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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, January 25, 2011

The Financial Crisis, The Worst Is Behind Us / Economics / Global Economy

By: DailyWealth

Steve Sjuggerud writes: "It's unprecedented," you'll hear people say.

"It's the worst since the Great Depression," you'll also hear. "We've never experienced such bad times."

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Economics

Tuesday, January 25, 2011

How Fast Has the Jobless Rate Declined After Prior Recessions? / Economics / Unemployment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe 9.4% unemployment rate in December 2010, an elevated reading, is down from a high of 10.1% in October 2009. The recent cycle low for the unemployment rate was 4.4% in May 2007. Although each business cycle is different, it is still worthwhile to recall how fast the jobless rate has declined in the past 60 years after each recession.

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Economics

Monday, January 24, 2011

Response to Krugman on Austrian Business-Cycle Theory / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs many readers already know, last week Paul Krugman linked to one of my Mises Daily articles explaining the importance of capital theory in any discussion of the business cycle. Although Krugman graciously described my fable about sushi-eating islanders as "the best exposition I've seen yet of the Austrian view that's sweeping the GOP," naturally he derided the approach as a "great leap backward" and a repudiation of 75 years of economic progress since the work of John Maynard Keynes. To bolster his rejection, Krugman listed several problems he saw with the Austrian understanding.

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Economics

Monday, January 24, 2011

World Economic Forum Endorses Fraud, "Need to Double Credit in 10 Years" / Economics / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA few days ago I received an email from the World Economic Forum regarding a need to double credit over the next 10 years. Here is that email.

New York, USA, 18 January 2011 – Credit levels will need to double over the next 10 years, growing by US$ 103 trillion, to support consensus-projected economic growth. This doubling of credit could be achieved without increasing the risk of major crisis, finds More Credit with Fewer Crises: Responsibly Meeting the World’s Growing Demand for Credit, a report released by the World Economic Forum in collaboration with McKinsey & Company. The study develops a detailed global credit model using historical credit volumes and forecasting potential credit demand to 2020 across 79 countries, representing 99% of world credit volume. The study applies a sustainability methodology to the projected credit demand, using newly developed metrics to answer the following two questions: Will credit growth be sufficient to meet demand? Is there a risk of future credit crises and, if so, where?

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Economics

Monday, January 24, 2011

UK Inflation Forecast 2011, Imminent Spike to Above CPI 4%, RPI 6% / Economics / Inflation

By: NewsLetter

The Market Oracle Newsletter
Jan 17th, 2011 Issue #1 Vol. 5

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Economics

Sunday, January 23, 2011

U.S. Economic Turmoil in 2011 / Economics / US Economy

By: Stephen_Lendman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWall Street predicts blue skies. Economic recovery will continue. Stocks will deliver double-digit gains. On January 14, the Wall Street Journal's Economic Forecast Survey headlined, "Economists Optimistic on Growth," expecting in 2011:

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Economics

Sunday, January 23, 2011

Great Depression, Debt and Economic Decline: Ireland, Portugal, Greece, US, UK / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs of Wednesday we have seen the euro rise 7 straight days, which caused the USDX to fall to 78.14, this in spite of having 10-year rates in Spain, Portugal and Ireland rising 3 bps.

Both food and energy prices have risen at double-digit rates. This is an inflation reflection of 1979-80, 1996 and 2008. In the 1979 and 1980 and in the 2008 period our inflation gauge measured real inflation of 14-1/4%. Both occurred in recessions similar to today’s inflationary depression.

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Economics

Sunday, January 23, 2011

China vs. Inflation: A Love-30 Match So Far / Economics / Inflation

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChina released a slew of important economic data on the evening of Wednesday, Jan. 19, and markets were paying particular attention to China’s inflation. In order to put out the wild fire of inflation, China's central bank raised interest rates twice, and increased the reserve ratio for lenders four times in the span of just last two months.

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Economics

Sunday, January 23, 2011

China Boom or Bust? / Economics / China Economy

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs China’s economy has continued to put up stellar economic growth in the midst of one of the worst global economic crises on record, it’s widely believed that China will lead the world out of its downturn and soon rise to global economic dominance.

So it’s no surprise that there was a lot of attention given to Chinese President Hu Jintao’s visit to Washington this week.

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Economics

Friday, January 21, 2011

China Monetary Policy: Inflation Won't Last – Growth Will / Economics / China Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: Investors yesterday (Thursday) were rattled by fears that China's economy is overheating after it was revealed that the country's gross domestic product (GDP) expanded by 10.3% in 2010.

However, the policy changes that will come as a result of the data ultimately will benefit both China and the United States.

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Economics

Friday, January 21, 2011

U.S. Jobless Claims Reverse Gains Posted Last Week / Economics / Unemployment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Initial jobless claims dropped 37,000 to 404,000 during the week ended January 15 after advancing 30,000 in the prior week.  Additional weekly readings will be necessary to confirm if the reversal is not temporary. 

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Economics

Thursday, January 20, 2011

World is in the Early Stages of a Major Leg Up in Food Prices / Economics / Food Crisis

By: Michael_Pento

From all accounts it appears that the world is in the early stages of a major leg up in food prices. The major macroeconomic trend will likely drive economic policy and the investment outlook for years to come. Although mainstream pundits like to focus on cyclical drivers like the weather, the real force behind the move is secular. The U.S. is leading the world in a pandemic of monetary inflation that is helping to cause commodity prices, food in particular, to skyrocket across the globe.

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Economics

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Economic Collapse Scenarios That We Could Potentially See In 2011 / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Chris_Kitze

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat could cause an economic collapse in 2011? Well, unfortunately there are quite a few "nightmare scenarios" that could plunge the entire globe into another massive financial crisis. The United States, Japan and most of the nations in Europe are absolutely drowning in debt. The Federal Reserve continues to play reckless games with the U.S. dollar. The price of oil is skyrocketing and the global price of food just hit a new record high. Food riots are already breaking out all over the world. Meanwhile, the rampant fraud and corruption going on in world financial markets is starting to be exposed and the whole house of cards could come crashing down at any time. Most Americans have no idea that a horrific economic collapse could happen at literally any time. There is no way that all of this debt and all of this financial corruption is sustainable. At some point we are going to reach a moment of "total system failure".

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Economics

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Job-Killing Labor Costs and the Manufacturing Sector / Economics / Employment

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChristopher Westley writes: If there is one issue that pops up again and again in my conversations about economics with interested noneconomists, it is manufacturing.

There's a genuine concern about the state of manufacturing in the United States, and I am not sure of the reason why. It could be that there is an inchoate sense that manufacturing is dying here, given that so many of our popular-consumption goods seem to be made overseas. Then there is the issue of the trade deficit, which is generally reported on in the mainstream media in a manner that is irresponsible, uninformed, or both.

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Economics

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Luxury Brands Are Back In Style as America's Wealthy Return to Their Wears / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: The U.S. unemployment rate may still be high, but that hasn't stopped consumer spending from rallying. And in contrast to the darkest days of the financial crisis, when discount retailers like Family Dollar Stores Inc. (NYSE: FDO) and Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) ruled the day, luxury brands have been doing the heavy lifting.

Indeed, bolstered by the extension of the Bush tax cuts and strong demand in Asia, luxury brands are coming back into style.

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Economics

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Trouble in Brazil or More Good Times Ahead? / Economics / Brazil

By: Mike_Stathis

Today, the Brazil's central bank is likely to raise its key interest rate, the SELIC as discussed in the January newsletter. Analysts estimate a 50 basis point hike. If this occurs, it will place short-term rates at 11.25%. The global inflation trend is driving this decision, as food and energy costs have hit Brazilian consumers particularly hard over the past several months. 

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Economics

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Systemic Global Economic Crisis At the Crossroads of Three Roads of Global Chaos / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis GEAB issue marks the fifth anniversary of the publication of the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin. In January 2006, on the occasion of the first issue, the LEAP/E2020 team indicated that a period of four to seven years was opening up which would be characterized by the “Fall of the Dollar Wall”, an event similar to the fall of the Berlin Wall which resulted, in the following years, in the collapse of the communist bloc then that of the USSR. Today, in this GEAB issue, which presents our thirty-two anticipations for 2011, we believe that the coming year will be a pivotal year in the roll out of this process between 2010 and 2013. It will be, in any case, a ruthless year because it will mark the entry into the terminal phase of the world before the crisis (1).

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Economics

Thursday, January 20, 2011

China's Inflation Problem Looms Large / Economics / Inflation

By: Peter_Schiff

The global economy has become so unbalanced that even government ministers who would normally have trouble explaining supply or demand clearly recognize that something has to give. To a very large extent the distortions are caused by China's long-standing policy of pegging its currency, the yuan, to the U.S. dollar. But as China's economy gains strength, and the American economy weakens, the cost and difficulty of maintaining the peg become ever greater, and eventually outweigh the benefits that the policy supposedly delivers to China. In the first few weeks of 2011 fresh evidence has arisen that shows just how difficult it has become for Beijing.

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Economics

Thursday, January 20, 2011

An Economic Recovery Unto Death / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the Bible there is a reference to a “sin unto death.” In the realm of U.S. economic policy a situation is developing that could easily lead to a “death” of the current recovery. Ironically, this brewing economic destruction is springing from the same policies that are responsible for the recovery (call it a “recovery unto death”). These policies are supposed to lead the U.S. out of recession and into a “new tomorrow” but as we’ll discuss here, the end result is likely to be something far short of what policy leaders envision.

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Economics

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

The Politics of Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: Vijay_Boyapati

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe reason that political establishments have always been biased against monetary deflation[1] can be found in the manner in which wealth transfer occurs under inflationary and deflationary environments.

During an inflationary credit expansion, wealth is transferred from the public in general to the earliest recipients of the newly created credit money. In practice, the earliest recipients are interest groups with the strongest political connections to the state and, in particular, the state institutions that control monetary policy (i.e., the Federal Reserve in the United States). Importantly, the wealth transfer that takes place during an inflation is hidden and largely unrecognized by the majority of the population. The population is unaware that the supply of money is increasing and the attendant rise in prices, ostensibly beneficial to business, initially

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