Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, May 13, 2013
U.S. Fed Warns of New Financial Bubble Crisis About to Burst / Stock-Markets / US Debt
Ben Gersten writes: Before the housing market crash, economists warned that record low-interest and mortgage rates were fueling a housing bubble.
Unfortunately, those fears were both overlooked and underestimated.
Now, an advisory council to the U.S. Federal Reserve is warning the Fed that its record $85 billon-a-month stimulus and ultra-low interest rates are fueling new bubbles in student loans and farmland.
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Monday, May 13, 2013
Abenomics Proof Japanese Stock Market Investments / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: The Japanese Topix Index is up more than 40% this year (and nearly 71% since July 2012) thanks in large part to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's unlimited stimulus initiative known euphemistically as "Abenomics."
The argument behind this spending is a classic one, at least in economic terms: stimulate the economy to produce higher inflation, weaken the currency and aid the exporters.
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Monday, May 13, 2013
Expectations for Stock Market Decline Not Unreasonable and Even Prudent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX has again delayed is intermediate correction. A new potential target price provided by P&F chart analysis has been set for the top.
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Sunday, May 12, 2013
U.S. Economy Staring Into The Abyss! Only Gold is Worth Buying / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
"Behind every great fortune there is a crime." - Honore de Balzac (1799-1850)
A number of important figures are now talking about the possibility of increasing the US Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing given the “decline in inflation.” In March we heard comments from Fed Presidents Eric Rosengren and Narayana Kocherlakota calling for QE well into 2014 while Chicago Fed President Richard Evens thought the Fed needed to do more. Then in April the St. Louis Fed President James Bullard came out on a number of occasions saying inflationary pressures may be growing too weakly and if they soften further, the central bank may have to boost its asset buying to bring price pressures back up to more desirable levels. They all share one thing in common, they are worried about a decline in the rate of inflation as seen in this chart:
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Sunday, May 12, 2013
Stocks, Gold, Bonds, Markets Looking For a Top? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
This is a chart (courtesy stockcharts.com) that is looking for a top, but it still has some room to overshoot in the next couple of weeks
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Saturday, May 11, 2013
Stock Market Correction Near But Bull Market Has Further to Run / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The SP 500 has been on a tear as we all know especially since the SP 500 bottomed at 1343 several months ago. My work centers around forecasting using Elliott Wave Theory along with other technical indicators. This helps with projecting the short, intermediate, and longer term paths in the stock market and also precious metals. This larger picture Bull Cycle started in March of 2009 interestingly after an exact 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the entire move from 1974 to 2000 lows to highs. At 666, we had completed a major cycle bottom with about 9 years of movement to retrace 26 years of overall bull cycle. That was a major set of 3 waves (Corrective patterns in Elliott Wave Theory) from the 2000 highs to 2002-3 lows, then 2007 highs to 2009 lows. Once that completed its work, we were free to have a huge new bull market cycle off extreme sentiment and generational lows.
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Saturday, May 11, 2013
US Stock Market Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
It was another week of all time record highs on Wall Street. The SPX hit 1635, nearly 1,000 points off the March 2009 low. And, the DOW closed over 15,000 for the first time in its 117 year history. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.10%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.45%, and the DJ World index was +1.0%. On the economic front it was a quiet week, but positive reports again outnumbered the negative one 5-1. On the uptick: wholesale inventories, the M1 multiplier, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the Treasury budget improved improved. On the downtick: consumer credit. Next week, options expiration week, the economic flood gates open again: highlighted by Industrial production, PPI/CPI, Retail sales and Housing. Best to your week.
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Saturday, May 11, 2013
If You're Not Buying Stocks Yet, You Need to See These Charts / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Dr. David Eifrig writes: Last month, I ran through a set of figures that cover a huge concern for retirees.
It's vitally important information that affects nearly every dollar you have invested... yet most of what you hear about this idea is "bunk."
I'm talking about the concern that the U.S. economy is "running off the rails"... that we are in a recession... or worse, a depression.
Saturday, May 11, 2013
Stock Market Bull Hanging Tough / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
What's really left to say that I haven't said for quite some time now. Yes, the market has been ragged at times with many head fakes and whipsaw action, but the bulls have hung very tough, not allowing the bears to seize on things for very long. Every time it seems the bears have made some real progress, the bulls come in unexpectedly and turn things around in a hurry, not allowing the bears to feel they're gaining any confidence. The bulls have squashed all attempts and continue to do so. The bulls were able to recently take out key resistance at S&P 500 1597 and have now spent many days trading above this key resistance level now turned support. Today was another one of those bull-market days, even though the averages were mostly flat except for the Nasdaq.
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Saturday, May 11, 2013
Stock and Commodity Market Forecasts Nuggets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
“After watching the effects of the mediocre payrolls number yesterday (Friday, 5/3/13) which culminated in a push over 1600 in the S&P 500 and a print in the Dow over 15,000, I thought it might be useful to note a few things about this most recent example of a hysteria.
“I am on record here as stating that the entire stock market rally is nothing but a Federal Reserve induced bubble brought about by artificially low interest rates starving investors for yield elsewhere. The Fed, along with the Bank of Japan and the ECB I might add, are determined to corral investors and herd them, unthinking like cattle, into equities; the goal being to create an atmosphere of general euphoria towards the economy boosting consumer confidence in the hopes of inducing them to take on more debt and spend.
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Friday, May 10, 2013
Margin Debt and the Next Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The latest fear on Wall Street is that record levels of margin debt may end up toppling the stock market rally.
NYSE margin debt recently reached its highest level since 2007 before the last major stock market peak and credit crash. Stephen Suttmeier, technical research analyst at Bank of America, noted that margin debt, rose 28% in March from a year ago to $380 billion. That figure is slightly below the July 2007 peak of $381 billion, although analysts speculate that April's margin debt totals (which haven't yet been released) have already surpassed this mark.
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Friday, May 10, 2013
The Most Predictable Financial Crisis in America's History / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
Alexander Green writes: There’s a great tug-o-war going on in the stock market right now. And the stakes are huge. How it turns out will determine not only the future prosperity of the country but whether you have an opportunity to achieve your financial dreams.
Every investor has a stake in this contest. And the outcome will be critical: the difference between comfortably reaching your investment goals and spending your golden years counting nickels. So let me describe this dangerous game and suggest how you should play it… and why.
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Friday, May 10, 2013
Dow 15,000 - Stock Market Irrational Exuberance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Every so often the mainstream does get it right; they just don’t realize it. Or maybe they do. There is an old saying that every lie has 90% truth otherwise nobody would believe it. The hysteria over the Dow’s recent punch through the 15,000 level has everyone associated with stocks almost giddy. Or maybe totally giddy. Or maybe totally disconnected from reality. Take your pick.
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Friday, May 10, 2013
Bubbles,Bubbles Everywhere, Including the One Around You / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Lots of bubbles have been developing in recent years, but many investors only see the notable rise in precious metal prices over the last ten years as a bubble.
Nevertheless, the more astute observers of the modern era will also have perceived the housing bubble, the stock market bubble, the derivatives bubble and the U.S. Dollar bubble.
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Friday, May 10, 2013
Canada Prepares to Follow Cyprus Debt Crisis Bank Deposits Theft / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
By Jeff Thomas, International Man
An intriguing article titled "Canada Includes Depositor Haircut Bail-In Provision for Systemically Important Banks in 2013 Budget" was recently published in SD Bullion.
The somewhat lengthy title offers all the information necessary, but for those who – quite understandably – may not be able to accept that they have just watched Canada tumble down the Cypriot rabbit hole, here is a bit more detail from the approved budget itself:
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Friday, May 10, 2013
Why Japan Stock Market Is on a Tear Towards Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Japan Economy
George Leong writes:
Chinese stocks are a disappointment in 2013 and, at this point, are looking to underperform the U.S. stock market for the fourth consecutive year.
But while China sorts out its growth issues, across the East China Sea, Japan has been on a tear. The massive infusion of liquidity into the Japanese monetary system has driven down the yen and, in the process, is leading to an export-led economic recovery.
Thursday, May 09, 2013
Stock Market is Now the Most OverBought In Four Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Stocks are now beyond overbought. The market ramped on Tuesday (the 17th straight Tuesday rally by the way) because traders are now playing for Tuesday rallies.
The financial media is looking for any and all reasons to justify the move, but the fact is that the market had rallied for 16 straight Tuesdays before… so why not a 17th time?
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Thursday, May 09, 2013
Flash Crash of 2010: Could the Dow Tumble 1000 Points Again? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
We've just marked the third anniversary of the Flash Crash of 2010.
That May afternoon was already a down day for the Dow, with the index off by about 300 points since trading opened. Then, at 2:45 p.m., the Dow rapidly plunged by another 600 in just five minutes. By 2:47 p.m., the Dow had lost a staggering 998.5 points.
By 3:07 p.m., the losses had reversed and the Dow picked up most of those 600 lost points. In just about 20 minutes, the Dow had lost close to 9% of its total value - and then regained it.
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Thursday, May 09, 2013
How to Profit from the Latest Desperate Moves By the World's Central Banks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Ben Gersten writes: ou already know central banks have been boosting markets through loose monetary policies the past few years.
Now it looks like they'll move markets in another way - by pouring record amounts of money into buying equities.
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Thursday, May 09, 2013
Why the Stock Market is Actually Nowhere Near an All-Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
David Zeiler writes: Celebrations of the S&P 500's recent string of all-time high closes have been premature, as it turns out.
Yes, the Standard & Poor's 500 index set another nominal record today (Tuesday) with a close of 1,625.96.
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