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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Saturday, October 31, 2009

United States Catching the Argentinian Economic Disease of Hyperinflation? / Economics / US Debt

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCatching Argentinian Disease?
The Ascent of Money
The Independence of the Fed Threatened
A Few Quick Thoughts on the Dollar, GDP, and the Recession

I have been in South America this week, speaking nine times in five days, interspersed with lots of meetings. The conversation kept coming back to the prospects for the dollar, but I was just as interested in talking with money managers and business people who had experienced the hyperinflation of Argentina and Brazil. How could such a thing happen? As it turned out, I was reading a rather remarkable book that addressed that question. There are those who believe that the United States is headed for hyperinflation because of our large and growing government fiscal deficit and massive future liabilities (as much as $56 trillion) for Medicare and Social Security.

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Economics

Friday, October 30, 2009

Our Enemy the State / Economics / Euro-Zone

By: Christopher_Quigley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA Tribute to Mr. Raymond Crotty 1925-1994
Economics Lecturer Trinity College Dublin, Ireland.

"Our Enemy the State", so said Raymond Crotty in 1988 in his book "A Radical's Response". In this treatise Mr. Crotty, former farmer and economics lecturer at Trinity College, tried to explain why Ireland should not have joined the EEC. Through his efforts the constitution was correctly used to try to protect the Irish people from what he saw as abuse of privilege by an immoral political class that usurped power from the British in 1922. This class, he believed, were using the resources of the Irish people for their own selfish benefit.

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Economics

Friday, October 30, 2009

Ready for inflation in finance, living costs and bone-headed stupidity...? / Economics / Inflation

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSINCE MONEY MAKES the world go round, more of it would set the earth spinning faster, right? Which would be a good thing, of course...

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Economics

Friday, October 30, 2009

U.S. GDP Surprise Due to Government Interventions / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe GDP numbers out yesterday, which showed economic growth at 3.5% in the third quarter, brought a deafening chorus from public and private economists who all agreed that the recession is officially over. With such a strong report, they are happy to tell us that not only has the Fat Lady finished her aria, but she has left the building and is sipping champagne in the bath. As usual, it falls on me to rain on the parade.

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Economics

Friday, October 30, 2009

Unemployment Falls at State Level as People Drop Out of Workforce, Costco Nationwide Food Stamps / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Trader_Mark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA couple of items from the "real economy" - we have not had much time to focus on that this week as we lather ourselves in Kool Aid of federal government/central bank fiat money and all the good it does for us chosen folk in the speculator class.

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Economics

Friday, October 30, 2009

Stimulus Nation / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe result really wasn’t all that surprising. The reaction wasn’t either. On Thursday morning the Commerce Department released its advance GDP reading and proclaimed the end of the recession by asserting the American economy ‘grew’ at an annualized rate of 3.5% in the third quarter. A previous commentary already pointed out the fact that government borrowing shouldn’t be counted in GDP calculations anyway, so I’ll not repeat that exercise. Certainly there isn’t much to say on this topic that hasn’t already been said. However, there are some salient points that have been glossed over that are worth mentioning.

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Economics

Friday, October 30, 2009

Krugman, The Gold Standard and the Great Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Robert_Murphy

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePaul Krugman has concentrated his fire recently on those "thumping their chests" over the falling dollar. He has particular scorn for those recommending a return to the gold standard. In Krugman's view, a simple look at the historical facts will show that it was a superstitious fetish for the yellow metal that prolonged the Great Depression.

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Economics

Friday, October 30, 2009

After Strong U.S. GDP, Markets Look to Chicago PMI and University of Michigan Consumer Confidence / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFollowing stronger-than-market-expected US gdp data yesterday (figures met our projections), the financial markets are likely to see-saw as usual today. US data releases will dominate today as well, with personal income, spending, the price deflator, Chicago PMI and University of Michigan consumer confidence due out. With gdp figures for Q3 showing a rise in consumer spending of 3.4% annualised, the likelihood is that personal spending for September may not fall as much as the consensus suggests, though income may well stay flat.

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Economics

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Emerging Market Economies in the New World Disorder / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: TheDailyReckoning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChris Mayer writes: In horse racing, a match race is when two horses race against each other. One of the most famous such races happened at Pimlico, when Seabiscuit beat War Admiral in November 1938.

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Economics

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Does a Fall in Bank Credit Lead to Deflation? / Economics / Deflation

By: Frank_Shostak

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUS credit is undergoing a major contraction. In the week ending October 14, US commercial-bank lending stood at $5,686.8 billion: a fall of 6.6% from the end of January.[1] Year on year, loans fell by 7% in October after declining by 5.8% in September. On the same basis of comparison, in October last year, loans increased by 6.6%.

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Economics

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Dangerous Inflationary Side Effects of G20 Ultra-Easy Money / Economics / Inflation

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOperating under the elixir of ultra-low interest rates, and flush with trillions of fiat currency at their disposal, courtesy of the world’s top-20 central banks, hedge funds and banking Oligarchs are once again making risky and daring bets in commodities, emerging markets, junk bonds, and blue-chip stocks, defying gravity with trades that would have been un-thinkable just six-months ago.

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Economics

Thursday, October 29, 2009

U.S. Q3 GDP, Watch the Consumer Component / Economics / US Economy

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Aside from whether US Q3 GDP growth will stand above the 3.0%, markets will watch the contribution from the US consumer versus that of inventory restocking. Personal consumption expenditure (PCE) is expected +3.0% after -0.9% and +0.6% in Q2 and Q1. Risk appetite will particularly welcome any evidence of a consumer-led recovery, in which case could prove positive for equities and risk currencies (EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD). In the event that a rise in inventory accumulation overshadows the increase in personal consumption, a rally in risk assets (equities, commodities and higher yielding currencies) would be accompanied by renewed pressure in USD and JPY.

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Economics

Thursday, October 29, 2009

The Myth of "Free" Enterprise Economic System / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Singer

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFree enterprise, also called free market, is an economy governed by the laws of supply and demand, not restrained by government interference, regulation or subsidy.

Command economy is basically a slave enterprise where supply and price are regulated by the government rather than market forces.
The only thing I will agree with about the “law of supply and demand” is that supply at a downward-manipulated price, can create demand.
Downward manipulation is an uneconomic aberration first discovered in the precious metals market by the noted silver analyst, Ted Butler.

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Economics

Thursday, October 29, 2009

The Next Economic Crisis, Spiralling Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Nick_Barisheff

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the credit crisis ends, a bigger one is just beginning

“The US government has a technology, called a printing press… that allows it to produce as many US dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost.” – Ben Bernanke

The US economy contracted for four consecutive quarters since October 2008, something we have not seen since the Great Depression. A V-shaped recovery is simply not in the cards because the credit crisis has caused deep, systemic damage. Having said that, if the recession ends this year, it certainly won’t be because the global economy is healthy.

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Economics

Thursday, October 29, 2009

South Africa Rocked by Financial Crisis as Unemployment and Debt Soar / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Danny_Schechter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJohannesburg: There was lots of skepticism when I came to South Africa two years ago to show my film IN DEBT WE TRUST. While my critique of consumer debt resonated, the film’s forecast of a financial crisis didn’t. Their economy seemed to be doing well and it was hard to tell a society that tends to look inward that they would be affected by a financial crisis in America, l0,000 miles away.

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Economics

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Financial Markets Primary Focus on U.S. Q3 GDP Economic Data / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is a busy calendar for economic figures today but markets will primarily focus on the advance estimate of US Q3 gdp this afternoon. Despite a 'bolt from the blue' from the UK last week, we believe it is still worth highlighting that the consensus is for annualised US growth of 3.2%, with the range from 2% to 4.8%. We look for a rise of 3.5%, following a drop of 0.7% in Q2 and bringing to an end the longest series of quarterly declines since such records started in 1947.

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Economics

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Ludwig von Mises, Henry Hazlitt, and Murray Rothbard Sacrificing for an Idea / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLew Rockwell gave a lecture on the trials and tribulations of three free market economists: Ludwig von Mises, Henry Hazlitt, and Murray Rothbard. He showed that their commitment to free market economic theory cost them their careers in an era of Keynesianism. Yet today, they are remembered by a growing number of readers. Their bureaucratic opponents are long forgotten: lost in the noise of "we, too."

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Economics

Thursday, October 29, 2009

The ABCs of the Economic Crisis, Capitalism on the Ropes? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInterview with Michael D. Yates and Fred Magdoff

1. Mike Whitney---In your new book, "The ABCs of the Economic Crisis: What Working People Need to Know", you allude to right wing think tanks, like the Heritage Foundation and the American Enterprise Institute, which promote a "free market" ideology. How successful have these organizations been in shaping public attitudes about capitalism? Do you think that attitudes are beginning to change now that people understand the role that Wall Street and the big banks played in creating the crisis? ("The ABCs of the Economic Crisis: What Working People Need to Know" By Fred Magdoff and Michael Yates, Monthly Review Press)

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Economics

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Stealth Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: John_Browne

Over the past two years, the federal government and the Federal Reserve have dispersed trillions of public dollars, run up enormous deficits, and kept interest rates at zero. In just about any economic textbook, this combination of policies would be described as the perfect recipe for inflation. Yet, with the exception of the usual increases in health care and education, prices by and large are not rising. Many have concluded that our economic leadership has simply outsmarted the textbooks.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Bankrupt Britain, A Short History / Economics / UK Debt

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"If we manage to escape national bankruptcy, we have set up a slavery far more oppressive than any previous form of bondage..."

BRITAIN'S BANKRUPTCY has been a long time coming.

"By our political folly we have a put a large part, probably the greater part, of the nation in possession of rights to draw from the public purse," wrote Ernest J.P.Benn in his hilarious Account Rendered of 1930.

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