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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

The Boy In The Bubble / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Raul_I_Meijer

That’s how I feel these days, or I should say these years. Since the name of this site comes from Paul Simon’s song by that title, it comes easily. Funny enough, I watched one of the Making of Graceland docs on Sunday night, and then on Monday morning read that the grand small 70-year old songwriter has been arrested because his wife’s mother had called 911 for a domestic disturbance situation. Given that Edie Brickell is about a foot taller than Simon, that made me smile. All the more so because in the documentary he’s talking about how he’s not good at writing angry songs, and that’s why Graceland came out the way it did, instead of being filled with loud protests against the injustices of South Africa. But, he said, outside of my songs, I’m very capable of expressing my anger, and I do get angry. Got ya, Paul.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

Inflation? MEH! Rising Interest Rates? MEH! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Jonathan_Davis

I wrote, here 2 weeks ago, how Government Bond yields have been falling and look as if they will continue to do so.  This suggests the Bond markets forecast, at least, falling inflation and, possibly, outright deflation.

Why might they think this?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

Japan - Gyver & Guffin / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: John_Mauldin

This week’s TTMYGH revolves around “Macs.” The first is a man-turned-verb who was capable of extricating himself from seemingly hopeless situations, armed with an array of tools seemingly singularly unsuited to the purpose; and the second is an ingenious, though ultimately futile, plot device which has been used by everyone from Welles to Hitchcock to Tarantino.

Though at first blush it’s hard to see a link between the two, in today’s world there are Angus MacGyvers everywhere, beetling away with duct tape and Swiss army knives, trying to extricate themselves from completely hopeless situations; and if they are to succeed before the credits roll, they must rely upon one very important thing: the suspension of disbelief by their audience.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Hybrid Lindsay Anticipates a Stock Market Drop This Week / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Ed_Carlson

Last week's Commentary showed a forecast for an expected high in the Dow near Monday, 4/21/14. Last week's high came on Tuesday, one day later than expected. This week I will attempt to use my "Hybrid" Lindsay model to forecast the next low in the Dow. The Hybrid Lindsay model is my own approach to forecasting intermediate highs and lows which, as far as we know, Lindsay never published any forecasts. This model draws heavily on the work of George Lindsay.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Stock Market Pop-n-drop Tuesday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

Yesterday evening as I looked at the SPX, it appeared complete, as the retracement had gone 61.8% as of the close. However, the Wave structure of the retracement was 3-3-3, when it should have been 3-3-5. This morning it appears that the 5th wave may go to thew top of Wave (iv) at 1877.02 or the 78.6% retracement at 1877.63.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Stock Market S&P 1,880 or Bust Again – China’s Melting Away! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

What total BS this market is.

NDX fell all the way to 3,480 yesterday but finished the day at 3,556, recovering 76 points (2%) in two hours. Hey, a few more days of gains at that rate and we'll be well over the 1999 highs – GO MARKETS!!!

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Stock Market - Finally Some Bullish Signs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,850, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bullish, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 28, 2014

Why A Stock Market Collapse Would Be A Good Thing / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Raul_I_Meijer

I’m not going to argue here that a market collapse would be a positive thing no matter what, because the implications of a true collapse would be so deep and widespread that they’re too hard for anyone to oversee. But having said that, truth finding and price discovery are crucial for a functioning economy, and there is not a shred of truth left in the markets nor is it possible to discover anything about any price as a free market would have set it. And that means there’s no trust or confidence left in markets, there’s only a shaky trust in authorities propping them up. Neither of which can last forever.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 28, 2014

Virtually all asset classes may be in decline... Except the Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX was stopped twice at 1872.00, but the third attempt apparently was the charm. It now appears that the first attempt at 1872.00 completed a sub-Minute Wave (a) of a Minute Wave [b] and the last attempt was sub-Minute Wave (c) of Minute Wave [b]. The rally attempt may be over.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 28, 2014

Don't Look Now But The Stocks and Housing Wealth Effect Is Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Michael_Pento

The government's "ingenious" solution to end the Great Recession was to recreate the same wealth effect that engendered the credit crisis to begin with: The definition of the wealth effect is an increase in spending that comes from an increase in the perception of wealth generated from equities and real estate.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 28, 2014

All Stock Market Indices are Fata Morganas / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Wim_Grommen

Have you ever wondered what information a stock market index actually gives? An index point is not a fixed unit in time and does not have any historical significance.

Two measurements during a marathon

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 28, 2014

Stock Market Short-term vs Long-term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - Probably tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 27, 2014

The Cost of Code Red - Speculative Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: John_Mauldin

(It is especially important to read the opening quotes this week. They set up the theme in the proper context.)

 “There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved.”

– Ludwig von Mises

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 27, 2014

Stock Market Bubble Phase: Gold Capitulation Follow Up / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Toby_Connor

At the beginning of the month I theorized that stocks were about to enter a final bubble phase, and that during that process gold should deliver a capitulation phase to end the three year bear market. This is a follow up to see how things are playing out now that we have another months' worth of price action behind us.

For stocks it still remains to be seen whether or not they have one more surge higher into a final top. If one just looks at the NASDAQ it would appear that stocks have begun moving down into a bear market. However as I pointed out in my previous article it's not unusual to have one, and sometimes two very severe corrections before a final leg up in a ending bubble phase. As I pointed out in my previous article the NASDAQ had two back-to-back 10% corrections before a final 34% surge into that 2000 top.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 27, 2014

Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

After a good rally last week, this week made a higher high then pulled back. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.2%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.25%, and the DJ World index was -0.1%. Economic reports for the week were skewed to the upside. On the uptick: consumer sentiment, the monetary base, the WLEI, leading indicators, the FHFA and durable goods orders. On the downtick: the M1-multiplier, existing/new home sales, and weekly jobless claims were higher. Next week offers a plethora of economic data, including: Q1 GDP, monthly Payrolls and the FOMC.

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