Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, January 09, 2011
Global Stock Market Cycle Forecast 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The job of a stock market cycle tracker and forecaster is far more difficult with trillions of dollars in government intervention and global central bank quantitative easing sloshing around global markets. The liquidity is bidding up everything from oil to coffee to corn, but the cyclical stock market picture is clearing up. There is both good news and bad news regarding global stock market cycles for 2011. It is always better to get the bad news off your chest first, so let’s dispense with the bad news, and move on to the good news.
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Sunday, January 09, 2011
Stock Market SPX Repelled by Cycle Top Resistance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The FDIC Starts off a New Year.
The FDIC Failed Bank List announced two new bank closures this week. A subscriber sent me this video on the IndyMac Bank Closure. It appears that the FDIC is doing much more than protecting depositors’ money.
Charting Three Decades Of The Exponential December BLS Seasonal Adjustment
Saturday, January 08, 2011
Dow 15,000 By Year Ben - Uh... I Mean Year End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
And....., we’re off! The New Year is off and running and the Federal Reserve is busier than ever. The first day of the new trading year started off with a bang. The Dow bolted up some 100 points as the trading continued from the ferocious last 15-minutes of the last day of trading on New Year’s Eve that I documented in my last post (http://bmfinvest.blogspot.com/2010/12/does-new-year-change-anything.html). The rest of the week turned a bit more pessimistic as Friday was looking downright ugly until one o’clock. What happened at one o’clock? Oh yeah - the great Bernanke finished up his meeting of the Village Idiots (he testified before the bozos we call ‘Congress’) and got back to his real job, juicing the stock markets. If there is anybody that still thinks we really have ‘stock markets’ anymore, you should go read a book or something. All we have is Bernanke and his printing press.
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Saturday, January 08, 2011
The S&P 500 & Gold Under Pressure on Friday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
With the holiday season in the rear view mirror and volume slowly creeping back into the marketplace, I can’t help but wonder what lies ahead. The optimist in me is hopeful that the economy will continue to repair itself and the financial issues that plague the federal government, state government, and local governments will just go away as the economy rebounds. The only problem with my hope is that massive debts and deficits do not simply disappear and I fear the problem will be a long and lasting one.
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Saturday, January 08, 2011
Are stocks overvalued and overloved? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Employment Situation in December Disappoints.
The unemployment rate fell by 0.4 percentage point to 9.4 percent in December, and nonfarm payroll employment increased by 103,000, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment rose in leisure and hospitality and in health care but was little changed in other major industries.
Saturday, January 08, 2011
The Dismal U.S. Jobs Report Is Not Important! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Another month - another disappointment in the employment picture.
But it doesn’t matter! The economic recovery continues. Employment is a lagging indicator.
Saturday, January 08, 2011
Macro-Trends – Keys to Macro Profits in 2011, Gold and Silver Ultimate Wealth Protection / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“Nothing has changed fundamentally to improve the outlook for the U.S. economy. It remains in a protracted downturn that has started to deepen anew and that shows no signs of sustainable economic recovery in the year ahead…
…the economy in 2011 should remain much weaker than generally is expected, with ongoing negative implications for systemic solvency, for the federal budget deficit and for U.S. Treasury fundings. Such also implies a likely accelerating expansion of the Federal Reserve’s "quantitative easing," reflecting active monetization of U.S. Treasury debt and debasement of the U.S. dollar.
Saturday, January 08, 2011
Earnings Drive Stock Prices? See This Chart Before You Answer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Since the time of buttonwood trees, Wall Street has had its own version of the Ten Commandments -- the cornerstone principles of conventional economic wisdom. The first of these writ-in-stone notions is the widespread belief that earnings drive the stock market.
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Friday, January 07, 2011
How High Can the Stock Market Go? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
With global economic activity exceeding low expectations and the Fed stating the threshold is high to scale back its money-printing program (QE2), it is a good time to examine the upside potential of the stock market. While the average investor has a limited memory when it comes to market reversal points that occurred in 1998, computers and trading algorithms have no trouble recalling them in vivid detail. Therefore, taking a little walk down memory lane may help us compete more effectively with the largest firms on Wall Street.
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Friday, January 07, 2011
Emerging Bubble Alert: "Zero-down" loans to "credit challenged" applicants are on the rise / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
Counterfeiting is an effective way to stimulate the economy, but the costs can be quite high. For example, if trillions of dollars in fake cash was injected into the financial system (undetected), we'd probably see the same type of thing that we see when a credit bubble is inflating; asset prices would rise, unemployment would fall, economic activity would increase, and GDP would soar. But when people figured out what was going on, investors would panic, the markets would crash, and the economy would go into a deflationary nosedive.
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Friday, January 07, 2011
The Changing Balance Between FTSE and DAX Stock Indices / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
From early September into mid-December the German DAX enjoyed a strong bull run supported by a strong economic recovery, which helped pan-Euro zone economic data mask the plight of many other Euro zone economies that were at best enjoying a modest recovery. Or, more typically, were gripped by the Sovereign debt crisis that has forced Greece and Ireland to seek a rescue. And to shelter under promises made by China to keep buying their Sovereign debt.
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Friday, January 07, 2011
Stock Market – Comedy or Tragedy? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Russell 8-0-0, Russell 8-0-0! Wherefore art thou Russell8-0-0? Deny thy dollar and refuse to fall, or, if thou spike not, be but consolidating at resistance and I’ll happily Capitulate….
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Friday, January 07, 2011
Gold, Silver and Stocks Converging Towards January Top / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
In recent articles and forecast updates for my subscribers, I have been preparing them for a top in Precious Metals and US Markets around Mid January. We may have already seen the intermediate top in Gold and Silver recently, and the SP 500 and US markets are not far behind.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 06, 2011
Gold, Stocks and Bonds in 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Yesterday, we promised to give you a “Prediction-Plus” about the stock market. You remember what a “Prediction-Plus” is, don’t you? It’s better than a prediction. It’s what you should believe…even if it turns out to be wrong.
What should you believe about bonds? They’re going down. They’re a “suicidal” investment, says our old friend, Marc Faber.
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Wednesday, January 05, 2011
QE2 & Stock Market Breadth Still Question the ‘Smart Money’ / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The ‘smart money’ has been calling for a correction for over six weeks now, often citing extended sentiment to build their case. We looked at sentiment recently and agree it raises yellow flags that need to be respected, but sentiment alone is not a reason to head for the exits (yet).
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Wednesday, January 05, 2011
How Long Can the S&P 500, Precious Metals, & Bonds Rally? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
In the fine print of most investment advertisements or in the softly spoken disclaimer at the end of a commercial, we generally read or hear the phrase “past results are not indicative of future performance”. While those exact words may not be written or uttered, something along those lines is found on almost any piece of investment literature or in investment product commercials.
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Wednesday, January 05, 2011
The Coming Decade of Sideways Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Your latest book, The Little Book of Sideways Markets, was just published. What is a sideways market?
Let's begin with some definitions so we can speak clearly about this. When I talk about markets, I'm talking about secular markets that last longer than five years, usually decades or longer.
Tuesday, January 04, 2011
Markets Vanish - 'In a Flash' / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Following is a short excerpt from "War of the Nerds," which I wrote for the December, 2006, edition of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report. I discussed the crises an investor ("Our Serious Investor") navigated from the 1960s to the present. Doomsday had been predicted since the dollar crises of the 1960s, yet risk had been transient. By the fall of 2006, it was obvious the U.S. mortgage market and banking system were in collapse, but securities markets were deemed riskless, as measured by bond and credit-default spreads. It is timely to resurrect the vanishing bond markets of 1914 and 2007 after the failed or distressed auctions since December 27, 2010, of euro zone, Chinese, and U.S Treasury bonds with 5-year and 7-year maturities.
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Tuesday, January 04, 2011
Stock Market S&P 500 Index Targets 1,313, 1,326 in 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
While Monday’s ISM Manufacturing Index came in near expectations, it was the highest reading since May 2010. Production showed healthy gains moving from 55 to 60.7. New orders also gained 4.3 points moving to a bullish 60.9. Eleven of the eighteen industries reported growth. According to the ISM, December’s index level historically has been associated with real GDP growth of 5.0%.
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Tuesday, January 04, 2011
Stock Market Leaders for 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks drifted quietly in the past week, seemingly satisfied with the status quo and in no hurry to get to their next destination. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Standard & Poor's 500 Index and Nasdaq Composite Index all clocked in tandem for a loss or gain of +0.1% to -0.1%.
Overseas stocks were the only major winners, with developed markets outside the United States up 1.4% and emerging markets up 2.2%.
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