Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, March 29, 2013
This Is The Most Critical Time For The Stock Market Since 2007! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The economic recovery has stumbled in the spring and summer of each the last three years.
It’s not the market’s biggest problem, but it looks like it might happen again this year. Reports this week showed new home sales unexpectedly fell 4.6% in February, the biggest monthly decline in two years. Pending home sales declined 0.4%. Basic durable goods orders (ex-volatile aircraft orders) declined 2.7% in February. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell sharply in March, dropping from 68.0 in February to 59.7 in March. The Chicago PMI Index, which is often a bellwether for the national ISM Mfg Index, unexpectedly fell from 56.8 in February to 52.4 in March. New weekly unemployment claims jumped by 16,000 last week.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 29, 2013
End of the Road for the Stock Market Uptrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
This may be the end of the road for the rally in SPX. The irregular diagonal is the “best fit” for the last week of trading. Wave c of 5 may be finished, or nearly so. Crossing the lower trendline of the trading channel at 1566.31 appears to be the first warning that the uptrend is finished. Additional supports that indicate the end of the uptrend are 1553.07-1556.24 on the hourly chart.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 29, 2013
Will Europe Sink Stocks and Boost Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Wall Street expressed relieved that Europe's central bank agreed to release 10 billion euros ($13 billion) of emergency rescue funds for Cyprus. In exchange, Cyprus agreed to shrink its banking industry, cut its budget, implement economic reforms and privatize some state assets. Although the measures are expected to result in heavy losses for Cyprus' bondholders and large depositors, Wall Street was just glad to dodge another bullet.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 28, 2013
Bob Prechter - How Market Losers Think and How to Stop Doing It / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Dear Investor,
Some of the greatest problem solvers in history -- Albert Einstein, for example -- know that the secret to solving complex problems requires simplicity.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 28, 2013
Gold vs. S&P 500 – Where is the Value? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
This past week we received the final 4th Quarter GDP number which came in at 0.39%. The total 4th Quarter growth was terrible, plain and simple. Based on the performance in the equity markets that we have seen thus far in the 1st Quarter of 2013 investors would expect strong GDP growth. However, the only thing spurring stock market growth is the constant humming of Ben Bernanke’s printing press.
The real economy and the stock market are no longer strongly correlated. Essentially, they are meaningless. How do you evaluate risk when Treasury linked interest rates are artificially being held down by the Federal Reserve? How do you evaluate earnings growth estimates when most government based statistics are manipulated or “smoothed” to perfection?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 28, 2013
Bank Failures, Sovereign Bond Collapses, Savers Head for their Mattresses / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
Throughout the colorful history of organized crime in the United States, periodic eruptions of inter-gang Mafia violence have dotted the criminal landscape. When turf wars broke out between competing crime families in major cities such as New York and Chicago, the combatants would conduct their warfare from unsavory redoubts such as abandoned warehouses or low-rent hotels and apartments. In such locations, the soldiers would spend their off hours sleeping on rented mattresses until the internecine conflicts had run their course; hence the expression “going to the mattresses.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 28, 2013
Stock Market Gap Down...Bulls Fight Back...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Once again it looked like the evil pullback was under way. The futures were bad and worsening by the minute as European stock markets were diving. Flat futures became nearly one hundred down on the Dow and roughly twenty-five on the Nasdaq, Ten was the handle on the S&P 500. The market gapped down hard but refused to get worse than the opening print. It spun around in a very tight range the first hour or so and then slowly but surely started to improve. The Nasdaq was leading the way and this despite the fact that three major leading stocks in the land of technology were taking hard hits. Apple Inc. (AAPL), Google Inc. (GOOG), and Priceline Inc. (PCLN) were all down with the first two down particularly hard. They worsened yet the market was improving. That has been the powerful theme of this stock market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 28, 2013
Marc Faber Sees 'Considerable Downside Risk' For US Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, appeared on "Bloomberg Surveillance" with Tom Keene and Alix Steel today, saying that he sees "considerable downside risk" for U.S. stocks
Faber went on to say, "We are creating bubbles and bubbles and bubbles. This bubble will come to an end. My concern is that we are going to have a systemic crisis where it is going to be very difficult to hide."
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 28, 2013
Laiki Bank Where Some Depositors Are More Equal Than Others / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
Yeah, some things in life are inevitable. That's why it was no surprise, though still endlessly amusing, to find that while depositors of Laiki Bank (aka Cyprus Popular Bank) on the island itself have been unable to get to their money for 10 days now, Laiki's 4 branches in the UK have all that time simply remained open for business.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 26, 2013
Cyprus Bailout Deal Could Kill the Euro / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
David Zeiler writes: European Union officials voiced relief following an 11th-hour Cyprus bailout deal, but in truth, they have little to celebrate.
Not only will this deal worsen the economic crisis in Cyprus, but the damage to the trust in the banking system also has created a time bomb set to go off the next time a Eurozone country - or especially its banks - get into trouble.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 26, 2013
Cyprus Rejects Europe’s Demand for Deposit Tax / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
Brett Chatz writes: The economy of the Island of Cypress is flailing. An immediate 15.8 billion-euro bailout for the small country was requested of its European allies. The answer from the economically frail European Central Bank (ECB) was a two-tiered compromise. The initial requirement included a substantial tax on Cyprus bank deposits, which would raise 5.8 billion euros. The second element of the plan had the ECB tendering 10 billion euros to alleviate the financial crisis of Cyprus.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 26, 2013
Cyprus: Will We Ever Learn? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
So Cyprus got its IMF-ECB bail out. But have bank savers elsewhere got the message yet...?
Over the last 30 years I have seen a lot of changes in the financial markets.
One of the biggest changes by far was the formation of the European single currency - the Euro. Prior to its existence all of today's 17 member countries had their own currencies. Italy, Spain and Greece, to name a few, were often devaluing their currencies. Doing this was one of their solutions to avoid the pain of economic mismanagement. The pain would still come to the general populace, but it looked spread out more evenly amongst its citizens through inflation.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 25, 2013
Another Stock Market Record High in Reach, Here's What to Do Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Shah Gilani writes: It's time for some insight.
I'm constantly asked where I think the stock market is going next. Since the Dow recently reached new highs and the S&P 500 is pushing its old October 2007 highs, it's no wonder that's the question on everyone's mind and lips.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 25, 2013
As Cyprus Struggles, Now Is the Time to Buy Gold / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
Peter Krauth writes: I'll bet a few Cypriot bank account holders are paying much closer attention to gold now.
Since the announcement that Cyprus was looking to confiscate up to 10% of bank deposits, gold has risen by up to $24/ounce on safe haven demand.
After all, gold is real wealth, and it's the only asset that's not simultaneously someone else's liability.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 25, 2013
First Iceland then Greece Now Cyprus and Who is next in Asia ..? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
Ever wonder why the shit is starting to hit the fan (SHTF) in Europe now? This kicking the can down the road thingy will have to come to an end one day. The whole financial system is on the verge of collapsing right now as every available effort utilized to pump up the system seems to be going nowhere. Ever since the financial crisis erupted in 2008, the system has been kept afloat by pouring more money into it. Unfortunately the unlimited injection of funds by means of Quantitative Easing has not been very effective as of late mainly because most of it went to unproductive sectors such as the real estate and stock market. Thus what we are ended up is inflated property and stock prices which resulted in a Great Disconnect between the asset prices and the real economy.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 25, 2013
Imminent Stock Market Rally Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - The uptrend from 1343 may have a little farther to go before topping.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 24, 2013
Protect Your Retirement with Stock Market Crash "Insurance" / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
William Patalon writes: We buy insurance on our houses, our cars and even on our artwork and jewelry.
But that's not the case with our retirement savings - the money we spend our working lifetimes to amass - the money that will be our sole means of support once we stop working.
With our 401(k)s, IRAs and other socked-away savings, we're content to "let it ride."
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 23, 2013
Stock Market Uptrend Trying to Extend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Quite a choppy week in the US markets after four gaps openings. We had to go back to the end of June 2012 to find a similar week of indecision. That one ended with the indices eventually moving higher. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ were mixed. Asian markets lost 1.6%, European markets lost 1.9%, and the DJ World index lost 1.0%. On the economic front, reports continue to come in positive. On the uptick: housing starts, building permits, the FHFA index, existing home sales, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the WLEI, and the monetary base. On the downtick: the NAHB index and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get the final revision to Q4 GDP, the Chicago PMI and PCE prices.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 23, 2013
South Korea KOSPI Stock Market Forecast / Stock-Markets / South Korea
It looks like that chance of making a new up trend is getting far for Kospi. Last time I was saying that Kospi has a good chance of making medium-term bearish pattern if it breaks levels below around 1940 range and now that fear is more convincing. If this bearish pattern triggers then Kospi may test levels below 1900.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 23, 2013
Stock Market Bends....Doesn't Break..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market looked to finally start a sell-off on Thursday as there was a strong gap down after Mr. Bernanke spoke on Wednesday. The gap was the real deal as many leading stocks broke down below their 50-day exponential moving averages and did so on confirming volume. Finally, said the bears. Something we can dig our teeth into. The bears were feeling as if they finally had the bulls on their knees. A sustainable pullback was imminent. Or so they thought. It doesn't mean it won't happen, but today we saw a decent gap up that extended throughout the day with the market basically closing on its highs. The bulls are doing what they've been doing for a long time and that's to buy every single dip because they feel things can't go bad for them. And who can blame them.
Read full article... Read full article...