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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Thursday, November 26, 2009

While Economic Pundits Play "Gotcha," the Unemployment Situation Improves / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe best measure of the current condition of the labor market is the state unemployment insurance data. These data are not samples or surveys with guesstimates of how many new jobs were created by new businesses, but the head count of actual people standing in actual unemployment insurance lines. Too be sure, because a government entity is doing the counting, the first count is not always the most accurate count. But after four weeks of counting and recounting, the number that emerges is the one that remains for all times. The monthly labor reports from the Establishment and Household surveys get revised over and over, literally, for years.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

The Next Economic Crisis: Spiraling Inflation - Part 2 / Economics / Inflation

By: Nick_Barisheff

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRead Part 1 “The Next Crisis: Spiralling Inflation

“Under a paper-money system, a determined government can always generate higher spending and hence positive inflation.”– Ben Bernanke

The investment world is a risky and confusing place right now. Part 1 of this article (The Next Crisis: Spiralling Inflation) detailed the reasons why the next stage in the financial crisis will almost certainly be spiralling inflation. This article (Part 2) provides a solution for investors who are looking for a way to shield their hard-earned wealth from the destruction of high and uncontrollable inflation.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

America's Stealth Stimulus Plan To Allowing Home Owners to become Deadbeats / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Trader_Mark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI was looking through the avalanche of economic data today, and it struck me how once again Americans are spending well over their income growth.  I thought to myself, well part of this are all the programs where the American government is subsidizing consumption.  In fact we're at the point one of every six dollars of consumption are from goverment, meaning you only need to "earn" 5/6ths of your spending power. [Jun 5, 2009: 1 in 6 Dollars of Income Now Via Government; Highest Since 1929]

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Economics

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Deconstruction of DeLong's Economic Stimulus Accounting / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Robert_Murphy

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEver since the Obama administration released its report detailing the number of jobs "saved or created" from the $787 billion stimulus package, cynics have been having a field day playing with the numbers. Investigations have revealed that many of the respondents' claims of job creation are bogus, and simple division shows that some states received more than $500,000 in stimulus awards for each job "saved or created."

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Economics

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

GDP and Consumer Spending Offer Hope / Economics / UK Economy

By: LiveCharts

In two days, sentiments on the economy have improved dramatically thanks to a pair of economic reports. Tuesday (November 24), the gross domestic product was said to have risen by 2.8 per cent from the second to the third quarter.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Which Big Western Country Will Default On Its Debts First? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Volume in the credit default swap market for rich countries has soared and so have credit spreads, according to a recent Financial Times story, while volume in emerging markets CDS has stagnated. In other words, traders are betting against the governments with high budget deficits, like Britain and the United States, as well as against those with high debt levels, like Japan and Italy.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

The Role of Money Creation in Economic Development / Economics / Quantitative Easing

By: Ellen_Brown

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

“We are completely dependent on the commercial Banks. Someone has to borrow every dollar we have in circulation, cash or credit. If the Banks create ample synthetic money we are prosperous; if not, we starve. We are absolutely without a permanent money system. When one gets a complete grasp of the picture, the tragic absurdity of our hopeless position is almost incredible, but there it is. It is the most important subject intelligent persons can investigate and reflect upon.”   --Robert H. Hemphill, Credit Manager of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, 1934

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Economics

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Looming Government Budget Deficits Will Make You Dirt Poor / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Everybody wants to go to heaven, but nobody wants to die." ~ Loretta Lynn

Loretta was singing about kicking the bucket. Kicking the can is what people do before they kick the bucket. It is also what Congress does before Treasury bills kick the bucket.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Government Sovereign Debt Spirals / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have been writing about sovereign debt risk for some time. Japan, Spain, Italy and Portugal are all facing serious fiscal deficits and funding problems within a few years. But Greece may be the first country to hit the wall. In today's Outside the Box, we look at a short column by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard of the London Telegraph on the problems facing Greece. Greece will soon be faced with deciding which bad choice to make among a very small set of really bad, difficult choices.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Can Asset-Price Bubbles Be Harmless? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Shostak

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is an increasing concern among some commentators that the current, extremely loose monetary policy of the US central bank could fuel another round of asset-price bubbles. This in turn, it is held, could pose a serious danger to the US economy.

Some commentators, such as John Taylor (the inventor of the Taylor rule), are urging the US central-bank policy makers to start considering a tighter stance as soon as possible, in order to prevent a repetition of the Greenspan Fed's interest-rate policy, which kept rates at very low levels for too long. (The Fed lowered its policy rate from 6.5% in December 2000 to 1% by June 2003. The Fed kept the rate at 1% until June 2004).

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Economics

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

The Great Depression of the 14th Century / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Murray_N_Rothbard

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMost people — historians not excepted — are tempted to think of economic and cultural progress as being continuous: in every century people are better off than in the one preceding. This comforting assumption had to be given up quite early when the Dark Ages ensued after the collapse of the Roman Empire. But it was generally held that after the "renaissance" of the 11th century, progress in western Europe was pretty well linear and continuous from that point to the present day.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

The Economic Crisis and What Must be Done / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Richard_C_Cook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe United States does not control its own destiny. Rather it is controlled by an international financial elite, of which the American branch works out of big New York banks like J.P. Morgan Chase, Wall Street investment firms such as Goldman Sachs, and the Federal Reserve System. They in turn control the White House, Congress, the military, the mass media, the intelligence agencies, both political parties, the universities, etc. No one can rise to the top in any of these institutions without the elite’s stamp of approval.

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Economics

Monday, November 23, 2009

Economic Meltdown, A Call for Systemic Change / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

John Perkins writes: Whenever I hold my two-year old grandson, Grant, in my arms I wonder what this world will look like six decades from now, when he is my age. I know that if we "stay the course" it will be ugly. The current economic meltdown is a harbinger.

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Economics

Monday, November 23, 2009

U.S. Stages Fake Coup to Wipe Out National Debt / Economics / US Debt

By: Submissions

Congress says that with no way to actually pay back our debts, faking a coup to eliminate financial obligations is the best plan for the U.S. economy.

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Economics

Sunday, November 22, 2009

Ask India About Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Andrew_Abraham

Let’s put things into perspective India has one of the largest populations in the world as well it is one of the strongest markets this year. The economy is booming. There are new constructions starts, corporate earnings have been going through the roof as well as the Rupee has gained in value against the US dollar. Sounds great… Right?

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Economics

Sunday, November 22, 2009

Deflation Returns To Japan, Government Spending Black Hole Madness In U.S. / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJapan has been hopping in and out of deflation for decades. Japan is back in deflation once again. The Wall Street Journal is reporting Deflation's Return Weighs on Japan

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Economics

Saturday, November 21, 2009

The Hidden Costs of Too Much Government Debt / Economics / US Debt

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week was a fascinating one on the geopolitical front. President Barack Obama travelled to China in what was billed as a major diplomatic trip.

The idea? Try to reach common ground on several fronts, including global nuclear proliferation, environmental issues, and especially China’s currency …

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Economics

Saturday, November 21, 2009

Government Debt Default, How (Not If) Will it Happen / Economics / US Debt

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have surveyed the Austrian School's theory of money. This theory began with Ludwig von Mises' "Theory of Money and Credit" (1912). I presented Mises' theory of fractional reserve banking and the creation of the business cycle in my mini-book, Mises on Money (2002).

The previous parts of this series are on-line here.

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Economics

Saturday, November 21, 2009

Financial and Economic Situation Could Get Ugly Fast / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThings could get ugly fast. With the Democrats backing-off on a second round of stimulus, the Fed signaling an end to quantitative easing, and Obama moaning about rising deficits; there's a good chance that the stumbling recovery could turn into another sharp plunge. Bank lending is shrinking, consumers spending is off, housing prices are falling, unemployment is soaring and the wholesale credit markets are in a shambles. This isn't the time to slash government support in the name of "fiscal responsibility". Obama needs to ignore the gloomsters and alarmists and pay attention to the Nobel laureates like Joe Stiglitz and Paul Krugman. They're the guys who know how to steer the ship to safe water.

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Economics

Saturday, November 21, 2009

The Great Economic Stimulus Debate of 2009 / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Crybabies need not apply"
Barack Obama has decided to push the economy back into recession, and no one can figure out why. Perhaps the impressionable Obama has come under the spell of the deficit hawks and crystal gazers who see Armageddon around every corner. Or maybe he's thrown-in with the snappish Marc Faber whose dire predictions of hyperinflation are about as cheery as Hieronymus Bosch's vision of Hell. Whatever the reason, the President has done a hasty volte-face and decided that trimming the deficits in the middle of a severe economic downturn is the way to go. Here's what Obama said just days ago on his Asia tour:

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