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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 07, 2008

Colliding Bubbles, US Unemployment, the Credit Crisis and Oil Price Surge / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: John_Mauldin

  • Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUnemployment Jumps to 5.5%, On Its Way to 6%
  • What the Tax Numbers Show
  • What's Up With Oil?
  • When Bubbles Collide
  • America on a Diet

I remember in the summer of 2006 I would face my blank computer screen on a Friday and wonder, what I could write about? The media was all Goldilocks, all the time. Today, there is such a target-rich environment. I could probably write three letters a week, there is so much happening that is worthy of our attention. The problem today is trying to decide what not to write about, which means I get emails from readers wondering why I don't mention their areas of particular interest. But at eight pages, I just have to stop. You need a break!

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 07, 2008

Stock Market Tanks as US Unemployment Rate Soars to 5.5% / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe unemployment rate rose from 5.0 to 5.5 percent in May, and nonfarm payroll employment continued to trend down (-49,000), the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. In May, employment continued to fall in construction, manufacturing, retail trade, and temporary help services, while health care continued to add jobs. Average hourly earnings rose by 5 cents, or 0.3 percent, over the month.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 07, 2008

Protecting the Markets From Itself- Blind Faith & Liberty / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Adrian_Ash

"The moment we face it frankly we are driven to the conclusion that the community has a right to put a price on the right to live in it..."- George Bernard Shaw, Prefaces (1934)

INVESTMENT BANKERS have a lot to answer in summer 2008. Not least letting idiot ideas about government, markets and your liberty run amok during this, a US election year.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 06, 2008

Stock Market Forecast for Summer 2008 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTo make money in the stock market it is important to follow the trend. I believe it is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.

Let's start with the long term view of the S&P 500. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) seems to be a good indicator of the cyclical bull and bear markets. In addition, the 78-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) acts as support in a bull market and resistance in a bear market. 

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 06, 2008

Credit Crisis Pressure Points Building as Major Banks Heading for Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleStandard & Poor announced in late May it has cut or might cut debt ratings on $34 billion of securities tied to Alt-A mortgages, whose type issued in 2007 have a default rate to 6.64% for 90 days late as of end April. Massive S&P downgrades might soon force Wall Street firms to move up to $5000 billion of assets from off-balance sheet locations back onto their books. The bank sector has so far seen very little in bank failures, compared to past cycles.

The Texas Ratio is calculated by dividing non-performing loans at a bank, including those 90 days delinquent, by their tangible equity capital plus money set aside for future loan losses. Using this ratio, IndyMac Bancorp, Sterling Financial, Corus Bankshares, Imperial Capital Bancorp, and GMAC Bank are all on the verge of busts. Look for these banks to possibly lead the list of failures, each with unique vulnerabilities.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 05, 2008

The VIX, Banks, and the Shanghai China Stocks index in Trouble / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Marty_Chenard

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis morning, we will look at the VIX (Volatility Index), the Banking Index, and the Shanghai index which is in peril of having a very sharp drop.

First ... let's look at the VIX vs. the S&P 500.  This is its 60 minute chart going back to last September.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 05, 2008

Six Reasons to Invest in India / Stock-Markets / India

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Edelson writes: India is one of the hottest economies on the planet and holds tremendous profit potential for investors. No doubt in my mind.

Why? India's economy is growing at a 9% rate, TEN times faster than the U.S. and only a couple of percentage points behind China.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 03, 2008

US Economy Losing Critical Strengths as Others Overcome Greatest Obstacles / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes: Since 1952, when I first left the U.S. at the age of 6, I have lived many years in Latin America and Asia.

I have visited every continent except Antarctica. I have studied every major world language except Arabic. I have traveled on cargo planes, by truck, on foot and even by mule.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 03, 2008

Stock Markets Marking Time Ahead of Real State of US Economy / Stock-Markets / US Economy

By: Paul_J_Nolte

The calendar turns another page and we dive headlong into summer with the hope/expectation that the government checks that have hit our accounts over the past few weeks will save us from the deep end of the debt pool. The reports last week provided little comfort that the economy is improving, as spending and income merely matched inflation – and the income number does include the rebate “income”. So for another month, the consumer is spending what they have and trying to keep pace with an ever-faster treadmill. Housing still looked poor, with the Case-Shiller index still showing lower housing prices. Little surprise that the consumer is feeling blue, with confidence at the lowest level in nearly 16 years.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 02, 2008

What is the Hemline Theory telling us about stock markets? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Just for a bit of fun …

The length of women's skirts tells you the way the market is going to go, according to the so-called “hemline theory”.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 02, 2008

Nasdaq Ultrashort QID in Emerging Double Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Today's strength in the QID (weakness in the Q's) has left behind a pullback low on Friday at 37.06 that has the look of the secondary low of a potential Double Bottom with the 5/19 low at 36.84. The top of the "W" pattern resides at a Double Top of 40.93 (5/07 & 5/23), which the price structure appears to have started to travel towards this morning. Actually, I am viewing the 40.00-41.00 area either as the "upside breakout plateau" or the "ceiling" on the developing pattern. Based on my near- and intermediate-term work, by the end of the week the QID should provide us with clues about the efficacy of the emerging Double Bottom.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 02, 2008

The Next Shoe To Drop for the Financials / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Captain_Hook

The next shoe to drop for the financials, and the larger credit crisis, will be the market's acceptance that mortgage related write-downs are nowhere near complete or close to where they are going, where presently in extreme bubble locales like California , much of the market has been halved, at a minimum. Of course this condition is not isolated to just California , and the real estate market. Soon, bond ensures, Ambac the poster child in this regard, will need to come clean with respect to what condition our condition really is, and ‘phase II' of the credit crisis will swing into gear. And based on the technical condition of Ambac shares , this shouldn't take long at all.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 01, 2008

Stock Market Trend Points to Further Consolidation / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Andre_Gratian

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCurrent position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - So far, the market has followed the decennial pattern in an election year. But the 6-yr cycle which is scheduled to bottom in late Summer/early Fall could play a restraining role, followed by an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.

SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate correction came to an end on 3/17. The index is now in a cautious and tentative uptrend.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 01, 2008

An Important Stock Market Juncture Approaches / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Tim_Wood

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe definition of a bull or bear market can differ from person to person depending upon their particular discipline. My definition is based on the original works of the great Dow theorists, Charles H. Dow, William Peter Hamilton and Robert Rhea. When the Industrials moved above their 2000 high and was confirmed by the Transports a couple of months later in February 2007, I wrote then in an article that “things had changed.” I stated at that time that this was not signaling the dawn of a new bull market, but rather, we were still operating within the context of the long-term bull market that began in 1974. You can read more about this at www.cyclesman.com/Articles.htm and my latest article on this topic is titled Bull and Bear Market Relationships . Another related article is titled, The Dow Theory… Did it Fail? Both of these articles can be found at the link above.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 31, 2008

Stock Market Short-term Overbought / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: The small cap indices hit new recovery highs last Friday.

Short Term : The market is over bought.

As of Friday all of the major indices were up for 4 consecutive days.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 31, 2008

Consumer Sentiment Worst in 28 years- Market Hits Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe University of Michigan/Reuters consumer sentiment index was released on Friday, showing the worst reading since 1980. It appears that the press has adopted the language used by the Federal Reserve that deflects blame for the condition away from their policies and puts it back on the consumer. They use the words “inflation expectations” to lay the blame for higher prices on consumers. Do you mean to tell me that there is no inflation, only inflation expectations? Give me a break!

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 30, 2008

Credit Crisis Vs Savings and Loans Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have been talking about an expected wave of bank failures for quite some time, most recently in Too Late To Stop Bank Failures . Recently I was asked to compare the current crisis to the 1980's S&L Crisis in regards to to whether or not this crisis will be worse.

By sheer number of failures the S&L crisis will dwarf what's coming hands down. Here is a chart from MarketWatch that tells the story.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 30, 2008

Banking Stocks Pointing to Initial stages of long-term Bottoming Process / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGlobal stock markets topped out on the back of the sub-prime/credit debacle in October 2007. Prices subsequently moved lower until reaching climatic bottoms in January/March this year, triggering rallies throughout the world until a few days ago. The big question investors are grappling with at this stage is whether the rise in prices has simply been a bear market rally, or whether we are back in a primary bull market.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 29, 2008

Currencies that are Certificates of Wealth Confiscation- The Crack Up Boom, Part I / Stock-Markets / Money Supply

By: Ty_Andros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast summer, Tedbits did a series outlining the unfolding “Crack Up Boom” written about by Ludvig Von Mises. It was well received, to say the least. Now we return to it as the “Crack Up Boom” is front and center to analyzing unfolding economic and political events. The collapse of income and living standards in the G7 (trough misstated inflation) is combining with the “something for nothing” broad social trend to push the “Crack Up Boom” into a higher gear. Malinvestments are collapsing at an increasing rate and public servants and central banks are reacting predictably. They are printing the money as they always have and always will, accelerating the arrival of the global CRACK UP BOOM. They are explicitly saying they will print the money.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 28, 2008

Imminent Banking Stocks Destruction to Push Gold Back through $1,000 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAn important swing in the pendulum is due to manifest itself in the near future. Leverage with gold mining stocks and silver mining stocks depends upon containment of costs. Whether of energy costs (primarily diesel), or materials (like steel & lumber), or labor itself (also in shortage), even equipment (rigs in dire shortage with long waiting periods), the mining firms need to contain costs in order to make their stocks effective investments from which to exploit the rising gold & silver prices. The biggest breakout in the entire collection of commodity prices during the last two months has been in crude oil, with much attention given it. The gold price hit 1000 then pulled back. The silver price hit 21 then pulled back. Crude oil hit 100, then promptly continued its powerful march to 135. Energy prices might be on the verge of a pullback, even a powerful pullback. My forecast is for a pullback to 100 in crude oil this summer, which is soon to begin.

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