Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, February 14, 2011
Bear Season in Stocks S&P 500 and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Mr. Market has had an appetite for S&P 500 bears for several months now. In each instance in which the bears think they are going to get away, Mr. Market draws up his high powered rifle and drops the bears just before they can comfortably return to their caves. Just when the bears think they have escaped and are home free, Mr. Market reminds them who is in charge.
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Monday, February 14, 2011
How to Tell When Stock Bulls or The Bears Are in Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There are different ways of measuring what is happening in the markets.
Indexes measure the market, but some indexes are price weighted, some are market value-weighted or market share-weighted, and some are float weighted. It is sometimes why, a few stocks can have an over exaggerated impact on the movement of an index.
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Monday, February 14, 2011
An Objective Elliott Wave Study of S&P 500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
Let’s look at some possible wave configurations
This is a bullish wave configuration that marks the 2009 low as the end of a Cycle 2 wave and all waves after that as parts of a Cycle 3 wave up
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Monday, February 14, 2011
US Dollar Currency Expectations and Stock Market Cycle / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The funny thing about cycles is they repeat, as expected, just like clock work. While the bull bear debate rages, eventually price aligns to the dominate cycle. Cycles gain respect when they statistically demand it. A market analyst also must give respect to inter market analysis for the same reason. Inter market analysis is the study of a market (say US Dollar) that has a high correlation or influence over another (say Stock Market). Therefore it is wise to do the same with cycles, one must consider the dominate cycle of each market to see if they concur or conflict with other markets that they correlate with.
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Sunday, February 13, 2011
Stock Market Trends All Remain Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market, or two cyclical bull/bear cycles side by side. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-15.
Long-term trend -In March 2009, the SPX began an upward move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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Sunday, February 13, 2011
Very Brutal Stock Market Investor Sentiment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
As expected, the bullish extremes in investor sentiment persist. Company insiders continue to unload shares at a high rate. As I have brought forth over the past couple of months, these data points (and those of most analysts) have not mattered as the major indices keep marching higher. It has been very brutal if you are anticipating a correction. It has been brutal if you are short, and it has been brutally hard to sit on your hands and do nothing while you wait for an entry point that is more than 1% below the recent highs. At this point, divining when a meaningful correction will happen is only guess.
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Sunday, February 13, 2011
India's Stock Market is in Freefall, a Chart You Should Start Following Immediately / Stock-Markets / India
Brian Hunt writes: In an average week, my colleagues and I sift through more than 200 charts.
With some charts, we're looking for specific trading ideas... We're looking for extremes in the market that offer big "anti-consensus" opportunities. This is how we've found big winners for our readers in platinum, oil, uranium, offshore drilling, and overpriced growth stocks.
Sunday, February 13, 2011
Stock Market Valentines Day Massacre? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The FDIC Averaging 3 Weekly Closures for Past Year. The FDIC Failed Bank List announced four new bank closures this week. Premier American, based in Miami, acquired Sunshine State Community Bank, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. said today in a statement on its website. Lenders in Michigan, Wisconsin, and California also closed, and the four transactions drained $144.9 million from the FDIC’s deposit-insurance fund.
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Saturday, February 12, 2011
Stock Market Uptrend is Relentless, Analysis for Week Starting 14th Feb / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Economic reports continue to come in mostly on the positive side and the market continues to move higher. This week the positive economic reports again outnumbered negative reports 8 to 2. On the negative side both the Trade and Budget deficits worsened. On the positive side consumer credit, wholesale inventories, consumer sentiment, the monetary base, the WLEI, excess reserves and the leading wbase increased. Also, jobless claims declined.
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Saturday, February 12, 2011
Mubarak Resigns, Bonds Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Consumer Sentiment in U.S. Increases to Eight-Month High
(Bloomberg) Confidence among U.S. consumers increased in February to the highest level in eight months, a sign falling unemployment and rising stock prices may be comforting households.
The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment for the month climbed to 75.1 from 74.2 in January. Economists projected the gauge would rise to 75, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey.
Saturday, February 12, 2011
Bernanke Bubblenomics Succeeds in Inflating Another Bubble, Get Those Wheelbarrows Ready / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
The game is on. Two years of zero rates, limitless guarantees, and a $2 trillion drip-feed from the Fed, has lifted Wall Street from the canvas and put the speculators back in the thick-of-things. It's a miracle. Who would have thought that Bernanke could engineer another bubble this fast. But he has. Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) are increasing, LBO's (Leveraged buyouts) are on the rise, revolving credit ("plastic") is expanding, and investors are scarfing up low-yield junk bonds wherever they can find them.
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Saturday, February 12, 2011
Egypt Resolves... Stock Market Resilient... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Democracy. The people of Egypt were fighting to remove autocratic leadership and create democracy for themselves. The market had been somewhat shaken recently over rioting in the streets. It was a reminder of the recent past riots when we also had to deal with the flash crash. The market didn't like all that rioting in the streets not too long ago, and was clearly worried a bit that this could happen again. It should not happen as President Mubarak has stepped down.
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Saturday, February 12, 2011
A Regime Changer / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Yes, we all know what has been happening in Egypt over the past couple of weeks. Well, maybe most Americans don’t. The TV show ‘American Idol’ is back in season and some nitwit on some other reality show is thinking about changing her eye shadow or something. But for the rest of the world, we are witness to a profound change in the politics of Egypt and that change was brought about by determined and massive citizen dissent.
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Friday, February 11, 2011
The Stop-Start Auto Boom is Here / Stock-Markets / US Auto's
A new boom has been born. It has everything we look for in an emerging trend.Its benefits significantly outweigh its costs to users.
It’s already proven. It works and the technology has already established a beachhead in some rapidly recovering market.
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Friday, February 11, 2011
U.S. Stock Market’s Remarkable Resilience! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The U.S. stock market’s continuing strength in the face of so many global problems is truly remarkable - and has been correct so far.
Meanwhile, the stock markets of three of the seven largest economies of the world rolled over to the downside last November. The markets of China, India, and Brazil are down an average of 15% since their peaks in November, and are mostly making new lows almost daily. They are three of the four so-called ‘BRIC’ countries (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) that were leading the way in the new bull market that began off the March, 2009 low. Even the Russian market has declined 5% over the last week.
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Friday, February 11, 2011
Want to Bet Against Permanent Open Market Operations (POMO) ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Permanent Open Market Operations are purchases of treasuries and other securities by the Fed to inject money into the system. It is the policy of Quantitative Easing broken down into a schedule of action. Chris Ciovacco's diagram here shows how this policy results in pushing asset prices higher around the globe:Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 11, 2011
European Stocks Under Pressure / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
The Technical Trader’s view:
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Thursday, February 10, 2011
Investors Finally Fear the Inflation Precipice / Stock-Markets / Inflation
Well it's about time. The headline on Monday's CNBC article announces: "Investors Starting to Believe That Inflation Threat is Real."
For some time, I have been a proud member of the fuddy duddies who have been predicting the return of serious stagflation. Thus far, our prognostications have clearly been half-right — the "real economy" is indeed caught in a terrible rut, far worse than most of the Keynesian economists recognized even in late 2008.
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Thursday, February 10, 2011
Stock Market Hedging Strategies: Tight Trailing Stops and Inverse Funds / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has soared 26% since early July and some 84.59% from its March 2009 bear-market lows. And that has Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald more than a little concerned.
Does that mean it's time to cash out?
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Thursday, February 10, 2011
Stock Market Minor Pullback On The SPX/NDX Off 70 RSI's On Daily Charts... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
You wouldn't call this a strong, or a major, pullback, I'm sure, but it was a pullback to some degree, nevertheless, especially on the Nasdaq and today's lows. RSI readings on the S&P 500, Dow, and Wilshire all hit 70 Tuesday, and thus, it should come as no shock that the market made an attempt to sell off some today. In the end, however, it didn't do a whole lot of selling successfully as the buy-the-dip bull crowd came in again today when things started to really move down. The interesting thing about 70 RSI readings in this bull market is that it has rarely stopped individual stocks from moving higher if they're in the right type of bullish pattern. The RSI readings often get well in to the 70's if not the lower 80's. This is not normal behavior, and shouldn't be looked upon as such, since normally, 70 will stop stocks dead in their tracks.
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