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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Monday, March 09, 2009

Collapse of the United States, Repeating the Same Mistakes as the Soviet Union / Economics / US Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAuthor Dmitry Orlov in the following video explains why the United States must work on creating a new economy rather than patching the old failed economy as the United States following the same trajectory as the former Soviet Union around debt, politics, militariasm and energy that ended in total economic and political collapse.

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Economics

Monday, March 09, 2009

Deflationary Depression Returns To Haunt America / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Rosenberg, North American Economist at Merrill Lynch is talking about a " Depression-Style Jobs Report "
We cannot rule out the loss of 1 million jobs in March


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Economics

Monday, March 09, 2009

U.S. Economy Worsens, Obama Should Focus on Fundamentals / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWilliam Patalon III writes: sports, championship-caliber teams all have at least one characteristic in common: They're able to focus on the fundamentals. With the U.S. unemployment rate jumping to its highest level  in a quarter century in February, it's become abundantly clear that that the U.S. recession is much deeper than President Barack Obama anticipated, meaning it's likely that additional measures will be undertaken to arrest the slide and restart growth.

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Economics

Monday, March 09, 2009

United States Enters The Greatest Depression / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePrison Planet: Celente - US has entered “The Greatest Depression”
“Trends research analyst Gerald Celente, who has risen in prominence on the back of his deadly accurate economic predictions, says that the collapse of financial markets heralds the start of ‘The Greatest Depression'.

“In his latest Trend Alert bulletin, Celente attacks mainstream pundits who falsely predicted a market bottom and the start of a recovery, noting that conventional analysts have been proven ‘dead wrong' again and that, ‘There will be no turn around in the second quarter of 2009 or 2010 or 2011.'

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Economics

Sunday, March 08, 2009

Keynesian's Blame Asian Saving's for Causing the Economic Crisis / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Thank Heaven for little Keynesian Nobel laureates... without them what would little Keynesian Treasury secretaries do?..." At the long last we got the official explanation how we got into this mess. In his March 2, 2009, column in The New York Times under the banner title Revenge of the Glut Paul Krugman tells us, quoting the authority of the Chairman of the Fedreal Reserve Ben Bernanke, that it is all the fault of the Asians. They save damn too much. They test the endurance of unhappy Americans who bankrupt themselves in trying to work off all that darned excess saving fast enough before it can do more damage. Even though they do their level best, they could not keep up with the prodigious output of the Asians and "global savings glut" is the result.

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Economics

Sunday, March 08, 2009

Obama's Economic Train Wreck Gathers Speed / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt's becoming increasingly clear to market players that Obama and his merry band of economic vandals are completely clueless about economics and the role of markets. These people are purely political. For them, economics is simply a matter of tax, spend and regulate. The thought that their economically and socially destructive policies could also rip the electoral ground from under them has yet to materialise.

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Economics

Friday, March 06, 2009

The Truth Behind the Headline Unemployment Numbers / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe much-anticipated employment situation report for February 2009 has now been released. Markets breathed a sigh of relief, following recent conventional wisdom that things could have been much worse. Clearly they could have been. Clearly they are. December and January's numbers were both revised much higher (577,000 to 681,000 and 589,000 to 655,000 respectively). There is little doubt that when next month's report rolls around that the current stated loss of 651,000 will be revised much higher as well; likely to the 700,000 area.

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Economics

Friday, March 06, 2009

Economic Stimulus Plan Lacks Backbone / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Jennifer_Barry

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInfrastructure falls below most investors' radar, but it's a globally important theme. Developing nations have to replace crumbling structures built by former colonial rulers, as well as construct new pipelines and mass transit to serve their exploding populations. In nations like China, millions have moved from rural to urban areas, requiring a huge expansion of infrastructure. Even with the economic crisis, the middle class is a powerful force in developing nations. Newly prosperous citizens want more than just basic sanitation and transportation, however. They desire First World quality infrastructure, and they can increasingly afford to pay for it.

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Economics

Friday, March 06, 2009

Unemployment Soars to 8.1% as Jobs Contract 14th Straight Month / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the February Employment Report . Nonfarm payroll employment continued to fall sharply in February (-651,000), and the unemployment rate rose from 7.6 to 8.1 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Payroll employment has declined by 2.6 million in the past 4 months. In February, job losses were large and widespread across nearly all major industry sectors.

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Economics

Friday, March 06, 2009

Quantitative Easing Won't Work, Another Nasty Surprise for the Stock Market / Economics / Quantitative Easing

By: MoneyWeek

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSo here we go. Into the great unknown.

The Bank of England has switched the printing presses on. The Government has effectively written itself a dirty great cheque to fund all the extra spending it's going to be doing over the next few years (for more on the details, see Why quantitative easing won't work ).

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Economics

Thursday, March 05, 2009

China's Economy Recovers as Stock Markets Turn Bullish / Economics / China Economy

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChina's manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) strengthened for a third consecutive month in February, climbing to 49.0% from 45.3% the previous month. Li & Fung Research Centre reports that there were some encouraging signs: all sub-indices were higher than their respective levels in the previous month though many were still lower than the critical level of 50% (i.e. still contracting).

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Economics

Wednesday, March 04, 2009

When Debt Securitization Blew Up So Did the Economy / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Nothing we do for banks is for banks. It's all for the benefit of the people that depend on banks -- the businesses, the families, the students -- that require credit in order to do things that are important to their future." Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner PBS Jim Lehrer News Hour

One thing is certain, this isn't a normal recession. In a normal recession aggregate demand declines, economic activity slows, and GDP shrinks. While those things are taking place now, the reasons are quite different. The present slump wasn't brought on by a downturn in the business cycle or a mismatch in supply and demand. It was caused by a meltdown in the credit system's central core.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 04, 2009

Iron Law Of The Burden Of Debt / Economics / US Debt

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn my article Growth and Debt: Is There a Trade-off? (February 12, 2009) I have stated the "Iron Law of the Burden of Debt": The liquidation value of total debt doubles every time the rate of interest is halved.

I have received several comments from thoughtful readers.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 04, 2009

Deflationary Depression or Hyperinflation? / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn summary, the following analysis / argument concludes that Depression is a far more likely outcome than Hyperinflation.

The mathematics of inflation is as follows:

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Economics

Wednesday, March 04, 2009

The Old Consumer Economy Faces A New Era Of Thrift / Economics / US Economy

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe troubles in the financial markets over the last year will lead to a new era of thrift, and this will be radically different than the past 20 years of excesses as consumers change their habits. Consumers are already retrenching and increasing their savings amongst the economic uncertainty, but I think these changes portend an even deeper shift in personal behavior.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 03, 2009

The End of the Consumer Credit Empire: Stairway to Retail Heaven / Economics / US Economy

By: James_Quinn

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere's a lady who's sure
All that glitters is gold
And she's buying a stairway to heaven

When she gets there she knows
If the stores are all closed
With a word she can get what she came for


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Economics

Tuesday, March 03, 2009

U.S. Economic Crisis Replay of Japan's Lost Decade Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: If you want a real look at what's headed this way, ask Hideko Toyotomi. When Japan's so-called “Lost Decade” began with a bang in the early 1990s, she was an “OL” - an office lady - working in one of Japan's mightiest corporations and she kept her job, despite the downturn.

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Economics

Monday, March 02, 2009

U.S. ISM Manufacturing Sector Contracts 13th Consecutive Month / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Institute for Supply Management February 2009 Manufacturing ISM Report On Business shows "Economic activity in the manufacturing sector failed to grow in February for the 13th consecutive month, and the overall economy contracted for the fifth consecutive month."

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Economics

Monday, March 02, 2009

U.S. Lost Decade as Record Job Losses to Continue / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWilliam Patalon III writes: T.G.I.M (Thank goodness it's March). Unfortunately, that's what investors were saying when they closed the books on January and times have only gotten worse. The economy is weaker; the markets are lower; consumers are more frightened; and businesses of all shapes and sizes continue to struggle.

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Economics

Sunday, March 01, 2009

Global Recession Deepens as No End to Financial Collapse / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReuters: Soros sees no bottom for world financial “collapse”
“Renowned investor George Soros said on Friday the world financial system has effectively disintegrated, adding that there is yet no prospect of a near-term resolution to the crisis.

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