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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Friday, August 13, 2010

Inflationary Economic Depression Forecast Revisited…We are Half-Way There / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Paul_Mladjenovic

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGoing back a few years ago, I made a forecast that America would be heading toward an inflationary depression. I made that forecast during 2007 and early 2008 when the federal government's policies were very bad.

Today in 2010, the federal government has replaced the bad policies of a few years ago with much, much worse policies today. It is mind-boggling how bad these policies are and it is astonishing that most politicians and many economists don't see the obvious dangers.

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Economics

Friday, August 13, 2010

Innovation, What Made America Great is Now Killing Her! / Economics / US Economy

By: Gordon_T_Long

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Creative Destruction is Secular not Cyclical" - What made America great was her unsurpassed ability to innovate.  Equally important was also her ability to rapidly adapt to the change that this innovation fostered. For decades the combination has been a self reinforcing growth dynamic with innovation offering a continuously improving standard of living and higher corporate productivity levels, which the US quickly embraced and adapted to. This in turn financed further innovation. No country in the world could match the American culture that flourished on technology advancements in all areas of human endeavor. However, something serious and major has changed across America.  Daily, more and more are becoming acutely aware of this, but few grasp exactly what it is.  It is called Creative Destruction. 

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Economics

Friday, August 13, 2010

Foreign Economic Growth Could Bail Out the U.S. Economy / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: During a period of increasingly worrisome headlines about the U.S. economy, there is one bright spot. The rest of the world appears to be doing much better than we are.

In the long run, that's good news for the United States. Rapid world growth will eventually rekindle the economic fires here, producing a growth that is more balanced than the bubbles of 1995-2008.

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Economics

Friday, August 13, 2010

The Real Reason for Bank of England's Worthless CPI Inflation Forecasts / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Bank of England released their latest quarterly inflation report this week that again sought to revise the forecast for UK inflation to converge towards 2% in 2 years time. However one major change accompanying the forecast was that the mantra of UK inflation being above the 2% target and the 3% upper limit as only temporary has now been dropped, this after repeatedly claiming month in month out for the past 7 months that Inflation would magically fall that the academic economists and mainstream press had swallowed up until quite recently.

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Economics

Friday, August 13, 2010

Countdown to Economic Collapse, The Recovery is Not Recovering / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Danny_Schechter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFinancial journalist, Charles Gasparino whose career trajectory took him from Newsweek to CNBC to Fox News was on with Bill O’ Reilly doing what the host of that factless Factor likes to do the most: promoting Fox News.  In the course of their self-promotional banter, Gasparino let sip an unverifiable story about a meeting of top CEOs speculating about whether President Obama really is a secret Socialist.

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Economics

Friday, August 13, 2010

U.S. Economic Depression, Just How Bad Will It Get? / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor months now I have averred that the US economy was not in recovery and that in point of fact all talk of “recovery” was a load of BS.

I realize this view is far from the consensus. Even those who are in the bear camp aver that the Stimulus did in fact bring us out of recession at least temporarily.

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Economics

Thursday, August 12, 2010

How To Get Hyper-Inflation and Wing-Wham Un-Fund Liabilities …and Not Spill Your Drink / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI refer to the esteemed social and economic commentator P.J. O’Rourke’s learned treatise on, “How to drive Fast on Drugs While Having Your Wing-Wham Squeezed, and not Spill Your Drink”.

Substitute “create inflation” with “driving fast on drugs” and the delights of having your Wing-Wham squeezed with creating a pile of unfunded liabilities to be paid-off by a child you don’t acknowledge or aim to take care of, one fine-day, in the future.

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Economics

Thursday, August 12, 2010

Is Deflation Really Bad for the Economy? / Economics / Deflation

By: Frank_Shostak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn Friday, July 30, the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank president, James Bullard, speaking on CNBC television, said that the Fed must weigh medium-term inflation risks against near-term deflation risks. For most economists and commentators, a general fall in prices, which they label deflation, is a terrible thing. They hold that a fall in prices generates expectations for a further decline in prices. As a result of this, consumers postpone their buying of goods at present because they expect to buy these goods at lower prices in the future. Consequently, this weakens the overall flow of spending, and that in turn weakens the economy.

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Economics

Thursday, August 12, 2010

The Illusion of Economic Recovery, The Fed Creates Money Out of Thin Air / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWell, it's just the same old, same old, business as usual in America.  The Fed creates money out of thin air, uses it to keep the economy from teetering over the edge of destruction as ludicrous salaries and bonuses are collected by Wall Street Illuminists and as US consumers are deceptively informed that we have green shoots sprouting up and that recovery is just around the corner.  So go out and borrow, borrow, borrow, and spend, spend, spend, so US Illuminist transnational conglomerates can continue to generate their off-shore, untaxed profits to pay Illuminist salaries and bonuses for their henchmen in Corporate America.  Then you have the President's Working Group on Financial Markets (aka the Plunge Protection Team, aka the PPT for short), rigging markets around the world 24/7 with the money created out of thin air by the Fed via the repo pool.

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Economics

Thursday, August 12, 2010

Jobs and Income, the Only Things That Matter… And No One Talks About / Economics / US Economy

By: Graham_Summers

Today, most pundits are growing increasingly concerned that we are headed for a “double dip” recession. I think this view is idiotic as the US “recovery” was in fact nothing more than a small bounce in economy activity within the context of a DEPRESSION.

Regardless, the stooges are out again in full force proclaiming that the US economy is in trouble again (duh), that the Stimulus high is wearing off (duh again) and that the only solution is to issue more Stimulus and money printing to stop another economic contraction (WHAT!?!).

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Economics

Thursday, August 12, 2010

Runaway Out of Control U.S. Federal Government Spending? / Economics / Government Spending

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe U.S. Treasury released its budget status for July. As Chart 1 shows, the cumulative deficit in the 12 months ended July was $1.318 trillion - the lowest since June 2009's $1.255 trillion. So far, the largest 12-month cumulative deficit reading has been $1.477 trillion in the 12 months ended February 2010.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 11, 2010

Major leading Economic Indicator in Free Fall! / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn my July 14 Money and Markets column, I explained how the Economic Cycle Research Institute’s (ECRI) Weekly Leading Index confirmed my bearish forecast.

Back then, the index’s growth rate was minus 8.3 percent. And as you can see in the chart below, it is continuing to freefall — tumbling to minus 10.3 percent for the week ending July 30 …

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Economics

Wednesday, August 11, 2010

Bullish Outlook for European Economies, U.S. QE2 Problems / Economics / Euro-Zone

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week we look at some mostly bullish analysis from my friends at GaveKal for the Outside the Box. Much of the letter is devoted to looking at why Europe may fare better than many think (which will make uber-European bull David Kotok happy to read!). But be very sure to read the last page as Steve Vannelli analyzes the latest speculation about the Fed and quantitative easing. All those calling for QE2 may not actually do what they think it will. His conclusion?

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Economics

Wednesday, August 11, 2010

The Economic Stimulus is Dead - Long Live the Stimulus / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Adam_Lass

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA trillion dollars still hasn't fixed the jobs problem. Washington's solution: change the name to "deflation fighting" and print even more!

How do you know when an idea has failed?

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Economics

Tuesday, August 10, 2010

Why U.S. Jobs Have Gone AWOL / Economics / Employment

By: Michael_Pento

There are three primary reasons why the US is suffering from structurally high unemployment: a pervasively irresponsible monetary policy, the continued attenuation of our manufacturing base, and an overleveraged consumer who must now reconcile his balance sheet. In reality, the latter two conditions are a direct result of the first. They are the result of a government that seeks to micromanage the cost of money and the rate of economic growth.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 10, 2010

Economic Uncertainties No Longer! / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Sy_Harding

Fed Chairman Bernanke can move on from his warning of a couple of months ago that there are “unusual uncertainties” in the economy. There may still be uncertainties in the stock market, but no longer in the economy! It is almost surely headed into a recessionary period again.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 10, 2010

U.S. Economic Outlook Update, Is the Downturn Finally Over, if not, When it will end? / Economics / US Economy

By: Matthew_Ehrlich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLiving in Asia for most of the past ten years and having spent another twenty traveling between Wall Street and Asia, I am constantly being asked if the US economic downturn is finally over and if not, when it will end. Not an easy question and if you are going to even attempt to understand my answer, you have to look at some of the MECHANICS of how it started, how it grew, how we got to where we are now and the possible paths to bring about an end.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 10, 2010

The Deflation Bogey / Economics / Economic Theory

By: William_Anderson

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Paul Reveres of the economics profession are riding their horses, warning Americans, "Deflation is coming! Deflation is coming!" From Paul Krugman to Joseph Gagnon to the various mainstream news publications, the message is the same — the government needs to induce inflation now, or else the economy will sink further into the Slew of Despond and unemployment will increase.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 10, 2010

In Defense of Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: Douglas_French

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Obama stimulus and bailouts haven't decreased unemployment rates or bankruptcy filings while home prices and home sales have fallen and can't get up. PIMCO's Bill Gross told Bloomberg this can all be fixed with nearly zero interest rates and additional debt to stimulate the animal spirits of investors and entrepreneurs. The federal-funds rate has been pegged at 0 to .25% since December 16, 2008, and Uncle Sam's debt is $13.3 trillion and counting. If this hasn't goosed the animal spirits, what will?

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Economics

Monday, August 09, 2010

The Form of Saving Matters For Free-market Fractional Reserve Banking / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlthough Austrian economists agree on most of the "big picture" issues, even so there are some internal controversies. One of the most heated debates within the Austrian camp centers on the economic benefits (or lack thereof) of the practice of fractional-reserve banking. Just about every Austrian today thinks that our current financial system — cartelized and propped up by the government — is prone to excessive inflation and the boom-bust cycle.

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