Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, September 11, 2009
Are the Bailed Out Banks Speculating With Taxpayer Money? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Under Quantitative Easing, the value of the Total Securities Held Outright on the Fed's Balance Sheet has increased by $917 billion- from $584 billion to $1.5 trillion. This has been accompanied by an almost linear increase in the S&P 500 Index, from 721 at QE announcement on March 18 to 1048 today.
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Friday, September 11, 2009
Profit Opportunity Knocks, But Beware The Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
- Will China Break The Cartel’s Grip on the Gold Price? -
“Opportunity knocks” in today’s Treacherous Markets, as it were; but not necessarily on the long side.
Consider Gold.
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Friday, September 11, 2009
Financial Collapse, Whatever Happened to the Lehman Lad? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
"Look what happens when you let a financial system get to the edge of collapse..."
CASTING professional Seventies' Geordie James Bolam as Bank of America chief Ken Lewis was an inspired choice. This week's ridiculous BBC drama, The Last Days of Lehman Brothers, would scarcely be funnier without him.
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Friday, September 11, 2009
U.S. Dollar Extends Fall, FTSE Closes Above 5,000 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Financial market review - Foreign Exchange - The USD came under renewed selling pressure this week, reacting to a further decline in US 3-month libor and equity market optimism. A fall in the VIX volatility index implied greater demand for higher risk assets. Interestingly, the JPY and CHF outperformed the commodity and high yielding currencies like the CAD, AUD and NOK. Sterling caught up with the move and ended the week among the top three gainers. GBP/ USD vaulted 1.67, supported by stronger UK data and the BoE decision to leave Bank rate on hold at 0.50% and the QE target at £175bn. EUR/USD crossed 1.46 and USD/CHF fell below 1.05.
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Friday, September 11, 2009
All the Major Stock Market Indices Closed at 2009 Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
All the major indexes, the Russell-2000, and the Semiconductor Index (SOX 325.82) all moved to new 2009 highs. We continue to monitor the SOX as the leader of this rally. Unfortunately, the Semiconductors holders which we regularly report on only move two cents higher, so there is a clear disconnect between this and the SOX.
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Friday, September 11, 2009
Dumb Money Indicator Stock Market Predictability / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Several weeks ago a reader wrote me to suggest that there is no predictability to the "Dumb Money" indicator. I think I understood what the reader was stating especially since the indicator has been stuck in a super bullish extreme (i.e, bear signal) for several months now while the equity markets have gone higher. I take the reader's question seriously, and feel that it is a worthwhile query that requires a thoughtful answer.
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Thursday, September 10, 2009
Rydex Assets, Stock Market Leveraged Bulls v. Leveraged Bears / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Looking at figure 1, which is a daily chart of the S&P500, we note that the amount of assets in the Rydex leveraged and bearish funds are now greater than the assets in the leveraged and bullish.
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Thursday, September 10, 2009
Powerful Uptrend Intact for Nasdaq Q's / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
The big picture of the PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQQ) continues to exhibit a powerful series of higher-lows and higher-highs off of the March low at 25.63. Unless and until the Q’s break the prior significant pullback low at 39.02 (9/03), the uptrend will remain intact and dominant.
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Thursday, September 10, 2009
Stock Market, If You Don't Like 'em, Then Don't Trade 'em / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Last night I read somewhere that the problem with the equity markets was that no one really liked them (except for Cramer), yet that was the precise reason why the markets continued to go up day after day - nobody really liked them. Kind of odd, I guess. However, as someone who likes to bet against the consensus, I can understand that sentiment. As we know, the markets will do their best to frustrate the most.
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Thursday, September 10, 2009
Company Insiders are Dumping Shares at Record Pace / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Insiders are dumping shares at record pace.
So is it time to sell?
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Thursday, September 10, 2009
Stock Markets are Set to Break Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We were able to add QQQQ puts but our limit prices were never achieved for the SPY or DIA positions. The market has moved into uptrend mode overall with the Dow and S&P-500 on the cusp of entering that state (note that we have shown them in up trends in the table below but left the background color yellow which is neutral. The semiconductors have achieved and new closing high as has the NASDAQ-100. We have been looking for them to lead the markets higher and we expect the Dow and S&P-500 to follow them higher.
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Thursday, September 10, 2009
Bubbles In Stocks,Commodities and Real Estate? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
Has too much liquidity throughout the world caused bubbles in stocks,commodities and real estate again? I have my opinions and others have theirs.What can be considered interesting is that a high level official from the Bank of China has come out publicly and stated in his opinion there are “Asset Bubbles throughout the world”.
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Thursday, September 10, 2009
Stock Market Another Red Flag... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The fun stuff is going to end at some point folks. These negative divergences on the big leaders is going to kick in big time some day. Now? Months from now? My guess is, not yet, but we are seeing signs.
Look at the chart of Apple Inc. (AAPL) tonight. Look at that bearish engulfing stick today off of yesterday's gap up. Look at that massive negative divergence. One after the other on each new high. Same can be said for all the big cap leaders.
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Thursday, September 10, 2009
FTSE 100 Hits 2009 Stocks Bull Market Target of 5000, What's Next? / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
The FTSE 100 stock market index broke above 5,000 by closing at 5,004 for the first time since the financial collapse of September 2008.
Whilst the highly vocal public perma bears have frightened much of the investing public into sitting on the sidelines, too frightened to commit and leaving the smart money to accumulate at rock bottom prices, readers following my analysis of the stealth stocks bull market will have been left with little doubt of where I expected the market to head with first a clear target for the bear market bottom at the start of the year confirmed in March, and then the subsequent stealth bull market mapped out throughout 2009 as the following illustrate before I get to where I expect the FTSE is headed to next.
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Thursday, September 10, 2009
Gold, Stocks. Financial Crash Anniversary and the 10-year Cycle Peak / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Talk is now circulating in financial quarters of a new “mini-bubble” in the making. Apparently the unbounded rise in the stock market is reviving fears of another collapse like the one suffered last year.
Another reason that the “hated rally” has sparked fears is that we’re about a year removed from the final “hard down” phase of last year’s 6-year cycle collapse. September 2008 witnessed the financial markets crater and the intensity of last year’s fear was unmatched in our lifetime. Not even the 1972-74 bear market, which was the worst since the Great Depression, witnessed a comparable level of fear.
Wednesday, September 09, 2009
Start of New Upleg for Taiwan EWT ETF? / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
The big picture of the iShares Taiwan ETF (EWT) shows its powerful upmove since August 27 (10.60) into yesterday’s high at 11.87. Most important, however, is the recent surge above a 4-month resistance plateau in the vicinity of 11.50, which now becomes key support on any pullback.
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Wednesday, September 09, 2009
Greenspan Warns, Financial Market Crisis Will Happen Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan says Market crisis 'will happen again'
"The crisis will happen again but it will be different," he told BBC Two's The Love of Money series. He added that he had predicted the crash would come as a reaction to a long period of prosperity.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 09, 2009
Stocks Market Rally in Trouble, Time to Short Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Martin Hutchinson writes: The stock market is up 51% from its March 9 lows. The leading economic indicators have turned sharply positive, showing gains for each of the last four months. Manufacturing is on the rebound. And banks are promising to pay record bonuses, as their earnings have rebounded.
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Wednesday, September 09, 2009
Dumb Money Shorting Stocks Using Funds and ETF's / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
As I sat at home on this early Saturday morning doing some research, I ran across an article I wanted to bring to your attention. First, I want you to notice the title. Next, I want you to notice the publication. And finally, I want you to ask yourself if the title/claim lives up to its expectations.
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Wednesday, September 09, 2009
S&P 500 Stock Market Trends Analysis for September 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
When analyzing monthly stock market trends, I use the S&P 500 charts to identify important trend lines. Trend following is a proven strategy to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Technical analysis provides the tools to analyze and identify trends in the stock market. Since the S&P 500 chart is the one used by professional traders for their analysis, it is important to understand how it is performing.
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