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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, December 18, 2015

Stock Market Figures Out Fed No Longer Has Its Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Rubino

US stocks soared while the Fed was meeting to raise interest rates this week — though it’s not clear why that should be so since monetary tightening isn’t generally a good thing for stock prices.

In any event, it didn’t last. Over the past 48 hours the Dow is down more than 3%, with many, many individual stocks down far more.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 18, 2015

Is the Stock Market "Courting Catastrophe?" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

On the surface, it seems like a “normal” trading day in the SPX.  It is not.  The chart gives it away by showing the daily volume already at the to of its daily range and it’s not yet 1:00 pm.

Back in 2006 I had the privilege of talking with Andrew Smithers, who was part of the investigation team to determine what caused the Crash in 1987.  He had been interviewed by Barrons Magazine in a now famous article entitled, “Courting Catastrophe.” 

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 18, 2015

Post ZIRP Stock Market and Gold Era / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

The Federal Reserve finally mustered the courage to end its radical zero-interest-rate-policy experiment this week.  Its quarter-point rate hike announced on the seventh anniversary of ZIRP kicks off the long road to normalization.  This leaves the stock markets and gold in unprecedented uncharted territory.  The Fed has never before attempted to exit ZIRP, let alone in the midst of such extremely distorted markets.

The Fed’s ZIRP saga symmetrically ended 7 years to the day after it began way back in mid-December 2008.  That was just after the dark heart of that year’s once-in-a-century stock panic, which struck terror into the Bernanke Fed.  The benchmark S&P 500 broad-market stock index (SPX) had plummeted 30.0% in a single month in October, and then plunged another 11.4% from those brutal lows in the subsequent month.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 18, 2015

Stock Market Something Strange is Going On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that the data feed to all the websites from the stock exchanges is having issues. StockCharts, Bloomberg and ForexPros appear to be in limbo. As far as I can tell, this is accurate, but who knows what goes on when the system is “off?”

This may be a way to discourage trades, since one can hardly know if he/she is getting an accurate quote. There is no report from ZeroHedge on this issue, which I find strange.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 18, 2015

SPX Defending 2000 Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

I spent some time reviewing my Cycles chart to verify its accuracy. You may recall that I had suggested about two weeks ago that December 9 would be the “ideal day” for a Master Cycle low (258 days). Instead, it may have fallen on Monday, December 14, at 11:39 am. You might say that it was 4.3 calendar days from the average length of time, on day 263. I don’t have the exact figure any more, but I had done a study that showed that over 90% of all Cycle bottoms happen within 4.3 days of their normal date.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 18, 2015

The Fed Rate Hike Will Trigger a $9 Trillion Financial Markets Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

Yesterday, the Fed has hiked interest rates from 0.25% to 0.5%.

It is the first rate hike in 10 years. And it is now clear that the Fed is not only behind the ball in terms of raising rates… but that it has now primed the financial system for another 2008-type meltdown.

By way of background we need to consider the relationship between the US Dollar and the Euro.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 17, 2015

SPX Breaks a Trifecta of Supports / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has declined beneath its 200-day at 2062.12, its 50-day at 2061.90 and its mid-Cycle support at 2060.98. In case you have been stopped out, this is a confirmed sell signal. We may see a very fast, deep decline, so stay on the alert and stay short.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 17, 2015

Stock Market Positive Expectations Following Interest Rate Decision / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 17, 2015

Stock Market S&P 500 Rally Might Prove Short-Lived / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: AnyOption

To much fanfare, the Federal Open Market Committee made the decision to raise interest rates by 25 basis points for the first time since 2006 in a unanimous decision approved by all voting members.  This marks the beginning of a tightening cycle that forecasts another 4 rate increases over 2016, putting rates near 1.50% by the end of 2016 should the United States economy avoid a recession.  When looking at corporations and the main sources of growth over the past few years, interest rate normalization is largely a negative indication for equity valuations as it diminishes the viability of cheap borrowing to finance buybacks.  Although the announcement of a hike was forecast to dent equity benchmarks, especially the S&P 500, the cash session saw a 1.45% rally in the index despite the headwinds approaching. 

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 17, 2015

Risk ON? Risk OFF? Find Out Where Your Money Lies / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

I have an urgent new report to share with you today, so let's dive right in ...

Here is the opening paragraph of the just-published, subscriber-level report from our friends at Elliott Wave International, the world's largest independent financial forecasting firm.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 17, 2015

Stock Market Finally .25... Bullish Statement.... Gradual.... Bull-Bear At 8%.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The world has waited for years it seems for that first rate hike, since the economy was supposedly improving. Month after month, and report after report, for well over a year the market couldn't decide whether Fed Yellen would finally raise rates that quarter of a percent. You would think it would be slam dunk if things were rosy, but we all knew they really weren't, so she refused to raise. ISM Manufacturing Report is in decline. Services going the wrong way as well. It's hard to raise rates when the economy can't get out of its own way. The pressure kept mounting, however, as the Yellen knew the street wanted to see some confidence, since she kept saying that things were getting better. She finally did the dirty deed this afternoon. I'm sure she feels mixed, since we are contracting on manufacturing. It's truly unheard of to raise rates, even though they were at zero, in a declining economy. The key to the whole thing was the statement after the raise.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 17, 2015

SPX Sports a 7-point Reversal Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has now formed a seven-point reversal, normally seen as a five-point reversal. This is typical when there exists a need for delay combined with a high degree of emotion in the market. It appears to be challenging the Intermediate-term resistance at 2073.31.

The sell signal is reaffirmed when SPX has fallen again beneath the 200-day Moving Average at 2067.31. Confirmation that the sell signal is still supportable when SPX falls beneath today’s open where the Orthodox Broadening Top trendline lies at 2045.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 16, 2015

Junk Bond Market Crash Stock Market Warning! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We are approaching the most anticipated and crucial week of the past seven years, and the global markets have been selling off. Last week, saw crude oil, junk bonds and the stock market competing with one another, while on their way down. Is there a connection between the three, or is it just a co-incidence that all three have fallen concurrently? Is the fall of one market, signaling a warning sign to the other(s)?

If you have any interest in either market, by way of investments, or if you are planning to become a part of the market, this article is for you. The junk bond markets are flashing a red signal, therefore, you should heed the warning.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 16, 2015

Stock Market Expanding Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

Thursday, 12/10/15, stock indices rose because (so all the pundits reckon) Fed Chair Yellen made a speech reinforcing her determination to begin raising interest rates on December 16. Friday, 12/11/15, the next day, stock indices plummeted because, well, for the same reason. In bubbles, indices can rise or fall for exactly the same reason.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 16, 2015

Fed Interest Rate Hike Stock Market Crash Bear Apocalypse? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's D-day for the stock market according to the bears when an Fed interest rate hike of 0.25% is expected to at least confirm a stocks bear market is already underway and even said will herald a stock market apocalypse crash, 'End Times', which has been consistently re-iterated by the consensus and BlogosFear since the August stocks plunge (correction). Though as the below chart illustrates that reality does not match the intensity of bear market rhetoric, that of double and triple tops, head and shoulder patterns, 5th waves and domed houses, all utilised each month as irrefutable proof with religious zeal that the stocks bull market is finally over, that this month has coalesced around today's FOMC meeting decision, with the apocalypse scheduled to occur at 2pm eastern time, 7pm UK.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Share Buybacks just another Wall Street Scam / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Sol_Palha

Better a diamond with a flaw than a pebble without one.
Chinese Proverb

Wall Street has a new hobby use good money to create the illusion that all is well; only unlike most hobbies, the intent is to distort reality and reward lazy insiders for doing next to nothing.  Gone are the days of actually trying to improve the bottom line, by improving efficiency, find new markets, etc.; now the idea is simply cut the supply of outstanding shares, thereby magically boosting the EPS. Why are executives doing this with such impunity?  The “safe harbor” rule passed in 1982, essentially allows corporations to repurchase shares without having to face charges of manipulating the price of their shares.  Before the passage of this rule, stock repurchases were next to zero. In fact, Senators Elizabeth Warren and Tammy Baldwin both share the sentiment that stock buybacks should be forbidden by the SEC because they are a form of market manipulation.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Stock Market Due for a Pop-n-Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that SPX may do a pop-n-drop that may be over by or near 10:00 am. The reason is that the decline from 2080.33 has taken 42 hours so far. 10:00 completes the 43rd hour.

I have additional conflicts today. A dear friend of mine died and his funeral is later this morning. I may not return to my office until later this afternoon.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Dow Transports Re-Enters Stocks Bear Market, Caution Warranted / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Christopher_Quigley

Arnold Toynbee “A Study of History”:
“Civilizations die by suicide not by murder”.

Very few people today know that between 1934 and 1961 the British historian Arnold Toynbee wrote “A Study of History” describing the rise and fall of the 23 civilizations he had identified in human history. In contrast to Oswald Spengler, who thought that the rise and fall of civilizations was inevitable, Toynbee maintained that the fate of civilizations is determined by their response to the challenges facing them. In fact the unifying theme throughout the book is challenge and response. One of the ground-breaking discoveries by Toynbee is the fact that there have been so many highly developed civilizations. Understandably in the West our history lessons focus on our own civilization with its roots in Greek and Roman cultures, but in addition there have been Chinese, Indian, Mayan, Islamic, Sumerian and Orthodox civilizations, to name but a few.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Stock Market THREE is a number, Good or Bad, Well that Depends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Submissions

Denali Guide writes:

Well are we having fun yet?    Are you serious?  THREE CHARTS.
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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Hybrid Lindsay Christmas Gift / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

My Hybrid Lindsay model calls for a low near last Friday (chart) and a high on Thursday, December 24.  This matches typical option expiration behavior seen this year when equities tend to rally into OPEX (this Friday) and change trend soon after.

In addition, the McClellan Oscillator closed on Friday well below its lower Bollinger Band (200, 1.5). History has shown that a quick dip to just below the lower band usually results in a conclusion of the previous correction.  However, a dip closer to negative 300 (as on Friday) often forecasts a lower low in equities (after a small bounce) or at least a test of that low.

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