Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, December 08, 2016
Global Stock Markets Rise Into the New Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Global markets are displaying on-going strength as 2016 closes out. And all indications show that early 2017 will be no different.
The benchmark for world markets, the Dow Jones Global Index (DJW), has successfully broken out in Q3, tested the support level of 311 and rebounded.
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Thursday, December 08, 2016
Trump Stocks Bull Market Furious Rally Towards Dow 20k as Bear Mantra Persists / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The Trump delirium induced stocks bull market rally is striking down the bears with furious anger! A bear apocalypse in the making as most perhaps as many as 95% were expecting the EXACT OPPOSITE following an unexpected Trump election victory. And you don't have to look far to see the all prevailing imminent bear market mantra as it was regurgitated right across the mainstream press and blogosfear, all wrong! ALL WRONG! And this is what many PAY for! FT, CNBC, NYT etc... Here's how the supposed Trump crash / bear market has actually transpired -
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Thursday, December 08, 2016
Stock Market Top Close, 2017 Projection / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Today’s rally (yesterday we called for new highs shortly) has put the S&P 500 right up against a rising tops line. We are also in the area of the 17 week cycle top. A 14%+ drop looks likely into February/March. A strong 19%+ rally into late July and then a huge drop into the fall (-31%+), projects a down, up, down market for the year finishing Primary Wave 4.
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Wednesday, December 07, 2016
Stock Market Short-Term TOP & POP! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Currently, it is still very early days and the dust has not yet settled, however, I will make a bold forecast that the SPX is still in a BULL UPTREND from 2009.
There has been a paradigm shift in the U.S. after Trump’s election. The expected fiscal stimulus and increased government spending have ‘buoyed’ financial markets. The closed at 2213, for the first time in history on November 25th, 2016. The shift in market sentiment has sent 10-year treasury yield topping at 2.3%, for the first time this year, as markets anticipate higher inflation.
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Wednesday, December 07, 2016
Trump Likely to Drive Another Bump in Stock Market Buybacks — Here’s How to Hedge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
With the bull market in US stocks approaching its seventh anniversay in March 2017 and the indexes just hitting all-time highs, many investors are wondering how long the party can continue.
The chart below shows how the Dow Jones, Russell 2000, NASDAQ, and S&P 500 have all soared to record highs.
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Wednesday, December 07, 2016
Online CFD Trading for Traders on a Budget / Stock-Markets / Learn to Trade
deleted....
Wednesday, December 07, 2016
Stock Market Topping, Gold Looks Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
The stock market looks like it is making a distribution top into the FED meeting. We may see a small pull back into late week and then higher prices into the 14th. We could see a sharp drop into the 5 week cycle low due around the 19th of December. Overall, the market should be lower into March/April 2017 (Minor Wave Wave X of Intermediate Wave Z of Primary Wave 4) next year due to a FED rate hike.
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Wednesday, December 07, 2016
Stock Market It's Different This Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The normal bullishness of this time of year was turned on its head last year and we're beginning to wonder if it may happen again this year. In addition to a plethora of cycle highs converging on last week and the coming week, the McClellan Summation index is not acting right for new highs in the equity market. It may indeed be "different this time" but different from what; normal end of year seasonality or different than last year?
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Tuesday, December 06, 2016
Warning: Market Crashes Hit When the Most Investors LEAST EXPECT IT / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The Bank of Japan is trying to crash the markets?
This is not conspiracy theory. In the last month the BoJ has devalued the Yen 14% against the $USD.
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Tuesday, December 06, 2016
Stock Market Another Round Of Buying.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Another Monday morning, or any morning these days, and up we go. Italy survived the latest referendum, and with nothing negative occurring, the market decided north was the best direction for it. That's been the case, although slowly, for the past many weeks. The market retested the 2194 breakout and breached below by a bit, but, thus far, it has held its ground overall, and now it's time for it to blast away from 2194 for good. I don't know if it's a guarantee as nothing in this game is a guarantee, but it feels like it may be time to put a little distance away from S&P 500 2194 to secure the breakout for good.
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Monday, December 05, 2016
The Coming Stock Market Crash and WWIII / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
Much has been written about this unsustainable bubble in the stock market and the future ramifications of a major crash. We are entering an 80-year cycle where a major crisis war is going to envelop this nation. I believe that war will again be fought in Europe and the Middle East, but will this time involve militant Islam.
By my reckoning, using Elliott Wave and Benner's Cycle, I believe the crash will occur from sometime late in 2018 into 2020/21 and could or should rival the 1929-32 crash. The War should start sometime around 2021 and should last into 2025.
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Monday, December 05, 2016
Stock Market Short-Term Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate count to 2240 may turn out to only be a minimum projection. This will be determined by market action over the next couple of weeks.
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Saturday, December 03, 2016
The 10YR Yield and SPX Stocks Bull Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The week started at SPX 2213. After a lower opening on Monday the market pulled back to SPX 2198 by Tuesday. An OPEC pact to cut crude oil production helped the market rally to a marginal new high at SPX 2214 on Wednesday. After that the market pulled back to SPX 2187 on Thursday, and ended the week at 2192. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.7%. Economic reports for the week were nearly all positive. On the downtick: the Q4 GDP estimate and weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: Q3 GDP, consumer confidence, the ADP, personal income/spending, the Chicago PMI, pending home sales, construction spending, ISM manufacturing, auto sales, monthly payrolls, the WLEI, plus the unemployment rate dropped. Fourteen positive and only two negative reports. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by consumer credit, ISM services, the ECB and factory orders.
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Friday, December 02, 2016
Is the Yellen Fed TRYING to Crash Stocks To Hurt Trump? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Is Janet Yellen trying to crash stocks to screw Trump?
Ever since the $USD began its bull market run in mid-2014, the Fed, lead by Janet Yellen, has intervened whenever the $USD cleared 98.
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Thursday, December 01, 2016
Stock Market Possible Breakdown... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX has overlapped Wave [i], greatly diminishing the probability of another probe to a new high. This strongly suggests that the Top is in. This is turning into a complex decline that still may have a risk of a final surge to 2122.00, but no higher.
Take the appropriate action you deem necessary, given your propensity for risk. Shorting a bounce above 2200.00 may lower the drawdown due to a possible incomplete Wave formation.
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Thursday, December 01, 2016
Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Stocks Hover Along Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,240, and profit target at 2,060, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Very Tough Day Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had a topsy-turvy day with a pop at the opening, a sharp selloff that held support, then a huge rally that took the Nasdaq 100 from 4849 to 4897, and the S&P 500 from 2198 to 2209. In the afternoon, they consolidated and it looked like they were going higher, but when they failed to do so, they pulled back very sharply, and took a fifty percent retrace of the whole rally, and then had a little bounce at the close. They managed to close positive. But it wasn’t a very spectacular day.
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Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Stock Market - It's the Most Wonderful Time of Year! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The holidays bring more than just gifts under the tree, excess calories, and rude in-laws. December and January represent two of the best months of the year. However, there is often a pause in the uptrend in early December. With US markets having experienced such an extreme "Trump Bump" since the election, patience is likely a virtue for the bears and bulls alike.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2016
Stock Market SPX Making its Final Probe Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX took plan A mentioned this morning, finding support at 2198.15. The limit to the rally is now adjusted to 2231.12. However, we have a trendline at 2220.00. In addition, Wave C equals .618 of Wave A at 2216.96.
Those brave souls wishing to be aggressive may wish to do a partial short position between 2217.00 and 2220.00.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2016
Trump's Presidency - Stock Market Crash or Start of New Mega-Trends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
"A little and a little, collected together, becomes a great deal; the heap in the barn consists of single grains, and drop and drop make the inundation." ~ Saadi
Trump's win proves that mainstream Media is in trouble; it is going to be all downhill from here except for the ones that parted ways and tried to provide accurate coverage of what was going on. The crowd will turn increasingly to social media and outlets that focus on facts as opposed to fiction. Mainstream media is in for a painful ride as the crowd is not going to forgive them so easily for their transgressions; the only exceptions being the ones that portrayed an accurate image of what was taking place. Many pollsters might have to look for new jobs, and as we just stated, we feel that social media is going to be the biggest winner. Perhaps this is why Google has its eye on Twitter and has decided to donate its search engine business and in doing so take a $1 trillion business write off.
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