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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Thursday, February 25, 2010

More Credit Default Swaps Means Trouble for European Debt / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGovernment debt is no longer just a problem for emerging countries. Portugal, Spain, France and Greece (as we have seen in recent weeks) are living in fear of credit default. Consequently, the value of their credit default swaps is skyrocketing.

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Economics

Thursday, February 25, 2010

U.S. Weekly Unemployment Claims Spike, Will Economic Reality Soon Set In? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYesterday the market rallied the moment Bernanke started yapping to Congress about holding interest rates low for a considerable length of time. Pray tell what did he say that anyone should not have expected?

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Economics

Thursday, February 25, 2010

As Greece Goes, So Goes the U.S.? / Economics / US Debt

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGreece hasn't gotten so much press since 146 B.C. when the Romans took over. Of late, Greece sneezes and investors think the U.S. is going to catch the swine flu. Of course, it is not just Greece. Greece is part of the EU and the EMU. So, it is thought that as goes Greece, so goes Europe. And then, the next step is that as goes Europe, so goes the U.S. But is Europe really where the action is with regard to U.S. economic growth?

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Economics

Thursday, February 25, 2010

Inflation as the Enemy of Investing / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Douglas_French

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn this age of inflation, we are all forced to do many tasks that others could do better for us. The fact is that inflation impedes the process of civilization, which is brought about by the division of labor. While, without the central bank's continual monetary infusions, prices would gently fall as technology made all things and all people more efficient, we don't enjoy that luxury. Instead we're mowing our own grass, fixing the flappers in our toilet tanks, and managing our own retirement funds.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Leading Economic Indicators Keep Rising, but … / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast Thursday the Conference Board published its Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. In January this historically-reliable indicator increased 0.3 percent after shooting up 1.2 percent in December and 1.1 percent in November. This was the tenth consecutive rise!

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Economics

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Greek Debit Crisis European Sideshow / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Peter_Schiff

If the global economy were a three ring circus, then the center ring attraction would be the currency and debt battle quietly and slowly building between the United States and China. But for the past month the world's attention has been distracted by a much more entertaining sideshow in which European unity, and the ongoing viability of the euro, is being tested by the Greek debt crisis.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

U.K. Keynesian Disaster Economy, Crippling Budget Deficit and Rising Prices / Economics / UK Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe U.K. is the poster child for Keynesian stupidity carried out to extreme levels. In an extremely well written article, Matthew Lynn, a Bloomberg columnist discusses the sorry state of British affairs in Deathbed of Keynesian Economics Will Be in U.K.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Government Deficits and Debts or Spending the Big Issue? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhether it is Greece or the US, it seems as though the headline du jour involves government deficits and debt. The Obama administration has taken a lot of heat for its projected US deficit and debt ratios. But are government deficits and debt really the big economic issues or is it government spending? Milton Friedman thought that the ultimate economic cost of government was not how the government funded itself, but how much funding the government was engaged in. Friedman understood that just as the Northwest Mountie always gets his man, the federal government always gets its funds.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Over-Arching Sovereign Debt Crisis / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNeither the US financial press nor the US bank leaders take the sovereign debt crisis seriously. Even the USCongress seems totally unaware of the growing global intolerance for government debt out of control. The issue is rollover of short-term debt, size of the overall debt burden, borrowing costs to sustain the debt, annual deficits that accumulate further debt, and size of debt versus economic size. The United States projects a certain degree of arrogance that foreigner must continue to finance the USGovt debt at a time when the evidence gathers on loud suspicious activity in the USTreasury auctions.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Inflation Hiding In Plain Sight, The Key To Profits  / Economics / Inflation

By: Bob_Clark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs an Account Manager and Trading Instructor, there is a theme I see that keeps recurring.  I hear this from my clients and students over and over, "things are so bad how can I be safe buying".  I hear "we are going to have hyper inflation" or "it is all going to collapse into a deflationary abyss.  In other words, they lose their bearings in a sea of information.  My answer is always the same, we must trust our algorithmic models.   Markets will fluctuate, what you read or listen to is illusion.  When one group has all the money, the rules of the game have changed.

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Economics

Monday, February 22, 2010

Not So Fast for U.S. Economy, Inflation and therefore Fed Tightening / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNot so fast for the economy, for inflation and, therefore, for Fed tightening. The Commerce Department's first guess at Q4:2009 real GDP growth of 5.7% is likely to be the fastest quarterly annualized growth we see for some time. Rather, sequential annualized growth rates over the first three quarters of this year are going to be on the order of less than one-half that of the last year's fourth quarter. Although one month does not a trend make, consumer inflation in January already shows signs of abating a bit.

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Economics

Monday, February 22, 2010

Government Stimulus, One Year Later / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

Last week marked the one year anniversary of the American Reinvestment and Recovery Act, or the stimulus bill, passing into law. While the debate over its success has been focused on whether or not it is stimulating the economy and on various questionable uses of funds, in my estimation this legislation is accomplishing exactly what it was intended to accomplish - grow the government.

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Economics

Sunday, February 21, 2010

U.S. 1800 Bank Failures Financial Tsunami on Horizon / Economics / Credit Crisis 2010

By: Fresbee

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCalculatedRisk predicts 2010 to account for more number of failures than 2009 but lesser than the peak of 534 in 1989.

My prediction is the FDIC will close more banks in 2010 than in 2009 (more than 140), but fewer banks than in 1989 – peak of the S&L crisis (534 banks).

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Economics

Sunday, February 21, 2010

UK and Eurozone Economic Recovery Over, Bundesbank Fears Second Wave of Credit Crisis / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecent data shows the economic slump in the UK and Eurozone is accelerating to the downside at a rapid pace. Let's review a few articles supporting that view.

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Economics

Sunday, February 21, 2010

U.S. GDP and Outbound Tourism Disconnect / Economics / Sector Analysis

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the first things you do when you are looking at a strategy for a new tourism destination or to re-vamp an old one is to look at your demand profile.

Putting aside the detailed explanatory variables big picture your baseline can normally be defined by the nominal GDP of source countries. So if you know where those are going you can have a peek at the future.

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Economics

Sunday, February 21, 2010

Government Stopping the Cleansing Action of Capitalism By Propping Up Malinvestments / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Douglas_French

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe business end of the business cycle does the dirty work of clearing away the malinvestments made during the previous boom. These malinvestments are a stark reminder of what was hot and now is not.

Cheap and abundant money flowed into real-estate projects after the tech bubble burst and the Fed hit the monetary gas. Sand states like Arizona, California, and Florida, as well as the hub of the Southeast, Atlanta, attracted homebuilders large and small.

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Economics

Saturday, February 20, 2010

Pain in Spain, Greece Tip of EuroZone Debt Crisis Demands Cash From Germany / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGermany, Greece, and Spain
Two Views on the Euro
The Pain in Spain
How Much Is Too Much

Last week we talked about Greece. But the problems are more than just Greece. We look at two very different views of the euro, and then opposing thoughts on Spain. Is Spain a problem or not? And how can the US keep on spending? Is there a limit? There is a lot to cover in what has been an interesting, if confusing, week.

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Economics

Saturday, February 20, 2010

Goodbye Reflation We hardly Knew Ya; Core CPI Drops First Time Since 1982 / Economics / Inflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Yesterday, inflationists were out in full force after the Producer Price Index (PPI) release.

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Economics

Friday, February 19, 2010

Economic Crisis, The Sovereign Debt Bubble / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen the next census is over America will probably have 320 million people. The number of Americans 50 years ago was about 184 million. Our budget then was about $100 billion. Today it is supposed to be $3.8 trillion. We call that spending gone wild. Government control of the economy has become bigger and all consuming at what will prove to be an unsustainable pace. Markets are telling us the world has serious sovereign debt problems as witnessed recently with the financial debacles in Ireland and now Greece with others to follow. Arrogant government, Fed officials and Wall Street telling us the borrowings are necessary to save our economy, when in fact just the opposite will prove to be true.

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Economics

Friday, February 19, 2010

Note to Fareed Zakaria: Tax Rates Affect Behavior / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Michael_Pento

Fareed Zakaria is not a fiscal conservative by any means. His left leaning bias towards relying on tax increases to fix our deficits, instead of spending cuts, makes that abundantly clear. On his “What in the World” segment on Sunday’s GPS program, Mr. Zakaria excoriated former Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson and former Chairman of the Federal Reserve Alan Greenspan for not asserting that they want taxes to increase in order to balance the budget--Zakaria’s comment was prompted from an interview those gentlemen conducted the prior week with David Gregory from Meet the Press.

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