti-Trump herd, the pro-Trump herd, the liberal herd, the conservative herd, the CNBC herd, the mainstream financial services industry herd, the Armstrong herd, the gold bug herd... and there are all those ideologies in play. But robotic thinking, unless it is in service to profitable trades like this one on an excellent company providing automation (ref. recent Fanuc NFTRH+ highlight), does not pay (disclaimer: I've sold and taken the profit).

So stop right there! These are the financial markets, and if you have not checked your deepest held beliefs, your virtue, your bigotry and in general, your bias at the door you are going to lose.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 10, 2017

SPX is Testing the Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX futures are marginally higher, but appear not to have broken above the trendline. The futures have not broken above yesterday’s high, so there is one technically bearish sign.

ZeroHedge writes, “S&P futures rose further into record territory, European shares rose to within striking distance of their highest levels in more than a year while bonds fell and the dollar rose as investors cheered a surge in Chinese trade data amid hopes of "phenomenal" tax cuts by Donald Trump, all of which have rekindled the Trumpflation trade.”

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 10, 2017

Stock Market Very Solid Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had an up-day today, and a strong one, particularly by midday, making new all-time highs across the board. The day started out with a pop to the upside, a little pullback, and then they ran, the Nasdaq 100 going from 5197 to 5221, a new all-time high. In the afternoon, they came down to 5209, and bounced back to 5222, but couldn’t hold it, and backed off to 5212. The S&P 500 started out with a pop, and kept on running, reaching as high as 2320, a new all-time high, and backed off to 2307. All three indices came down slightly at the end of the day, but still closed in the green column.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 09, 2017

Stock Market VIX Cycles Set to Explode in March/April 2017 / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Chris_Vermeulen

My recent analysis of the markets has shown what I believe to be an explosion in market volatility set to starting happening between February 21, 2017 and March 30, 2017.  The historical VIX cycles have been running about 18~22 week intervals for expansion and extreme volatility levels.  The period August 2015 to January 2016 represented roughly 5 months.  The period between January 2016 to June 2016 represented roughly 5 months.  The period between June 2016 to Early November 2016 represented roughly 5 months (just a little short of 5 months in reality).

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 09, 2017

SPX Reaches the Top of its Diagonal Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The problem that I have with zigzags is…at which degree are we viewing it? The zigzag to 2300.99 is a completed one, but at a Minute degree, while Waves 1 through 3 are at a Minor degree. Today’s final surge brings the pattern into agreement. While Wave [a] is larger than [c], a common relationship, Wave [c] is a Fibonacci 61.8% of Wave [a], which is the alternate relationship that we look for.

Today is 17.55 months from the August 24, 2015 low. That is, 10.75 days over 17.2 months. That is a close enough tolerance to suggest that the long-term uptrend may be over.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 09, 2017

Stock Market Positive Expectations As Investors' Sentiment Improves - New Record Highs Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 09, 2017

Major Money Managers Have A Grim Outlook For The US Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Jeff_Berwick

Several months ago we were following closely as billionaire after billionaire warned of financial calamity to come.

Whether they were warning of a downturn, debt jubilee, or taking large positions in precious metals stocks, guys like Stanley Druckenmiller, Crispin Odey, Paul Singer and even the trillionaire himself, Jacob Rothschild, were outspoken in their stark view of the markets.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 09, 2017

Stock Market Solid Session with Mixed Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a good session, although they started the day out with a drop to the downside, held support, came on strong in the morning, consolidated midsession, and ran back up in the afternoon, only to pull back n the last ten minutes to pare back the gains and put the Dow back in the negative column.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 35.95 at 20,054.34. The S&P 500 was up 1.59 at 2294.67, a point off the high. The Nasdaq 100 was up 10.70 at 5196.58, 5 points off the high.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 08, 2017

Stock Market Positive Session with Poor Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices were up marginally today, but the technicals were not good. The day started out with a gap up, bounced around early morning, stair-stepped its way down, rallied back up, pulled back, retested, an moved sideways the rest of the day to close in the positive column.

Net on the day, the Dow was up 37.87 at 20,090.29. The S&P 500 was up .52 at 2293.08. The Nasdaq 100 was up 17.91 at 5178.85, but reaching a new high at 5196.27.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 07, 2017

SPX is Stretched, But Hanging On / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that the alternate view of the SPX may not apply even though the NDX and DJIA both made higher highs. Both needed fifth Wave completion, while it appears that SPX is already complete as an Ending diagonal.

There appears to be no sell signal yet. We’ll know it when the market breaks.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 07, 2017

SPX Rallies. Will Stock Market Make a New High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX futures are higher this morning, although they have not broken out above last Friday’s high at 2298.31. It has missed that possibility by only 25 ticks, so there is still a chance that we may see a higher print this morning.

Given the rally after what appears to be an a-b-c decline yesterday, the odds are better than even we may see a new high this morning. The Cycles Model suggests it may happen in the first two hours of the day. I have placed the alternate Wave structure on the chart for our consideration. The target may be the “natural” target I gave last week at 2305.00, or possibly higher, should the rally have any strength.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 07, 2017

Stock Market Nowhere to Go / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Ed_Carlson

Continue to look for an important top in the Dow near February 10.  As the Dow returned to near our price target (20,133) last Friday, this week is set to be a sideways consolidation as equities "spin their wheels" waiting for the big event to commence. Although the Lindsay work would have us erring later than earlier, equities may begin their drop earlier than forecast if they have nowhere to go but down.

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