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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Saturday, August 27, 2011

Bernanke Keeps Door Open for Additional Stimulus on Weaker Economic Growth / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChairman Bernanke stressed that the Fed “has a range of tools that can be used to provide additional stimulus” but he was silent on specifics. He mentioned that the costs and benefits of these options were discussed at the August 9 meeting. These details will be available when minutes of this meeting are published on August 30. He reiterated parts of the August 9 policy statement noting that “the Committee will continue to assess the economic outlook in light of incoming information and is prepared to employ its tools as appropriate to promote a stronger recovery in a context of price stability.”

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Economics

Saturday, August 27, 2011

The Fed Will Allow Business Cycle To Play Out Longer This Time! / Economics / US Economy

By: Sy_Harding

The Federal Reserve played its part well, along with the Treasury Department, the White House, and Congress, in helping prevent the financial meltdown of 2008-2009 from turning the ‘Great Recession’ of 2007-2009 into the next Great Depression.

But its solo intervention with its QE2 quantitative easing program last year to boost the again faltering economy seems to have only delayed the business cycle.

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Economics

Friday, August 26, 2011

Recession 2012 Recession is Probable / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Barry_Elias

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA recession in 2012 is becoming more probable.

In an apparent attempt to camouflage the anticipated poor data, the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) may employ a methodology that underestimates inflation and overestimates real Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

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Economics

Friday, August 26, 2011

U.S. Household Debt Deleveraging Metrics Raise Worrisome Questions / Economics / US Debt

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHousehold debt outstanding hit a peak of $13.9 trillion in the first quarter of 2008.  This staggering amount of household debt was close to 100% of GDP of the nation (see Chart 1).  Home mortgages and consumer credit make up household debt, with home mortgages accounting for roughly 75% of household debt. 

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Economics

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Keynesian Economic Solutions - After Total Failure –Try, Try Again / Economics / Economic Theory

By: James_Quinn

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“Lenin is said to have declared that the best way to destroy the capitalist system was to debauch the currency. By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. By this method they not only confiscate, but they confiscate arbitrarily; and, while the process impoverishes many, it actually enriches some. The sight of this arbitrary rearrangement of riches strikes not only at security, but at confidence in the equity of the existing distribution of wealth.” – John Maynard Keynes – The Economic Consequences of the Peace

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Economics

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Can China Save The World? Towards A New Economic Model / Economics / Global Economy

By: DK_Matai

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the West contemplates a new phase in the global financial crisis, China -- the second biggest economy on Earth -- appears to some executive decision makers to be well placed to sail through the doldrums of the global financial markets or even use her wealth to come to the rescue of the rich world. Is this wishful thinking or is it grounded in facts? Despite its rising pre-eminence on the world stage, China is unlikely to save the world if the West slides back into recession. Why?

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Economics

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

GDP Statistic Is a Lie, Time for a New Measure of Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Statistics

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Gross domestic product (GDP) is the most commonly used measure of economic growth. But GDP isn't just inaccurate and misleading - it's the contrivance of Keynesian economists seeking to push their own, big-government agenda.

That's right. GDP is a financial ruse - the biggest of the past half-century. And it's time to move past it to another, more accurate measure of economic growth.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

The Great Recession and Dynamic Economic Decision Making / Economics / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week’s Outside the Box is from my good friend John Silvia, the Chief Economist at Wells Fargo and fishing buddy in Maine. He has written a powerhouse book called Dynamic Economic Decision Making: Strategies for Financial Risk, Capital Markets, and Monetary Policy.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

The "Great Depression" and the "Great Recession" FAQ / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Asha_Bangalore

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere have been frequent questions from clients and partners about the “Great Depression” and the recent recession, which is often called the “Great Recession.” Here are five important aspects that should help to put the two periods in historical perspective.

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Economics

Monday, August 22, 2011

Do The Maths, Worlds Developed Nations are Insolvent / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Puru_Saxena

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBIG PICTURE – Let’s face it; many of the world’s ‘developed’ nations are insolvent and the writing is on the wall.  Either these indebted states will default or they will try and inflate their currencies into oblivion.   

As far as the US is concerned, it still has the privilege of owning the world’s reserve currency and its central bank can always create more dollar bills out of thin air.  Thus, it is unlikely that the US will ever default on its debt obligations.

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Economics

Sunday, August 21, 2011

The “Treasonous” Fed, Recession of 2011? / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe data this week was just ugly. Even the uptick in the leading economic indicators, seized upon by so many talking heads, must have a large asterisk beside it. This week we look at the increasing probability that we are headed for recession, and the follow-on implications. Then I take a perilous and speculative journey into the realm of the political, commenting on Texas (and my) Governor Rick Perry's rather interesting comments about the Fed and Ben Bernanke. There is a lot to cover, and lots of charts, so we will jump right in. But please read at the end about two events coming up in the next few months that you might be very interested in attending.

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Economics

Saturday, August 20, 2011

Localize Our Economy / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Barry_Elias

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTwo centuries and a decade ago (in 1802), the third president of the United States, Thomas Jefferson, stated:

 “I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies. If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around the banks will deprive the people of all property — until their children wake-up.”

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Economics

Friday, August 19, 2011

Threat of Economic Stagflation Looms as Prices Rise Despite Bad Economy / Economics / Stagflation

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: Few are willing to acknowledge the threat of stagflation, but reports showing inflation rising more quickly than expected - even as growth is slowing - indicate that this scourge of the 1970s may be stalking the U.S. economy.

Every economic report nudges the United States closer to the definition of stagflation - a condition marked by slow economic growth, high unemployment, and soaring prices.

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Economics

Friday, August 19, 2011

Could This Be the Beginning of a Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: George_Maniere

I can’t remember how many times I have written that the U.S. is the largest debtor nation in the history of the world. Well yesterday I was reading a post from a reader who is an economics professor and he told me that I was correct. We are the largest debtor nation in the history of the world but what I was leaving out of that sentence was that we are the largest economy in the world. He told me that the true test is not how large our debt is, the true test is what is our nation’s debt is in relation to our Gross Domestic Product. He further wrote, citing the “CIA World Factbook” that the ratio of our debt to GDP is 53.9% and that figure puts us in 38th place in the ranking of countries in the world. He offered several examples. The dubious distinction of first place belongs to Japan whose debt to GDP is a staggering 225.8% and most surprising to me in 20th place was Germany whose debt to GDP was 78.8%.

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Economics

Friday, August 19, 2011

Record Bond Market, Debt Deleveraging Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: DK_Matai

Deflation is probably the last thing on anyone's mind. As a result of the latest financial markets plunge, gold has surpassed a new record of $1,820 per troy ounce. We all recognise gold as a hedge against inflation. In parallel, the government bond yields of a number of major countries including the US, UK, Germany, Sweden and Switzerland are at or near record lows since the Second World War, which means that their prices are at an all time high. For example, the bond yield on 10-year US treasuries fell to a record low below 2% today during intra-day trading. What is the significance of this record bond market?

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