Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, October 30, 2012
Stock Market Downtrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The market continued to correct this week, as it has for most of October. After starting the week at SPX 1433, it quickly dropped to 1408 by early tuesday morning. Then for the rest of the week the market tried to rally but ended with a slightly lower low every day, right into friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.65%, and the NDX/NAZ were -0.55%. Asian stocks lost 1.0%, European stocks lost 1.7%, and the DJ World index was -1.7%. On the economic front things continue to improve: positive reports outpaced negative ones 6 to 3. On the downtick: consumer sentiment, new home prices and the WLEI. On the uptick: new/pending home sales, FHFA housing prices, durable goods orders, Q3 GDP and weekly jobless claims declined. While this week’s market action was mostly technical due to the lack of economic reports. Next week the will likely be all about the economy. The monthly Payrolls report highlights the week, with Auto sales and the Chicago PMI.
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Monday, October 29, 2012
Nicole Foss And Max Keiser Talk Greed, Fear, Downward Spirals And Risk Divisions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
The Automatic Earth's Senior Editor Nicole Foss talks to Max Keiser again, this time on PressTV's On The Edge with Max Keiser.
Nicole and Max discuss Europe's shrinking pie, Canada's bursting bubble, the ongoing global debt deflation, the eternal tug of war between greed and fear, the greater fool, and the similarities the demise of the banking system in 14th century Venice has with Washington DC today.
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Monday, October 29, 2012
Monday U.S. Financial Markets Closed Due to Sandy Mega Storm / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Hurricane Sandy has cancelled the markets today.
Perhaps tomorrow as well as the storm, as you can see from the map, doesn't really hit us until Tuesday morning. So, unless it veers further south than projected, NYC and the exchanges will be smack in the middle of the storm tomorrow morning.
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Monday, October 29, 2012
The Free Market’s Slow Death / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Much has been made in the press of the manipulation of LIBOR, without much explanation of the consequences for prices of all things that depend on supply and demand for bank credit. Outrage focuses on the activities of avaricious bankers, which is why the connection never gets made between relatively minor manipulations of credit pricing by banks and far larger manipulations by central banks.
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Monday, October 29, 2012
Time To Trade On The Stock Market Halloween Effect / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
With Halloween just around the corner, investors are entering what has persistently been a highly profitable period for world stock markets. Investment returns on the benchmark S&P 500 have been roughly three times higher in the period between November and April compared to the summer months of May to October.
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Monday, October 29, 2012
Stock Market Possible Downtrend into January 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend – SPX has made a triple top, which is a bearish pattern. It has now given a strong indication that an intermediate correction is underway.
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Sunday, October 28, 2012
Why This is No Time to Borrow “On Margin” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Alexander Green writes: With stocks near a three-and-a-half-year high and interest rates dirt cheap, this might seem like a good time to borrow against your stock portfolio.
Then again… perhaps not.
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Sunday, October 28, 2012
Cross Correlations Between Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
If readers take a look at the chart below you can see how highly correlated the markets are and looking for that little edge can sometimes literally be the missing piece of the jigsaw puzzle that can make the difference to being on the right side of the trend.
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Sunday, October 28, 2012
Stock Market Roller-Coaster Ride Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Courtesy of Doug Short: The major world indexes on my watchlist have been oscillating wildly between weekly losses and gains. Last weekend’s snapshot showed all eight posting gains with an average of the bunch at 2.02%. But the week just closed saw the average plummet to -1.38%. China took both the top and bottom spots. The Hang Seng was the top (i.e., least bad) performer with a nearly flat finish of -0.03%. The Shanghai Composite finished at -2.92%. The S&P 500 and FTSE 100 hovered in the middle of the pack, two basis points either side of the -1.50% mark.
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Sunday, October 28, 2012
Stock Market QED / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
There are many reasons to fear unhedged exposure in the U.S. stock market. Recent corporate conference calls have explored weak or falling revenues. Drooping trade among Asian countries has forewarned of weakness. In the U.S, Europe and Asia, reports describe slumping sales of necessities that may need to be reclassified as luxuries. To rub it in, investment by companies has been scaled back and large layoffs have not slackened.
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Saturday, October 27, 2012
Stock Market forecast for the coming week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
It will be very hard for stock indexes to sustain in these levels because there is no support of economic fundamentals; I am not only talking about the both sides of Atlantic but also about Emerging nations (or better to say BRICS nations). The way their economic reports are coming now it is concern weather they can cope with post November events (US fiscal cliff or global slowdown …….) or whatever that lays ahead.
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Saturday, October 27, 2012
Stock Market Rough Week...Bears More In Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The stock market spent the week struggling along as the majority of leading stocks fell due to bad earnings reports. The poor reports were pretty much across the board. Make no mistake, there were many very solid reports as well. It was not all gloom and doom, but there were quite a number of reporters who said things seem to be slowing down harder than previously anticipated. What's really interesting, in a not so good way, is the fact that there were so many CEO's who seemed genuinely surprised by how fast things have turned down from a global perspective. Many talked about the need to lower guidance quite a bit due to uncertainty about whether things will start to improve. They'd rather err on the side of guiding lower than they should, so they don't disappoint once again in three months. If things improve, then they'll be able to surprise and beat those lowered expectations.
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Saturday, October 27, 2012
Is The Stock Market Plunging Over An Earnings Cliff? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The previous worries of the market seem to be fading away, only to be replaced by a new one that is perhaps more directly meaningful to stock market valuation.The U.S. economic slowdown of the spring and summer months appears to have bottomed. Home sales, new home starts, and home prices, have all been rising. The employment numbers have improved so much that skeptics even suspect the government must have somehow manipulated the numbers. Retail sales have been picking up. The latest reading of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index shows consumer confidence is at its highest level since 2007. On Friday it was reported that the U.S. economy (GDP) grew 2.0% in the 3rd quarter, up from 1.3% in the second quarter, and better than the consensus forecast of 1.8%.
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Saturday, October 27, 2012
QE3, A Light on the Future For Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
“The challenge for Ben Bernanke and the Fed governors since the 2008 bailouts has been how to deal with the backlog of fraud – not just fraudulent mortgages and fraudulent mortgage securities but the derivatives piled on top and the politics of who owns them, such as sovereign nations with nuclear arsenals, and how they feel about taking massive losses on AAA paper purchased in good faith.
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Saturday, October 27, 2012
The US Presidential Election, Gold, Dollar and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
With the US presidential election drawing near, it is beginning to look like Mitt Romney may actually have a shot at the white House. This prompts gold investors to wonder how such an outcome might affect financial markets and especially gold. What if Mitt Romney wins? The election may impact everything from mortgage costs to the cost of financing the U.S. debt. Trillions are at stake.
The theory goes that Romney will replace Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke whose current term will expire in any case on January 2014. He has said as much. This might slow down the perpetual money printing machine, which would be a bearish signal for gold. It would add uncertainty to monetary policy and increase market volatility.
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Friday, October 26, 2012
The Stock Market and U.S. Presidential Election 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
After a long contentious slog, the hyper-critical 2012 elections are almost here. Americans will finally have the opportunity to choose our great nation’s future course. Will we collectively vote for free-market prosperity or big-government dependency? One thing is certain, the fortunes of the US stock markets will play a major role in this all-important decision. Few things influence our national sentiment more.
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Friday, October 26, 2012
Why Hedge Fund Managers Are Scared / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Julian Robertson, founder of Tiger Management, appeared on "Bloomberg Surveillance" with Tom Keene and Sara Eisen this morning, saying that hedge funds that have positioned themselves for a "black swan event" are making a "mistake."
Robertson said, "I think right now they are all scared...They are really only going to be profitable in the event of a big disaster."
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Friday, October 26, 2012
Why You Shouldn’t Fear High-Frequency Trading / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Alexander Green writes: I occasionally hear from readers who say they are fleeing stocks because they fear a market crash due to the prevalence of high-frequency trading.This is almost certainly a mistake. Here’s why…
Thursday, October 25, 2012
Stock Market Excitement Begins Here / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Yesterday I commented that the SPX may make one more attempt at the Head & Shoulders neckline at 1421.00 before resuming the decline. Well, here it is.
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Thursday, October 25, 2012
Based on Real Math The SP 500 Stock Market Index Is Fairly Valued / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
As investors, we do not believe in forecasting stock markets or stock prices on individual stocks. Instead, we approach investing as the process of calculating intrinsic value based on fundamentals. To us, the most important fundamental to be considered when evaluating the True Worth™ of a market or a common stock is earnings. Therefore, it's important that the reader understands that this article is offered as a mathematical calculation of what the S&P 500 is actually worth based on earnings. The reason we believe this to be important is because we also believe that any deviations from fair value will ultimately self-correct.
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