Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, April 20, 2013
Ominous Stock Market Warning Signs - Sell in May and Go Away / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
As the potential Sell in May and Go Away influence approaches, problems for the stock market are stacking up from both the fundamental and technical sides.
On the fundamental side;
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Friday, April 19, 2013
Simple Strategy for Outperforming Hedge Funds / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
Moe Zulfiqar writes: There’s often a debate among Main Street investors that institutional investors—more specifically, hedge funds—can provide better returns compared to managing the money by themselves. The main reason for this is that institutional investors have resources: for example, access to data, the ability to perform in-depth analysis, and so on and so forth.
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Friday, April 19, 2013
Can Stock Market Continue to Rally Without the U.S. Economy? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Shah Gilani writes: We haven't stepped into the Twilight Zone, but it certainly seems that way when stocks are hitting historic highs yet the economy is still so weak that the Federal Reserve is printing money like a Third World nation.
It has the makings of a great prize fight between the largest market in the world and the largest economy in the world.
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Friday, April 19, 2013
Stock Market in Correction Mode / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
According to our methodology, Wall Street is currently in ‘correction mode’ and additional near-term selling pressure cannot be ruled out. At this stage, nobody can predict the duration or depth of the ongoing stock market correction. However, until a new uptrend emerges, caution is warranted and investors should not allocate fresh capital to common stocks.
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Thursday, April 18, 2013
German Stock Market Just Took Out Its Economic Recovery Trendline / Stock-Markets / Germany
More signs of trouble.
We’ve been told countless times that Europe was “fixed.” The problem with this is that the market is beginning to realize this is not true.
Much of the European recovery counts on Germany. The ECB owns the printing presses… but without Germany’s support, the Euro is done for.
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Thursday, April 18, 2013
Why Plunging Commodity Prices Are Great for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Mitchell Clark writes: The big drop in the value of many commodities is very good news for this stock market.
All of a sudden, raw materials are cheaper in price. This is going to translate right to the bottom line of many corporations.
And one of the best developments is the weaker price of oil. Big oil stocks have done consistently well in the stock market, but smaller corporations have struggled due to the fact that the spot price has not been able to move much past the $95.00-per-barrel level. Now that spot oil is below $90.00 a barrel, transportation stocks are really going to benefit.
Thursday, April 18, 2013
Euro Currency XEU Ready to Flash Crash Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
XEU has crossed the lower trendline of its Broadening Wedge, potentially triggering its own Flash Crash scenario. The only support holding it is the Intermediate-term support at 129.92.
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Wednesday, April 17, 2013
The Next Great War and the 24-Year Stock Market Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
The threat of war against the United States is making headlines and roiling investors' nerves. While full-scale war is likely not imminent, it's something worth considering in light of where we stand in the long-term War Cycle.
North Korea has stolen the geopolitical spotlight in recent weeks after making military threats against both the U.S. and South Korea. North Korea is the target of UN sanctions in response to a nuclear weapons test performed by the country in February. In reference to the test a spokesman for North Korea's Foreign Ministry declared the nation has a right to initiate "a preemptive nuclear attack to destroy the strongholds of the aggressors."
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Wednesday, April 17, 2013
Stock Market Enters Flash Crash Territory / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
SPX just declined through Intermediate-term support this morning, raising the probability of a Flash Crash to 50% or more, IMO. The chances rise to 90% when SPX falls through its 50-day moving average at 1541.42 and the lower trendline of its Broadening Top at 1535.00.
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Tuesday, April 16, 2013
Hindenberg Omen For Gold, Death Bell For Overpriced Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The Omen, largely based on Norman G. Fosback's High Low Logic Index is rarely applied by analysts to commodities, but applying the Omen's method to equities, bonds and other assets can identify probable future violent downward price movement affecting all markets. Basically, the method sets out to identify if markets are undergoing a period of extreme divergence — many assets at new highs and many at new lows. When this happens, pricing is evidently haywire or "stochastic-oriented", and this divergence is very rarely conducive to future rising prices. Conversely, a healthy market needs a semblance of internal coherence and uniformity whether the uniformity is down tilted, toward declining prices, or the opposite.
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Monday, April 15, 2013
This is a Great Ponzi Scheme - Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Sometimes I am shocked at what leaks out over the mainstream media. Two days ago, former White House Budget Director in the Reagan Administration, David Stockman, dropped some financial bombs in an interview on FOX. He said the Social Security Trust Fund was “filled with confetti.” This was not included in the cut I posted. What is included in the clip is Stockman saying if the Fed was “gone fishing” for six weeks (meaning it would stop the $85 billion a month ”open-ended” money printing), “there would be calamity in the markets.” I think if the Fed stopped its $85 billion a month money printing, there WOULD be “calamity in the markets” in six minutes.
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Monday, April 15, 2013
Stock Market Fractured Extension - Getting Close to Intermediate Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - The uptrend from 1343 appears to be topping. Russell lagging.
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Sunday, April 14, 2013
Stock Market FTSE 100 Sending Red Warning Flag Signals / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
One of the best aspects of reading developing market activity is that it reduces any market to the opposing forces of supply and demand. It can be any organized market, anywhere. The factors of fear and greed universally apply to all investors/traders.
Reading developing market activity, in context with past price behavior, is a short- hand way to follow what smart money is doing. Smart money represents the controlling influences behind price movement. We recently did an analysis on the German DAX, [Different Country, Different Culture. People Are People, Charts Are Charts, http://bit.ly/ZDvxeg]. What held true for that analysis equally holds true for the FTSE 100.
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Sunday, April 14, 2013
Stock Market Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The five month Intermediate iii of Major 3 of Primary III uptrend continued its relentless ways this week, carrying the SPX to all time new highs. For the week the SPX/DOW were +2.20%, and the NDX/NAZ were +2.95%. Asian markets gained 1.1%, European markets soared 4.3%, and the DJ World index gained 2.5%. Economic reports, however, were mostly to the downside for the first time in many weeks. On the uptick: business inventories, the M1 multiplier, plus both weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: wholesale inventories, export/import prices, retail sales, the PPI, consumer sentiment and the WLEI declined. Next week we get a look at Industrial production, Housing, the NY/Philly FED, the CPI and the FED’s Beige book.
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Saturday, April 13, 2013
Stock Market Little Selling.... Commodities Crushed.....Again.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
If you want to try to understand on a deeper level what it means to have a disconnect just look at the behavior of the commodity stocks. If the world was really in good shape, and we had real growth everywhere, then these stocks would be on fire to the upside. They are acting as if there's major deflation going on. And in the real world we do have deflation. Mr. Bernanke's liquidity supply is keeping the market up, but that's not the real world folks. It's so hard to wrap your head around the bigger-picture market action when you consider that things really are in bad shape globally, especially throughout Europe. We have had a plethora of terrible reports over the past two weeks. Again, let's go over all of them.
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Saturday, April 13, 2013
Surmounting Mainstream Financial Media Spin, Distortion & Censorship / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
“Since the Financial Crisis erupted in 2007, the US Federal Reserve has engaged in dozens of interventions/ bailouts to try and prop up the financial system. Now, I realize that everyone knows the Fed is “printing money.” However, when you look at the list of bailouts/ money pumps it’s absolutely staggering how much money the Fed has thrown around….
“The Fed is not the only one. Collectively, the world’s Central Banks have pumped over $10 trillion into the financial system since 2007. This money printing has resulted in a massive expansion of Central Bank balance sheets ….
“This money printing has unleashed inflation in the financial system. In the emerging markets, where consumers can spend as much as 50% of their income, this has resulted in food riots and even revolutions as we saw with the Arab Spring in 2011.”
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Friday, April 12, 2013
How to Protect Yourself From the Biggest Threat to Your Wealth / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Doug Casey on Internationalizing Your Assets : In a wide-ranging interview with Casey Research editor Louis James, Doug Casey discusses why it's imperative to start diversifying one's assets today, and provides some guidance in considering countries to diversify into.
L: Doug, we're getting a lot of questions from readers on how to follow your advice to diversify assets politically. I know it's a prickly subject, but what can you tell us about getting our money out from behind the new iron curtain that seems to be descending?
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Friday, April 12, 2013
U.S. Dollar to Become Next Japanese Yen? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Michael Lombardi writes: Gold prices on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange have jumped 7.8% since April 4, when the central bank of Japan announced its new and aggressive round of asset purchases. (Source: Wall Street Journal, April 9, 2013.)
The Bank of Japan has become notorious for printing extreme amounts of paper money. It wants to end the economic misery the country has faced for many years.
Thursday, April 11, 2013
Russia: A Dirt-Cheap Investor Profit Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Russia
Carl Delfeld writes: Russia is one big country.
With 6.6 million square miles inside its borders, it is the world’s largest sovereign landmass. Giant companies such as Lukoil dominate the Russian economic landscape. The big bosses in Moscow control these behemoths.
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Thursday, April 11, 2013
Stock Market Getting Deep Into Euphoria Phase, Looking for the Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
We are now at the point in the bull market where traders think that stocks are bullet proof. Back in December I warned this was coming. I said at the time that this round of QE was going to be different. That it would have a much bigger effect on the market than the analysts were expecting. I remember at the time analysts were claiming each round of QE was having less and less effect.
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