Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, November 03, 2014
Stock Market Strong Rally Extension in Doubt / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Intermediate correction (primary wave IV) still underway (???).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, November 02, 2014
Stock Market Rally Surges Back, But There's Trouble Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Michael E. Lewitt writes: The week was dominated by news by central banks as the Federal Reserve ended QE and the Bank of Japan pushed its QE program to new heights. The result was another rally in stocks around the globe that made the mini-correction earlier this month seem like a dream (or a nightmare).
The question is what happens next, and all indications are that markets will continue to ride the wave of central bank liquidity as far as it takes them. Markets were also boosted by a strong initial third quarter U.S. GDP report showing the economy grew at 3.5% and strong corporate earnings reports. With over 360 companies in the S&P 500 having reported third quarter results, profits are up 7.2% and revenue is up 3.9%.
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Sunday, November 02, 2014
Gold Price, Dow Stock Market Index and VIX Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Gold
Gold hit new lows in October so the bears are growling. Popular consensus seems to be they will continue to dominate the short term landscape. I suspect a bear trap has been set and they are about to be gored by the bulls.
Let's take a look beginning with the monthly chart.
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Sunday, November 02, 2014
Stock Market... What Is Going On? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Its not always like the picture being painted ...
Short term the market is showing oomph and the Fed is happy for now.
What about the Medium term ... what is going on?
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Saturday, November 01, 2014
Stock Market Japan Surprise.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market futures were flat early last night until a sudden explosion occurred blasting them way up. Why? Because the BOJ or the bank of Japan announced a massive new QE program. Their market sky rocketed. We followed along on our futures. Desperate times in Japan equates to higher markets. As I've said many times, only when the global economies truly recover can the next bear market begin. That's when the fed will stop bullying the world in to stocks. So we blasted up at the open, spent most of the day drifting slowly lower only to recover quite well at the end. Our fifth gap up in two weeks which is unheard of and none of them have been filled. Absolutely amazing. Never happened before and don't think it will again although why not a sixth gap up on Monday, even with tiny black candles.
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Friday, October 31, 2014
The Fed Has Crossed the Rubicon, Stops Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The Fed very deliberately stopped a market correction and managed to turn the equity markets around, very consciously, in order to end their taper without any negative effects to Wall Street.
Last night the Bank of Japan announced a more aggressive quantitative easing AND pledged a portion of their national pension fund to buying not only Japanese equities but also the equities of foreign markets.
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Friday, October 31, 2014
What USA Today Got Wrong About the Stock Market Fear Gauge / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Like many newspapers racing for headlines during the recent pullback, USA Today Money highlighted a rapid rise in the VIX as proof positive that “fear” had returned to the markets.
That fear had “spiked,” to use their words.
Take a look at this clipping…
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Friday, October 31, 2014
Gold Price Falls, Stocks Record Highs as Japan Goes ‘Weimar’ / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Stocks globally surged, while gold fell sharply today despite renewed irrational exuberance on hopes that the Bank of Japan’s vastly increasing money printing will fill some of the gaps left by the apparent end of Federal Reserve bond buying.
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Friday, October 31, 2014
Welcome to the World of Volatility / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
My last column “Regime Uncertainty Weighs on Growth” (October 2014) stressed that market participants do not know what the Big Players (Read: governments and central banks) will do next. This regime uncertainty is creating an economic undertow. No wonder there have been so many recovery false dawns.
In the past month, markets have become very volatile. Equity and oil markets are the most notable. Why? Well, regime uncertainty continues to be ramped up. Indeed, Berlin-bashing by Paris and Rome over fiscal austerity has become the latest political rage. On top of that, weak economic data from the Continent and a spat of surprisingly weak U.S. data moved the world’s stock markets. If that wasn’t enough, there were some so-called mixed economic signals emitted from China. We must not forget the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) World Economic Outlook report that was unveiled at the World Bank — IMF meetings in Washington, D.C. The report contained a major policy flip-flop, switching mantras from fiscal austerity to fiscal stimulus. The volatility mixer was stirred further when the Saudis clarified that they would not cut back on oil production to prop up crude prices. The Kingdom wants to retain, or increase, its market share. To top it off, Ebola has reared its ugly head. All of this confirms what I call the School Boy’s Theory of History: it’s just one damn thing after another.
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Friday, October 31, 2014
Stocks Bear Market Crash Towards New All Time Highs as QE3 End Awaits QE4 Start / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The stock market has once more confounded the crescendo of bearish market expectations of not even 2 weeks ago when the widespread assumption was that an end of U.S. QE would trigger the long anticipated bear market that had so far failed to materialise for some 5 1/2 years! But were promised that this time would be different, for this time the stock market most definitely had topped and was destined to embark on a severe bear market with figures such as Dow 6k being bandied about, with further assumptions the the bear market would likely would start with a destructive imminent crash.
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Thursday, October 30, 2014
How to Recognize a Stock Market “Bear Raid” on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
October has a reputation as a graveyard for many Bull markets, a reputation that was enshrined by the “Black Monday,” Crash in October 1987, when the Dow Jones Industrials plunged -22% in a single day. And then again in October 2008, the Dow plummeted -3,000-points from as high as 10,882 on Oct 1st to as low as 7,882 hit on Oct 10th. The Dow ended the brutal month of Oct 2008, with a loss of -2,675 points, or -14.1% for the month. The S&P-500 Index fared worse, with a -17% decline, - the worst since the -23% drop in October 1987. Paper losses in US-stocks came to $2.5-trillion for the month. Emerging markets suffered even more, shedding -29%.
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Thursday, October 30, 2014
U.S. Midterm Elections: Would a Republican Win Be Bullish for the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
I had an instant-messenger conversation with one of my clients the other day. It was pretty annoying—he wrote things like “BULL MARKET, DUDE,” and harangued me about my net-short positioning.
Then he started telling me that the market was going to rip if the Republicans took both houses of Congress in the midterm elections. At that point, I felt like I needed to intervene.
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Thursday, October 30, 2014
Stock Market S&P Index MAP Wave Analysis Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
I have been looking for this for a while.
Over lunch at the Bank of England, Keynes tells Henry Clay of his hopes that Adam Smith’s ‘invisible hand’ can help Britain out of the economic hole it is in: “I find myself more and more relying for a solution of our problems on the invisible hand which I tried to eject from economic thinking twenty years ago.”11 April 1946
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Thursday, October 30, 2014
Stock Market Challenges the 50-day Averages / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The Premarket SPX is down this morning. It had earlier challenged the 50-day Moving Average at 1957.40 and has since bounced from that level.
USD/JP attempted a huge spike this morning to ignite the market, but the response was muted, so USD/JPY reversed into the red.
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Thursday, October 30, 2014
Fed...See You Later QE...Hello Forever Low Rates...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Wow. An interesting day. Really, really interesting. Why? Because the Fed Yellen took away QE, but did not promise more. Of course, that will change if the market falls hard over time. She'll use QE again only if there's an emergency. Her emergency is a falling stock market. Morgan Stanley (MS). Yellen also did what made the most sense of all. She once again promised to keep rates near or at zero "for a considerable period of time". That basically means until we see the economy truly recover, which also coincides with global economic situations away from home. China, Japan, and the entire Euro Zone, on some level, is struggling and she knows this has an adverse affect on our economy.
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Wednesday, October 29, 2014
Flock of Black Swans Points to Imminent Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Between a rising U.S. Dollar Index and black swan events around the world, it's looking like bunker time for Bob Moriarty. In his latest interview with The Gold Report, the 321gold.com founder delivers a frank overview of U.S. international policy and lambasts commentators who look to their tea leaves in search of the next market moves. But it's not all gloom and doom: Moriarty also discusses metals companies with "no-lose deals," where resource investors can take advantage of more than favorable odds.
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Wednesday, October 29, 2014
Stock Market Bubble Goes Pop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Last night I noticed that SPX was near the lower trendline of its Ending Diagonal. A check back this morning shows the probe hit the Diagonal. This may not be good for the SPX.
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Wednesday, October 29, 2014
The Most Important Stock Market Chart on the Planet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
In this Weekend Report I want to shows you what I think is the most important chart on the planet right now. I know many of you won't agree with this statement because there are a lot of important charts out there that are talking to us right now. This just my opinion based on the most recent price action that this chart exhibited on the recent plunge in the month of October. The chart I'm referring to this the long term monthly chart for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Before we get to the present charts I would like to show you a Weekend Report from January 2013. The signs that a new Bull market in US Stocks was beginning were there, almost 2 years ago. Even I am surprised how this has evolved exactly as described. http://rambus1.com/?p=9469
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Tuesday, October 28, 2014
China and India Changing the Global Marketplace / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
China is looking at investing in infrastructure in India. That’s the best idea I’ve heard in a long time.
China has overinvested — like 12 to 15 years of future urban migration out — with 27% of home vacancies in cities. India has underinvested in everything. The roads are terrible, electricity is nearly non-existent in rural areas and it’s shoddy at best in urban sectors. Water and sewer services are not up to snuff and there are slums everywhere.
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Tuesday, October 28, 2014
The Hedge Fund Rich List Infographic / Stock-Markets / Hedge Funds
David submits: Hedge fund rich list includes many familiar faces such as those of the Goldman and Sachs boys, David Tepper and John Arnold. Others you may not be so familiar with, but that is why we have created this infographic, to introduce you to these wealthy traders, illustrate to you how they made their fortunes and hopefully provide you with the motivation you need to start trading yourself.
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