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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 25, 2014

The Gallery of Crowd Behavior: Goodbye Stock Market All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Doug_Wakefield

"Complex Systems that have artificially suppressed volatility tend to become extremely fragile, while at the same time exhibiting no visible risks. In fact, they tend to be too calm and exhibit minimal variability as silent risks and accumulate beneath the surface. Although the stated intention of political leaders and economic policymakers is to stabilize the system by inhibiting fluctuations, the result tends to be the opposite." - Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Mark Blyth, May/June 2011 issue of Foreign Affairs.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 25, 2014

Stock Market Do Or Die Dead Ahead.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

When a market corrects hard there is only one normal way retrace the move back up to unwind oversold conditions and test lost 20- and 50-day exponential moving averages. You take weeks to do it, and you do it slowly and gradually without any large gap ups. The S&P 500 now has three gap ups with two of them over a ten handle. Very unusual for a back test and makes you wonder just what's going on. It's basically almost a v bottom for now. On top of that we have MACD crosses on the daily-index charts from very low positions, which, of course, is far from a bearish set-up. With all of this I remain open. I thought for sure there would be another large, hard move lower in the market and that may very well still be the case.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 25, 2014

Stock Market Buy the Dip or Sell the Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Sy_Harding

I’ve been around a long time, through many economic and market cycles, and I don’t recall a time when the bull/bear debate had such strong arguments on both sides.

The bullish case:

·         The economic recovery from the Great Recession continues.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 24, 2014

Stock Market Fear and Panic Fractal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Late yesterday afternoon I wrote an email entitled “Panic Cycle Shift.” Make sure you read it if you haven’t yet done so.

Early in September I suggested that the market would have 43 “up days” followed by 43 “down days”. That is still correct. Remember that I am referring to calendar days. Now convert that to market days and the result is 30-31 trading days, depending on the placement of weekends and holidays.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 24, 2014

Stock Market and Reality Disconnected / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

The behaviour of financial markets these days is frankly divorced from reality, with value-investing banished. Markets have become distorted by Rumfield-knowns such as interest rate policy and "market guidance", and Rumfield-unknowns such as undeclared market intervention by the authorities. On top of these distortions there is remote investing by computers programmed with algorithms and high-frequency traders, unable to make human value-assessments.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 24, 2014

US Stock Market Top Is Now In Sight / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Submissions

Dr. David J Harris writes: SUMMARY:

  • In June, the DJIA index signaled that a significant US market top is near and will be reached in the next few weeks or months.
  • In July, a new market timing model calculated that the market top is likely to occur in either, the last two weeks of July, a seven week window covering the last four weeks of October and first three weeks of November, or the four week window covering the last two weeks of December and first two weeks of January.
  • Analysis of previous market tops and market bottoms shows that these windows of opportunity are close to 100% accurate.
  • The market timing model determines that the resulting market drop is likely to be at least 12% and could be as much as 33%.
  • Price projection analysis indicates that a rally is possible in late December and that the likelihood of a market top at year end is slightly greater than the likelihood of a market top in October or November.
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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 24, 2014

Institutional Investors Fish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Large and/or institutional investors, your pension funds, your market funds, you name them, have one glaringly obvious and immense Achilles heel that they very much prefer not to talk about. That is, they MUST invest their funds, in something, anything, they can’t NOT invest. They are trapped in the game. They have to roll over debt, investments, all the time.

In today’s markets, they can move into Treasuries, as we see bond funds (and undoubtedly others) do recently, and while that’s already a sign of unrest in the ranks, at the same time it exposes the funds. And not only because everyone knows it won’t allow them to meet the targets they must meet. Oil, gas and gold are unattractive alternatives.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 24, 2014

Stock Market Panic Cycle Shift / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

You may recall that earlier this year I had identified several panic cycles. These cycles occur in discreet intervals divisible by 4.3 and multiples of 10.

For example, I had identified the panic Cycle from April 12 to July 5 (86 days) as a panic buying cycle. The next panic buying cycle occurred from August 7 to September 19 (43 days).

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 24, 2014

SPX Stock Market Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This afternoon at 1428 hours the SPX peaked and reversed. What is significant about this is that the turn from the bottom was at 1327 hours on October 15, giving us 6 market days in between. The grand total is 43 hours and this may be a print high.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 23, 2014

Stock Market Uncertainty Following Sharp Rebound as Investors Take Short-Term Profits / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,975 and profit target at 1,875, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 23, 2014

Euro, USD, Gold and Stocks According to Chartology / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

Lets start off the Wednesday Report by looking at several currencies that broke out today. As you know the Eruo has been one of the weakest currencies out there. Today's breakout of a bear flag confirms there is more downside to come. This first chart is a daily look which shows the Euro formed a H&S top in the first half of this year and broke down sharply in late July. The Euro has been chopping out the blue bear flag for most of October which broke down today with a breakout gap.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 23, 2014

Why You Should Always Be Invested in the Stock Market (Even Now) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: On the heels of the worst volatility in nearly 20 years, and more “crash talk” than we’ve heard maybe ever, it’s starting to look like a smart time to hit the eject button and get out of the markets altogether.

In fact, that’s probably the most common question I’m hearing these days:

“Do I really want to be in stocks right now?”

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

The Inevitability of QE / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Clif_Droke

A swan dive in commodity prices followed by the latest stock market correction has investors talking about the “D word” once again. References to deflation abound in the news while economists seriously discuss the possibility of a global economic recession. What, they ask, will it take to arrest the slowdown in the euro zone and China and prevent its coming to U.S. shores? Why central bank intervention, of course!

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Stock Market Turn at Pi / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has broken beneath the lower trendline of its second (lower) Orthodox Broadening top, triggering that formation and giving us a lower target at 1493.80. It has also broken the Ending Diagonal trendline, giving us a minimum decline to 1820.66.

What is more interesting is that the rally turned at almost exactly 1885 minutes from bottom to top. Divide by 60 and we have 31.416 hours…Pi.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Currency War - How to Profit from a Stronger U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: The Fed plans to wind down its asset purchases this month, but Japan and the United Kingdom are still buying, full swing.

Meanwhile, the European Union is just looking to get started.

And, while the Fed is expected to begin raising rates next year, Europe and Japan recently pushed theirs below zeroas deflation appears to be the bigger threat.v

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Banks Hold Treasuries and Make Loans / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014

By: BATR

Ever since the 2008 financial collapse, banks have reduced their lending while accumulating U.S. Treasuries. On the surface placing capital into the safest depositor may seem prudent.   On the other hand, Why Big Banks Are Suddenly Interested in Talking to You Again? According to Inc, “After years of turning away small-business borrowers, the country's largest banks are now granting one out of five loan applications they receive. The 20 percent benchmark represents a post-recession high for big banks (assets of $10B+). Further, small banks have been approving more than half of the funding requests they receive.”

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Stock Market Probable Pop-n-Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket was “saved” once more by central bank intervention as it threatened to break its upward momentum at the 200-day Moving Average.

It is currently resting just beneath its Daily mid-Cycle resistance at 1915.31. That is likely to be the final resistance to this retracement since it is just beneath the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at 1919.96.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

The REAL Reason Why the Stock Market Turned Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: EWI

The rout in stocks is no "jinx"

In case you've been roving Mars for the past month, you've missed quite a fiasco from the world's leading stock market:

"Since it topped out last month, the Dow has suffered eight triple digit losses´┐Ż Add it all up, and the Dow has slid about 7.5% percent from its peak, the biggest retreat in more than two years. It also means the Dow has now given back all of its gains for the year -- and then some." (Daily Finance Oct. 15)

Now, according to the mainstream experts, there are 3 key causes for the market's sell-off:

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Stock Market Continues Counter Trend On Cue... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

I thought that we would move higher off the 10% move lower on the S&P 500, with a retrace to around the gap at 1928, or thereabouts. There, of course, can be no exact number, but my feeling was we'd get to 1928, or so, and, thus far, we're making our way up there nicely, but not easily. It shouldn't be easy, and it's not, but, thus far, it is playing out as expected. Of course, we could go somewhat higher or lower than my target. It's just that you have the confluence of gap, moving average, and a 50% retrace, all coming together at that approximate level. When a market wants to do something, it's very hard to deny it. For instance, there was absolutely terrible news from market and economic leader International Business Machines Corporation (IBM).

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 20, 2014

Investors Quit Complaining, The Environment is Perfect Right Now / Stock-Markets / US Economy

By: DailyWealth

Steve Sjuggerud writes: Man, I'm tired of the complaining in the last few weeks...

Everyone is worried the U.S. economy is weak... and that stocks therefore have to fall. Everyone sees the recent volatility in the markets as proof of this.

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