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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Saturday, November 14, 2009

If This is Economic Recovery, Where Are the Increased Tax Revenues? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf This is Recovery, Where Are the Taxes?
Last Business Standing
Stimulus, What Stimulus?
The Reality of Unemployment
Let the Good Times Roll
The Quick Double-Dip Scenario

No one goes into Wal-Mart and asks to pay extra sales tax. Thus sales taxes are reasonable barometers for retail sales. This week we look at how taxes are doing in a period of economic recovery. Then we turn our eyes to a very interesting (and sobering) analysis of possible future unemployment rates. This is an anecdote to the happy-face analysis of employment numbers you get from establishment economists. There will be a lot of charts and tables, so this letter may print a little longer, but I think you will find it very interesting.

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Economics

Friday, November 13, 2009

America Follows Japan Over the Debt Fuelled Economic Cliff / Economics / US Debt

By: Bill_Bonner

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“It’s amazing; the US is doing everything that Japan did wrong,” said a friend yesterday.

Let’s see, in the 1980s Japan’s corporate leaders thought they were going to take over the world. Investors thought so too. They expanded. They wheeled. They dealed. Prices shot up and they all thought they were geniuses.

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Economics

Friday, November 13, 2009

U.S. Job Losses Demystified / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the unemployment rate crossed the double digit barrier for the first time since Michael Jackson learned to moonwalk, President Obama announced that he will convene a “jobs summit” to finally bring the problem under control. Using all the analytic skill that his administration can muster, the President is determined to figure out why so many people are losing their jobs and then formulate a solution. That's a relief; for a while there, I thought we were in real trouble! In fact, the absolute last thing our economy needs is more federal government interference. If Obama really wants to know what's behind entrenched joblessness, he should start by looking at the man in the mirror.

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Economics

Friday, November 13, 2009

Krugman's Magic Solution to Budgetary Woes / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLong-time readers know that I am second only to Bill Anderson in my constant criticism of Paul Krugman. Indeed, I quite recently defended the gold standard from Krugman's ridicule.

Given this context, I am very surprised to confess that Krugman has convinced me of the virtues of currency debasement. As I was reading his blog post on the tragic fate of Ecuador, I applied Krugman's lessons to my personal life, and suddenly everything became clear. In a flash, all of my household's financial stresses were solved.

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Economics

Friday, November 13, 2009

Is Mexico the “New” China? / Economics / Mexico

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: When it comes to global manufacturing, Mexico is quickly emerging as the “new” China.

According to corporate consultant AlixPartners, Mexico has leapfrogged China to be ranked as the cheapest country in the world for companies looking to manufacture products for the U.S. market. India is now No. 2, followed by China and then Brazil.

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Economics

Friday, November 13, 2009

Winds of Economic and Geopolitical Change / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Puru_Saxena

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe 19th century belonged to Britain, the 20th century belonged to America and in the 21st century, China will rule the business world.  Whether you like it or not, this transition is already underway and it will intensify over the coming decades.

It is our observation that throughout history, no empire has managed to rule forever.  If you look back in time, you will realise that various empires rose to power, they prospered and spread their influence.  Thereafter, they over-extended themselves and then decayed.  In fact, all the glorious empires had one thing in common – the spectacular collapse.

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Economics

Thursday, November 12, 2009

The State of the American Economy in One Chart / Economics / US Debt

By: Ceri_Shepherd

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThey say a picture paints a thousand words. Well this picture paints very clearly the American Economy for the last 30 years.

Ever decreasing Bond Yields which = EVER EXPANDING DEBT.

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Economics

Thursday, November 12, 2009

Securitization and Fractional Reserve Banking / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Nikolay_Gertchev

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor good economists, the link between the operation of a fractional-reserve banking system and the recurrence of boom-bust cycles is of little doubt. One of the paramount figures who has contributed to the intellectual elaboration of this relationship and to its transmission to young economists, among which the present writer has had the pleasure to count himself, is Professor Hans-Hermann Hoppe.

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Economics

Thursday, November 12, 2009

Mishkin's Bubblenomics and the Crash of 2008 / Economics / Market Manipulation

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed's monetary stimulus is driving the market higher. What started as a trickle has turned into a torrent buoying stocks and commodities on a river of liquidity. Oil has more than doubled in the last 8 months while stock indexes have gained 50 percent or more in the same period. Even the shunned homebuilders and battered financials have staged a comeback. Meanwhile, consumer credit continues to shrivel and the "real" rate of unemployment climbs inexorably towards 20 percent.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Toxic Cocktail of Fiscal and Monetary Constraints on the U.S. Dollar / Economics / Quantitative Easing

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week, the Fed extended its emergency economic powers, which include lending to the money center banks at zero interest. A few days later, the Fed's plan was reinforced by similar announcements from the rest of the G-20. The road map the authorities are providing for the near-term global economy can't be much clearer. There will be no cessation of the seemingly endless supply of cheap dollars being pumped into the financial system. With the world apparently in complete accord on the need for ever more liquidity, stock markets are staging an easy-money rally. The main line media is almost euphoric. But what should investors make of this seemingly good news?

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Economics

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Out of Control Government Budget Deficits in Eurozone, UK, USA and Japan / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBudget deficits are soaring and printing presses are running at full steam everywhere you look including Germany and the Eurozone countries. Please consider Recession Upends German Zeal for Fiscal Prudence.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Failure of Economic Policy Blowing More Financial Bubbles and Next Crisis / Economics / Liquidity Bubble

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince last year’s collapse of the banking system, hundreds of billions of dollars have been spent to bail out some of the major players. Additionally, governments all over the world, and their central banks, have implemented huge stimulus programs to combat the consequences of the burst real estate bubble.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Money, Inflation and Uncertainty / Economics / Fiat Currency

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThree decades ago, I was visiting a friend. He was a graduate of the Harvard Business School. He was beginning a successful career as an entrepreneur. We were outside, watching his son play. His son was about five years old. "Robbie," he said, "why does daddy have to go to work every day?" "To buy money," Robbie replied. "No, Robbie. I go to work to earn money."

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Economics

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

The Case For Jobless Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Hans_Wagner

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJobless growth, a term that makes one pause. With an economy where the consumer comprises about 70% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), it is hard to imagine how it can grow without more people working. Yet that is what the U.S. faces as the economy recovers from the worst recession since the 1930’s.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Megacities Generate a Third of World’s GDP / Economics / Global Economy

By: Pravda

GDP of the world’s largest cities with emerging economies will experience rapid growth. In 2008 the largest 100 cities accounted for about 30% of global GDP and some have bigger economies than medium-sized countries like Sweden or Switzerland. Within the last three years, Moscow has leaped from the 25th to the 15th place in this rating.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Should We Believe the GDP Economic Data? / Economics / Market Manipulation

By: Douglas_French

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThird quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures were announced recently with that index rebounding to reflect that the US economy is growing again at a 3.5 percent rate. The financial talking heads rejoiced and investors continue to power the stock markets higher. Fed Chair Ben Bernanke even predicted that the recession was over when he told the Brookings Institute in mid-September, "From a technical perspective, the recession is very likely over at this point."

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Economics

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Inflation and Deflation; Inflationism and Deflationism / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe services money renders are conditioned by the height of its purchasing power. Nobody wants to have in his cash holding a definite number of pieces of money or a definite weight of money; he wants to keep a cash holding of a definite amount of purchasing power. As the operation of the market tends to determine the final state of money's purchasing power at a height at which the supply of and the demand for money coincide, there can never be an excess or a deficiency of money.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Global Economic Stimulus, The Surety Referee / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Michael_Pento

Our Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner told us this weekend that global stimulus needs to be in place until a recovery is “assured.” This government--which has consistently displayed the foresight and navigation skills of a deaf bat—is now telling us that the wealth redistribution and inflationary policies of the Fed and Administration will be in effect until they have complete confidence this crisis has ended.

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Economics

Monday, November 09, 2009

What Is Inflation and How Does One Measure It? / Economics / Inflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTo understand inflation, one must first understand what money is and how to measure it. Please read What is Money and How Does One Measure It? before attempting to understand what follows.

Unfortunately there is no general agreement as to the definition of inflation. Here are some of the widely used definitions as noted in Inflation: What the heck is it?

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Economics

Monday, November 09, 2009

U.S. Debt Explosion Sets in Motion Massive Revolutionary Changes / Economics / US Debt

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI’ve just returned from Munich, Germany, where Claus Vogt and I addressed the 8th Annual Conference of Sicheres Geld subscribers.

Here are the highlights of my side of the presentation. (Claus will give you his side in a future issue).

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