Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, January 03, 2008
Forecasts for 2008 - Stock and Financial Markets, Commodities, Housing and US Elections / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
By: Tim_Iacono
Yesterday's review of predictions for 2007 wasn't nearly as good as the year before, but then the bar was set rather high back in 2006 . As it was, the results were again mostly A's with a few lower grades in areas where predictions probably shouldn't have been made anyway.
Of course, when three of the ten predictions are oil, gold, and the dollar, guesses of up, up, and down really are slam-dunks.
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Thursday, January 03, 2008
2008 - Break of the Financial System as PRIME Mortgages Go BUST / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The year 2008 will be the year that THINGS JUST PLAIN BREAK. It will be a truly deadly year, unavoidably lethal to the USEconomy and especially to the US banking sector. Nothing has been repaired. Some tangible solutions will be offered in the next section, all legitimate in a real world. However, we do NOT live in a real world, but rather in a Fairy Tale world of US Hegemony and Wall Street with a choke hold around the US entire system. Managed inflation is the policy never to be reversed, until total breakdown occurs. Treason is rampant, called simply Power Games. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 02, 2008
Stock Market Cycle Investment Management and the Business Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Steve_Selengut
Whatever happened to the Stock Market Cycle; the Interest Rate Cycle; Baby Jane? How did Wall Street get away with pushing these facts of financial life down the basement stairs? Most investors, I'm beginning to believe, and all financial advisors, media representatives, and market gurus have abandoned these fascinating curves for the comfort of a straight-edged twelve-month playing field... simple, yes; realistic, not. I have to wonder if things would be different with a more investor-friendly tax-code, but that would be far less lucrative for The Wizards... Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 02, 2008
Credit Collapse Domino Effect to Send Stocks Lower / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Captain_Hook
There's no reason to be short the stock market from a seasonal perspective anymore. And with all the giveaways these days, along with apparent ample money supply, again, if contemplating participation in the stock market, without a doubt the ‘rational man' would be compelled to be long given it appears authorities have the subprime mess under control – right? Correspondingly then, both short and put / call ratios should be falling, and in fact this is exactly what is happening as market participants get squeezed in a traditional Santa Claus rally. From a sentiment related perspective this is a bearish set-up along the lines of Dave's thoughts on the subject – The Grinch That Stole Christmas . Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 02, 2008
2008 Investment and Economic Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: David_Urban
The US Economy The American consumer has proven to be very resilient over the years. Rumors of their impending demise have been foretold since the beginning of the decade and here we stand at another crossroads. Consumer spending accounts for more than 70% of GDP so while everyone focuses on manufacturing, production, and service figures they overlook the one figure that matters most, retail sales.
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Tuesday, January 01, 2008
Stock Market Trends for 2008 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Clif_Droke
The year 2007 was marked by pessimism, doom and gloom, and a never-ending fusillade of fear. The mainstream press never tired of hypnotizing into believing the stock market would collapse, a downfall which never materialized.
With all the talk of the weak dollar and the predictions of a worsening liquidity crisis, prognosticators have all but written off the prospects for a bullish 2008. Calls for a recession in the year ahead are also on the rise. What these analysts have failed to grasp is that there never was a liquidity crisis to begin with. By definition, tight money is reflected by rising interest rates and falling money supply indicators. Just the opposite is the case today.
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Tuesday, January 01, 2008
2008 Epic Battle Between Credit Crunch and Central banks Liquidity Flood / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: The year 2007 is closing — and 2008 is about to open — with an epic battle between two of the most powerful economic crosscurrents we've seen in a lifetime:
- An unprecedented credit crunch threatening to strangle the debt-addicted U.S. economy, and ...
- Equally unprecedented money pumping by a Federal Reserve determined to flood the economy with all the cash it needs to overcome the crunch.
Monday, December 31, 2007
Most Popular Financial Market Analysis of 2007 Dominated by the Housing Market Bust / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The analysis and forecasts for the commodity and financial markets for 2008 are coming through thick and fast as the New Year approaches. It is time to delve through the several thousand articles published during 2007 for the opportunity to return to the ten most popular articles of the year. The Housing market dominated peoples interest as the US Housing bust kicked into gear and fears of a similar collapse in other over extended housing markets such as the UK's. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 31, 2007
Stock Market Trading 2008 - Resolved Price Interpretation / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Joseph_Russo
"Who is the judge? The judge is God... Why is He God? Because He decides who wins or loses, not my opponent ... Who is your opponent? He does not exist.... Why doesn't he exist? Because he is a mere dissenting voice of the truth I speak."
The above quote comes from the film “The Great Debaters” directed by Denzel Washington. The Great Debaters was inspired by Wiley College, a traditionally African-American school in Marshall, Texas, with Melvin Tolson, its iconic debate coach.
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Monday, December 31, 2007
Stock Market Seasonal and Cyclic Forecast for 2008 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-yr cycle is approaching its mid-point and some of its dominant components have topped and may be restraining the bullish effect of the 4.5-yr. This could lead to another period of consolidation in 2008 with an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.
SPX: Intermediate Trend - The intermediate-term trend which had been in a correction since the index reached 1576 has now resumed its up move, but the corrective pattern could be extended if a new high is not achieved soon.
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Sunday, December 30, 2007
Lessons for High Yield Stock Market Investments 2008 / Stock-Markets / Dividends
By: Roger_Conrad
There's still one trading day left in 2007. But for income investors, the key lessons from what was quite a tumultuous year are already in focus, as is how we can use them for a prosperous 2008. Once again, diversification paid off in spades. Some dividend-paying investments such as utility stocks were huge winners. More economy-sensitive fare like financial's and most real estate investment trusts were losers. But a balanced portfolio of a wide range of high-quality income-payers held its own, generating steady income with low overall volatility of principal.
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Sunday, December 30, 2007
Stock Market Forecasts 2008 - FTSE, DAX and SPASX200 / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Robert_McHugh_PhD
The Australia SPASX 200 fell 11.00 points, or 0.17 percent, to 6,339.90 as of Friday, December 28th, 2007. Volume was 47 percent of its 10 day average. Downside volume led at 65 percent, with declining issues at 57 percent, with downside points at 51 percent in mixed trading. Demand Power fell 4 points to 400, while Supply Pressure fell 3 points to 420 , telling us neither side had strong conviction about the trend. Supply Pressure rose sharply above Demand Power Monday, December 17th, triggering an enter short positions signal, and remains there Friday. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 30, 2007
January Usually Strong for Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: Most of the major indices will finish up for the year.
Short Term - As of last Wednesday the market was overbought.
The Russell 2000 (R2K) had been up for 6 consecutive days as of Wednesday's close and that had happened 3 other times in the past year.
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Sunday, December 30, 2007
Stock Market Update: Work Ethic of an Unbiased Trader / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Dominick
I hope you had an enjoyable, restful holiday week. But, if you're like me you've been looking forward to the end of these shortened weeks and can't wait to get back to some heavy volume trading! Friday's close left the immediate term outlook very muddled with many different patterns still viable, but as usual we're content to show up day after day to trade whatever the market offers. All the ambiguity of the current setup means is that anyone who now says they know exactly what will happen next is probably wrong!Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 29, 2007
Stock and Investment Markets Outlook for 2008 / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: William_R_Thomson
Gazing into the crystal ball for investing in 2008 - Cash may be king for the moment but financial experts favour a plunge back into equity markets later in the year
A 'YEAR of fear' for portfolio investors - or a time of great opportunity? This is the question The Business Times put to a panel of financial experts as 2007 draws to a close. Their answers contained some surprises. Cash may be king for the moment, in the immediate aftermath of the US sub-prime mortgage crisis, and the worst is yet to come in equity markets.
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Saturday, December 29, 2007
Stock Market Increasing Volatility Signaling a Powerful Move / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Marty_Chenard
A big market decision is approaching: Expect increasing market Volatility in the coming days ... and then a powerful move afterwards.
The reason : Everyday, we track the Long Term Inflowing Liquidity going into the markets. This is a liquidity driven market, so this is an important underlying element to what the stock market does.
(This study is posted daily on the paid subscriber website.)
Saturday, December 29, 2007
Current Stock Market Conditions from both a Dow Theory and a Cyclical Perspective / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
By: Tim_Wood
As I'm sure you all know, I have been saying for quite some time that the equity markets have been operating within one of the longest 4-year cycles in stock market history. This is not some hollow or shallow opinion in which I'm letting the wish father the thought. In reality, I wish that I could tell you the 4-year cycle low is behind us, because that would certainly make my job much easier as that is what the majority of the public seem to want to believe. In any event, I do not align myself with popular opinion to make my job easier. Rather, my opinion is based strictly on statistical analysis and very specific indicators. As we move into 2008, the statistics nor the indicators have changed in regard to this matter. Therefore, my opinion continues to be that the 4-year cycle low still lies ahead. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 28, 2007
Stock Markets Weaken as Credit Crisis Hits Earnings / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Citigroup is now expected to cut its dividend by 40%. Moreover, management is now expected to increase its estimated write-offs from $11 billion to $18.7 billion. Citi's CEO, Charles Prince lost his job, but not all the fat bonuses he'd collected in previous years.
Merrill Lynch is forecast by Goldman Sachs analysts to have an $11.5 billion write-off this quarter. That's after an $7.9 billion hit and a 94% loss in revenues in the third quarter . Merrill's ex-CEO, Stan O'Neal left with $161 million in his back pocket.
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Friday, December 28, 2007
Five Mega-Trends Unfolding In 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes: The last 12 months have seen monumental shifts in the interest rate and real estate markets. And if I'm right about where things are headed, 2008 should be just as exciting, if not more.
Naturally, I can't give away the entire store here. More precise forecasts and profitable recommendations are reserved for loyal subscribers to Safe Money Report , who will be getting a potentially lucrative gala outlook issue shortly.
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Friday, December 28, 2007
Stock, Commodities and Financial Market Forecasts for 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Larry Edelson writes: I've enjoyed spending time with my loved ones this Christmas here in sunny, South Florida. It's so great to have the whole family together!
My hope is that your home is also filled with warmth and joy this holiday season, and I wish you and your family a very happy, healthy and prosperous New Year!
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