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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 18, 2007

MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - Financial Sector ETF Looking Bearish / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Today's weakness in the Financial Select Sector SPDR (AMEX: XLF) has pressed the financial ETF below all of my relevant "trading" moving averages, which I consider to be a sign of impending decline. However, let's notice that the price structure must break both its 1-year support line as well as its prior pivot low, which reside at 35.53, in order to trigger downside acceleration towards a test of the next important, intermediate-term pivot low, at 34.18 (from 3/14).

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 17, 2007

The Financial Markets Big Picture - The Crack-up Boom Series Part VI / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Ty_Andros

In This Issue
1. The Crack-up Boom Series Part VI Introduction
2. Smoke Signals, aka The “BIG” Picture
3. Years Ending in 7 and What Comes After! Nice, Very Nice
.

Foreword - For greater insight into our publication, have a look at the Overview of Tedbits . It helps current and potential subscribers understand our mission in serving you. It also gives a broad description of what's unfolding globally and what you can expect from Tedbits as a regular reader.

1. The Crack Up Boom series is exploring the unfolding “Indirect Exchange” (as detailed by Ludvig Von Mises), that dollar holders will be using to exit their holdings now and eventually is will be followed by all holders of fiat currency holdings no matter which country is perpetrating the “fraud” of confiscation of wealth through the printing and credit creation process that all such monetary schemes evolve into. The “Crack Up Boom” will drive an inflationary global expansion to inconceivable heights over the coming years. Asset prices will skyrocket as people do what they always do when threatened they will modify their behavior and do the things necessary for “SELF PRESERVATION” of their families, countries, economies and their wealth. Let's take a look at Von Mises description of the CRACK UP BOOM once again:

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 16, 2007

Nolte Notes - Bulls On Parade / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Paul_J_Nolte

It is hard to argue with a bull market – stocks rose on the week breaking through the two-month range that has held the averages captive on better than average volume. The usual giddiness that ensues should carry the Dow through 14,000 (got your 14K hats ready?) before we get a bit of backing and filling “confirming” that the former high end of the trading range is now the market's new floor. Economically speaking, Goldilocks remains in the house (bears aren't home yet!), as the trade deficit widened a bit, but our export business continues to grow (the reason large cap stocks are doing well) and consumer confidence also improved – in the face of higher energy prices.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 16, 2007

MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - Internet Holders Trust (HHH) Targets Upside Breakout / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's notice that so far today the Internet HLDRs ETF (AMEX: HHH) opened lower but has climbed into positive territory -- at new recovery rally highs, with the possibility of closing the session with a key upside reversal spike.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 16, 2007

Cyclical Stock Market Highs – Secular Trends – And The Sinking Of The USS Titanic / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System

By: Captain_Hook

A great deal has already been written on this subject as it pertains to both stocks and commodities, with Michael Alexander's work a shining example in this regard. Of course if you were to compare how the markets are behaving in relation to how conventional analysis along these lines was foretelling what we should expect back at millennium's turn, one might be quite surprised today.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 15, 2007

Dow Jones Surges! But Brazil and China ETFs Rise Far More! / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin here with a quick update on the Dow and international markets.

On Thursday, even as the Dow surged 284, its biggest one-day gain since October 2003 …

My favorite international ETF — representing Brazil's bluechips — was up the equivalent of 573 points on the Dow!

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 15, 2007

Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Analysis 15th July 2007 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Andre_Gratian

A 3-dimensional approach to technical analysis
Cycles - Breadth - Price projections

Current Position of the Market.

SPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-year cycle is still in its up-phase but, as we approach its mid-point some of its dominant components are topping and could lead to a severe correction over the next few months.

SPX: Intermediate Trend - The intermediate trend made its low on 6/26 and has already produced a rally to an all time high. But internals are weak and it is not clear how sustained this move will be.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 14, 2007

Stock Market Update: Profit is the Only Real Portfolio Protection / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Dominick

Even the most casual market observers will have noticed Thursday's record-breaking explosion in stocks and Friday's new all-time highs in the S&P 500, but how many of them bought the bottom? And I don't mean piling into the momentum and squeezed out a profit. How many expected the move into the low and bought the gap down on Wednesday? My guess is that, even among all the professional traders and retail investors, the number who really did is very low.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 14, 2007

Inflation, Birth / Death Ratio and Asking the Chinese to Buy Our Mortgages / Stock-Markets / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

In this issue:
The Birth/Death Ratio
Retail Sales Up? Let's Hear it for Inflation!
King Dollar and the Guillotine
Asking the Chinese to Buy Our Mortgages?
A Half a Trillion and Counting
Albacore, Maine, Denmark and Europe

Is the economy slowing down or is it getting ready to go on a new tear? Judging by the run-up in the Dow, the answer is a major turnaround for the economy in the last half of the year, from the close-to-recession numbers of the first quarter. So, what has happened to my forecast of a slowdown or minor recession?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 13, 2007

Friday the 13th, Welcome to the Summer Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Everything you wanted to know about Friday the 13th .

Is it like any other day or is there something about Friday the 13th ? Wall Street appeared to have its lucky day on the 12 th , so what gives today? If you were a Knight Templar in 1307, this day goes down in infamy.

A (not so) surprising decline in June retail sales.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 13, 2007

MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - S&P Holds Firm Despite Surging Crude Oil Prices / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Another $1 surge in oil prices thus far today, yet the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) continue to hold up remarkably well -- considering also that they have climbed 3% in less than 48 hours.

Furthermore, let's notice that while the momentum oscillators are relatively overbought on an hourly basis, they nonetheless confirm the two session advance, which usually means that more upside is likely prior to the creation of divergences that point to the approach of a meaningful correction.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 13, 2007

Three Major Financial Market Trends You Must Watch / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson writes: There's so much going on out there in the markets, I almost don't know where to start. Stocks … bonds … currencies … they've been more volatile than I can remember in a long time.

But when I sort through the confusion, I see there are really three major trends driving the action. These three forces could very well hold the key to your investment performance over the next several months. So I want to share them with you right away …

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 12, 2007

MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - Big Cap Stocks Outperforming Small Caps / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

One very interesting aspect of today's action is the outperformance of the BIG CAPS versus the small caps, which has widened my ratio spread long Dow Diamonds (AMEX: DIA)/short iShares Russell 2000 Index (AMEX: IWM) in a lopsided, powerful upday.... a signal perhaps that the leadership in this new upleg is being narrowed to the highly capitalized, substantial companies. It is with that in mind, that we take a look at the DJIA pattern.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 11, 2007

MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - Nasdaq Looking Set to Start a New Upleg / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

So far this morning's low at 48.29 in the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) is looking very much like the conclusion of the pullback off of Monday's 48.99 high as well as the start of a new upleg. If all of the above proves accurate, then the current "up bar" on the 4-hour chart represents the initiation of a new advance that should hurdle 48.99 on the way to at least 49.50/60 and, more than likely, on the way to 50.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 10, 2007

Today's Stock Market headline: Testing, Testing, Testing ... 3 Indexes at a stress level? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Marty_Chenard

There are 3 important testing levels, all occurring today, in the market on the S&P 500, the DOW, and our Institutional Index. Each chart is below showing their respective resistance levels being tested.

Chart 1: The S&P 500

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 10, 2007

MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - Early Session Lows for S&P / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Today's swoon to a low so far at 151.81 has pressed the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) nearly to test the June-July support line at 151.70. The early-session weakness hit a low above the trendline, and has since reversed sharply in what is starting to look like the completion of the correction off of the 153.30 high from yesterday.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 09, 2007

The Summer Pause That Refreshes the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis

By: Hans_Wagner

There is a Wall Street phrase that “Sell in May and go Away” that means that most of the money tends to be made between November and May. There are actual studies that have shown if one were fully invested in the market from November to May and then moved their money into safe interest bearing instruments like CDs, they make more money than staying invested in the market throughout the year. Now that we are entering the heart of summer, we need to consider if 2007 will follow a similar pattern.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 09, 2007

MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - Circling SPY Uptrend / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The fact that the SPDRs (AMEX: SPY) have been circling unchanged for the entire session is fairly remarkable when we consider that it has climbed 3.3% in the last 7 sessions. In fact, let's also notice that every pullback within the upmove has established a higher low – this morning's swoon to 152.62 included, which preserves the integrity of the immediate- and near-term uptrends.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 09, 2007

The Perfect Financial Storm / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Captain_Hook

Below is an excerpt from a commentary that originally appeared at Treasure Chests for the benefit of subscribers on Tuesday, June 19th , 2007.

Have we finally arrived – arrived at the point where we can say the perfect storm is unfolding before our very eyes? I don't know about you, but in my eyes it appears this may very well prove the case. Certainly one of the more important factors in this regard has got to be the inevitable war with Iran military forces appear to be preparing for that could send oil prices substantially higher . Not much will be getting through the Strait of Hormuz if war breaks out based on the arsenal Iranians are building up at present, where oil could go into triple digits, never mind $75 or $80. And even if war with Iran is averted, it's becoming more apparent every day that simple supply side constraints set against exploding demand will eventually send crude prices skyrocketing anyway. This you can count on, and you can count on it changing the way we live in just a few years from now. That's right, in not so many years from now you will look back on today and think – those were the good old days.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 09, 2007

NOLTE NOTES - The Wall Street Fire is Contained / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Paul_J_Nolte

The fireworks in the sky across the nation had nothing on the fireworks on Wall Street last week, as continued takeover activity spurred stocks higher – even in the face of gathering storm clouds (energy prices and bond yields). The fireworks were also in the economic data, as employment gains continued to run faster than expectations and the ISM data from both manufacturers and services also showed economic strength.

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