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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Europe on the Edge of Abyss, U.S. Housing Market In the Abyss / Economics / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRobert Samuelson on Real Clear Politics says Europe at the Abyss

It has come to this. A year after rescuing Greece from default, Europe is staring into the abyss. The bailout has proved insufficient. Greece needs more money, and it can't borrow from private markets where it faces interest rates as high as 25 percent. There is no easy escape.

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Economics

Saturday, May 28, 2011

Fiat Currency Economic Death Spiral Has Been Triggered / Economics / Fiat Currency

By: Gordon_T_Long

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor nearly 30 years we have had two Global Strategies working in a symbiotic fashion that has created a virtuous economic growth spiral. Unfortunately, the economic underpinnings were flawed and as a consequence, the virtuous cycle has ended. It is now in the process of reversing and becoming a vicious downward economic spiral.

One of the strategies is the Asian Mercantile Strategy. The other is the US Dollar Reserve Currency Strategy.

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Economics

Saturday, May 28, 2011

UK Inflation Invisible to Government Politicians Such as Vince Cable / Economics / Inflation

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhere-oh-where can all this inflation – which doesn't exist – be coming from...?

THERE'S NONE so blind as those who claim they can see.

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Economics

Thursday, May 26, 2011

U.S. Q1 2011 GDP Revision / Economics / Economic Statistics

By: Tony_Pallotta

The first of two revisions for Q1 2011 Real GDP came in unchanged at 1.8%. Internally though this report is rather concerning.

In a previous post I discussed the increased probability of Q2 GDP contracting (found here) with inventory, government and or trade the most likely sources.

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Economics

Thursday, May 26, 2011

The American Manufacturing Crisis and Why it Matters / Economics / US Economy

By: Ian_Fletcher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDespite the denial chorus of the same politicians, financiers, and economists who told us prior to 2008 that our financial sector was fine, the American public is increasingly aware of the truth: American manufacturing is in a state of deep crisis. (And ,as I argued in a previous article, the recent small uptick in this sector doesn’t change that fact.)

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Economics

Thursday, May 26, 2011

Hyperinflation Nonsense Continues / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEvery time the US dollar ticks lower, commodity prices tick higher, or the CPI rises two tenths of a percent, hyperinflationists come out of the woodwork with nonsensical predictions and silly comparisons to Zimbabwe or Weimar Germany.

Given that the US dollar recently fell to the lower end of its trading range, hyperinflationists once again came forth with their message of impending doom.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Greece Economy Structural Problems Compared to US / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMany countries have restrictions and requirements on doctors, nurses, lawyers etc. Greece carries the idea to extreme.

According to Keep Talking Greece "closed professions" include beauticians, drama and dance school instructors, bakers, antiques dealers, insurance agents, insurance consultants, employment consultants, diagnostics centre staff, translators, divers, cameramen, driving school instructors, cab drivers, tourist bus drivers, newspaper stand owners, electricians, sound technicians, private school owners, tobacco sellers, gun manufacturers and sellers, hairdressers, private investigators, port workers, real estate agents, lifeguards, carpenters, financiers, opticians, auditors, movie/theatre director and even car mechanics.

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Economics

Monday, May 23, 2011

U.S. Economic Recovery Faces More Speed Bumps / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJon D. Markman writes: Of all the economic news last week, the fall in unemployment claims had the most positive impact. It's great to see them come down, and my work suggests that May is on track for a 275,000 gain in payrolls, which is well above current consensus.

Claims fell by 29,000 to 409,000 last week, the second improvement in a row after a couple of sad-sack weeks that were muddied by special events like a new emergency benefits program in Oregon and the layoffs resulting from the parts shortage in Japan.

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Economics

Monday, May 23, 2011

Is the U.S. Economic Growth Spurt Over? / Economics / US Economy

By: Bill_Bonner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs you know, we’ve been wondering about the exhaustion of the Industrial Revolution innovation…and the bankruptcy of the Social Welfare state as a result.

We take for granted that a healthy economy “grows.” Our governments depend on it to pay the bills. Our investments depend on it too; we buy investments that we hope will become more valuable as sales and profits grow along with the economy. But what if all of our assumptions about what is “normal” are wrong? What if the growth spurt we have known for the last 300 years was the exception, not the rule? And what if it were now coming to an end?

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Economics

Friday, May 20, 2011

QE End, Training Wheels Off, Crash Helmets On / Economics / Quantitative Easing

By: Michael_Pento

Based on many pronouncements by economic policy makers, reams of articles by the top financial journalists and near continuous discussion on the financial news channels, it appears that the quantitative easing juggernaut that has steamed the high seas of macroeconomics for the last three years is finally pulling into port...supposedly for the last time. According to the dominant narrative, QEI and QEII helped stabilize the economy during the Great Recession and now the Federal Reserve is ready to take the training wheels off. If so, the economy may need a helmet because there is virtually no chance that it can avoid major contractions without central banking support.

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Economics

Friday, May 20, 2011

How a State Light-bulb Law Could Revive the American Factory / Economics / US Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: South Carolina is close to pulling off a dramatic end-run around the federal government.

If that state succeeds, the end result could have a serious impact on every U.S. manufacturing industry from cars to toilets.

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Economics

Thursday, May 19, 2011

Copper is Talking, Massive Infrastructure Projects to Boost Productivity Throughout the Economy / Economics / Infrastructure

By: Richard_Mills

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePure gold deposits are increasingly difficult to find.
“What really bothers me is that in the 1980s or 1990s, we saw three to five discoveries of 5 to 20 million ounces each, and upwards of 30 to 50 million ounces a year. That is what makes or breaks the industry. There are no discoveries of that magnitude now.” Pierre Lassonde, veteran gold analyst, co-founder/chairman of Franco Nevada Mining Corp., former president of Newmont Mining Corp.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 18, 2011

The Coming Great Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe table displayed immediately below is likely to surprise even our most-jaded readers. It shows the astronomical increase in cash prices for well-known food commodities over the past 12 months. With inarguable exactness, it contradicts the nearly constant prattle in the mainstream press that inflation is under control, or that it is peaking and likely to come under control sometime soon. Some items on the list have doubled -- even tripled -- in price over the past year. Others have risen at mere double-digit rates.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 18, 2011

U.S. Industrial Production Held Back Partly Related to Natural Disaster in Japan / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Industrial production held steady in April after a 0.7% in March.  The 1.7% jump in utilities production and 0.8% increase in mining output offset the 0.4% decline in factory production.  The 8.9% decline in auto output was the major reason for the flat headline.  Excluding motor vehicle output, factory production rose 0.2% in April after a 0.3% gain in the prior month.

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Economics

Tuesday, May 17, 2011

U.S. Consumers Continue to Struggle as Inflation Accelerates / Economics / Inflation

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKerri Shannon writes: The accelerating U.S. inflation rate reached its fastest pace in two and a half years last month as consumers continue dealing with higher food and energy prices.

The consumer price index (CPI) in April rose 3.2% over the last 12 months, the biggest yearly jump since October 2008. That's up from a yearly jump of 2.7% in March and 2.1% in February. The CPI in April increased 0.4% from the previous month.

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Economics

Tuesday, May 17, 2011

U.S. Inflation Data: Actual vs. Fed’s Forecast / Economics / Inflation

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleApril inflation data point to an upward trend of both the all items Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the core CPI, which excludes food and energy (see Chart 1). The data suggest that in as much as the Fed views the recent gains in energy and other commodity prices as "transitory," the level of concern could change fast if the economy gathers steam. In the three-months ended April 2011, the core CPI has risen at an annual rate of 6.2%.

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Economics

Monday, May 16, 2011

Bank of England's Phony Inflation Panic, Greece Bankrupt Again, Silver Crash 2011 / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe week saw the Merv (Britain's version of the Bernank) step forward and utter excuses as to why he now expects UK inflation to 'temporarily' soar above 5% this year on the official CPI measure (that significantly under reports real inflation as experienced by the general population). Mervyn King in a smoke and mirrors presentation all but blamed speculators for the surge in commodity prices with expectations that UK energy prices would surge by 15% later in the year.

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Economics

Sunday, May 15, 2011

Q2 Economic Contraction Highly Probable / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Tony_Pallotta

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecently I have been discussing the possibility that the US economy is in fact in a period of contraction. I want to revisit that call as I don't loosely throw out such a statement without backing it up with real data. Q1 2011 GDP was 1.77%, a 43% reduction in Q4 2010 GDP of 3.11%. Although Q1 GDP could be revised higher over the next two revisions it did highlight three sources of contraction.

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Economics

Saturday, May 14, 2011

U.S. Consumer Price Index, Dichotomy Between Overall and Core Price Inflation Persists / Economics / Inflation

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% in April after a 0.5% increase in March.  The CPI has posted gains between 0.4% and 0.5% for five consecutive months, putting the five month annualized change in the CPI at 5.8%.  Under other circumstances the Fed would view the recent readings of overall inflation as severely inflationary and engage in suitable monetary policy actions to prevent further increases in prices.  The present situation is different. 

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Economics

Friday, May 13, 2011

Why Inflation in China Could Lead to Another Global Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: Inflation in China is far more intractable than official headline statistics reveal.

That's potentially bad news for global growth and toppy stock and commodities markets.

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