Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, February 27, 2017
Stock Market Something's Gotta' Give / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The next confluence of Fibonacci retracements is at 2,382 and is our price target for SPX but last Friday was a 21-day cycle high so something's gotta give here. A 6mo cycle high was due last week, too.
Lindsay's 107 day interval points to a tradable high no later than today.
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Monday, February 27, 2017
Could Trump's Economic Policies Propel Hated Stocks Bull Market Even Higher / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
"I add this, that rational ability without education has more often raised a man to glory and virtue, than education without natural ability." Marcus T. Cicero
Before we get into the meat of this article, we would like to state at the onset that this article is not politically orientated. This election has probably been more divisive than any other election in U.S history. There are those who love Trump and those who detest him. Our views are based on market trends and not politics. Before the election results came in, we went on record to state that a Trump win would from an investing perspective prove to be a great buying opportunity and the masses would panic and dump their shares. We took the same stance on Brexit, and as they say, the rest is history.
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Monday, February 27, 2017
Stock Market Breakout or Breakdown? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Good Morning!
SPX closed at the trading channel trendline on Friday without making a new high. In that context, it may be viewed as a possible wave (ii). However, it’s not over until it’s over. The SPX futures made a higher high in overnight trading. They are currently negative, but not so much as to proclaim victory for the bears. A decline beneath Friday’s low at 2352.87 would break the upward bias. Otherwise a breakout appears that it may be the final Wave c of (v) of [c].
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Monday, February 27, 2017
Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Stocks Fluctuate Along New Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, February 27, 2017
Dow vs Precious Metals : Where’s The Beef ? Where’s the Bull ? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
Before we look at some precious metals stocks I would like to show you a couple of charts which will help explain why I didn’t participate in this last rally in the precious metals stocks that started in December of last year. It’s not that I didn’t want to, it’s just the evidence shows that the $INDU, which I’m going to use as a proxy for the rest of the stock markets, is in a true bull market vs the precious metals stocks. As I have often said, ” you always want to trade in a bull market vs a bear market because it will save you from a bad trade if you enter it at the wrong time. If you enter into a long trade in a bear market it will be unforgiving and can take you to the cleaners before you know what hit you.”
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Sunday, February 26, 2017
Stock Market Sentiment at ‘Extreme Greed’ / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: A minor reversal at 2300 has been followed by a resumption of the uptrend targeting the 2400 area.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, February 26, 2017
Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - God and Mammon and Power / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
"The world is ours, we are its lords, and ours it shall remain. As for the host of labor, it has been in the dirt since history began, and I read history aright. And in the dirt it shall remain so long as I and mine and those that come after us have the power.
There is the word. It is the king of words— Power. Not God, not Mammon, but Power. Pour it over your tongue till it tingles with it. Power.”
Jack London, The Iron Heel
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Sunday, February 26, 2017
Trump’s Top Econ Guy Just ANNIHILATED the Stock Market’s Fantasy / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The single biggest story this morning is Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin pouring ice cold water on the market’s mania.
First and foremost, Mnunchin stated point blank that the Trump administration HOPES to implement tax reform by August.
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Sunday, February 26, 2017
[Gratis] "Dark Money" Secrets Revealed! / Stock-Markets / Trading Systems
deleted.
Saturday, February 25, 2017
Stock Market SPX New All-time Highs Continue / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The SPX started the holiday shortened week at 2351. The market opened higher on Tuesday, rallied to a new high at SPX 2367, then pulled back to 2358 on Wednesday. After opening at another new high, SPX 2368, on Thursday, the market pulled back to 2353 on Friday before ending the week at 2367. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.85%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.25%. Economic reports for the week were sparse and mostly positive. On the downtick: the WLEI plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: existing/new home sales, consumer sentiment and the FHFA housing index. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FED’s beige book, the ISMs and the Q4 GDP second estimate.
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Friday, February 24, 2017
When the Stock Market Flying Pig Tops / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Flying Pig
Filed under the category ‘smartest group of subscribers in the world’, I got an email from NFTRH subscriber Joe F. last week as I was mechanically managing the gold market in my somewhat downplayed, unexciting way…
“You win 9 out of 10 [I don’t, actually], but I think the setup is there for gold to go immediately.”
For a writer of many words over many years, I can sometimes grunt out the most basic of responses…
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Friday, February 24, 2017
Another Stock Market Bubble? Bring it On! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Anytime the Dow makes a new high you can be reasonably assured of hearing the B-word bounced around in the media. Memories of the last bubble are still vivid and painful enough to trigger flashbacks of the bubble's collapse. It's only natural then that investors fear a return of irrational exuberance. Despite these fears, the evidence of a newly formed bubble is surprisingly lacking, as we'll uncover here.
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Friday, February 24, 2017
SPX Bounces at the Trendline Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX appears to have completed its Micro-Wave b at the trendline and now may be ascending to the final high. The Cycle top is now at 2375.46, so we may reasonably assume that SPX may go at least that high. The upper trendline is likely to be about 10 points higher, should it choose to go there. This rally is taking a long time to roll out.
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Friday, February 24, 2017
What Investors Need To Know About U.S. Money Market Funds? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Why Low Risk Does Not Equate To Risk Free!
Charles Schwab has informed its’ clients that “at least 80% of the fund’s net assets will be invested solely in U.S. government securities…”. Schwab automatically assumes that all clients affected by this change will accept: “if you are in agreement with this change in your cash feature, no response is required from you. They consider a non-response from its’ clients to be notice. “Those who disagree have the “option” of either sweeping their cash into the corporate bank exposing them to greater risk. They add “you also have the right to close your brokerage account(s) without penalty at any time.”
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Thursday, February 23, 2017
Stock Market Mixed Volatile Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices had an interesting, but volatile session today, coming down sharply at the opening, testing support, and when that held they rallied to midday. They pulled back in the afternoon, backed and filled, and finished not far from all-time highs on the Nasdaq 100. Although the S&P 500 failed, it did make a run at it earlier in the day.
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Wednesday, February 22, 2017
Is it Stock Market Autumn 2007 All Over Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
While the financial world continues to delight in Trump Mania, the US economy has rolled over into recession.
I realize this sounds completely insane. After all, stocks are at new all time highs and a full 61% of Americans view the economy as “strong.”
Unfortunately, this is perception, not reality. When it comes to the economy today, Americans are like the guy who hasn’t realized the party is over, and keeps dancing while others are already starting to leave.
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Wednesday, February 22, 2017
Market Investments - No One Will Ever Care As Much as You / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
I’m moving. And it’s a royal pain.Beyond the hassle of physically getting all of our stuff from one state (Florida) to another (Texas), I have to deal with a mortgage lender on the new house. At first, against my better judgment, I called Bank of America.
As I told the guy I spoke with, I’ve hated the bank for the entire 23 years I’ve been with them. There’s been way too many hassles for what should be simple business transactions.
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Wednesday, February 22, 2017
There is No Market, Only Trump / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Those who lived through the ‘80s will undoubtedly remember the famous scene from the original Ghostbusters in which Bill Muray’s character goes to see Sigourney Weaver.
Unbeknownst to Murray, Weaver’s character has been possessed by a demonic spirit. And every time he states to her, “I want to talk to Dana” (the name of Weaver’s character in the movie), she responds, “There is no Dana, only ZUL!!!”
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Wednesday, February 22, 2017
Stock Market Strong Start to the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices were very strong today to start the week with big gaps up and strong runs early morning, midday they came down three or four times and tested support, unable to break them, and then rallied in the afternoon, finishing near the highs for the day for more new all-time highs.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 118.95 at 20,743.00. The S&P 500 was up 14.22 at 2365.38. The Nasdaq 100 was up 26.00 at 5350.73. All three closed near the highs for the day.
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Tuesday, February 21, 2017
3 Ways to Quantify Risk in Today’s Murky Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Credit Indicators
One way to calculate market risk is through bond yields. As risk and return are directly correlated when a bond’s yield rises, it implies the risk of owning it has increased.
The main vehicle for measuring risk through yield is the US 10-year Treasury. The 10-year is the bellwether for global bonds as it’s considered a “risk-free” instrument. Since hitting all-time lows in July 2016, its yield has shot up 50%.
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