Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, June 02, 2016

More Stock Market Fluctuations as SP500 Index Trades Along 2,100 Mark - Which Direction is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 2,000, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, June 02, 2016

Stock Market Won't Sell...ISM Better But Barely...Froth Picking Up Gradually... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

We have a very interesting market environment to say the least. There doesn't seem to be a single day where the market gaps down and runs lower all day. Every day it seems the market finds a way to go higher, at least intraday. Most days it closes green. We had a move down this morning, but, as usual, it didn't hold as the bulls came roaring back.

Thursday, June 02, 2016

The Bail-In: Or How You Could Lose Your Money in the Bank / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Submissions

David Chapman writes: Buried in the Liberal Federal Budget that was introduced on March 22, 2016, under Chapter 8 - Tax Fairness and a Strong Financial Sector, was a section titled "Introducing a Bank Recapitalization 'Bail-in' Regime." Simply stated, in the unlikely event of a large bank failure, the Government proposed it would reinforce that bank shareholders and creditors are responsible for the bank's risks - not taxpayers.

Wednesday, June 01, 2016

Stock Market Rough Week Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

While the eighth year of a Presidential term calls for a rally from mid-May to early/mid-June, it doesn’t promise to be straight up. This week looks set to see a correction downward against the bigger trend. The McClellan Oscillator’s dip below -150 and the lower Bollinger Band on 5/19/16 (the one-year anniversary of the top of the bull market in the Dow) marked the low of the recent sell-off. It closed above zero last week but the bears have the benefit of the doubt given the ‘complex’ structure below zero.

Wednesday, June 01, 2016

Stock Market Aggressive Short Entry Given / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Although SPX has bounced, VIX has given an aggressive sell signal. This provides a possible short entry for SPX.

Wednesday, June 01, 2016

Stock Market Mixed Session to Start the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices started the day out on a positive note, and then sold off dramatically, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 4526 down to 4497 in a 3-wave, constructive pullback. The S&P 500 pulled back from 2103 to 2089. A very later, 45-minute rally took place and brought the Nasdaq 100 up 30 points and the S&P 500 10 points. A last, 2-minute pullback brought them off that rally high, and they closed mixed on the day.

Wednesday, June 01, 2016

Counter Trend Rally in Gold Due; Stock Market Topping? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The GLD chart below shows gold in a declining wedge.  Cyclically, an 8 TD low is due in gold and a 4 TD low due in GDX on June 1st.  A strong rally is indicated into June 2nd for both gold and GDX.

The stock market (as measured by the S&P 500) has either made its secondary top on May 31st or will likely do so on June 1, in my opinion. Another large drop is due in the weeks ahead.

Tuesday, May 31, 2016

A “Big Money” Making Move is Coming to the Stock Market Soon… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

Traders gunned the market higher last week thanks to extremely low volume (most of Wall Street left early for the holiday weekend) and the usual performance (many funds have to record results at month end).

The S&P 500 has now slammed up against overhead resistance (red line). We are once again within spitting distance of the all-time highs.

Monday, May 30, 2016

Stock Market Re-Testing Overhead Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: A lengthy correction is most likely underway!

SPX Intermediate trend: The H&S pattern has been invalidated and the index is re-testing the upper portion of its trading range.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Friday, May 27, 2016

The Next Systemic Lehman Event - New Scheiss Dollar & Gold Trade Standard / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The entire Western financial systemic, complete with USDollar-based foundation platforms, is breaking down. The breakdown is in full view, very noticeable, in almost every arena. What happened in 2008 with the Lehman Brothers failure event is currently underway with almost every single financial platform, structural entity, financial market, banking structure, and arena. In response to the Lehman killjob event, where JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs strangled the victim firm (by denying Lehman proceeds on countless asset sales), the entire Western financial system has been lashed together, tied together, and connected among its many member parts. The main parts are the big banks, which use derivative contracts to lash themselves together. They believe there is strength in numbers, which is true to some extent. But the consequence turns out to be that all will fail at the same time in a cascade of insolvent marred by illiquidity while steeped in corruption and market rigging. The breakdown could be described as having begun in full force, in earnest power, at the start of this 2016 year. This is the year of systemic failure, or financial breakdown, and of revelations of important crimes for the last generation or more. The revelations are against the Western power centers for their grand criminal activities. The East, by favoring a Gold Standard, has put the West on notice for exposure, if not prosecution. The gold weapon has power in its arbiter role in commerce, banking, and economies. No nation will be spared from the urgent nasty effects of being forced to achieve trade balance.

Friday, May 27, 2016

Many of the World’s Best Investors Made Their Fortunes This Way…And You Can Too / Stock-Markets / Investing 2016

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

Editor’s note: Today and tomorrow, we're stepping away from our usual market commentary to share a very important idea with you…

Below, you’ll read our interview with Nick Giambruno, editor of Crisis Investing. In it, Nick breaks down his successful investing system—what he calls “the most powerful wealth building secret in investing.”

Friday, May 27, 2016

The Ugly Truth About Stock Market Manipulation and Gold Prices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Michael_Swanson

We all know the financial markets move in cycles and I have been a big advocate of using the 200-day moving averages to figure out where you are in a financial market cycle and then to invest accordingly.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

It Feels Like Inflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

Last night’s post on the US stock market ended as follows:

“As far as the Fed and its puny rate hikes are concerned, that is irrelevant.  This market is flipping them the bird.  Markets can rise a long way before a rate hike regime finally kills them.  It feels like inflation folks.”

This prompted a question from an NFTRH subscriber about what markets would benefit, and in what differing ways would they benefit if an inflationary phase comes to dominate?  That is a far reaching question and a difficult one as well, because inflation’s effects have a way of being unpredictable (how many would have answered ‘US stock market’ in the spring of 2011 to the question “where will the post-crisis inflation to date manifest on this cycle”?).

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Negative Interest Rates Set to Propel the Dow Jones to the Stratosphere? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"Every man must patiently bide his time. He must wait -- not in listless idleness but in constant, steady, cheerful endeavors, always willing and fulfilling and accomplishing his task, that when the occasion comes he may be equal to the occasion." ~ Henry Wadsworth Longfellow

Central bankers wanted to put the fear of God into the masses and to a large degree they have succeeded in doing so; the masses are so afraid that they continue to hoard their money and refuse to put into the market, and that is why this Bull-Market is the most hated in history. Nine years and counting and you would think by now they would have surrendered these false beliefs as the Bears have been decapitated, and the naysayers are hiding in the woodwork. However, ignorance, like stupidity knows no limits and continues to trend upwards; if there were a way to invest in stupidity it would be an easy way to score a home run.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

S&P Significant Low has Occurred – Not Likely! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

There are patterns in markets. Yes, the Fed and High Frequency Traders influence markets, but we can learn from past patterns in the S&P 500 Index.

Using weekly data, the S&P made a high in March 2000, fell to an initial low in April, rose, and fell to a second low in October 2000.  It rallied and fell below the second low in February 2001 – never to look back.  From high to final low took 931 calendar days and price fell about 51%.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Stock Market Breaking Above 2085 S&P 500.....Barely... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

A breakout is a breakout and the S&P 500 did close above 2085. It doesn't meet my personal criteria of a breakout, which means a move above by at least a half percent, but you never argue with an index breaking above an old level of resistance, even if it didn't do it forcefully. The only problem with this five-point move above 2085 is we're coming off extremely overbought short-term conditions, thus, we could lose that level right back in the short-term. If we do it's not the end of the world, but just be aware that we're still over 70 RSI's on all the short-term index charts after having readings that averaged 80 during the trading day. The markets overseas were higher after more bail out dollars were handed out in the Euro zone.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Is There A Stocks Bear Market in Progress? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The SPX topped out one year ago, on May 20th, 2015 at 2134.72. One year has gone by in the SPX and has still not made a new high. It could be many years before we breach that high!

The SPX chart below indicates why it is not making any new highs and why a trend change is due any day, now!

From the lows of 2009, the SPX has risen in a parallel channel while never breaking/closing below it with the exception of the beginning of this year at which time it broke down the channel and then closed below it. However, it has since recovered, as indicated in the chart below, however, it is facing significant overhead resistance in the 2110 levels.

Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Is the Derivatives Markets About to Implode the System Again? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The 2008 Crash was caused by the unregulated derivatives markets. And if you think that problem has been fixed, you’re mistaken.

Consider Deutsche Bank (DB).

DB sits atop the largest derivatives book in the world.

Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Major Money Making Opportunity Just Triggered For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

It has now been a year since stocks hit a new all-time high.

That is correct, despite having two massive bounces, driven by tremendous Central bank intervention, the S&P 500 remains well below it all time high of 2130 established May 21 2015.

Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Another Stock Market "line in the sand" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Here is another probable reason for the rally ending. Although the trendline was broken in April, this may offer stiff resistance to the rally. We may find whether it holds in the next 24 hours.